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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1698233
自动驾驶汽车市场机会、成长动力、产业趋势分析及 2025-2034 年预测Self-driving Cars Market Opportunity, Growth Drivers, Industry Trend Analysis, and Forecast 2025-2034 |
2024 年全球自动驾驶汽车市场价值达 1.7 兆美元,预计 2025 年至 2034 年的复合年增长率将达到 8.6%。推动这一成长的主要因素是自动驾驶汽车有可能大幅减少道路交通事故,根据世界卫生组织报告,道路交通事故每年在全球造成超过 130 万人死亡。其中 90% 以上的死亡事故都是人为错误造成的,自动驾驶系统旨在透过人工智慧驱动的决策和先进的驾驶辅助技术来消除这些错误。先进感测器的整合可以在复杂的城市环境中实现精确导航,而 5G 驱动的车对一切 (V2X) 通讯可确保即时交通更新和道路安全。预计到 2050 年城市人口将大幅增加,自动驾驶汽车在智慧城市基础设施发展中发挥关键作用,促进了永续、高效的交通解决方案。
根据产品类型,市场包括紧凑型、中型和豪华 SUV。 2024 年,SUV 和豪华车型占据了超过 43% 的市场份额,预计到 2034 年将超过 2 兆美元。其宽敞的设计可容纳 LiDAR、RADAR 和基于 AI 的软体等尖端自动驾驶技术,同时又不影响舒适性。这些车辆吸引了那些愿意投资于先进安全和个人化驾驶体验的技术娴熟的早期采用者。此外,SUV 在家庭和越野用途方面仍然具有很高的功能性,进一步促进了其在自动驾驶领域的应用。
市场范围 | |
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起始年份 | 2024 |
预测年份 | 2025-2034 |
起始值 | 1.7兆美元 |
预测值 | 3.9兆美元 |
复合年增长率 | 8.6% |
依照动力方式,自动驾驶汽车分为内燃机(ICE)、混合动力和电动车型。 2024 年,电动车的市占率将达到 45%,这主要归功于其与自动驾驶系统的无缝整合。由于电动车具有集中式电子架构和连接能力,因此在支援自动驾驶功能方面具有天然优势。世界各国政府继续透过税收优惠、补贴和扩大充电基础设施来推动电动车的普及,使其成为开发下一代自动驾驶车队的汽车製造商的首选。
自动驾驶等级从 L1 到 L5 不等,其中 L1 到 2024 年市场规模将达到 7,061 亿美元。自适应巡航控制和车道维持辅助等 L1 功能可在保持驾驶员监督的同时提高驾驶安全性。这些技术实施起来具有成本效益,可以广泛应用于各个车辆领域。越来越多的监管要求强制执行基本驾驶辅助功能,包括自动紧急制动,这继续推动对 L1 系统的需求,确保其强大的市场地位。
自动驾驶汽车的应用涵盖个人使用、共享出行、物流和公共交通。预计物流和配送产业将出现最快的成长,预测期内复合年增长率为 14%。个人使用的自动驾驶汽车提供了更大的便利,使乘客能够在旅行时从事其他活动。共享旅游服务正逐步整合自动驾驶计程车,提高城市交通效率。随着成本下降和经济可及性的提高,个人拥有自动驾驶汽车的现象变得越来越普遍。
北美占据自动驾驶汽车市场的主导地位,占有 25% 的份额,其中美国在 2024 年的收入为 3,760 亿美元。该地区在自动驾驶汽车创新方面处于领先地位,科技公司在人工智慧、感测器技术和连接性方面取得开创性进展。有利的政府法规和持续的政策支持进一步加速了市场扩张,巩固了北美作为自动驾驶技术全球领导者的地位。
The Global Self-Driving Cars Market, valued at USD 1.7 trillion in 2024, is expected to expand at a CAGR of 8.6% from 2025 to 2034. The primary factor fueling this growth is the potential of autonomous vehicles to drastically reduce road accidents, which claim over 1.3 million lives worldwide each year, as reported by the World Health Organization. More than 90% of these fatalities result from human error, which autonomous systems aim to eliminate through AI-driven decision-making and advanced driver-assistance technologies. The integration of sophisticated sensors allows precise navigation in complex urban environments, while 5G-powered vehicle-to-everything (V2X) communication ensures real-time traffic updates and road safety. With urban populations projected to rise significantly by 2050, autonomous vehicles are playing a pivotal role in the development of smart city infrastructure, promoting sustainable and efficient transportation solutions.
By product type, the market includes compact, mid-size, and luxury SUVs. SUVs and luxury models captured over 43% of the market in 2024 and are set to surpass USD 2 trillion by 2034. Their spacious design accommodates cutting-edge autonomous technology such as LiDAR, RADAR, and AI-based software without compromising comfort. These vehicles appeal to tech-savvy early adopters willing to invest in advanced safety and personalized driving experiences. Additionally, SUVs remain highly functional for family and off-road use, further boosting their adoption within the autonomous sector.
Market Scope | |
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Start Year | 2024 |
Forecast Year | 2025-2034 |
Start Value | $1.7 Trillion |
Forecast Value | $3.9 Trillion |
CAGR | 8.6% |
In terms of propulsion, self-driving vehicles are classified into internal combustion engine (ICE), hybrid, and electric models. Electric vehicles held a 45% market share in 2024, largely due to their seamless integration with autonomous systems. EVs have a natural advantage in supporting autonomous driving features, given their centralized electronic architecture and connectivity capabilities. Governments worldwide continue to push EV adoption through tax benefits, subsidies and expanded charging infrastructure, making them a preferred choice for automakers developing next-generation autonomous fleets.
Autonomy levels range from L1 to L5, with L1 accounting for USD 706.1 billion in 2024. L1 features, such as adaptive cruise control and lane-keeping assistance, enhance driving safety while maintaining driver oversight. These technologies are cost-effective to implement, making them widely available across various vehicle segments. Growing regulatory requirements mandating basic driver-assistance features, including automatic emergency braking, continue to drive demand for L1 systems, ensuring their strong market presence.
Autonomous vehicle applications span personal use, shared mobility, logistics, and public transport. The logistics and delivery sector is expected to witness the fastest growth, with a 14% CAGR during the forecast period. Personal-use autonomous vehicles provide enhanced convenience, enabling passengers to engage in other activities while traveling. Shared mobility services are gradually integrating autonomous taxis, improving urban transportation efficiency. With declining costs and increasing financial accessibility, personal ownership of self-driving cars is becoming more widespread.
North America dominates the self-driving cars market, holding a 25% share, with the United States generating USD 376 billion in revenue in 2024. The region leads in autonomous vehicle innovation, with tech firms pioneering advancements in AI, sensor technology, and connectivity. Favorable government regulations and ongoing policy support further accelerate market expansion, solidifying North America's position as a global leader in self-driving technology.