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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1665014

手排变速箱市场机会、成长动力、产业趋势分析和 2025 - 2034 年预测

Manual Transmission Market Opportunity, Growth Drivers, Industry Trend Analysis, and Forecast 2025 - 2034

出版日期: | 出版商: Global Market Insights Inc. | 英文 180 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

价格
简介目录

2024 年全球手排变速箱市场价值为 226 亿美元,预计 2025 年至 2034 年期间的复合年增长率为 4.3%。手排变速箱由于其价格便宜、操作简单、且适用于多种车型,继续成为买家的热门选择。这一点在新兴市场尤其如此,因为成本效益仍然是消费者的首要考虑因素。

手排变速箱市场 - IMG1

按车辆类型考察市场时,它包括乘用车和商用车。 2024年,乘用车部门创造的收入为150亿美元。手排变速箱在经济型和入门级乘用车中尤其受欢迎,可在生产和维护方面节省大量成本。此外,这些变速箱与紧凑、省油的引擎完美匹配,对于注重成本的买家来说是一个有吸引力的选择。它们的耐用性和可靠性进一步加强了它们在经济因素在购买决策中起关键作用的市场中的地位。

市场范围
起始年份 2024
预测年份 2025-2034
起始值 226亿美元
预测值 343亿美元
复合年增长率 4.3%

手排变速箱市场也按配销通路细分为OEM (原始设备製造商)和售后市场。 2024 年, OEM领域占据 71% 的主导份额,凸显了设计根据区域消费者偏好定制的手动系统的重要性。在发展中市场,汽车製造商优先推出价格实惠的手排变速箱,以满足注重预算的买家的需求。同时,他们也提供优质的手动选项来吸引高性能市场。与一级供应商的合作确保手排变速箱不断发展,提高其效率和耐用性,帮助其在不断变化的汽车行业中保持竞争优势。

2024 年,中国手排变速箱市场占全球市场份额的 46%。喜欢手排变速箱的控制和参与度的爱好者有助于其在专用车辆类别中持续存在。为了满足这种需求,汽车製造商正在重新推出手排变速箱选项,以确保即使更广泛的市场转向自动变速箱,这些系统仍然具有相关性。

目录

第 1 章:方法论与范围

  • 研究设计
    • 研究方法
    • 资料收集方法
  • 基础估计和计算
    • 基准年计算
    • 市场估计的主要趋势
  • 预测模型
  • 初步研究与验证
    • 主要来源
    • 资料探勘来源
  • 市场定义

第 2 章:执行摘要

第 3 章:产业洞察

  • 产业生态系统分析
  • 供应商概况
    • 原物料供应商
    • 零件供应商
    • 製造商
    • 服务提供者
    • 经销商
    • 终端用户
  • 利润率分析
  • 定价分析
  • 成本明细分析
  • 技术与创新格局
  • 重要新闻及倡议
  • 监管格局
  • 衝击力
    • 成长动力
      • 对节油传动系统的需求不断增长
      • 比自动变速箱具有成本优势
      • 发展中地区透过预算工具多采用
      • 消费者偏好增强车辆性能与控制
    • 产业陷阱与挑战
      • 自动和 CVT 系统日益普及
      • 更严格的排放和燃油效率法规
  • 成长潜力分析
  • 波特的分析
  • PESTEL 分析

第四章:竞争格局

  • 介绍
  • 公司市占率分析
  • 竞争定位矩阵
  • 战略展望矩阵

第五章:市场估计与预测:依车型,2021 - 2034 年

  • 主要趋势
  • 搭乘用车
    • 掀背车
    • 轿车
    • 越野车
    • 其他的
  • 商用车
    • 轻型
    • 中型
    • 重负

第六章:市场估计与预测:按传输方式,2021 - 2034 年

  • 主要趋势
  • 5速
  • 6速
  • 其他的

第 7 章:市场估计与预测:按推进方式,2021 - 2034 年

  • 主要趋势
  • 汽油
  • 柴油引擎
  • 杂交种
  • 天然气
  • 液化石油气

第 8 章:市场估计与预测:按配销通路,2021 - 2034 年

  • 主要趋势
  • OEM
  • 售后市场

第 9 章:市场估计与预测:按地区,2021 - 2034 年

  • 主要趋势
  • 北美洲
    • 我们
    • 加拿大
  • 欧洲
    • 英国
    • 德国
    • 法国
    • 义大利
    • 西班牙
    • 北欧
  • 亚太地区
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韩国
    • 澳洲
    • 东南亚
  • 拉丁美洲
    • 巴西
    • 阿根廷
    • 墨西哥
  • 中东及非洲
    • 阿联酋
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 南非

第十章:公司简介

  • Aisin
  • Allison
  • AVL
  • BorgWarner
  • CNH Industrial
  • Continental
  • Coperion
  • Dana
  • Divgi TorqTransfer Systems
  • Eaton
  • GKN Automotive
  • Hyundai Transys
  • Jatco
  • Magna
  • Mahindra Powertrain
  • Ricardo PLC
  • Schaeffler
  • Tremec
  • WABCO
  • ZF
简介目录
Product Code: 12556

The Global Manual Transmission Market was valued at USD 22.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.3% from 2025 to 2034. This growth is driven by the resurgence of global motor vehicle production, fueled by rising consumer demand and ongoing advancements in automotive manufacturing. Manual transmissions continue to be a popular choice among buyers due to their affordability, simplicity, and versatility across various vehicle types. This is especially true in emerging markets where cost-effectiveness remains a key priority for consumers.

Manual Transmission Market - IMG1

When examining the market by vehicle type, it includes both passenger cars and commercial vehicles. In 2024, the passenger car segment generated USD 15 billion in revenue. Manual transmissions are particularly favored in budget-friendly and entry-level passenger vehicles, offering significant cost savings in terms of both production and maintenance. Additionally, these gearboxes pair well with compact, fuel-efficient engines, making them an appealing option for cost-conscious buyers. Their durability and reliability further strengthen their position in markets where economic factors play a crucial role in purchasing decisions.

Market Scope
Start Year2024
Forecast Year2025-2034
Start Value$22.6 Billion
Forecast Value$34.3 Billion
CAGR4.3%

The manual transmission market is also segmented by distribution channel into OEM (original equipment manufacturer) and aftermarket. In 2024, the OEM segment held a dominant 71% share, highlighting the importance of designing manual systems tailored to regional consumer preferences. In developing markets, automakers prioritize affordable manual transmissions to cater to budget-conscious buyers. At the same time, they offer premium manual options to appeal to high-performance markets. Partnerships with Tier 1 suppliers ensure that manual transmissions continue to evolve, improving both their efficiency and durability, helping them maintain a competitive edge in the ever-changing automotive industry.

The manual transmission market in China accounted for 46% of the global market share in 2024. Despite a general decline in demand for manual systems, niche segments like performance and sports vehicles continue to sustain interest. Enthusiasts who enjoy the control and engagement offered by manual gearboxes contribute to their ongoing presence in specialized vehicle categories. To meet this demand, automakers are reintroducing manual transmission options, ensuring that these systems remain relevant, even as the broader market shifts toward automatic transmissions.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 Methodology & Scope

  • 1.1 Research design
    • 1.1.1 Research approach
    • 1.1.2 Data collection methods
  • 1.2 Base estimates and calculations
    • 1.2.1 Base year calculation
    • 1.2.2 Key trends for market estimates
  • 1.3 Forecast model
  • 1.4 Primary research & validation
    • 1.4.1 Primary sources
    • 1.4.2 Data mining sources
  • 1.5 Market definitions

Chapter 2 Executive Summary

  • 2.1 Industry 3600 synopsis, 2021 - 2034

Chapter 3 Industry Insights

  • 3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
  • 3.2 Supplier landscape
    • 3.2.1 Raw material supplier
    • 3.2.2 Component supplier
    • 3.2.3 Manufacturer
    • 3.2.4 Service provider
    • 3.2.5 Distributor
    • 3.2.6 End-user
  • 3.3 Profit margin analysis
  • 3.4 Pricing analysis
  • 3.5 Cost breakdown analysis
  • 3.6 Technology & innovation landscape
  • 3.7 Key news & initiatives
  • 3.8 Regulatory landscape
  • 3.9 Impact forces
    • 3.9.1 Growth drivers
      • 3.9.1.1 Rising demand for fuel-efficient transmission systems
      • 3.9.1.2 Cost advantage over automatic transmissions
      • 3.9.1.3 Greater adoption in developing regions with budget vehicles
      • 3.9.1.4 Consumer preference for enhanced vehicle performance and control
    • 3.9.2 Industry pitfalls & challenges
      • 3.9.2.1 Increasing popularity of automatic and CVT systems
      • 3.9.2.2 More stringent emission and fuel efficiency regulations
  • 3.10 Growth potential analysis
  • 3.11 Porter’s analysis
  • 3.12 PESTEL analysis

Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2024

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Company market share analysis
  • 4.3 Competitive positioning matrix
  • 4.4 Strategic outlook matrix

Chapter 5 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Vehicle, 2021 - 2034 ($Mn, Units)

  • 5.1 Key trends
  • 5.2 Passenger cars
    • 5.2.1 Hatchback
    • 5.2.2 Sedan
    • 5.2.3 SUV
    • 5.2.4 Others
  • 5.3 Commercial vehicle
    • 5.3.1 Light duty
    • 5.3.2 Medium duty
    • 5.3.3 Heavy duty

Chapter 6 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Transmission, 2021 - 2034 ($Mn, Units)

  • 6.1 Key trends
  • 6.2 5-speed
  • 6.3 6-speed
  • 6.4 Others

Chapter 7 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Propulsion, 2021 - 2034 ($Mn, Units)

  • 7.1 Key trends
  • 7.2 Gasoline
  • 7.3 Diesel
  • 7.4 Hybrid
  • 7.5 CNG
  • 7.6 LPG

Chapter 8 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Distribution Channel, 2021 - 2034 ($Mn, Units)

  • 8.1 Key trends
  • 8.2 OEM
  • 8.3 Aftermarket

Chapter 9 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Region, 2021 - 2034 ($Mn, Units)

  • 9.1 Key trends
  • 9.2 North America
    • 9.2.1 U.S.
    • 9.2.2 Canada
  • 9.3 Europe
    • 9.3.1 UK
    • 9.3.2 Germany
    • 9.3.3 France
    • 9.3.4 Italy
    • 9.3.5 Spain
    • 9.3.6 Nordics
  • 9.4 Asia Pacific
    • 9.4.1 China
    • 9.4.2 India
    • 9.4.3 Japan
    • 9.4.4 South Korea
    • 9.4.5 Australia
    • 9.4.6 Southeast Asia
  • 9.5 Latin America
    • 9.5.1 Brazil
    • 9.5.2 Argentina
    • 9.5.3 Mexico
  • 9.6 MEA
    • 9.6.1 UAE
    • 9.6.2 Saudi Arabia
    • 9.6.3 South Africa

Chapter 10 Company Profiles

  • 10.1 Aisin
  • 10.2 Allison
  • 10.3 AVL
  • 10.4 BorgWarner
  • 10.5 CNH Industrial
  • 10.6 Continental
  • 10.7 Coperion
  • 10.8 Dana
  • 10.9 Divgi TorqTransfer Systems
  • 10.10 Eaton
  • 10.11 GKN Automotive
  • 10.12 Hyundai Transys
  • 10.13 Jatco
  • 10.14 Magna
  • 10.15 Mahindra Powertrain
  • 10.16 Ricardo PLC
  • 10.17 Schaeffler
  • 10.18 Tremec
  • 10.19 WABCO
  • 10.20 ZF