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日本巡弋飞弹市场 - 2024 - 2031Japan Cruise Missiles Market - 2024 - 2031 |
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日本巡航飞弹市场2023年达到14亿美元,预计2031年将达21亿美元,2024-2031年预测期间复合年增长率为5.20%。
日本巡航飞弹市场正在随着几个关键趋势不断发展,这些趋势反映了该国不断变化的国防优先事项、技术进步和区域安全动态。日本非常重视开发远程精确导引飞弹系统,以加强其防御能力。
这包括反舰和对陆攻击巡航飞弹,它们可以远距离高精度瞄准敌方船隻或陆基设施。日本的 12 型反舰巡航飞弹(ASCM)就是一个典型的例子,旨在加强日本的海军防御并威慑该地区的潜在威胁,特别是来自中国等邻国的威胁
日本正积极投资高超音速飞弹技术,作为其飞弹防御系统现代化努力的一部分。高超音速飞弹的飞行速度超过 5 马赫,被视为应对新兴威胁的关键能力,其中包括中国和俄罗斯开发的先进飞弹系统。
日本飞弹防御战略的一个重要趋势是越来越重视本土飞弹开发。虽然日本的许多飞弹系统历来依赖美国等外国供应商,但现在大力推动开发本土解决方案,以满足日本的特定国防需求。这包括开发完全融入日本军事战略和基础设施的先进反舰飞弹、对地攻击飞弹和防御系统。
日本透过整合美国飞弹防御系统,不断增强其飞弹防御能力,加强与美国的伙伴关係。这种整合使日本能够获得尖端技术和系统,例如宙斯盾弹道飞弹防御系统(BMD)和战斧巡航飞弹,这些都是日本国防战略的核心。这些系统的联合使用确保了日本的国防基础设施与美军保持互通性,并增强了美日同盟的整体威慑能力。
美日强有力的国防合作
美日强有力的国防合作对于塑造日本巡弋飞弹市场发挥关键作用。该联盟建立在数十年的共同防御协议和战略军事伙伴关係的基础上,这些协议和战略军事伙伴关係显着增强了日本的飞弹能力。由于两国在亚太地区面临共同的安全威胁,特别是来自北韩和中国的威胁,这种合作确保日本能够获得美国先进的技术、专业知识和飞弹防御系统。
例如,2024年,美国总统拜登和日本首相岸田文雄宣布计划大幅加强和扩大两国在军事、太空相关和其他项目上的联盟,以对冲中国和俄罗斯。此外,作为联合防御战略的一部分,美国战斧飞弹在日本的部署也显着增强了日本的远程打击能力。这些系统不仅对于防御至关重要,而且还具有威慑作用,并展现了美日军事合作的实力。
此外,导弹技术的联合开发促进了日本在巡航导弹方面的进步。例如,日本在美国飞弹技术的支援下开发12型反舰巡航飞弹(ASCM),确保日本的巡航飞弹系统与全球最新进展保持一致。
美日两军联合训练进一步确保两国具备协同应对飞弹防御和反击行动的能力,使此次合作成为日本巡弋飞弹防御战略的基石。这种伙伴关係继续在日本实现飞弹防御能力现代化和在亚太地区保持强大、独立的防御态势的努力中发挥着至关重要的作用。
不断增长的国防预算和军事现代化
国防预算的增加和军事现代化是推动日本巡航飞弹市场成长的关键因素。近年来,日本大幅增加国防开支,以应对亚太地区不断变化的安全挑战,包括北韩的飞弹试射和中国不断增强的军事存在。这种对加强军事基础设施的关注直接影响了对包括巡航飞弹在内的先进武器系统的需求。
例如,2024年,日本内阁批准了551.3亿美元的新防卫预算,这标誌着东京连续13年增加防卫开支。预算拨款 9,390 亿日圆(59.5 亿美元)用于防区外武器能力。国内采购这些武器包括采购陆基和海基12型反舰飞弹、潜射飞弹、用于岛屿防御的高速滑翔飞弹以及扩大高超音速飞弹的製造能力。
国外采购包括为日本航空自卫队的F-35A机队提供联合攻击飞弹、为日本航空自卫队升级后的F-15机队提供联合空对地防区外飞弹以及为日本海上自卫队增加战斧巡航导弹发射能力自卫队的宙斯盾驱逐舰。因此,日本不断增长的国防预算和对军事现代化的关注是巡航飞弹市场的关键驱动力。
限制
开发和购买先进导弹的成本高昂
开发和采购先进飞弹的高昂成本极大地限制了日本巡航飞弹市场的成长,因为日本在军事现代化努力中面临巨大的财政限制。开发包括巡航飞弹在内的先进飞弹系统需要在研究、技术和基础设施方面进行大量投资。
此外,从国际供应商采购这些飞弹也会产生高昂的成本,这可能会导致日本的国防预算紧张,并限制其扩大飞弹能力的能力。例如,日本12型反舰巡航飞弹(ASCM)等本土飞弹系统的研发成本高昂。
这些飞弹旨在增强日本的海上防御能力,但其设计、测试和部署过程需要大量资金。与创建先进导引系统、推进技术和测试平台相关的费用导致飞弹生产的总体成本较高。
此外,日本升级战斧飞弹等现有飞弹系统的努力也需要大量财政支出用于采购、整合和作战准备。飞弹能力现代化的财政负担,加上其他国防优先事项,限制了该国快速扩大巡航飞弹库存和按预期速度部署尖端系统的能力。
Japan Cruise Missiles Market reached US$ 1.4 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach US$ 2.1 billion by 2031, growing with a CAGR of 5.20%during the forecast period 2024-2031.
The Japan Cruise Missiles Market is evolving with several key trends that reflect the country's changing defense priorities, technological advancements and regional security dynamics. Japan is placing significant emphasis on developing long-range precision-guided missile systems to strengthen its defense capabilities.
This includes both anti-ship and land-attack cruise missiles that can target adversary vessels or land-based installations with high accuracy over extended distances. Japan's Type 12 Anti-Ship Cruise Missile (ASCM) is a prime example, designed to bolster Japan's naval defense and deter potential threats in the region, especially from neighboring countries like China
Japan is actively investing in hypersonic missile technology as part of its efforts to modernize its missile defense systems. Hypersonic missiles, which travel at speeds greater than Mach 5, are seen as a key capability to counter emerging threats, including advanced missile systems developed by China and Russia.
A significant trend in Japan's missile defense strategy is the increasing emphasis on indigenous missile development. While Japan has historically relied on foreign suppliers, such as the US, for many of its missile systems, there is now a strong push to develop homegrown solutions that cater to Japan's specific defense needs. This includes the development of advanced anti-ship missiles, land-attack missiles and defensive systems that are fully integrated into Japan's military strategy and infrastructure.
Japan continues to enhance its missile defense capabilities through the integration of US missile defense systems, strengthening its partnership with the United States. This integration allows Japan to access cutting-edge technology and systems, such as Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) and Tomahawk cruise missiles, which are central to Japan's defense strategy. The joint use of these systems ensures that Japan's defense infrastructure remains interoperable with US forces and strengthens the overall deterrence capability of the US-Japan alliance.
Strong US-Japan Defense Cooperation
The strong US-Japan defense cooperation plays a pivotal role in shaping Japan's cruise missile market. This alliance is built on decades of mutual defense agreements and strategic military partnerships, which significantly enhance Japan's missile capabilities. As both nations face common security threats in Asia-Pacific, particularly from North Korea and China, this cooperation ensures that Japan has access to advanced US technology, expertise and missile defense systems.
For instance, in 2024, US President Joe Biden and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced plans to strengthen and expand significantly their countries' alliance with military, space-related and other projects as a hedge against China and Russia. Additionally, the deployment of US Tomahawk missiles in Japan, as part of joint defense strategies, significantly boosts Japan's long-range strike capabilities. The systems are not only essential for defense but also act as a deterrent, showcasing the strength of US-Japan military collaboration.
Moreover, the joint development of missile technologies has fostered Japan's advancements in cruise missiles. For example, Japan's efforts to develop the Type 12 Anti-Ship Cruise Missile (ASCM) are supported by US missile technology, ensuring that Japan's cruise missile systems are on par with the latest global advancements.
The joint training exercises between the US and Japan's armed forces further ensure that both nations are equipped to handle missile defense and counterattack operations in a coordinated manner, making the cooperation a cornerstone of Japan's cruise missile defense strategy. The partnership continues to play a crucial role in Japan's efforts to modernize its missile defense capabilities and maintain a strong, independent defense posture in the Asia-Pacific region.
Rising Defense Budget and Military Modernization
Rising defense budgets and military modernization are key factors driving the growth of the cruise missile market in Japan. Over recent years, Japan has significantly increased its defense spending in response to evolving security challenges in Asia-Pacific, including North Korea's missile tests and China's growing military presence. This focus on strengthening its military infrastructure directly impacts the demand for advanced weapon systems, including cruise missiles.
For instance, in 2024, Japan's cabinet approved a new US$ 55.13 billion defense budget, marking the 13th consecutive year that Tokyo has increased defensing spending. The budget allocates 939 billion yen or US$ 5.95 billion, for stand-off weapons capability. The domestic acquisition of these weapons includes the procurement of ground-launched and sea-launched Type 12 anti-ship missiles, submarine-launched guided missiles, high velocity gliding missiles for island defense and the expansion of manufacturing capabilities for hypersonic guided missiles.
Foreign procurement includes the joint strike missile for the Japan Air Self-Defense Force's F-35A fleet, the joint air-to-surface stand-off missile for the JASDF's upgraded F-15 fleet and adding Tomahawk cruise missile launch capabilities to the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force's Aegis destroyers. Thus, Japan's rising defense budget and focus on military modernization are crucial drivers of the cruise missile market.
Restraints
High Costs of Developing and Procuring Advanced Missiles
The high costs of developing and procuring advanced missiles significantly restrain the growth of the Japan cruise missiles market, as Japan faces substantial financial constraints in its military modernization efforts. Developing advanced missile systems, including cruise missiles, requires significant investment in research, technology and infrastructure.
Additionally, procuring these missiles from international suppliers also incurs high costs, which can strain Japan's defense budget and limit its ability to expand its missile capabilities. For instance, the development of indigenous missile systems, such as Japan's Type 12 Anti-Ship Cruise Missile (ASCM), involves high research and development costs.
These missiles are designed to enhance Japan's maritime defense capabilities, but the process of designing, testing and deploying them requires considerable funding. The expenses associated with creating advanced guidance systems, propulsion technologies and testing platforms contribute to the overall high cost of missile production.
Additionally, Japan's efforts to upgrade existing missile systems like the Tomahawk missile also require substantial financial outlays for procurement, integration and operational readiness. The financial burden of modernizing missile capabilities, combined with other defense priorities, limits the country's ability to rapidly expand its cruise missile inventory and deploy cutting-edge systems at the desired pace.
The Japan cruise missiles market is segmented based on type, launch platform, range, warhead type and propulsion system.
Demand for Hypersonic Cruise Missile Drives the Segment Growth
The Hypersonic cruise missile segment is expected to dominate with over 25% of the market during the forecast period 2024-2031. The hypersonic cruise missile segment is a critical driver for the Japan cruise missile market, as the country seeks to enhance its deterrence and defense capabilities in response to regional missile threats. The growing threat of missile attacks from regional adversaries, particularly from North Korea and China, has accelerated Japan's investment in hypersonic cruise missiles.
The high-speed missiles are particularly effective at overcoming conventional defense systems, making them essential for countering the missile threat posed by these nations. As both China and Russia advance their own hypersonic missile programs, Japan has been prompted to accelerate its missile development to keep pace with these technological advancements.
For instance, in 2023, Japan's Defense Ministry has signed contracts totaling 314.7 billion yen (US$ 2.3 billion) with Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI) and Kawasaki Heavy Industries (KHI) to develop its own standoff missiles. The include four new missile projects, all awarded to MHI. The first contract, worth 58.4 billion yen, focuses on developing a hypersonic missile from FY2023 to FY2026. The second, valued at 200.3 billion yen (US$ 1.4 billion), involves the development of the Block II upgrade of the Hyper Velocity Gliding Projectile (HVGP), expected to have a range of several hundred to several thousand kilometers, from FY2023 to FY2027.
The major global players in the Japan Cruise Missiles market include Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, General Dynamics,l MBDA, Thales Group, Israel Aerospace Industries, BAE Systems plc and Aerojet Rocketdyne.
The Japan cruise missiles market report would provide approximately 48 tables, 40 figures and 202 pages.
Target Audience 2024
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