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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1654714
全球耐旱种子市场 - 2025 年至 2032 年Global Drought-Tolerant Seeds Market - 2025-2032 |
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2024 年全球耐旱种子市场规模达到 24.832 亿美元,预计到 2032 年将达到 39.214 亿美元,2025-2032 年预测期内的复合年增长率为 6.7%。
由于人们对水资源短缺、气候变迁和对弹性农业实践的需求日益担忧,全球对抗旱种子的需求一直在稳步增长。气候变迁已成为重塑全球农业格局的重要驱动因素。不稳定的天气模式、长期的干旱和极端的气候条件要求开发具有抗逆性的种子品种,以确保可持续的粮食生产。
农民和政策制定者越来越注重采用气候适应型农业实践,以减轻气候变迁带来的风险并保障粮食安全。例如,2023年3月,印度农业研究理事会(ICAR)在应对气候相关的农业挑战方面发挥了关键作用。 ICAR透过其国家农业研究系统(NARS)开发了7,200多种高产量、抗逆的大田和园艺作物品种。
此外,2014-15年至2022-23年期间,该国还推出了407个专门针对极端气候条件(包括耐旱、耐涝、耐盐碱和耐高温)的精准培育品种。这些进步直接促使生产力提高了 4.57 倍,粮食产量从 1950-51 年的 522 公斤/公顷提高到 2020-21 年的 2,386 公斤/公顷。透过应对气候变迁带来的挑战,ICAR展现了研究驱动创新在促进弹性农业方面的变革潜力。
动力学
干旱和气候变迁发生率上升
气候变迁导致干旱发生率不断上升,推动了耐旱种子市场的成长。气候变迁导致全球气温升高,加速蒸发,延长干旱并改变降水模式。这导致干旱发生的频率和严重程度增加,每年影响超过5500万人,并威胁数百万人的生计。 2030年,由于长期干旱造成水资源短缺,多达7亿人面临流离失所的风险。
农业部门,特别是干旱易发地区的农业部门面临严峻挑战。因缺水而导致农作物歉收的现像很常见,导致粮食不安全和经济不稳定。由于水资源短缺影响全球40%的人口,对抗旱作物的需求正在日益增长。这些种子为确保农作物在干旱条件下生存提供了解决方案,对于严重依赖农业的地区来说,它们至关重要。
干旱不仅影响粮食生产,还会造成水资源紧张,增加水传播疾病和健康危机的风险,进一步凸显了种植能在缺水环境中生长的作物的重要性。受气候变迁影响,全球干旱现像日益频繁、强度加大,预计将增加耐旱种子品种的采用,使其成为在气候不确定性面前确保粮食安全的关键工具。
除了农业效益之外,耐旱种子还能透过减少用水量、确保农作物生长所需水量、支持有弹性的农耕方式,促进环境永续性。气候模型预测干旱期会增加,特别是在已经干旱的地区,耐旱种子市场将大幅成长,解决与水资源短缺相关的环境和经济挑战。
农业生物技术进展
农业生物技术、精准农业、奈米技术、垂直农业和基因编辑的进步是耐旱种子市场成长的重要驱动力。随着气候变迁加剧和干旱日益频繁,农民面临着确保作物在缺水条件下復原力的越来越大的压力。
随着农业创新的不断发展,对耐旱种子的需求也将持续增长,而这源自于对气候适应型农业解决方案的迫切需求。面对日益严峻的环境挑战,这些种子将在保障粮食供应方面发挥关键作用。
研发成本高,开发耗时
高昂的研发成本和耗时的流程是耐旱种子市场发展的重大限制因素。开发这样的种子需要基因工程和分子生物学等先进技术,才能培育出能在缺水条件下茁壮成长的作物。大量的实验室研究、多季节的现场试验和性能评估增加了复杂性,需要大量的财力和技术资源。
严格的监管要求进一步增加了这些挑战,延长了进入市场所需的时间。安全评估以及对环境和健康标准的遵守需要多年的评估,这会增加开发成本。这些监管延迟尤其对小公司不利,限制了耐旱种子的市场参与和创新。
研发能力集中在少数大型企业手中,进一步减缓了市场创新和采用的速度。小公司面临资金和技术障碍,从而减少了竞争并减少了这些种子的供应。儘管对气候适应型农业解决方案的需求日益增加,但这种动态阻碍了耐旱种子市场的整体成长潜力。
为了克服这些限制,公司利用合作研究计划和公私合作伙伴关係来分担成本和风险。简化监管框架和激励创新可以加速产品开发和市场进入。这些措施可以促进耐旱种子的更广泛应用,并支持全球永续农业实践。
The global drought-tolerant seeds market reached US$ 2,483.2 million in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 3,921.4 million by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.7% during the forecast period 2025-2032.
The demand for drought-tolerant seeds has been growing steadily worldwide, driven by increasing concerns over water scarcity, climate change and the need for resilient agricultural practices. Climate change has emerged as a critical driver reshaping the agrarian landscape globally. Erratic weather patterns, prolonged droughts and extreme climatic conditions have necessitated the development of resilient seed varieties to ensure sustainable food production.
Farmers and policymakers are increasingly focusing on adopting climate-resilient agricultural practices to mitigate the risks associated with climate variability and safeguard food security. For example, in March 2023, the Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) played a pivotal role in addressing climate-related agricultural challenges. ICAR, through its National Agricultural Research System (NARS), has developed more than 7,200 high-yielding and stress-tolerant varieties of field and horticultural crops.
Additionally, between 2014-15 and 2022-23, it released 407 precision-bred varieties specifically for extreme climatic conditions, including drought, flood, salinity and heat stress tolerance. These advancements have directly contributed to a 4.57x increase in productivity, boosting food grain yields from 522 kg/ha in 1950-51 to 2,386 kg/ha in 2020-21. By addressing the challenges posed by climate change, ICAR demonstrates the transformative potential of research-driven innovation in fostering resilient agriculture.
Dynamics
Rising Incidence of Droughts and Climate Change
The rising incidence of droughts, intensified by climate change, is driving the growth of the drought-tolerant seed market. Climate change is increasing global temperatures, which accelerates evaporation, prolongs droughts and alters precipitation patterns. It has led to an increase in the frequency and severity of droughts, affecting over 55 million people annually and threatening the livelihoods of millions more. By 2030, as many as 700 million people are at risk of being displaced due to water scarcity caused by prolonged droughts.
The agricultural sector, particularly in drought-prone regions, faces significant challenges. Crop failures due to water shortages are common, leading to food insecurity and economic instability. With water scarcity already impacting 40% of the world's population, the demand for drought-tolerant crops is growing. These seeds offer a solution to ensure crop survival in arid conditions, making them essential for regions heavily dependent on agriculture.
Droughts not only impact food production but also strain water resources, increasing the risk of waterborne diseases and health crises, further underscoring the importance of developing crops that can thrive in water-scarce environments. The global trend toward more frequent and intense droughts, driven by climate change, is expected to increase the adoption of drought-tolerant seed varieties, making them a key tool for ensuring food security in the face of climate uncertainty.
In addition to agricultural benefits, drought-tolerant seeds contribute to environmental sustainability by reducing water use, ensuring that crops require less water to grow and supporting resilient farming practices. With climate models predicting a rise in dry spells, particularly in already arid regions, the drought-tolerant seed market is positioned for substantial growth, addressing both environmental and economic challenges related to water scarcity.
Advancements in Agricultural Biotechnology
Advancements in agricultural biotechnology, precision farming, nanotechnology, vertical farming and gene editing are significant drivers for the growth of the drought-tolerant seeds market. As climate change intensifies and droughts become more frequent, farmers face mounting pressure to ensure crop resilience under water-scarce conditions.
As agricultural innovation continues to evolve, the demand for drought-tolerant seeds is poised to grow, driven by the urgent need for climate-resilient farming solutions. These seeds will play a critical role in securing food supply in the face of increasing environmental challenges.
High R&D Costs and Time-Intensive Development
High R&D costs and time-intensive processes are significant restraints for the drought-tolerant seeds market. Developing such seeds requires advanced technologies like genetic engineering and molecular biology to create crops that can thrive under water scarcity. Extensive laboratory research, multi-season field trials and performance evaluations add to the complexity, demanding significant financial and technical resources.
Stringent regulatory requirements further add to these challenges, prolonging the time needed for market entry. Safety assessments and compliance with environmental and health standards require multi-year evaluations, escalating development costs. These regulatory delays particularly disadvantage smaller firms, limiting market participation and innovation in drought-tolerant seeds.
The concentration of R&D capabilities among a few large players further slows innovation and adoption in the market. Smaller companies face financial and technical barriers, reducing competition and availability of these seeds. This dynamic hinders the overall growth potential of the drought-tolerant seeds market despite the increasing need for climate-resilient agriculture solutions.
To overcome these restraints, companies leverage collaborative research initiatives and public-private partnerships to share costs and risks. Streamlining regulatory frameworks and incentivizing innovation can accelerate product development and market entry. These measures could enable broader adoption of drought-tolerant seeds, supporting sustainable agriculture practices globally.
The global drought-tolerant seeds market is segmented based on crop type, end-user, seed type, distribution channel and region.
Growing Consumer Interest in Highly Stable and Resistant to Protein Coagulation Milk
The demand for genetically modified (GM) seeds in the drought-tolerant seeds market is growing due to the increasing need for crops that can withstand water scarcity and unpredictable climate conditions. GM seeds are engineered to offer enhanced resistance to drought, making them highly desirable in regions prone to arid and semi-arid climates. This demand is driven by the agricultural sector's need for more resilient, higher-yielding crops that can maintain productivity under limited water availability.
Additionally, GM seeds contribute to improving food security by enabling consistent crop production in challenging environmental conditions. As climate change intensifies, the market for GM drought-tolerant seeds is expected to continue expanding, offering significant growth opportunities for biotechnology companies and seed developers.
For instance, in May 2024, Bioceres Crop Solutions launched its genetically modified HB4 drought-tolerant wheat seeds in Argentina, making the technology available to agricultural input retailers. In 2023, the company outlined plans to scale up the technology through private agreements with farmers and collaborations with seed multipliers ahead of full commercialization. The launch marks a significant step in expanding the reach of drought-tolerant wheat solutions in key markets.
Rising Demand for Drought-Tolerant Seeds in North America
The demand for drought-tolerant seeds in North America is rising due to the increasing frequency of droughts and unpredictable water availability. Climate change has exacerbated these conditions, particularly in key agricultural regions like the Midwest and Canada, where maintaining consistent crop yields during dry spells is critical for farm productivity.
Farmers are adopting drought-tolerant seed varieties to ensure resilience against water scarcity. These seeds reduce the reliance on irrigation, conserve water and help safeguard yields during drought periods. As environmental concerns and the need for sustainable farming practices grow, drought-tolerant seeds are becoming an essential part of modern agricultural solutions.
For instance, in August 2024, Syngenta's recent launch of its NK Seeds corn portfolio exemplifies this demand, with several hybrids designed for drought resistance. Through substantial investment in R&D, Syngenta continues to develop seed solutions that meet the specific needs of North American farmers, providing them with reliable and sustainable options to address water stress and ensure long-term productivity.
The major global players in the market include Corteva, Bayer AG, Syngenta, UPL, KWS SAAT SE & Co. KGaA, Arcadia Biosciences, Hefty Seed Company, Mahyco, Redwood Seeds and BASF.
The global drought-tolerant seeds market report would provide approximately 70 tables, 64 figures and 201 pages.
Target Audience 2024
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