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全球可折迭飞机机翼市场 - 2023-2030Global Collapsible Aircraft Wings Market - 2023-2030 |
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全球可折迭飞机机翼市场在2022年达到25亿美元,预计到2030年将达到47亿美元,2023-2030年预测期间CAGR为8.2%。
下一代舰载海军战斗机的持续开发可能为全球市场的成长提供动力。印度目前正在开发双引擎甲板战斗机(TEDBF),而中国目前正在测试其 J-31 第五代战斗机的海军改型。
非洲军队越来越多地部署小型无人机用于战斗和反叛乱行动,预计将进一步增加可折迭机翼的需求。无人机已成为打击萨赫勒和东非圣战叛乱和分离主义民兵的重要工具。预计该地区在预测期内将对可折迭飞机机翼产生大量售后市场需求。
大规模无人机战已成为近期衝突的标誌,包括俄罗斯与乌克兰的战争、以色列与哈马斯的战争以及许多其他低强度衝突。在所有这些衝突中,交战双方都使用了大量不同的无人机来瞄准步兵、装甲车和炮兵设施。
无人机也被用于战场监视和侦察。无人机战争的广泛规模甚至导致一些长期存在的战场战术被淘汰。在战场上获得的经验对于俄罗斯和乌克兰为战争开发新型无人机都发挥了重要作用。
製造商特别专注于开发具有紧凑外形和可折迭机翼的无人机,使它们能够在背包中轻鬆运输。一些製造商也正在研究自主无人机群的开发,以便在步兵前进之前压倒敌人的防御。随着无人机变得越来越创新,在预测期内对可折迭机翼的需求可能会增加。
斯德哥尔摩国际和平研究所(SIPRI)的资料显示,全球军事支出正在激增。资料显示,2013年至2022年的十年间,全球国防开支增加了19%以上。此外,2023年全球国防开支较上年实际成长3.7%,达2.24万美元。俄罗斯和乌克兰的战争导致军事开支激增,尤其是欧洲国家的军事开支。
国防支出的很大一部分是新武器系统的资本支出。为了获得相对于对手的优势,各国军队增加了战斗无人机的引进,中国、印度和美国等世界大国正在透过扩大舰载机机队来加强其海军航空能力。国防开支的增加将导致各武器製造商对可折迭飞机机翼的需求进一步增加。
新飞机的开发是一个繁琐而复杂的过程,从概念到生产投入平均需要十年时间。此外,它还需要在设计、开发和测试成本方面花费数十亿美元的资本支出。高成本和长项目工期是全球市场成长的主要障碍。
很多时候,由于技术和其他原因,专案会被推迟,进一步延长时间。对于军用飞机来说,始终存在着因预算削减或成本超支而导致专案取消的风险。可折迭机翼的发展和长期需求取决于新飞机的推出。飞机开发週期长会给零件供应商带来不确定性,并可能对整体市场成长造成限制。
Global Collapsible Aircraft Wings Market reached US$ 2.5 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 4.7 billion by 2030, growing with a CAGR of 8.2% during the forecast period 2023-2030.
The ongoing development of the next generation of carrier-based naval fighter jets is likely to provide impetus for the growth of the global market. India is currently developing the twin-engine deck-based fighter (TEDBF), whereas China is currently testing a naval variant of its J-31 fifth generation fighter jet.
The increasing deployment of smaller drones for combat and anti-insurgency operations by African armies is expected to further increase demand for collapsible aircraft wings. Drones have become instrumental for fighting jihadist insurgencies and separatist's militia in Sahel and eastern Africa. The region is expected to generate major aftermarket demand for collapsible aircraft wings during the forecast period.
Large-scale drone warfare has become a signature of recent conflicts, including the Russia-Ukraine war, Israel-Hamas war and many other low-intensity conflicts. In all these conflicts, both the warring sides have resorted to using a slew of different UAVs for targeting infantry, armored vehicles and artillery installations.
Drones are also being used for battlefield surveillance and reconnaissance. The extensive scale of drone warfare has even led to the obsolescence of some longstanding battlefields tactics. The experience gained on the battlefield has been instrumental for both Russia and Ukraine as they develop new types of drones for the war effort.
Manufacturers are particularly focused on developing drones with compact form factor and collapsible wings, thus enabling their easy transportation in backpacks. Some manufacturers are also researching the development of autonomous drone swarms to overwhelm enemy defenses before infantry advancement. As drone become ever-more innovative the demand for collapsible wings is likely to increase during the forecast period.
Global military spending is surging, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). The data indicates that global defence spending has grown by over 19% in the decade from 2013-2022. Furthermore, global defence spending grew by 3.7% in real terms in 2023 over the previous year, to reach US$ 2,240 billion. The Russia-Ukraine war has led to a surge in military spending, especially among European nations.
A significant portion of the defense spending is capital expenditure on new weapon systems. To gain an edge over adversaries, militaries have increased the induction of combat drones and world powers such as China, India and U.S. are strengthening their naval aviation capabilities by expanding their fleet of carrier-based aircraft. The increase in defence spending will lead to further augmentation in demand for collapsible aircraft wings from various weapons manufacturers.
New aircraft development is a tedious and complex process, taking an average of a decade to go from conception to production roll out. Furthermore, it requires billions of US$ worth of capital expenditure in design, development and testing costs. The high costs and long project timelines present a key impediment to global market growth.
Many a times, due to technical and other reasons, the projects get delayed, further lengthening the timelines. For military aircrafts there is always the risk of project cancellation due to budget cuts or cost overruns. The development and long term demand for collapsible wings hinges on the roll out of new aircraft. Long lead times for aircraft development create uncertainty in component suppliers and might create restrictions for overall market growth.
The global collapsible aircraft wings market is segmented based on type, material, application, end-user and region.
Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are expected to garner the largest market share due the ongoing developments in UAVs and naval fighter jets. Aircrafts operating from the deck of aircraft carriers are required to have collapsible wings in order to fit into elevators and storage spaces. With countries such as China and India stepping up the development of their indigenous naval fighter aircraft, it will create renewed OEM demand for collapsible aircraft wings.
The rising usage of drones in everyday civilian life will also contribute massively to the growth in demand from OEMs. Manufacturers are rolling out specialized drones for aerial photography, land surveying and even cargo transportation. As specialized application drones proliferate, the corresponding demand for collapsible wings is likely to increase over the coming years.
North America is expected to have the highest share within the global market mainly due to the various new aircrafts of U.S. manufacturers. For instance, Boeing is currently developing the 777x a widebody commercial passenger aircraft with collapsible wings. Although the roll out was delayed by the COVID-19 pandemic, the company expects to commence customer deliveries by early 2025.
Collapsible wings aircraft are also finding increasing applications in the military domain. For example, Lockheed Martin Corporation, a major weapons and aerospace contractor, has developed the F-35C, a naval version of its F-35 Lightning II with foldable wings designed for use on aircraft carriers. The U.S. Navy has ordered nearly 350 F-35C and deliveries are expected to continue till 2035.
The ongoing development of future platforms will also continue to generate stable, long-term demand for collapsible aircraft wings. For example, in November 2023, PteroDynamics, a U.S. manufacturer of VTOL aircraft, successfully completed a demonstration flight of the Transwing X-P4 autonomous naval drone for U.S. Navy.
The COVID-19 pandemic created many unexpected challenges for the global aeronautical industry. The pandemic led to a virtual halt to international air travel led to drying up of new aircraft orders. Therefore, major manufacturers such as Boeing were forced to push back the roll out of new aircraft models. Subcontractors and aerospace component manufacturers were also affected since it led to a downturn in demand for collapsible wing components.
The military applications for collapsible wings witnessed relatively less disruptions as funding and R&D work across all major countries continued unabated during the pandemic due to national security reasons. The post-pandemic period ushered in Russia's invasion of Ukraine, leading to a major increase in defense spending of global military powers. A surge in defense spending is likely to augur well for the future growth of the global collapsible aircraft wings market.
The Russia-Ukraine war will exert major influence on the future development of the global collapsible aircraft wings market. The hallmark of the ongoing war has been new innovation in drone warfare, with small commercial drones with collapsible wings being retrofitted to carry out explosive munitions attack on enemy positions. Ad-hoc innovations on the battlefield will influence military applications for collapsible aircraft wings over the coming years.
Russia has shifted its entire economy to a war production and is churning out new types of attack drones based on battlefield experience. Despite the harsh economic sanctions imposed on Russia for the war, it is utilizing grey market imports to source important imports. The Russian defense industry demand for collapsible wings is predicted to rise severalfold over the short and medium term.
The major global players in the market include: DJI, Baykar Tech, Airbus, Embraer, Boeing, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Dassault Aviation, Russian Helicopters, Bell Textron Inc. and Northrop Grumman.
The global collapsible aircraft wings market report would provide approximately 60 tables, 58 figures and 195 Pages.
LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE.