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市场调查报告书
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全球陆域风力发电机市场 - 2023-2030Global Onshore Wind Turbine Market - 2023-2030 |
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2022年,全球陆域风力发电机市场规模达519亿美元,预计2030年将达726亿美元,2023-2030年预测期间复合年增长率为4.9%。
陆上风力涡轮机市场预计将受到风能需求不断增长和雄心勃勃的可再生能源目标的推动。根据IEA的数据,2022年,风力发电量激增265太瓦时,增幅14%,达到2,100太瓦时以上。需求激增引发了大幅扩张的需求,随着风能产业不断发展以应对这些挑战,陆上风力涡轮机将成倍增加,支持风力发电能力的显着扩张,并为永续能源的未来做出贡献。
此外,需求的激增引发了大幅扩张的需求,因为「2050年净零排放情境」的目标是到2030年风力发电量达到约7,400太瓦时,需要平均年发电成长率约为17%。成长轨迹要求每年新增装置容量从 2022 年的 75 吉瓦增加到 2030 年的 350 吉瓦。陆上风力涡轮机预计将迎头赶上,透过技术创新推动这一扩张,并有可能吸引新参与者进入市场,投资製造能力并与政策制定者和私营部门合作克服挑战。
亚太地区拥有陆上风力涡轮机的最大份额,特别是在中国在风电装置容量增加方面发挥主导作用的推动下。 IEA 的数据显示,2022 年,中国新增风电装置容量达 37 吉瓦,遥遥领先。这项显着成长符合中国对再生能源发展的承诺,2022 年公布的《再生能源「十四五」规划》中设定的雄心勃勃的目标就证明了这一点。这些目标将在未来几年推动全国风电的进一步发展。 。
陆上风力发电机市场预计将随着全球风能产业的快速扩张而受到推动。例如,根据 GWEC 报告,风力涡轮机原始设备製造商创下了新的安装记录。儘管面临 COVID-19 大流行和外部成本增加的挑战,2022 年,30 家风力涡轮机製造商总共安装了 104.7 GW 的新增风电容量。
根据国际能源总署的报告,为应对能源危机,欧盟大幅加快了风电部署工作。 2022年,欧盟新增风电容量13吉瓦。此外,美国也表明了对风电的承诺,在2022 年推出的《通膨削减法案》(IRA) 中纳入了对风能的慷慨资助。2022 年,风电总装置容量达到900 吉瓦,其中93% 归因于风电装置容量。陆域风力系统。装置容量的主导地位凸显了陆上风电技术的成熟和广泛采用。
陆上风力涡轮机市场预计将受到政府风能扩张政策和措施的推动。中国在再生能源「十四五」规划中设定了雄心勃勃的目标,目标是到2025年33%的发电量来自再生能源。其中包括18%的风能和太阳能技术目标。 2022年8月,美国联邦政府推出IRA,为未来十年的再生能源提供重要支援。这些支持以税收抵免和其他措施的形式提供,为陆上风力涡轮机和再生能源项目培育一个更有利的市场。
此外,陆上风能是一项成熟的技术,在全球范围内都有应用。目前它在全球 115 个国家/地区运营。作为 REPowerEU 计画的一部分,欧盟委员会提议将欧盟 2030 年再生能源目标提高至 45%。此外,2023年2月宣布的《绿色新政产业计画》旨在促进包括风电在内的清洁能源技术製造。
此外,印度在2021 年11 月的COP26 期间宣布了雄心勃勃的目标。这些目标包括到2030 年实现500 GW 的非化石能源总装置容量和50% 的可再生能源发电份额(是2020 年22% 份额的两倍多)。印度对再生能源扩张的承诺为陆上风力涡轮机的营运和发展提供了有利的市场。
由于成本上升,特别是在关键矿物和大宗商品价格上涨的推动下,陆上风力涡轮机市场面临重大挑战。上述期间这七种关键金属的平均价格涨幅达到惊人的 93%。如此大幅的价格上涨直接导致风力涡轮机的製造成本更高。
更高的製造成本直接影响风电开发商对部署专案的投标。随着涡轮机生产成本的上升,开发商可能需要对再生能源专案提交更高的投标。它可能会影响风能在更广泛的能源市场中的竞争力。德国等一些欧洲政府透过提高再生能源拍卖的最高价格来应对这些成本挑战。这项政策变化旨在帮助风电开发商在製造成本不断上升的情况下保持竞争力。
Global Onshore Wind Turbine Market reached US$ 51.9 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 72.6 billion by 2030, growing with a CAGR of 4.9% during the forecast period 2023-2030.
The onshore wind turbine market is expected to be driven by the growing demand for wind energy and ambitious renewable energy targets. According to IEA, in 2022, wind electricity generation surged by a remarkable 265 TWh, marking a 14% increase and reaching over 2,100 TWh. The surge in demand has sparked the need for substantial expansion, as the wind energy sector evolves to meet these challenges, Onshore Wind turbines are set to multiply, supporting the remarkable expansion of wind electricity generation capacity and contributing to a sustainable energy future.
Furthermore, the surge in demand has sparked the need for substantial expansion, as the Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario aims for around 7,400 TWh of wind electricity generation by 2030, necessitating an average annual generation growth rate of approximately 17%. The growth trajectory demands an increase in annual capacity additions from 75 GW in 2022 to a substantial 350 GW in 2030. onshore wind turbines are expected to rise to the occasion, fueling this expansion by innovating in technology, potentially attracting new players to the market, investing in manufacturing capabilities and collaborating with policymakers and private sectors to overcome challenges.
Asia-Pacific holds the largest share of onshore wind turbines particularly driven by China's dominant role in wind capacity additions. According to IEA, 2022, China led the way by adding an impressive 37 GW of wind capacity. The remarkable growth aligns with China's commitment to renewable energy development, as demonstrated by the ambitious targets set in the 14th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy announced in 2022. The targets are poised to fuel further wind deployment across the country in the years to come.
The onshore wind turbine market is expected to be driven with the rapid expansion of the global wind energy industry. For instance, according to the GWEC report, wind turbine OEMs has set new records for installations. In 2022, 30 wind turbine manufacturers collectively installed 104.7 GW of new wind power capacity, despite challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic and increasing external costs.
As per the IEA report, the European Union has significantly accelerated its wind deployment efforts in response to the energy crisis. In 2022, the EU added 13 GW of wind power capacity. Also, U.S. has shown commitment to wind power by including generous funding for wind energy in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) introduced in 2022. In 2022, the total installed wind capacity reached 900 GW, with a substantial 93% of this capacity attributed to onshore wind systems. The dominance in installed capacity highlights the maturity and widespread adoption of onshore wind technology.
The onshore wind turbine market is expected to be driven by government policies and initiatives for wind energy expansion. China has set ambitious targets in its 14th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy, aiming for 33% of electricity generation to come from renewables by 2025. It includes an 18% target for wind and solar technologies. In August 2022, U.S. federal government introduced the IRA, which provides significant support for renewable energy over the next decade. The support comes in the form of tax credits and other measures, fostering a more conducive market for onshore wind turbine and renewable energy projects.
Furthermore, onshore wind energy is a well-established technology with a global presence. It is currently operational in a remarkable 115 countries globally. The European Commission has proposed increasing the EU's renewable energy target for 2030 to 45% as part of the REPowerEU Plan. Also, the Green Deal Industrial Plan, announced in February 2023, aims to boost clean energy technology manufacturing, including wind power.
Moreover, India announced ambitious targets during COP26 in November 2021. Thee targets include achieving 500 GW of total non-fossil power capacity by 2030 and a 50% share of renewable electricity generation (more than double the 22% share in 2020). India's commitment to renewable energy expansion provides a conducive market for onshore wind turbine to operate and grow.
The onshore wind turbine market is facing significant challenges due to rising costs, particularly driven by increases in the prices of critical minerals and commodities. The average price increase across these seven critical metals during the mentioned period is a staggering 93%. Such significant price hikes directly translate into higher manufacturing costs for wind turbines.
Higher manufacturing costs are directly affecting wind developers' bids for deployment projects. As the cost of turbine production rises, developers may need to submit higher bids for renewable energy projects. It could potentially impact the competitiveness of wind energy in the broader energy market. Some European governments, such as Germany, have responded to these cost challenges by increasing ceiling prices for renewable energy auctions. The policy change is aimed at helping wind developers remain competitive despite the rising manufacturing costs.
The global onshore wind turbine market is segmented based on size, capacity, axis, technology and region.
Electrically Excited Synchronous Generator (EESG) holds a major segment in the onshore wind turbine market with its major application in wind turbine systems. While it offers advantages, such as increased electrical torque control, it also presents challenges, including a more complex control system compared to Permanent-Magnet Synchronous Generators (PMSG). EESG is particularly beneficial in addressing wind turbine mechanical resonance issues.
Ongoing research and development efforts have improved the efficiency and reliability of EESG systems. The continuous innovation has contributed to the growing adoption of EESG in onshore wind turbines. Research and analysis have focused on understanding the rotor speed resonant phenomenon and developing effective damping torque characteristics. It ensures stable and efficient operation, making EESG a significant player in the onshore wind turbine market.
Asia-Pacific is expected to hold the largest share due to increasing policy support for wind power, especially in major markets like China and India. According to IEA, China's government has demonstrated a strong commitment to renewable energy. In June 2022, China published its 14th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy, outlining its goals. One of the key targets is to have 33% of electricity generation come from renewables by 2025. It represents a significant increase from approximately 29% in 2021. Within this target, there's a specific focus on wind and solar technologies, aiming to achieve an 18% share.
According to the GWEC report, China continued to lead in wind capacity additions, in terms of wind turbine suppliers, Vestas Wind Systems maintained its leading position globally, accounting for 17.7% of new installations, followed by Chinese company Goldwind with 11.8%, Siemens Gamesa with 9.7%, Envision with 8.65% and GE Renewable Energy with 8.55%. Vestas Wind Systems and Siemens Gamesa exhibited record years with significant geographic diversification, delivering to 37 and 32 countries, respectively. Wind turbine rating and rotor diameter trends also continued upward, with an average rated capacity surpassing 3,500 kW, primarily driven by the adoption of larger onshore turbines in China as its onshore wind market achieved grid parity.
The major global players in the market include: Vestas Wind Systems, Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, GE Renewable Energy, Goldwind, Nordex Group, Enercon GmbH, Suzlon Energy Ltd., Envision Energy, Senvion GmbH and Ming Yang Smart Energy Group.
COVID-19 pandemic has had several short-term impacts on the onshore wind turbine market. The pandemic led to an economic downturn, which, in turn, impacted the power prices in 2020 and 2021. The short-term power prices showed negative impacts, with forecasts indicating lower wholesale electricity prices. The downturn in power prices can affect the economics of investments in green technologies, including onshore wind turbines.
During the pandemic, there was a reduction in energy demand due to economic slowdowns and lockdowns. The reduction in energy demand temporarily affected the supply and demand dynamics in the energy sector. Long-term forecasts indicate a continued shift from fossil fuels to renewable energy generation, with wind energy, both onshore and offshore, playing a significant role. Investments in clean and sustainable technologies are expected to persist, even in the face of short-term economic challenges caused by the pandemic.
The Russia-Ukraine war made an impact on the onshore wind turbine market, since Russia invaded Ukraine in February of the previous year, England has seen minimal progress in the installation of onshore wind turbines. Only two turbines generating 1 megawatt of electricity were installed in England during this period. In contrast, Ukraine has made significant strides in onshore wind energy, with the Tyligulska wind power plant becoming operational despite its proximity to the conflict zone, boasting 19 turbines with an installed capacity of 114MW.
The UK government had promised to ease restrictions on onshore windfarms in England, but as of the provided content's date, no substantial changes had been made to the framework. The lack of progress has been attributed to potential resistance from backbench Tory MPs, which has hindered the expansion of onshore wind energy in England. The Russia-Ukraine conflict triggered a surge in global energy markets, leading to higher energy prices. It surge in energy prices contributed to ongoing high energy bills for British households. As a result, European countries sought alternative energy sources to reduce dependence on Russia's gas exports.
The global onshore wind turbine market report would provide approximately 69 tables, 65 figures and 204 Pages.
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