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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1446868
全球氨裂解催化剂市场Global Ammonia Cracking Catalysts Market |
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概述
2022年全球氨裂解催化剂市场规模达680万美元,预计到2030年将达到1.366亿美元,2023-2030年预测期间CAGR为45.5%。
对商业和工业冷却解决方案不断增长的需求,特别是在快速工业化国家,将推动预测期内对氨裂解催化剂的需求。氨是现代工业製冷系统最常用的冷媒之一。
全球氨裂解催化剂市场的长期成长潜力因大多数氨生产厂的商业获利能力下降而受到阻碍。鑑于大多数新规划项目不可行,新投产的合成氨产能极少。如果不解决产业内部的获利危机,市场就不可能实现稳定的长期成长。
动力学
越来越多地采用氢作为燃料来源
儘管过去几年全球出现了脱碳趋势,但化石燃料仍然是主要能源。然而,随着太阳能、风能等完全绿色能源的发展以及交通电气化的发展,对中间燃料源的需求也随之增加。因此,各国政府越来越倾向于利用氢气作为车辆和能源生产的燃料来源。
国际能源机构 (IEA) 估计,到 2022 年,全球氢需求将增加至 9,400 万吨,为了跟上不断增长的需求,到 2050 年,新的生产和储存系统需要近 1.2 兆美元的投资。随着技术的进步,氨仍然是大规模生产氢气的唯一商业上可行的方法。
日益重视粮食安全
全球人口的快速成长使改善粮食安全的需求成为人们关注的焦点,特别是在人口成长最快的发展中国家和不发达国家。联合国估计,2022年全球人口约80亿,自2010年以来增加了近10亿。全球农业部门也面临极端天气事件增加、沙漠化等挑战。
全球氨产量的 70% 以上用于製造溶液或盐形式的化学肥料。儘管趋势更强调有机农业,但化肥仍然是无需资本密集方法即可大幅提高农业生产的最经济方法。
商业催化剂生产成本高
儘管对氢气的需求不断增长,但市场成长可能会受到各种特殊催化剂商业生产的高成本的限制。镍(Ni)基催化剂正逐渐被废弃,主要是由于其成本高且容易积碳。铁 (Fe) 基催化剂由于其使用寿命长而越来越受到青睐。
然而,铁(Fe)基催化剂的大规模采用仍受到产量有限的限制。在新产能投产之前,铁基催化剂仍将是氨商业化生产氢气和氮气的首选。
Overview
Global Ammonia Cracking Catalysts Market reached US$ 6.8 million in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 136.6 million by 2030, growing with a CAGR of 45.5% during the forecast period 2023-2030.
The growing demand for commercial and industrial cooling solutions, especially in rapidly industrializing countries, will propel the demand for ammonia cracking catalysts during the forecast period. Ammonia is one of the most used refrigerants for modern industrial refrigeration systems.
The long term growth potential for the global ammonia cracking catalysts market is hobbled by the declining commercial profitability of most ammonia production plants. Given the unviability of most new planned projects, very few new ammonia production capacity has come online. Without resolving the profitability crisis within the industry, the market is unlikely to have stable long term growth.
Dynamics
Increasing Adoption of Hydrogen as a Fuel Source
Although there has been a global trend towards decarbonization over the past few years, fossil fuels still remain the primary energy sources. However, along with developing completely green energy sources such as solar and wind power as well moving towards electrification of transportation, there has arisen a need for an intermediate fuel source. Therefore, governments are increasingly moving towards the utilization of hydrogen as a fuel source for vehicles and for energy production.
The international energy agency (IEA) estimated that global hydrogen demand increased to 94 million tonnes in 2022 and to keep pace with increasing demand nearly US$ 1.2 trillion of investment is required in new production and storage systems by 2050. Although green hydrogen has been making advances, ammonia remains the only commercially viable method for mass production of hydrogen.
Increasing Emphasis on Food Security
A rapid growth in the global population has sharply put into focus the need for improved food security, especially in developing and underdeveloped nations, where the population growth is the highest. The United Nations (UN) has estimated the global population at around 8.0 billion in 2o22, representing an increase of nearly 1 billion since 2010. The global agricultural sector is also experiencing challenges such as the rise of extreme weather events and desertification.
More than 70% of global ammonia production is used for making chemical fertilizers in the form of solutions or salts. Despite trends placing greater emphasis on organic farming, chemical fertilizers remain the most economical method of vastly improving agricultural production without the need for capital intensive methods.
High Cost of Commercial Catalyst Production
Despite growing demand for hydrogen, the market growth is likely to be constrained by the high cost of commercial production of various special catalysts. Nickel (Ni)-based catalysts are gradually being abandoned, mainly due to their high costs and susceptibility to carbon fouling. Iron (Fe)-based catalysts are being increasingly preferred due to their longevity.
However, the mass adoption of Iron (Fe)-based catalysts is still constrained by limited production. Until new production capacity comes online, Fe-based catalysts will continue to remain the preferred choice for commercial production of hydrogen and nitrogen from ammonia.
The global ammonia cracking catalysts market is segmented based on type, application and region.
Nickel (Ni)-based Catalysts Continue to Account for a Significant Market Share
Although precious metal catalysts such as those derived from ruthenium and cobalt are more effective in cracking ammonia between 350 °C and 500 °C, nickel-based catalysts are mostly preferred since they are more economical, thus making commercial production more feasible. However, research is gradually moving towards developing and commercializing new catalysts.
For instance, a new series of imide-based catalysts are currently under study, which can 400 °C to 550 °C. Imide-based catalysts also behave atypically as compared to other traditional catalysts and scientists hope to utilize it for mass producing hydrogen for fuel cell-based transportation solutions. Over the forecast period, nickel-based catalysts are likely to lose their market share.
With Numerous New Hydrogen Projects, North America Gains Highest Share
North America is forecasted to have the highest share within the global ammonia cracking catalysts market since it has the some of the largest commercial hydrogen production projects currently under construction. It is part of an overarching aim of the U.S. government to ensure long term energy independence. According to the U.S. government's energy information administration (EIA), the country produces more than 10 million tonnes of hydrogen annually.
The U.S. government has increased capital investments in to spur hydrogen production. For instance, in October 2023, the government allocated US$ 7 billion for the development of seven new hydrogen production and storage hubs across the country. The government hopes that capital spending will eventually lead to an increase in private sector investment, thus propelling the growth of hydrogen production.
An unexpected challenge for the global ammonia cracking catalysts market emerged during the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic with a crash in global crude oil prices. As demand from aviation and road transportation sector fell dramatically, it led to a collapse in global crude oil prices. Such a crash temporarily rendered hydrogen uncompetitive, thereby reducing demand for ammonia cracking catalysts.
The economic uncertainty during the course of the pandemic also created many problems for companies looking to enter into hydrogen production. It led to the delay or outright cancellation of various projects. The overall situation has markedly improved in the post-pandemic period and the industry is witnessing a growth in new investments.
The Russia-Ukraine war has led to near irreversible changes to the energy landscape of Europe. Although the short-term volatility in global energy markets caused by the war has eased, it created major disruptions in natural gas supplies to Europe. European nations have used the crisis to sever their dependence on Russian energy imports.
Such a policy will have major future implications for the ammonia cracking catalyst market. Many countries in the European Union (EU) are racing to build new hydrogen production and storage infrastructure. In Russia, western sanctions have led to an exodus of capital and technology in the sector, drastically reducing demand for ammonia cracking catalysts.
The major global players in the market include Johnson Matthey, Clariant, Heraeus Group, Dorf Ketal, Acta S.p.A, Topsoe, Casale SA, UNICAT Catalyst Technologies, Granus LLC and Shandong Avant New Material Technology Co., Ltd.
The global ammonia cracking catalysts market report would provide approximately 50 tables, 43 figures and 181 Pages.
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