2024 年全球汽车售后市场展望

由于车龄、平均年里程的增加以及车辆数量的增加，短期前景健康

在这项研究服务中，Frost & Sullivan 评估了 2023 年汽车售后市场的表现，并确定了将影响更换零件、维修和维护需求的各种趋势。我们还调查了该行业的定性和定量特征。

研究期间为2023-2028年，其中2023年为基准年，2024-2028年为预测期间。地理范围为全球：北美（加拿大和美国）、欧洲、中国、印度、拉丁美洲、海湾合作委员会国家和其他地区（未指定）。 Frost & Sullivan 的目标客户是总重不超过 6 吨的小型车辆，包括：

• 乘用车（轿车、掀背车、SUV、MPV、货车等）
• 轻型商用车（皮卡车等）

根据此分析，售后市场需求指标是全球收益的强劲驱动力，预计这一趋势将在2024年持续下去。对中国和印度市场的积极成长预测与北美和欧洲的积极成长前景相辅相成。车龄增加、平均年里程增加、车队规模扩大是近期健康前景的原因。随着客户越来越寻求最大限度地提高售后购买价值，市场相关人员需要创新方法并提供有针对性的解决方案，以利用这一成长机会。

Frost & Sullivan预计，由于中国电动车的日益普及、自有品牌的普及、线上线下整合的重要性以及车身和动力传动系统类型的车辆数量多样化，全球汽车后市场将在2024年发生变化。我们已经确定了影响市场规模的趋势。这些趋势凸显了产业相关人员的机会领域。

目录

汽车后市场转型

• 为什么成长如此困难？
• The Strategic Imperative 8（TM）
• 关键策略要务对全球汽车后市场的影响
• 支援Growth Pipeline Engine（TM） 的成长机会

成长环境

• 2024 年热门预测
• 替换零件和配件的收益预测
• 数量，2023
• 2023 年趋势
• 数量，2024
• 2024 年趋势

生态系统

• 调查范围
• 车辆部分
• 按地区分類的市场细分
• 对调查答案提出疑问

2024 年世界经济展望

• 2024 年十大趋势
• 十大成长机会
• 世界GDP成长率
• 通货膨胀和利率
• 外汇趋势
• 劳动市场
• 石油市场
• 关键矿产供应
• 北美洲
• 西欧
• 中东
• 亚洲

成长动力：2024 年全球汽车售后市场展望

• 世界小VIO
• 全球售后市场收益潜力
• 按国家/地区分類的成长机会
• 平均车龄
• 平均里程
• 汽车售后市场收益预测
• 汽车后市场通路占有率
• 区域及相关趋势
• 2024 年全球汽车售后市场的主要趋势
• 趋势一：中国电动车品牌在全球的影响力不断增强
• 趋势二：自有品牌目前是一个问题
• 趋势 3： OEM部署解决方案以提高客户保留率
• 趋势四：O2O融合是数位通路传播的催化剂
• 趋势五：零件激增为IAM零售通路带来挑战
• OEM活动，2023 年
• 2023 年电子商务活动
• 2023 年供应商/经销商活动
• 2023 年和 2024 年政策和监管变化

成长动力：2024 年北美汽车售后市场展望

成长动力：2024 年欧洲汽车售后市场展望

成长动力：2024年中国汽车售后市场展望

成长动力：2024 年印度汽车售后市场展望

成长动力：拉丁美洲汽车售后市场展望，2024 年

成长动力：2024 年 GCC 汽车售后市场展望

主要结论与未来展望

成长机会宇宙

• 成长机会一：零件采购数位化通路O2O整合
• 成长机会2：自有品牌越来越受欢迎
• 成长机会3：扩大电动车在汽车总数中的份额

最佳实践意识

弗罗斯特雷达

下一步

Rising Vehicle Ages, a Growing Average Annual Mileage, and an Expanding Vehicle Population Promise a Healthy Outlook in the Short Term

In this research service, Frost & Sullivan has assessed the automotive aftermarket's performance for 2023 and identified various trends that influence demand for replacement parts, repairs, and maintenance. It has also examined qualitative and quantitative industry features.

The study period is 2023-2028, with 2023 as the base year and 2024-2028 as the forecast period. The geographic scope is global, with separate discussions for the following regions: North America (Canada and the United States), Europe, China, India, Latin America, the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, and the Rest of the World (no discussion provided). Frost & Sullivan has covered light vehicles with gross vehicle weight ratings up to 6 metric tons, which comprise:

• Passenger vehicles (e.g., sedans, hatchbacks, sports utility vehicles, multipurpose vehicles, vans)
• Light commercial vehicles (e.g., pickup trucks)

The analysis shows that aftermarket demand metrics have favorably driven global revenues and that the trend will continue in 2024 as well. Aggressive growth forecasts for markets in China and India will be complemented by a positive growth outlook for North America and Europe. Rising vehicle ages, a growing average annual mileage, and an expanding vehicle population are the reasons behind a healthy outlook for the short term. As customers increasingly look to maximize their value from aftermarket purchases, market stakeholders must innovate in their approach and offer targeted solutions to leverage this growth opportunity.

Frost & Sullivan has identified trends that will shape the global automotive aftermarket size in 2024, including the growing presence of Chinese electric vehicles, the popularity of private labels, the importance of the online-to-offline integration, and the increasing diversity of vehicle population by body and powertrain types. These trends reveal opportunity areas for industry stakeholders.

Other relevant analytics and conclusions provided in this research include:

• Regional differences in the industry outlook
• Market changes in 2023 that will have an effect in 2024
• Notable OEM activities
• Opportunities available at the local level for aftermarket participants in each region

Table of Contents

Transformation in the Automotive Aftermarket

• Why Is It Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
• The Strategic Imperative 8™
• The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Global Automotive Aftermarket
• Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™

Growth Environment

• Top Predictions for 2024
• Revenue Forecast for Replacement Parts and Accessories
• 2023 in Numbers
• 2023 Trends
• 2024 in Numbers
• 2024 Trends

Ecosystem

• Research Scope
• Vehicle Segmentation
• Market Segmentation by Region
• Questions That This Study Will Answer

2024 Global Economic Outlook

• Top 10 Trends for 2024
• Top 10 Growth Opportunities
• Global GDP Growth
• Inflation and Interest Rates
• Currency Trajectory
• Labor Market
• Oil Markets
• Critical Minerals Supplies
• North America
• Western Europe
• Middle East
• Asia

Growth Generator: Global Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2024

• Global Light VIO
• Global Aftermarket Revenue Potential
• Growth Opportunity by Country
• Average Vehicle Age
• Average Vehicle Miles Traveled
• Automotive Aftermarket Revenue Forecast
• Automotive Aftermarket Channel Share
• Trend Relevance by Region
• Global Automotive Aftermarket Top Trends in 2024
• Trend 1: Growing Presence of Chinese EV Brands Worldwide
• Trend 2: Private Labelling Challenges the Status Quo
• Trend 3: OEMs Deploy Solutions to Increase Customer Stickiness
• Trend 4: O2O Integration as a Catalyst for a Broader Digital Channel Adoption
• Trend 5: Part Proliferation Will Challenge the IAM Retail Channel
• OEM Activity in 2023
• eCommerce Activity in 2023
• Supplier/Distributor Activity in 2023
• Policy and Regulation Changes in 2023 and 2024

Growth Generator: North America Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2024

• Regional Outlook: United States
• Regional Outlook: Canada
• North American Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Generator: Europe Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2024

• Regional Outlook: Europe
• European Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Generator: China Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2024

• Regional Outlook: China
• China Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Generator: India Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2024

• Regional Outlook: India
• Indian Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Generator: LATAM Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2024

• Regional Outlook: LATAM
• LATAM Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Growth Generator: GCC Automotive Aftermarket Outlook, 2024

• Regional Outlook: GCC
• GCC Aftermarket Dashboard
• Aftermarket Outlook: Revenue by Replacement Part Type
• VIO Ownership Pattern
• VIO Model Mix
• Automotive Aftermarket Opportunity Areas

Key Conclusions and Future Outlook

• Key Conclusions and Future Outlook

Growth Opportunity Universe

• Growth Opportunity 1: O2O Integration for Part Purchase Digital Channel
• Growth Opportunity 2: Private Label Brands Gain Popularity
• Growth Opportunity 3: Growing EV Share in the Vehicle Parc

Best Practices Recognition

• Best Practices Recognition

Frost Radar

• Frost Radar

Next Steps

• Benefits and Impacts of Growth Opportunities
• Next Steps
• Take the Next Step
• List of Exhibits
• Legal Disclaimer