军事模拟与训练市场机会、成长动力、产业趋势分析及 2025 - 2034 年预测

2024年，全球军事模拟与训练市场规模达137亿美元，预计到2034年将以5.3%的复合年增长率成长，达到228亿美元。这主要得益于全球国防开支的成长，而这将继续推动对先进、安全且经济高效的训练系统的需求。随着国防部队寻求切实可行且经济的解决方案，对高科技模拟工具的需求激增。虽然实战演习仍然至关重要，但模拟平台有助于降低作战风险，并最大限度地降低与实战训练相关的成本，例如设备磨损和燃料消耗。

然而，过去的贸易紧张局势，尤其是对中国电子产品征收的关税，扰乱了供应链，并增加了美国国防承包商的生产成本。人工智慧 (AI)、数位孪生和沈浸式扩增实境/虚拟实境 (AR/VR) 等技术进步改变了军事模拟和训练格局。这些创新使国防部队能够以无与伦比的真实感和效率模拟高度复杂的多域场景。人工智慧驱动的训练系统现在可以适应使用者行为，提供个人化的学习路径，并根据即时决策模式预测结果。数位孪生——实体系统的虚拟复製品——使国防人员能够与来自设备、车辆或整个环境的即时资料进行交互，从而促进更好的战略规划和作战准确性。

就模拟类型而言，军事模拟与训练市场中的实战训练部分在2024年创造了66.1亿美元的收入。儘管虚拟和建设性模拟技术正在不断发展，但实战演习在提供真实战斗体验方面仍然无可比拟，并且对于复製动态战斗场景至关重要。对联合训练任务的日益重视也提升了对大规模实战模拟的需求，而随着雷射武器替代品和混合系统的创新，实战模拟正变得越来越有效。

2024年，军事模拟与训练市场中的机载模拟部分价值达56.3亿美元，这得益于下一代飞机和无人机的日益普及，推动了对用于复杂任务规划、航电训练和高级驾驶的高度专业化模拟器的需求。随着飞行营运成本的日益增长，基于模拟的训练提供了一种经济高效的替代方案，可以减少技能发展所需的实际飞行小时数，尤其对于高维护成本的飞机而言。

2024年，美国军事模拟与训练市场规模达43亿美元，这得益于国防开支的大幅成长，以及对训练基础设施现代化的重视。美国正在开发整合数位孪生技术的下一代类比环境，能够即时镜像战场状况，从而实现更精准、数据更丰富的作战准备。此外，以合成环境和基于云端的训练生态系统为中心的倡议正在广泛应用，确保部队能够在跨领域和复杂的联合作战场景中协同作战。

为了在竞争中保持强势地位，洛克希德·马丁、诺斯罗普·格鲁曼、BAE系统公司、CAE、柯林斯航太、萨博、泰雷兹、埃尔比特系统公司、波音、莱茵金属、L3哈里斯科技、新科工程、康斯伯格海事、Indra Sistemas、Leonardo DRS、Cubic Corporation、哈里斯科技、新科工程、康斯伯格海事、Indra Sistemas、Leonardo DRS、Cubic Corporation、德事隆系统互动公司等几家主要核心战略公司。这些策略包括与国防部门合作、拓展新兴市场以及投资扩增实境、人工智慧和虚拟实境技术的研发。许多公司正在升级现有的模拟器，以整合即时资料和跨领域训练工具，而其他一些公司则正在整合基于云端的远端训练平台。

目录

第一章：方法论与范围

第二章：执行摘要

第三章：行业洞察

• 产业生态系统分析
• 川普政府关税
  • 对贸易的影响
    • 贸易量中断
    • 报復措施
  • 对产业的影响
    • 供给侧影响
      • 关键零件价格波动
      • 供应链重组
      • 生产成本影响
    • 需求面影响（售价）
      • 价格传导至终端市场
      • 市占率动态
      • 消费者反应模式
  • 受影响的主要公司
  • 策略产业回应
    • 供应链重构
    • 定价和产品策略
    • 政策参与
  • 展望与未来考虑
• 产业衝击力
  • 成长动力
    • 全球国防预算增加
    • 对经济高效且安全的培训解决方案的需求不断增长
    • 采用网路中心战理论
    • 越来越重视无人系统训练（无人机、无人地面车辆、无人水面艇）
    • VR/AR 与 AI 的技术进步
  • 产业陷阱与挑战
    • 初期投资成本高
    • 与遗留系统的复杂集成
• 成长潜力分析
• 监管格局
• 技术格局
• 未来市场趋势
• 差距分析
• 波特的分析
• PESTEL分析

第四章：竞争格局

• 介绍
• 公司市占率分析
• 主要市场参与者的竞争分析
• 竞争定位矩阵
• 策略仪表板

第五章：市场估计与预测：按类型，2021 年至 2034 年

• 主要趋势
• 居住
• 虚拟的
• 建设性的

第六章：市场估计与预测：按平台，2021 年至 2034 年

• 主要趋势
• 土地
• 海上
• 空降

第七章：市场估计与预测：按解决方案，2021 年至 2034 年

• 主要趋势
• 产品
• 服务

第八章：市场估计与预测：按模拟类型，2021 年至 2034 年

• 主要趋势
• 飞行模拟器
• 车辆模拟器
• 战斗模拟系统
• 指挥与控制模拟器
• 其他的

第九章：市场估计与预测：按地区，2021 年至 2034 年

• 主要趋势
• 北美洲
  • 我们
  • 加拿大
• 欧洲
  • 德国
  • 英国
  • 法国
  • 西班牙
  • 义大利
  • 荷兰
• 亚太地区
  • 中国
  • 印度
  • 日本
  • 澳洲
  • 韩国
• 拉丁美洲
  • 巴西
  • 墨西哥
  • 阿根廷
• 中东和非洲
  • 沙乌地阿拉伯
  • 南非
  • 阿联酋

第十章：公司简介

• BAE Systems
• Bohemia Interactive Simulations
• CAE
• Collins Aerospace
• Cubic Corporation
• Elbit Systems
• Indra Sistemas
• Kongsberg Maritime
• L3Harris Technologies
• Leonardo DRS
• Lockheed Martin
• Northrop Grumman
• Rheinmetall
• Saab
• ST Engineering
• Textron Systems
• Thales
• The Boeing Company

The Global Military Simulation and Training Market was valued at USD 13.7 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 5.3% to reach USD 22.8 billion by 2034, driven by the rise in defense spending globally, which continues to drive the need for advanced, safe, and cost-efficient training systems. As defense forces seek realistic yet economical solutions, demand for high-tech simulation tools has surged. While live combat drills remain crucial, simulation platforms help reduce operational risks and minimize costs associated with real-life training, such as equipment wear and fuel consumption.

However, past trade tensions, especially tariffs on Chinese electronics, disrupted the supply chain and increased production costs for US defense contractors. Technological advancements like artificial intelligence (AI), digital twins, and immersive AR/VR transform the military simulation and training landscape. These innovations enable defense forces to simulate highly complex, multi-domain scenarios with unparalleled realism and efficiency. AI-driven training systems can now adapt to user behavior, deliver personalized learning paths, and predict outcomes based on real-time decision-making patterns. Digital twins-virtual replicas of physical systems-allow defense personnel to interact with real-time data from equipment, vehicles, or entire environments, facilitating better strategic planning and operational accuracy.

In terms of simulation type, the live training segment in the military simulation and training market generated USD 6.61 billion in 2024. Although virtual and constructive simulations are advancing, live exercises remain unmatched in delivering authentic combat experiences and are crucial for replicating dynamic battle scenarios. The growing emphasis on joint training missions has also elevated the need for large-scale live simulations, which are becoming more effective with innovations in laser-based weapon substitutes and hybrid systems.

The airborne simulation segment in the military simulation and training market was valued at USD 5.63 billion in 2024, driven by the rising adoption of next-generation aircraft and UAVs has pushed demand for highly specialized simulators designed for complex mission planning, avionics training, and advanced piloting. With flight operations becoming more expensive, simulation-based training offers a cost-effective and efficient alternative, reducing the number of real flying hours needed for skill development, particularly for high-maintenance aircraft.

United States Military Simulation and Training Market generated USD 4.3 billion in 2024, driven by substantial increases in defense spending, coupled with a focused commitment to modernizing training infrastructure. The country is developing next-gen simulation environments integrating digital twin technologies, enabling real-time mirroring of battlefield conditions for more accurate and data-rich preparation. Moreover, initiatives centered on synthetic environments and cloud-based training ecosystems are gaining widespread adoption, ensuring forces to operate cohesively across domains and in complex joint-force scenarios.

To maintain a strong position in the competitive landscape, key companies like Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, BAE Systems, CAE, Collins Aerospace, Saab, Thales, Elbit Systems, Boeing, Rheinmetall, L3Harris Technologies, ST Engineering, Kongsberg Maritime, Indra Sistemas, Leonardo DRS, Cubic Corporation, Textron Systems, and Bohemia Interactive Simulations are focusing on several core strategies. These include partnerships with defense departments, expansion into emerging markets, and investments in R&D for AR, AI, and VR capabilities. Many are upgrading existing simulators to incorporate real-time data and cross-domain training tools, while others are integrating cloud-based platforms for remote training.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 Methodology and Scope

• 1.1 Market scope and definitions
• 1.2 Research design
  • 1.2.1 Research approach
  • 1.2.2 Data collection methods
• 1.3 Base estimates and calculations
  • 1.3.1 Base year calculation
  • 1.3.2 Key trends for market estimation
• 1.4 Forecast model
• 1.5 Primary research and validation
  • 1.5.1 Primary sources
  • 1.5.2 Data mining sources

Chapter 2 Executive Summary

• 2.1 Industry 360° synopsis

Chapter 3 Industry Insights

• 3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
• 3.2 Trump Administration Tariffs
  • 3.2.1 Impact on Trade
    • 3.2.1.1 Trade Volume Disruptions
    • 3.2.1.2 Retaliatory Measures
  • 3.2.2 Impact on the Industry
    • 3.2.2.1 Supply-Side Impact
      • 3.2.2.1.1 Price Volatility in Key Components
      • 3.2.2.1.2 Supply Chain Restructuring
      • 3.2.2.1.3 Production Cost Implications
    • 3.2.2.2 Demand-Side Impact (Selling Price)
      • 3.2.2.2.1 Price Transmission to End Markets
      • 3.2.2.2.2 Market Share Dynamics
      • 3.2.2.2.3 Consumer Response Patterns
  • 3.2.3 Key Companies Impacted
  • 3.2.4 Strategic Industry Responses
    • 3.2.4.1 Supply Chain Reconfiguration
    • 3.2.4.2 Pricing and Product Strategies
    • 3.2.4.3 Policy Engagement
  • 3.2.5 Outlook and Future Considerations
• 3.3 Industry impact forces
  • 3.3.1 Growth drivers
    • 3.3.1.1 Increased defense budgets worldwide
    • 3.3.1.2 Rising demand for cost-effective and safe training solutions
    • 3.3.1.3 Adoption of network-centric warfare doctrines
    • 3.3.1.4 Growing focus on unmanned systems training (UAVs, UGVs, USVs)
    • 3.3.1.5 Technological advancements in VR/AR and AI
  • 3.3.2 Industry pitfalls and challenges
    • 3.3.2.1 High initial investment costs
    • 3.3.2.2 Complex integration with legacy systems
• 3.4 Growth potential analysis
• 3.5 Regulatory landscape
• 3.6 Technology landscape
• 3.7 Future market trends
• 3.8 Gap analysis
• 3.9 Porter's analysis
• 3.10 PESTEL analysis

Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2024

• 4.1 Introduction
• 4.2 Company market share analysis
• 4.3 Competitive analysis of major market players
• 4.4 Competitive positioning matrix
• 4.5 Strategy dashboard

Chapter 5 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Type, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million)

• 5.1 Key trends
• 5.2 Live
• 5.3 Virtual
• 5.4 Constructive

Chapter 6 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Platform, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million)

• 6.1 Key trends
• 6.2 Land
• 6.3 Maritime
• 6.4 Airborne

Chapter 7 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Solution, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million)

• 7.1 Key trends
• 7.2 Product
• 7.3 Services

Chapter 8 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Simulation Type, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million)

• 8.1 Key trends
• 8.2 Flight simulators
• 8.3 Vehicle simulators
• 8.4 Combat simulation systems
• 8.5 Command & control simulators
• 8.6 Others

Chapter 9 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Region, 2021 – 2034 (USD Million)

• 9.1 Key trends
• 9.2 North America
  • 9.2.1 U.S.
  • 9.2.2 Canada
• 9.3 Europe
  • 9.3.1 Germany
  • 9.3.2 UK
  • 9.3.3 France
  • 9.3.4 Spain
  • 9.3.5 Italy
  • 9.3.6 Netherlands
• 9.4 Asia Pacific
  • 9.4.1 China
  • 9.4.2 India
  • 9.4.3 Japan
  • 9.4.4 Australia
  • 9.4.5 South Korea
• 9.5 Latin America
  • 9.5.1 Brazil
  • 9.5.2 Mexico
  • 9.5.3 Argentina
• 9.6 Middle East and Africa
  • 9.6.1 Saudi Arabia
  • 9.6.2 South Africa
  • 9.6.3 UAE

Chapter 10 Company Profiles

• 10.1 BAE Systems
• 10.2 Bohemia Interactive Simulations
• 10.3 CAE
• 10.4 Collins Aerospace
• 10.5 Cubic Corporation
• 10.6 Elbit Systems
• 10.7 Indra Sistemas
• 10.8 Kongsberg Maritime
• 10.9 L3Harris Technologies
• 10.10 Leonardo DRS
• 10.11 Lockheed Martin
• 10.12 Northrop Grumman
• 10.13 Rheinmetall
• 10.14 Saab
• 10.15 ST Engineering
• 10.16 Textron Systems
• 10.17 Thales
• 10.18 The Boeing Company