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市场调查报告书
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1905021

全球 HCFO-1233zd 市场:按产品类型、应用、终端用户产业和地区划分 - 市场规模、产业趋势、机会分析和预测(2026-2035 年)

Global HCFO-1233zd Market: By Product Form, Application, End user industry, Region - Market Size, Industry Dynamics, Opportunity Analysis and Forecast for 2026-2035

出版日期: | 出版商: Astute Analytica | 英文 186 Pages | 商品交期: 最快1-2个工作天内

价格
简介目录

随着 HCFO-1233zd 的应用日益广泛以及监管压力不断增加,该市场正步入关键的成熟阶段。预计到 2025 年,其市场收入将达到约 3,818 万美元,这得益于该分子不断扩大的应用范围以及在各行业中日益增长的认可度,从而奠定了坚实的基础。展望未来,预计该市场将经历显着成长,到 2035 年估值将达到 7,134 万美元。这项预计成长在 2026 年至 2035 年的预测期内将维持 6.4% 的强劲复合年增长率 (CAGR),展现出稳定且持续的成长动能。

推动这一成长的关键因素是全球日益严格的法规,这些法规正积极逐步淘汰高全球暖化潜势 (GWP) 的冷媒和发泡剂。各国政府和环境保护机构正日益限製或禁止使用传统的高 GWP 氟化冷媒 (HFC),迫使各行业转向更永续的替代品,例如 HCFO-1233zd。该分子具有低 GWP 值,同时兼具卓越的安全性和性能,使其成为发泡剂和冷媒等关键应用领域的理想替代品。

市场趋势

全球HCFO-1233zd的生产几乎完全由少数几家大型製造商主导,这些製造商被称为“四大巨头”,它们合计占了全球85%以上的产能。这种寡占凸显了该先进化学品生产所需的高额资本投资、专业技术以及监管合规要求所带来的市场进入门槛。在这些主要生产商中,总部位于美国的霍尼韦尔凭藉其成熟的 "Solstice®zd" 品牌,成为无可争议的市场领导者。

仅次于霍尼韦尔的是法国化工企业阿科玛,该公司在巩固其HCFO-1233zd市场地位方面取得了显着进展。 2025年8月,阿科玛在肯塔基州卡尔弗特市开设了一家大型生产工厂,从根本上改变了其北美供应结构。这座年产能达 15,000 吨的新工厂,专门瞄准不断增长的北美泡沫市场,以满足绝缘材料及其他应用领域对可持续发泡剂日益增长的需求。

成长核心驱动因子

HCFO-1233zd 市场正经历强劲成长,这主要得益于其多功能性和环保特性。这些特性使其成为传统氢氟碳化合物 (HFC) 的首选替代品,而 HFC 在多个行业中具有较高的全球暖化潜值 (GWP)。 HCFO-1233zd 是一种不可燃、低 GWP 的喷涂剂和冷媒(GWP 仅为 1),为满足日益严格的旨在减少温室气体排放的环境法规提供了有效的解决方案。它能够在不影响性能的前提下取代传统的高 GWP HFC,这正在加速其应用,尤其是在寻求永续、合规替代品的行业中。

新兴机会

HCFO-1233zd 的市场应用远不止于传统的冷却系统,它正逐渐成为 "工业热电化" 这一更广泛趋势的核心要素。这一转变反映了工业热能管理的根本性变革,强调永续性、能源效率以及减少对化石燃料的依赖。这项变革的核心在于高温热泵 (HTHP) 的应用,而 HCFO-1233zd 在这一技术领域中发挥着尤为重要的作用。与许多替代冷媒不同,HCFO-1233zd 具备回收废热和产生高达 165°C 蒸汽所需的必要热性能,使其成为众多工业流程的必备材料。

优化障碍

由于需要投入大量研发和生产资金以符合不断变化的化学品安全和排放法规,HCFO-1233zd 市场可能面临成长瓶颈。随着全球环境标准日益严格,製造商必须投入大量资源开发新配方并优化生产工艺,以满足这些严格的要求。这包括进行广泛的测试,以确保冷媒在保持性能和效率的同时,符合安全规程和排放限值。这个开发过程的复杂性和成本可能构成重大障碍,尤其对于那些希望扩大生产规模或推出 HCFO-1233zd 创新衍生产品的公司而言更是如此。

目录

第一章:研究架构

  • 研究目标
  • 产品概述
    • 市场区隔
    • 市场及细分定义
  • 研究方法
    • 主要和次要来源列表
    • 市场规模估算

第二章:摘要整理:全球及东南亚HCFO-1233zd市场

第三章:全球及东南亚HCFO-1233zd市场概况

  • 产业价值链分析
    • 配方
    • 加工与包装
    • 经销商
    • 最终产品用户
  • 行业展望
    • HCFO-1233zd 製造工艺
    • HCFO-1233zd(E) 的特性
    • HCFO-1233zd(E) 冷却系统获得的环保奖项
  • PESTLE 分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供应商议价能力
    • 买方议价能力
    • 替代品威胁
    • 新进入者威胁
    • 竞争强度
  • 市场动态与趋势
    • 主要趋势
    • 成长驱动因素
    • 限制因素/挑战
  • 市场成长与展望
    • 市场收入估计与预测(2020-2035)
    • 市场估算与预测(吨),2020-2035
    • 价格分析
  • 新冠疫情对市场成长趋势的影响评估
    • 成长趋势变化分析
    • 产业最佳实践
  • 监理环境

第四章 竞争格局概览

  • 市场集中度
  • 公司占有率分析(价值,2025)
  • 竞争格局图

第五章 HCFO-1233zd 产品形式市场分析

  • 主要发现
  • 市场规模与预测2020-2035
    • 顺式-1-氯-3,3,3-三氟丙烯 (HCFO-1233zd-Z)
    • 反式-1-氯-3,3,3-三氟丙烯 (HCFO-1233zd-E)

第六章:HCFO-1233zd 市场分析(依最终用途产业划分)

  • 主要发现
  • 市场规模及预测(2020-2035)
    • 清洁剂
    • 脱脂剂
    • 冷媒
    • 离心式冰水机组
    • 绝缘泡棉发泡剂
    • 其他

第七章:HCFO-1233zd 市场分析依最终用途产业划分

  • 主要发现
  • 市场规模及预测,2020-2035 年
    • 食品饮料
    • 机械
    • 建筑
    • 电气电子
    • 暖通空调 (HVAC)
    • 其他

第八章 HCFO-1233zd 市场区域分析

  • 主要见解
  • 市场规模及预测,2020-2035 年
    • 北美
    • 欧洲
    • 亚太地区
    • 中东和非洲
    • 南美

第九章:北美 HCFO-1233zd 市场分析

第十章:欧洲 HCFO-1233zd 市场分析

第十一章:亚太地区 HCFO-1233zd 市场分析

第十二章:东南亚 (SEA) HCFO-1233zd 市场分析

第十三章:中东与非洲 HCFO-1233zd 市场分析

第十四章:南美洲 HCFO-1233zd 市场分析

第十五章:公司简介(公司概况、财务矩阵、主要产品线、主要参与者、主要竞争对手、联络资讯和业务策略展望)

  • 阿科玛公司 (Arkema S.A.)
  • 北京裕基科技有限公司 (Beijing Yuji Science & Technology)有限公司
  • 中央玻璃有限公司
  • 科慕公司
  • 丹佛斯
  • GAB 诺伊曼
  • 霍尼韦尔国际
  • Kirloskar Chillers 私人有限公司
  • 纳文氟
  • 索尔维
  • 其他主要参与者
简介目录
Product Code: AA0821091

The HCFO-1233zd market is undergoing a significant phase of maturation, reflecting both its growing adoption and the increasing regulatory pressures shaping its trajectory. In 2025, the market generated revenue of approximately US$ 38.18 million, demonstrating a solid foundation built on the molecule's expanding applications and acceptance across various industries. Looking forward, the market is poised for substantial growth, with projections estimating its valuation to reach US$ 71.34 million by 2035. This anticipated expansion corresponds to a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4% during the forecast period from 2026 to 2035, signaling steady and sustained momentum.

The primary catalyst driving this growth is the tightening of regulatory mandates worldwide, which are aggressively phasing out refrigerants and blowing agents with high global warming potential (GWP). Governments and environmental agencies are increasingly enforcing policies that restrict or ban the use of legacy high-GWP hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), compelling industries to transition toward more sustainable alternatives like HCFO-1233zd. This molecule's low GWP, combined with its favorable safety and performance characteristics, makes it an attractive replacement in key applications such as foam blowing and refrigeration.

Noteworthy Market Developments

The global production landscape for HCFO-1233zd is overwhelmingly controlled by a concentrated group of major players, often referred to as the "Big Four," which collectively command over 85% of the worldwide production capacity. This oligopolistic structure highlights the high barriers to entry in the market, driven by the significant capital investment, specialized technology, and regulatory compliance required to manufacture this advanced chemical. Among these dominant producers, Honeywell, headquartered in the United States, holds the position of the undisputed market leader, primarily through its well-established Solstice(R) zd brand.

Following closely behind Honeywell is Arkema, a French chemical company that has made significant strides to strengthen its position in the HCFO-1233zd market. In August 2025, Arkema fundamentally shifted the supply dynamics in North America by commissioning a large-scale production facility in Calvert City, Kentucky. This new plant, with a capacity of 15,000 tons per year, specifically targets the growing North American foam market, addressing the increasing demand for sustainable blowing agents in insulation and other applications.

Core Growth Drivers

The HCFO-1233zd market is experiencing robust growth driven by its versatility and environmentally favorable properties, which have positioned it as a preferred alternative to traditional high-global-warming-potential (GWP) hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) across multiple sectors. As a nonflammable and low-GWP blowing agent and refrigerant-with a GWP value of just 1-HCFO-1233zd offers an effective solution that aligns with increasingly stringent environmental regulations aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Its ability to replace legacy high-GWP HFCs without compromising performance has accelerated its adoption, particularly in industries seeking sustainable and compliant alternatives.

Emerging Opportunity Trends

The HCFO-1233zd market is evolving far beyond its traditional applications in cooling systems to emerge as a central component in the broader trend of "Industrial Heat Electrification." This transformation reflects a fundamental shift in how industries approach thermal energy management, with a growing emphasis on sustainability, energy efficiency, and reducing reliance on fossil fuels. At the heart of this change is the deployment of High-Temperature Heat Pumps (HTHPs), a technology area where HCFO-1233zd plays a uniquely critical role. Unlike many alternative refrigerants, HCFO-1233zd possesses the thermal properties necessary to recover waste heat and generate steam at temperatures reaching up to 165°C, a capability that is essential for a wide range of industrial processes.

Barriers to Optimization

The HCFO-1233zd market faces potential constraints on its growth due to the substantial investments required for research and development (R&D) and manufacturing to comply with continuously evolving chemical safety and emission regulations. As environmental standards become increasingly rigorous worldwide, manufacturers must allocate significant resources to develop new formulations and optimize production processes that meet these stringent requirements. This includes extensive testing to ensure that the refrigerant adheres to safety protocols and emission limits, all while maintaining performance and efficiency. The complexity and cost of this development process can be a major hurdle, particularly for companies aiming to scale production or introduce innovative variants of HCFO-1233zd.

Detailed Market Segmentation

By Product Form, Trans-1-Chloro-3,3,3-trifluoropropene dominates the HCFO-1233zd market, commanding a remarkable 83.6% share. Its overwhelming preference among manufacturers is largely due to the unique characteristics that make it the industry's "Goldilocks" solution for thermal management-offering an ideal balance of performance, safety, and handling convenience. This particular isomer stands out because it possesses a boiling point of around 19°C, which enables it to exist in a liquid state at relatively moderate temperatures. This physical property significantly simplifies storage, transport, and application processes compared to gaseous refrigerants that require specialized high-pressure containment and handling procedures.

By Application, the insulation foam blowing agents segment currently dominates the HCFO-1233zd market, controlling a significant 51.1% share. This leadership position is primarily driven by the urgent imperative to replace high-global-warming-potential (GWP) legacy agents such as HFC-245fa, which have been widely used in foam insulation but are now being phased out due to environmental concerns. HCFO-1233zd has emerged as a preferred alternative because it offers a compelling combination of superior insulating properties and a much lower environmental impact, aligning well with global regulatory pressures and sustainability goals.

By End-user industry, the food and beverage industry has emerged as the leading end-user of HCFO-1233zd, commanding more than 36% of the market share-a position that extends well beyond the simple need to keep products cold. While refrigeration remains a fundamental aspect of this sector, the true driver behind the widespread adoption of HCFO-1233zd lies in its exceptional performance in high-temperature heat pump applications. These advanced heat pumps are crucial for addressing the unique operational demands of the food and beverage industry, which often requires simultaneous heating and cooling processes within the same facility.

Segment Breakdown

By Product Form

  • Trans-1-Chloro-3,3,3-trifluoropropene (HCFO-1233zd-E)
  • Cis-1-Chloro-3,3,3-trifluoropropene (HCFO-1233zd-Z)

By Application

  • Insulation Foam Blowing Agents
  • Refrigerants
  • Centrifugal Chillers
  • Cleaning agent
  • Degreasing
  • Other

By End-user industry

  • Food or beverage
  • Mechanical
  • Construction
  • Electric and Electronics
  • Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC)
  • Other

By Region

  • North America
  • U.S.
  • Canada
  • Mexico
  • Europe
  • The UK
  • Germany
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Russia
  • Poland
  • Rest of Europe
  • Asia Pacific
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • Australia & New Zealand
  • ASEAN
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • Middle East & Africa (MEA)
  • UAE
  • Saudi Arabia
  • South Africa
  • Rest of MEA
  • South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Rest of South America

Geography Breakdown

  • North America has firmly established itself as the undisputed leader in the HCFO-1233zd market, currently holding an estimated 37% share of the global market. This prominent position is the result of deliberate regulatory actions and industry adoption rather than happenstance. Central to this dominance is the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) AIM Act, which set forth stringent environmental regulations aimed at reducing hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) consumption. By 2024, the AIM Act mandated a 40% reduction in HFC use, which effectively phased out older, high-global-warming-potential agents such as HFC-245fa, particularly in applications like foam blowing.
  • Beyond regulatory influence, the widespread adoption of HCFO-1233zd has been driven by major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), who have standardized this chemical as the regional benchmark for sustainable and compliant refrigerants. Industry leaders such as Trane and Carrier have fully embraced HCFO-1233zd, particularly in low-pressure centrifugal chillers, which are critical in facilities requiring stringent safety measures. Hospitals and data centers, where non-flammable safety codes are paramount, have seen these chillers become the preferred choice, thanks to the favorable safety and environmental profile of HCFO-1233zd.

Leading Market Participants

  • Arkema S.A.
  • Beijing Yuji Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
  • Central Glass Co., Ltd
  • Chemours Company
  • Danfoss
  • GAB Neumann
  • Honeywell International
  • Navin Fluorine
  • Other Prominent Players

Table of Content

Chapter 1. Research Framework

  • 1.1. Objective
  • 1.2. Product Overview
    • 1.2.1. Market Segmentation
    • 1.2.2. Market & Segment Definitions
  • 1.3. Research Methodology
    • 1.3.1. List of Primary & Secondary Sources
    • 1.3.2. Market Size Estimation
      • 1.3.2.1. Assumption for the Study
      • 1.3.2.2. Data Triangulation

Chapter 2. Executive Summary: Global and Southeast Asia HCFO-1233zd Market

Chapter 3. Global and Southeast Asia HCFO-1233zd Market Overview

  • 3.1. Industry Value Chain Analysis
    • 3.1.1. Formulation
    • 3.1.2. Processing and Packaging
    • 3.1.3. Distributor
    • 3.1.4. End users
  • 3.2. Industry Outlook
    • 3.2.1. Process for Making HCFO-1233zd
    • 3.2.2. Properties of HCFO-1233zd(E)
    • 3.2.3. Environment Awards received by HCFO-1233zd(E) chillers
  • 3.3. PESTLE Analysis
  • 3.4. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 3.4.1. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 3.4.2. Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 3.4.3. Threat of Substitutes
    • 3.4.4. Threat of New Entrants
    • 3.4.5. Degree of Competition
  • 3.5. Market Dynamics and Trends
    • 3.5.1. Key Trends
    • 3.5.2. Growth Drivers
    • 3.5.3. Restraints/ Challenges
  • 3.6. Market Growth and Outlook
    • 3.6.1. Market Revenue Estimates and Forecast (US$ Mn), 2020-2035
    • 3.6.2. Market Volume Estimates and Forecast (Tons), 2020-2035
    • 3.6.3. Pricing Analysis
  • 3.7. Covid-19 Impact Assessment on Market Growth Trend
    • 3.7.1. Growth Trend Shift Analysis
    • 3.7.2. Industry Best Practices
  • 3.8. Regulatory Landscape

Chapter 4. Competition Dashboard

  • 4.1. Market Concentration Rate
  • 4.2. Company Market Share Analysis (Value %), 2025
  • 4.3. Competitor Mapping

Chapter 5. HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis, By Product Form

  • 5.1. Key Insights
  • 5.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 5.2.1. cis-1-Chloro-3,3,3-trifluoropropene (HCFO-1233zd-Z)
    • 5.2.2. trans-1-Chloro-3,3,3-trifluoropropene (HCFO-1233zd-E)

Chapter 6. HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis, By Application

  • 6.1. Key Insights
  • 6.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 6.2.1. Cleaning agent
    • 6.2.2. Degreasing
    • 6.2.3. Refrigerants
    • 6.2.4. Centrifugal Chillers
    • 6.2.5. Insulation Foam Blowing Agents
    • 6.2.6. Other

Chapter 7. HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis, By End Use Industry

  • 7.1. Key Insights
  • 7.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 7.2.1. Food or beverage
    • 7.2.2. Mechanical
    • 7.2.3. Construction
    • 7.2.4. Electric and Electronics
    • 7.2.5. Heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC)
    • 7.2.6. Other

Chapter 8. HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis, By Region

  • 8.1. Key Insights
  • 8.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 8.2.1. North America
      • 8.2.1.1. The U.S.
      • 8.2.1.2. Canada
      • 8.2.1.3. Mexico
    • 8.2.2. Europe
      • 8.2.2.1. Western Europe
        • 8.2.2.1.1. The UK
        • 8.2.2.1.2. Germany
        • 8.2.2.1.3. France
        • 8.2.2.1.4. Italy
        • 8.2.2.1.5. Spain
        • 8.2.2.1.6. Rest of Western Europe
      • 8.2.2.2. Eastern Europe
        • 8.2.2.2.1. Poland
        • 8.2.2.2.2. Russia
        • 8.2.2.2.3. Rest of Eastern Europe
    • 8.2.3. Asia Pacific
      • 8.2.3.1. China
      • 8.2.3.2. India
      • 8.2.3.3. Japan
      • 8.2.3.4. Australia & New Zealand
      • 8.2.3.5. South East Asia
        • 8.2.3.5.1. Indonesia
        • 8.2.3.5.2. Thailand
        • 8.2.3.5.3. Philippines
        • 8.2.3.5.4. Vietnam
        • 8.2.3.5.5. Singapore
        • 8.2.3.5.6. Rest of SEA
      • 8.2.3.6. Rest of Asia Pacific
    • 8.2.4. Middle East & Africa
      • 8.2.4.1. UAE
      • 8.2.4.2. Saudi Arabia
      • 8.2.4.3. South Africa
      • 8.2.4.4. Rest of MEA
    • 8.2.5. South America
      • 8.2.5.1. Argentina
      • 8.2.5.2. Brazil
      • 8.2.5.3. Rest of South America

Chapter 9. North America HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 9.1. Key Insights
  • 9.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 9.2.1. By Product form
    • 9.2.2. By Application
    • 9.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 9.2.4. By Country

Chapter 10. Europe HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 10.1. Key Insights
  • 10.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 10.2.1. By Product form
    • 10.2.2. By Application
    • 10.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 10.2.4. By Country

Chapter 11. Asia Pacific HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 11.1. Key Insights
  • 11.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 11.2.1. By Product form
    • 11.2.2. By Application
    • 11.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 11.2.4. By Country

Chapter 12. South East Asia (SEA) HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 12.1. Key Insights
  • 12.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 12.2.1. By Product form
    • 12.2.2. By Application
    • 12.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 12.2.4. By Country

Chapter 13. Middle East and Africa HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 13.1. Key Insights
  • 13.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 13.2.1. By Product form
    • 13.2.2. By Application
    • 13.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 13.2.4. By Country

Chapter 14. South America HCFO-1233zd Market Analysis

  • 14.1. Key Insights
  • 14.2. Market Size and Forecast, 2020 - 2035 (US$ Mn and Tons)
    • 14.2.1. By Product form
    • 14.2.2. By Application
    • 14.2.3. By End Use Industry
    • 14.2.4. By Country

Chapter 15.Company Profile (Company Overview, Financial Matrix, Key Product landscape, Key Personnel, Key Competitors, Contact Address, and Business Strategy Outlook) *

  • 15.1. Arkema S.A.
  • 15.2. Beijing Yuji Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
  • 15.3. Central Glass Co., Ltd
  • 15.4. Chemours Company
  • 15.5. Danfoss
  • 15.6. GAB Neumann
  • 15.7. Honeywell International
  • 15.8. Kirloskar Chillers Private Ltd.
  • 15.9. Navin Fluorine
  • 15.10. Solvay
  • 15.11. Other prominent Key Players