![]() |
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1811979
弗罗斯特雷达:2025年经济发展Frost Radar: Economic Development, 2025 |
阿联酋、沙乌地阿拉伯和印度凭藉成长领导力跻身韧性前列
预计2025年全球经济活动和投资动能将放缓,部分原因是美国总统川普提高关税。随着关税战重塑全球贸易流,生产生态系统的区域化和在地化正在加速。
受美国关税上调的影响,主要金属出口市场的原物料价格波动加剧。儘管预先囤货导致贸易量暂时激增,但随着持续的价格上涨在未来几季削弱美国需求,贸易量可能会大幅下降。在这种情况下,找到那些能够在保持国内成长和外国投资的同时吸收对外贸易衝击的国家至关重要。
全球贸易动态的变化正在为中东、欧洲和亚洲等新兴市场创造新的製造业机会。同时,由于劳动成本上升和地缘政治阻力,中国正逐渐失去超低成本製造地的地位。
Frost & Sullivan 的 Frost Radar™:2025 年经济发展报告透过全面分析宏观经济数据、政策框架和结构性指标,评估了 40 个国家的经济韧性和竞争力。该指数根据 GDP 规模、政治稳定性和贸易量进行提名,不仅衡量当前表现,还衡量未来准备。重点关注领域包括国内製造业实力、供应链韧性、投资吸引力和创新能力。
前三名的国家——阿联酋、沙乌地阿拉伯和印度——展现出以成长主导的奖励,这得益于强劲的国内市场基本面、极具竞争力的製造和物流能力,以及对外国投资者极具吸引力的主导。新兴市场——美国、瑞士、瑞典、丹麦、韩国和新加坡——在以创新为主导的韧性方面处于领先地位,这得益于有利于创新的生态系统、高效的政策实施和成熟的投资吸引力。
主要主题
The United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and India Emerge as Resilience Frontrunners with Growth Leadership
The global economy is poised for a slowdown in 2025, both in terms of economic activity and investment momentum, partly driven by escalating tariff measures under US President Donald Trump. As tariff wars reshape global trade flows, they are accelerating the regionalization and localization of production ecosystems.
In response to rising US tariffs, raw material prices have shown increased volatility across key metal-exporting markets. Pre-emptive stockpiling has triggered temporary spikes in trade volumes, which are likely to decline sharply as US demand weakens due to sustained price increases in the coming quarters. In this context, identifying countries that can absorb external trade shocks while sustaining domestic growth and foreign investment becomes critical.
These shifts in global trade dynamics are unlocking new manufacturing opportunities across emerging markets in the Middle East, Europe, and Asia. At the same time, China is gradually losing its position as the dominant ultralow-cost manufacturing hub, due to rising labor costs and geopolitical headwinds.
Frost & Sullivan's Frost Radar™: Economic Development, 2025 evaluates 40 countries through a comprehensive analysis of macroeconomic data, policy frameworks, and structural indicators to assess their economic resilience and competitive positioning. Countries are shortlisted based on GDP size, political stability, and trade volumes, with the index extending beyond current performance to gauge future readiness. Key focus areas include domestic manufacturing strength, supply chain resilience, investment attractiveness, and innovation capability.
The United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and India-the top three countries-demonstrate growth-driven resilience, supported by strong domestic market fundamentals, manufacturing and logistics competitiveness, and highly attractive incentives for foreign investors. The developed markets of the United States, Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark, South Korea, and Singapore lead in innovation-driven resilience, backed by innovation-friendly ecosystems, efficient policy implementation, and established investment appeal.
Key Themes: