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全球目标无人机市场 - 2024-2031Global Target Drone Market - 2024-2031 |
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概述
2023年全球目标无人机市场规模达44.7亿美元,预计2031年将达到76.9亿美元,2024-2031年预测期间复合年增长率为7.02%。
目标无人机是在国防和民用领域用作训练目标的无人机 (UAV)。在军事训练、国防应用和研发活动需求增加的推动下,目标无人机市场正经历显着成长。随着军队和国防承包商投资更先进的训练和模拟技术,该市场预计将成长。
此外,在目标无人机中越来越多地使用人工智慧和自主系统将增强它们的能力,使它们能够更有效地模拟现实世界的威胁。例如,波音公司的Insitu 正在利用人工智慧和边缘处理来实现先进的ISR 功能,而波音公司的空中力量组队系统(ATS) 和美国空军的Skyborg 计划则体现了与Kratos 的Valkyrie 等半自主无人机的有人与无人驾驶团队合作。
由于市场主要参与者对国防系统技术和经济运动的大量投资,亚太地区的目标无人机正在经历强劲成长。此外,中国、印度和日本等国家透过使用目标无人机刺激了对先进训练系统的需求。例如,斯德哥尔摩国际和平研究所 (SIPRI) 2023 年报告称,中国政府在国防领域花费了超过 2,900 亿美元,其中包括无人机的进步。同样,印度政府的措施包括
动力学
目标无人机在平民安全的应用不断增加
目标无人机在防空系统测试和校准等民用领域的应用不断增加。随着中国和印度等新兴经济体国防开支的增加,这些地区正成为目标无人机利润丰厚的市场。例如,印度在 2023 年为其国防预算拨款 670 亿美元,其中很大一部分旨在升级其无人机能力,包括用于训练目的的目标无人机。
同样,俄罗斯正在大力投资无人机技术,特别是与乌兹别克合作。俄罗斯与乌兹别克联合投资项目总额约600亿美元,计划在乌兹别克建立民用无人机生产基地,体现了俄罗斯加强无人机能力的战略重点。
联合军演趋势增强
国家间联合军事演习的日益增长也刺激了需求。演习很大程度上依靠靶机模拟空战,提高了参演部队的战备水准。例如,作为价值 31 亿美元的 31 架 MQ-9B「掠夺者」无人机交易的一部分,美国提议向印度提供开发先进无人机 (UAV) 的咨询服务。
该市场的成长也得到了政府对无人机技术投资的支持,例如欧洲国防基金,该基金拨款 80 亿欧元用于国防研究和创新,包括无人机开发项目。
先进目标无人机成本高昂
先进目标无人机的开发和製造成本高。这些成本不仅包括初始生产成本,还包括维护和营运成本,使得较小的经济体和国防组织难以采用这些技术。
每架 PTA-11 目标无人机的平均成本约为 29 万美元左右。然而,由于生产延迟和附加功能,成本可能会升至每台约 50 万美元。同样,Kratos Target Drone 的单一采购成本为 300 万美元,100 台或以上的采购成本为 200 万美元或更少。
Overview
The Global Target Drone Market reached US$ 4.47 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach US$ 7.69 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 7.02% during the forecast period 2024-2031.
Target drones are unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) used as practice targets for training purposes in both defense and civilian sectors. The target drone market is experiencing significant growth, driven by increased demand in military training, defense applications and research and development activities. The market is expected to grow as militaries and defense contractors invest in more advanced training and simulation technologies.
Furthermore, the increasing use of AI and autonomous systems in target drones will enhance their capabilities, making them more effective in simulating real-world threats. For instance, Boeing's Insitu is leveraging AI and edge processing for advanced ISR capabilities, while Boeing's Airpower Teaming System (ATS) and US Air Force's Skyborg initiative exemplify manned-unmanned teaming with semi-autonomous drones like Kratos' Valkyrie.
Asia-Pacific is experiencing strong growth for target drones due to heavy investment in defense system technology & economic movement by the key players of the market. Furthermore, nations such as China, India and Japan fueled the demand for advanced training systems by using target drones. For instance, in 2023 the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) reported that the Chinese government has spent over US$ 290 billion on their defense sector including the advancement of drones. Similarly, the Indian government initiatives such as
Dynamics
Rising Application of Target Drones in Civilian Safety
The rising application of target drones in civilian sectors such as testing and calibration of air defense systems. With increased defense expenditure in emerging economies like China and India, these regions are becoming lucrative markets for target drones. India, for example, allocated US$ 67 billion to its defense budget in 2023, with a significant portion aimed at upgrading its drone capabilities, including target drones for training purposes.
Similarly, Russia is significantly investing in drone technology, particularly in collaboration with Uzbekistan. The total volume of joint investment projects between Russia and Uzbekistan amounts to approximately US$ 60 billion, with plans to establish the production of civilian drones in Uzbekistan, which reflects Russia's strategic focus on enhancing its drone capabilities.
Increasing Trend of Joint Military Exercises
The growing trend of joint military exercises between nations is also boosting demand. The exercises rely heavily on target drones to simulate aerial combat, which improves the preparedness of participating forces. For instance, US has proposed to provide consultancy services to India for developing advanced unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) as part of the US$ 3.1 billion deal for 31 MQ-9B Predator drones.
The market's growth is also supported by government investments in drone technology, such as the European Defence Fund, which allocated EUR 8 billion for defense research and innovation, including drone development programs.
High Cost of Advanced Target Drones
The high cost associated with the development and manufacturing of advanced target drones. These costs encompass not only the initial production but also the maintenance and operation, making it difficult for smaller economies and defense organizations to adopt these technologies.
A PTA-11 Target Drone's average cost is approximately around US$ 290,000 per unit. However, costs can escalate to about US$ 500,000 per unit due to production delays and additional features. Similarly, the Kratos Target Drone acquisition costs US$ 3 million for a single unit and US$ 2 million or less for 100-or-greater units quantity purchases.
The global target drone market is segmented based on type, propulsion, platform, payload, operation mode, application and region.
Growing Demand for Autonomous Drone Driven by Energy Efficiency, Cost-Effectiveness and Longevity
The demand for automatically operated drones in the global target drone market is rising, driven by advancements in automation technology and the increasing need for efficient military training and target simulations. The defense sector's focus is on improving combat preparedness. Automatically operated target drones, such as unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), can simulate enemy aircraft or missiles, allowing forces to practice interception and other strategic maneuvers.
Countries such as US China and Russia are increasing their investments in these drones, with US accounting for a significant portion of the market due to its large-scale defense projects. Furthermore, advancements in AI and sensor technology are enabling better obstacle avoidance, route planning and real-time decision-making, driving the preference for automatically operated drones.
Military Training and Testing Applications in North America
In the North American region, the demand for target drones is experiencing significant growth, driven by advancements in military training and testing applications. US and Canada are the primary contributors to this surge, leveraging target drones to enhance the effectiveness of their defense systems and training exercises. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) in US has streamlined regulations for the use of drones in both military and civilian applications, further fueling the growth of the target drone market.
Similarly, Canada has been actively enhancing its Arctic monitoring capabilities as part of a comprehensive five-year, US$ 133 million upgrade to bolster its military's air, maritime and subsurface awareness in the region. In its quest for advanced drone systems, the Canadian Department of National Defense (DND) aimed to award contracts for these systems in 2022 or 2023, to have the drones operational by 2025.
However, in December 2020, Canada shifted its strategy and awarded Elbit Systems a US$ 36.16 million contract for the Hermes 900 StarLiner drone. North American market benefits from favorable regulatory environments and government incentives that encourage the adoption of advanced drone technologies.
The major global players in the market include Lockheed Martin Corporation, HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA, Northrop Grumman Corporation, The Boeing Company, Airbus SE, Leonardo S.p.A. Safran Electronics & Defense, QinetiQ Group plc, Griffon Aerospace and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
Sustainability Analysis
The global target drone market is undergoing rapid transformation, with sustainability becoming a key consideration for manufacturers and governments. The increased demand for these drones in military and defense applications, especially for training and testing purposes, raises concerns about their environmental impact. For instance, companies like Kratos Defense & Security Solutions are investing in drone designs that minimize environmental impact without compromising performance.
Energy efficiency is another area where sustainability improvements are emerging. Battery-powered target drones are gaining popularity as they reduce reliance on fossil fuels. Similarly, governments are introducing stringent regulations to limit environmental damage in defense operations. Programs like the European Union's Green Deal emphasize the need for sustainable defense technologies, encouraging the adoption of greener practices in drone manufacturing.
Russia-Ukraine War Impact
The Russia-Ukraine war has significantly reshaped the global target drone market, demonstrating the growing reliance on unmanned systems in modern warfare. The conflict has underscored the critical role that drones play on the battlefield, with Ukraine deploying an array of both military and commercial drones. These drones have not only facilitated tactical advantages but have also driven global demand for similar capabilities.
Ukraine's use of First Person Viewer (FPV) drones, for example, has highlighted the utility of smaller, cheaper drones, with the country reportedly fielding over 62 different types of FPVs. The Ukrainian government's projection to produce two million drones by 2024 further showcases the rapid growth and demand within the drone market. The Ukrainian drone industry has had to ramp up domestic production due to supply shortages from China, indicating a shift toward self-reliance in this space.
Globally, this conflict has spurred other nations to increase their drone procurement and development efforts. US military, for instance, requested US$ 25 million to acquire commercial drones, a direct influence of Ukraine's drone warfare tactics. Additionally, counter-drone systems have become critical, with US investing US$ 177 million in Coyote interceptors to combat enemy drones. The rise in demand for drones, coupled with counter-drone measures, is expected to expand the global target drone market, both in terms of size and technological sophistication.
The global target drone market report would provide approximately 86 tables, 81 figures and 210 pages.
Target Audience 2024
LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE