美国养老院市场规模、份额和趋势分析报告：按年龄、地区和细分市场预测，2025 年至 2033 年

美国养老院市场摘要

预计 2024 年美国养老院市值将达到 443.8 亿美元，到 2033 年将达到 935.4 亿美元，2025 年至 2033 年的复合年增长率为 8.69%。

这一增长主要得益于预期寿命的延长和婴儿潮一代的崛起，这推动了对养老设施 (ALF) 的需求。此外，寻求陪伴、安慰和日常活动协助的老年人口不断增长，以及患有神经系统疾病和其他慢性疾病的患者数量不断增加，预计将推动市场成长。根据美国国家人口问题研究所 2024 年 1 月发布的数据，预计到 2060 年，65 岁及以上美国的数量将从 2018 年的 5,200 万增至 9,500 万人。就占比而言，65 岁及以上年龄组预计将从 2018 年的 16% 增加到 2060 年的 23%。

对辅助生活设施（ALF）的需求增加：

随着美国老年人口的不断增长，对辅助生活设施 (ALF) 的需求也日益迫切。根据 RubyHome 2023 年 9 月发表的一篇报导，大约有 120 万美国居住在养老院，全美共有超过 15,000 家养老院。此外，由于一半的养老院住户年龄在 85 岁或以上，因此有超过 30,000 个社区主要为老年人提供服务。这些安排对财务的影响是巨大的，带有辅助生活设施的付费养老院每月平均费用为 4,500 美元。同时，私人养老院房间每月费用约为 9,034 美元，几乎是生活辅助费用的两倍。加州、佛罗里达州和华盛顿州在生活辅助社区方面领先全国，分别有 5,900 个、2,400 个和 2,000 个。此外，根据消费者联合有限责任公司的数据，美国十分之七的人在其一生中都需要辅助生活设施。

ALF 居民数量不断增加

ALF 居民数量的增加表明对这些服务的需求不断增长。这一趋势凸显了美国各地对高品质辅助生活设施的需求。随着需求的持续增长，服务提供者必须不断发展，以满足老龄化人口不断变化的需求。辅助生活设施集中在都市区有几个原因。都市区密度较高，可以提供较大的潜在居民群。此外，靠近医疗服务、社会福利设施和交通枢纽也使都市区环境对这些设施具有吸引力。都市区市场受益于各种便利设施和服务，使设施能够提供多种活动、餐饮选择和休閒机会，以满足不同类型的居住者。

目录

第一章调查方法与范围

第二章执行摘要

第三章市场变数、趋势和范围

• 市场谱系
  • 母市场分析
  • 辅助市场分析
• 美国养老院市场 - 市场动态
  • 市场驱动因素分析
  • 市场限制因素分析
  • 市场机会分析
  • 市场问题分析
• COVID-19影响分析
• 监管和报销情况
• 商业环境工具分析：美国养老院市场
  • 波特五力分析
  • PESTLE分析

第四章：美国养老院市场：年龄估算与趋势分析

• 美国养老院市场（按年龄层）：关键要点
• 美国养老院市场：2024 年和 2033 年年龄趋势和市场份额分析
• 超过85年
• 75至84岁
• 65至74岁
• 65岁以下

第五章美国养老院市场：区域估计和趋势分析

• 美国养老院市场（按地区）主要特点
• 美国养老院市场：2024 年和 2033 年区域趋势和市场份额分析
• 西方
• 南
• 中西部
• 东北

第六章 竞争态势

• 公司分类
• 企业市场分析
• 战略地图
• 公司简介
  • Kindred Healthcare
  • Brookdale Senior Living Solutions
  • Sunrise Senior Living
  • Sonida Senior Living
  • Atria Senior Living, Inc
  • Five Star Senior Living（AlerisLife）
  • Merrill Gardens
  • Centers for Dialysis Care
  • Integral Senior Living（ISL）
  • Belmont Village, LP

U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market Summary

The U.S. assisted living facility market size was estimated at USD 44.38 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 93.54 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 8.69% from 2025 to 2033. This growth is driven by the increasing life expectancy and the baby boomer generation contributing to the demand for assisted living facilities (ALFs). Moreover, the growing geriatric population seeking companionship, security, & assistance with daily activities and patients suffering from neurological & other chronic disorders are expected to drive the market growth. As per the data published by the Population Reference Bureau in January 2024, the number of Americans aged 65 and above is projected to reach 95 million by 2060, increasing from 52 million in 2018. By percentage, the age group of 65 years and above is expected to increase from 16% in 2018 to 23% by 2060.

Rise in Demand for Assisted Living Facilities (ALF):

As the U.S. population of seniors continues to grow, the demand for ALFs is becoming increasingly pressing. According to the RubyHome article published in September 2023, approximately 1.2 million Americans reside in nursing homes, with over 15,000 nursing facilities nationwide. In addition, more than 30,000 communities cater primarily to older adults, as half of all facility residents are 85 or older. The financial implications of these arrangements are significant, with the median monthly cost for assisted living averaging USD 4,500. In contrast, a private room in a nursing home can cost around USD 9,034/month, nearly double the assisted living rate. Notably, California, Florida, and Washington lead the nation in assisted living communities, with 5,900, 2,400, and 2,000, respectively. Moreover, according to Consumers Unified, LLC, seven out of ten individuals in the U.S. require assisted living care in their lifetime.

The Growing Number of Residents in ALF:

The growing number of residents in ALFs indicates an increasing demand for these services. This trend highlights the need for high-quality assisted living facilities across the country. As this demand continues to rise, providers must evolve to address the changing needs of the aging population. The urban areas have a greater concentration of assisted living facilities for several reasons. The higher population density in cities results in a larger pool of potential residents. Moreover, the proximity to healthcare services, social amenities, and transportation makes urban settings appealing for these facilities. The market in urban areas benefits from various amenities and services, allowing facilities to offer multiple activities, dining choices, and recreational opportunities that cater to diverse residents.

U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market Report Segmentation

This report forecasts revenue growth at the country level and provides an analysis of the latest industry trends in each of the sub-segments from 2021 to 2033 For this study, Grand View Research has segmented the U.S. assisted living facility market report based on age, and region:

• Age Outlook (Revenue, USD Billion, 2021 - 2033)
• More than 85
• 75-84
• 65-74
• Less than 65
• Regional Outlook (Revenue, USD Billion, 2021 - 2033)
• West
• Southeast
• Southwest
• Midwest
• Northeast

Table of Contents

Chapter 1. Methodology and Scope

• 1.1. Market Segmentation & Scope
• 1.2. Market Definitions
• 1.3. Information Procurement
  • 1.3.1. Purchased Database
  • 1.3.2. GVR's Internal Database
  • 1.3.3. Secondary Sources & Third-Party Perspectives
  • 1.3.4. Primary Research
  • 1.3.5. Details of Primary Research
• 1.4. Information Analysis
  • 1.4.1. Data Analysis Models
• 1.5. Market Formulation & Data Visualization
  • 1.5.1. Commodity Flow Analysis
• 1.6. Data Validation & Publishing
• 1.7. List of Secondary Sources
• 1.8. Research Objectives

Chapter 2. Executive Summary

• 2.1. Market Snapshot
• 2.2. Segmental Snapshot
• 2.3. Competitive Insights Snapshot

Chapter 3. Market Variables, Trends, and Scope

• 3.1. Market Lineage
  • 3.1.1. Parent Market Analysis
  • 3.1.2. Ancillary Market Analysis
• 3.2. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market- Market Dynamics
  • 3.2.1. Market Driver Analysis
    • 3.2.1.1. Growing geriatric population
    • 3.2.1.2. Rise in demand for assisted living facilities
    • 3.2.1.3. Growing prevalence of target diseases
    • 3.2.1.4. Growing investments and franchises of assisted living facilities and adult day care facilities
    • 3.2.1.5. Technological advancements
  • 3.2.2. Market Restraint Analysis
    • 3.2.2.1. High cost for specialized treatment and services
    • 3.2.2.2. Limited coverage
  • 3.2.3. Market Opportunity Analysis
    • 3.2.3.1. Enhancements in features and services offered by assisted living facilities
  • 3.2.4. Market Challenges Analysis
    • 3.2.4.1. Staffing and workforce concerns
    • 3.2.4.2. Evolving regulations and compliance
• 3.3. COVID-19 Impact Analysis
• 3.4. Regulatory & Reimbursement Scenario
• 3.5. Business Environmental Tools Analysis: U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market
  • 3.5.1. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 3.5.2. PESTLE Analysis

Chapter 4. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market: Age Estimates & Trend Analysis

• 4.1. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market, By Age: Key Takeaways
• 4.2. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market: Age Movement & Market Share Analysis, 2024 & 2033
• 4.3. More Than 85 Years
  • 4.3.1. More Than 85 Years Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 4.4. 75 To 84 Years
  • 4.4.1. 75 To 84 Years Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 4.5. 65 To 74 Years
  • 4.5.1. 65 To 74 Years Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 4.6. Less Than 65 Years
  • 4.6.1. Less Than 65 Years Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)

Chapter 5. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market: Regional Estimates & Trend Analysis

• 5.1. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market, By Regional: Key Takeaways
• 5.2. U.S. Assisted Living Facility Market: Regional Movement & Market Share Analysis, 2024 & 2033
• 5.3. West
  • 5.3.1. West Assisted Living Facility Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 5.4. South
  • 5.4.1. South Assisted Living Facility Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 5.5. Midwest
  • 5.5.1. Midwest Assisted Living Facility Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• 5.6. Northeast
  • 5.6.1. Northeast Assisted Living Facility Market Estimates and Forecasts, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)

Chapter 6. Competitive Landscape

• 6.1. Company Categorization
• 6.2. Company Market Position Analysis
• 6.3. Strategy Mapping
• 6.4. Company Profiles
  • 6.4.1. Kindred Healthcare
    • 6.4.1.1. Overview
    • 6.4.1.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.1.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.1.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.2. Brookdale Senior Living Solutions
    • 6.4.2.1. Overview
    • 6.4.2.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.2.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.2.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.3. Sunrise Senior Living
    • 6.4.3.1. Overview
    • 6.4.3.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.3.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.3.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.4. Sonida Senior Living
    • 6.4.4.1. Overview
    • 6.4.4.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.4.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.4.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.5. Atria Senior Living, Inc
    • 6.4.5.1. Overview
    • 6.4.5.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.5.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.5.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.6. Five Star Senior Living (AlerisLife)
    • 6.4.6.1. Overview
    • 6.4.6.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.6.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.6.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.7. Merrill Gardens
    • 6.4.7.1. Overview
    • 6.4.7.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.7.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.7.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.8. Centers for Dialysis Care
    • 6.4.8.1. Overview
    • 6.4.8.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.8.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.8.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.9. Integral Senior Living (ISL)
    • 6.4.9.1. Overview
    • 6.4.9.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.9.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.9.4. Strategic Initiatives
  • 6.4.10. Belmont Village, L.P.
    • 6.4.10.1. Overview
    • 6.4.10.2. Financial Performance
    • 6.4.10.3. Service Benchmarking
    • 6.4.10.4. Strategic Initiatives

List of Tables

• Table 1 List of secondary sources
• Table 2 List of abbreviation
• Table 3 Costs of assisted living facility for special services in key states
• Table 4 U.S. Assisted Living Facility market revenue estimates and forecast, by age, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Table 5 U.S. assisted living facility market revenue estimates and forecast, by regional, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)

List of Figures

• Fig. 1 U.S. assisted living facility segmentation
• Fig. 2 Market research process
• Fig. 3 Data triangulation techniques
• Fig. 4 Primary research pattern
• Fig. 5 Market research approaches
• Fig. 6 Value chain-based sizing & forecasting
• Fig. 7 QFD modeling for market share assessment
• Fig. 8 Market formulation & validation
• Fig. 9 Market snapshot
• Fig. 10 Market segmentation
• Fig. 11 Competitive landscape
• Fig. 12 Parent market outlook
• Fig. 13 Ancillary market outlook
• Fig. 14 U.S. assisted living facility market dynamics
• Fig. 15 U.S. assisted living facility market: Age movement share analysis
• Fig. 16 U.S. assisted living facility market: Age segment dashboard
• Fig. 17 More than 85 years market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 18 75 to 84 years market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 19 65 to 74 years market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 20 Less than 65 years market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 21 U.S. assisted living facility regional market share analysis
• Fig. 22 U.S. assisted living facility region market: Segment dashboard
• Fig. 23 West assisted living facility market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 24 South assisted living facility market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 25 Midwest assisted living facility market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 26 Northeast assisted living facility market, 2021 - 2033 (USD Billion)
• Fig. 27 Company/competition categorization
• Fig. 28 Company market position analysis
• Fig. 29 Strategy mapping