市场调查报告书
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1542968
全球齿轮油市场 - 2024-2031Global Gear Oil Market - 2024-2031 |
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报告概述
2023年,全球齿轮油市场规模为1,401万美元,预计到2031年将达到1,698万美元,在预测期内(2024-2031年)复合年增长率为2.43%。
齿轮油是用于齿轮(齿轮箱)的润滑剂,可减少齿轮齿面的摩擦和磨损,带走运转齿轮产生的热量,保护齿轮零件免受腐蚀。虽然齿轮油最常见于汽车变速箱,但它设计用于几乎任何有变速箱的地方。由于变速箱的各种材料和环境差异很大,因此它们需要多种品质。
由于齿轮在相互运转时会产生大量热量和摩擦,因此几乎总是需要油来防止齿轮之间的磨损损坏,最终导致系统故障。市面上大部分的齿轮油都是为汽车设计的,特别是手排变速箱。它们通常被称为“通用”齿轮油,虽然它们可用于工业过程,但它们经常含有可能损害机器的添加剂。另一方面,专用齿轮油专为工业流程而设计,包含添加剂和防护化学品的独特组合。
矿物齿轮油合成技术的持续改进可能会进一步推动该产业的发展。最近,汽车需求急剧增长,特别是在亚太和拉丁美洲的发展中国家。预计这些因素将对齿轮油产业产生正面影响。
对高性能车辆的需求不断增长
齿轮油是汽车的重要组成部分,因为它是保持变速箱平稳运行的第一道防线。为了使引擎更清洁、更有效地运作来提高车辆的性能,车主应定期或至少按规定的时间间隔更换齿轮油。
齿轮油可改善传动系统性能,减少磨损并提高燃油效率。车主非常有兴趣透过频繁更换机油来升级他们的车辆,以体验更好的驾驶体验并节省汽油费用。预计将在整个预测期内推动全球齿轮油市场向前发展。
不断增长的汽车工业
汽车齿轮油市场与汽车销售密不可分。儘管近期经济存在不确定性,但全球汽车产业仍保持了充足的成长。与工业化经济体相比,预计新兴经济体将生产更多的汽车。预计该行业的扩张将主要受到轻型、乘用车和重型商用机动车辆需求不断增长的推动。
预计汽车销售和产量的增加将推动全球汽车齿轮油市场在预测期内向前发展。它可能与全球经济稳定以及城市化进程的加速有关。预计公路车队在预测期内将以适度的复合年增长率成长,这为汽车齿轮油市场提供了有限的成长机会。
自动变速箱系统的高成本和使用增加
齿轮油有几个缺点,包括成本高和缺乏溶解度。它们的溶解度较低,这意味着它们不会溶解添加剂或矿物对应物。此外,形成清漆的分解副产物很难悬浮在合成齿轮油中。自动变速箱系统使用量的增加正在抑製手排变速箱系统的成长,预计这将阻碍齿轮油产业的成长,因为齿轮油缺乏自动变速箱正常工作所需的添加剂。
细分市场分析
依最终用户划分,齿轮油市场分为发电、金属生产、采矿、建筑、石油和天然气、汽车等。
发电占最大份额
风力发电在全球迅速发展,风力发电机装置容量逐年增加。海上工业价格的下降透过引入欧洲、北美和亚太地区海上工业的投资,促进了风力发电市场的扩张,这可能会增加预测期内对齿轮油的需求。
在风力涡轮机中,齿轮油用于润滑主齿轮箱和辅助齿轮马达零件。这是由于发电过程中的高温、轴承磨损、腐蚀和氧化以及重负载造成的。由于合成油中使用了高性能添加剂,风力涡轮机对合成齿轮油的需求不断增长,因为它们的品质优于矿物基齿轮油。
市场地域占有率
亚太地区庞大的工业基础
预计亚太地区的齿轮油市场将是最大的。该地区重要的发展中国家,如中国、印度和东盟,推动了对齿轮油的需求。由于建筑和人口增长,用电量一直在增加。到 2022 年,印度预计将透过热电、水力发电、核电和再生能源项目在电力生产领域吸引大量投资。
该地区在这些关键领域正在经历强劲成长。例如,世界钢铁协会报告称,中国粗钢产量领先世界。 2020年,中国粗钢产量为10.648亿吨,较2019年成长约7%。到 2022 年底,新设施的建设将于 2023 年底开始并完成。
韩国新化学工业工厂的建设促进了该国化学工业的扩张。例如,韩国浦项製铁氢氧化锂工厂于2021年开工,该工厂的建设将于2023年底完工。 。
市场竞争格局
全球齿轮油市场主要公司包括荷兰皇家壳牌公司、埃克森美孚、英国石油公司、雪佛龙公司、道达尔公司、中国石油天然气有限公司、中国石化股份有限公司、福克斯石油公司、卢克石油公司和出光兴产株式会社。
COVID-19 大流行的爆发对全球齿轮油市场产生了重大影响。 COVID-19 疫情减缓了几乎所有主要国家的经济成长,改变了消费者的消费习惯。根据国际货币基金组织 (IMF) 的数据,COVID-19 的经济影响导致多个国家的 GDP 成长下降,包括英国、德国、巴西、日本、美国、沙乌地阿拉伯、奈及利亚等。由于政府宣布采取严厉措施遏制冠状病毒,地区经济活动和国内生产总值下降,引发公众担忧,为齿轮油业务带来财务困难。
由于各地缺乏资金,一些风电工程仍未完工。风能产业也面临供应链风险、分包商和材料短缺以及为降低成本而解除合约等挑战,这些挑战在Covid-19相关的封锁限制期间限制了齿轮油市场的成长。例如,2020 年,密西根州、新泽西州、纽约州和宾州的风电计画工作被搁置。
俄罗斯-乌克兰战争影响
作为全球第二大石油生产国和天然气出口国,俄罗斯与乌克兰的战争对能源市场产生了重大影响。战争及随后发生的一系列事件透过商品市场、股票市场和贸易等多种途径对世界经济产生了负面影响。值得注意的是,能源产业受到的损害最为严重。
《美国石油与天然气杂誌》发布的资料显示,2021年全球石油产量为44.23亿吨,其中俄罗斯产量为5.34亿吨,占全球石油总产量的12%,是仅次于美国的全球第二大石油生产国。 2022年3月7日,WTI原油期货价格触及133.460美元/桶,布兰特原油期货价格触及139.130美元/桶,创2008年7月以来最高水准。
全球齿轮油市场报告将提供大约的资讯。 53个市场资料表,46张图表,180页。
2024 年目标受众
Report Overview
The Global Gear Oil Market size was worth US$ 14.01 million in 2023 and is estimated to reach US$ 16.98 million by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 2.43% during the forecast period (2024-2031).
Gear oil is a lubricant used in gears (gearboxes) to reduce friction and wear on the gear tooth surfaces, remove heat generated by the operating gear and protect the gear parts from corrosion. While gear oil is most commonly found in automotive transmissions, it is designed to be utilized almost anyplace a gearbox can be found. Because gearboxes' various materials and circumstances can vary quite a bit, they need a wide variety of qualities.
As gears generate a lot of heat and friction as they operate against each other, oil is almost always required to prevent abrasive damage between the gears, eventually leading to system failure. The bulk of gear oils on the market are designed for automobiles, specifically manual gearboxes. They are commonly referred to as "universal" gear oils and while they can be utilized in industrial processes, they frequently contain additives that might harm machines. On the other hand, Dedicated gear oils are designed exclusively for industrial processes and include a unique combination of additives and protective chemicals.
Ongoing improvements in synthetic technology over mineral-based gear oil are likely to propel the industry even further. Automobile demand has risen dramatically recently, particularly in Asia-Pacific and Latin America's developing countries. The factors are expected to impact the gear oil industry positively.
Rising demand for high-performance vehicles
Gear oil is a critical component of a car since it acts as the first line of defense in keeping the transmission running smoothly. To improve the performance of their vehicles by making the engine operate cleaner and more effectively, car owners should replace gear oil at regular intervals or at least at specified intervals.
Gear oil improves transmission system performance, reduces wear and tear and improves fuel efficiency. Vehicle owners are strongly interested in upgrading their vehicles with frequent oil changes to experience better driving and save money on gas. It is expected to propel the global gear oil market forward throughout the forecast period.
Growing automotive industry
The market for automobile gear oil is inextricably linked to vehicle sales. The global automotive industry has had sufficient growth despite the recent economic uncertainty. Emerging economies are predicted to produce more automobiles compared to industrialized economies. The sector's expansion is anticipated to be primarily fueled by rising demand for light, passenger and heavy-duty commercial motor vehicles.
Increasing automobile sales and production is expected to propel the global automotive gear oil market forward over the forecast period. It can be related to global economic stability as well as increased urbanization. The on-road fleet is predicted to grow at a modest CAGR over the forecast period, giving borderline chances for the automotive gear oil market to grow.
High costs and rising use of automatic transmission systems
Gear oils have several disadvantages, including high cost and a lack of solubility. They have low solubility, meaning they don't dissolve additives or mineral counterparts. In addition, varnish-forming breakdown byproducts are difficult to suspend in synthetic gear oils. The increased usage of automatic transmission systems is stifling the growth of manual transmission systems, which is predicted to hamper the growth of the gear oil industry because gear oils lack the additives needed for automated transmissions to work properly.
Market Segment Analysis
By end-user, the gear oil market is segmented into power generation, metal production, mining, construction, oil & gas, automotive and others.
Power generation to hold the lions' share
Wind energy generation is developing rapidly worldwide, with the installed capacity of wind turbines increasing every year. Reduced prices in the offshore industry have contributed to the expansion of the wind power generation market by bringing in investments in the offshore industries in Europe, North America and Asia-Pacific, which is likely to enhance gear oil demand over the forecast period.
In wind turbines, gear oils are used to lubricate the primary gearbox and auxiliary gear motor components. It is due to the high temperatures, bearing wear, corrosion & oxidation and the heavy loads involved in the power generation process. Due to the performance additives utilized during synthetic oils, there is a growing demand for synthetic gear oils in wind turbines owing to their superior qualities over their mineral-based counterparts.
Market Geographical Share
A huge industrial base in Asia-Pacific
The gear oil market in Asia-Pacific is predicted to be the largest. The need for gear oils is driven by the region's important developing countries, such as China, India and ASEAN. Electricity usage has increased throughout time due to construction and population growth. By 2022, India is expected to draw significant investment in the power production sector with thermal, hydro, nuclear and renewables projects.
The region is experiencing strong growth in these key sectors. For instance, the World Steel Association reports that China leads the world in crude steel production. China produced 1 064.8 Million Tons of crude steel in 2020, an increase of roughly 7 percent from 2019. Airbus and Tata Airplanes joined together in September 2021 to manufacture aircraft in India. By the end of 2022, construction on the new facility will start and finish by the end of 2023.
The expansion of the country's chemical industry is facilitated by the construction of new chemical industry factories in South Korea. For instance, work on the Posco lithium hydroxide factory in South Korea began in 2021. The building of this plant will be finished by the end of 2023. The development of a wind farm near Melbourne, Australia, received US$2.25 billion in funding from the Australian government in December 2021. A new coal mine was being built in Australia in 2019. In the upcoming years, the variables will increase demand for gear oil.
Market Competitive Landscape
Major global gear oil market companies include Royal Dutch Shell Plc., ExxonMobil Corporation, BP PLC, Chevron Corporation, Total S.A., PetroChina Company Limited, Sinopec Limited, Fuchs Petrolub SE, Lukoil and Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd.
The COVID-19 pandemic outbreak has considerably impacted the global market for gear oil. The COVID-19 epidemic slowed economic growth in almost all major nations, changing consumer spending habits. The economic effects of COVID-19, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), led to a drop in GDP growth in several nations, including UK, Germany, Brazil, Japan, U.S., Saudi Arabia, Nigeria and more. Due to the government's announcement of stringent measures to stop the coronavirus, regional economic activity and GDP decreased, raising public worry and creating financial difficulty for the gear oil business.
Due to various regions' lack of finance, several wind energy projects were still unfinished. The wind energy sector also faced challenges such as supply chain risks, shortages of subcontractors and materials and contract dismissals to reduce costs, which restrained the growth of the gear oil market during Covid-19-related lockdown restrictions. For instance, in 2020, work on wind projects was put on hold in Michigan, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania.
Russia-Ukraine War Impact
As the world's second-largest oil producer and natural gas exporter, Russia's war with Ukraine has had a significant influence on the energy market. The war and the subsequent chain of events have had a negative influence on the world economy via a variety of avenues, including the commodity market, stock market and trade. Notably, the energy sector has been the hardest damaged.
According to data released by the American Oil and Gas Journal, global oil production in 2021 was 4.423 billion tons, with Russia accounting for 534 million tons or 12% of total global oil production, making it the world's second-largest oil producer after U.S. The outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war and the accompanying U.S. energy sanctions imposed on Russia have resulted in a considerable increase in crude oil prices. On March 7, 2022, the WTI crude oil futures price reached US$ 133.460/barrel, while the Brent crude oil futures price hit US$ 139.130/barrel, the highest since July 2008.
The global gear oil market report would provide access to an approx. 53 market data tables, 46 figures and 180 pages.
Target Audience 2024