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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1831897
2025-2033年钪市场报告(依产品类型、应用、最终用途产业和地区)Scandium Market Report by Product Type, Application, End Use Industry, and Region 2025-2033 |
2024年,全球钪市场规模达6.288亿美元。展望未来, IMARC Group预计到2033年,市场规模将达到10.688亿美元,2025-2033年期间的复合年增长率(CAGR)为6.1%。市场成长主要得益于航太和汽车产业对轻量化高性能合金的需求日益增长、电动车市场的显着扩张以及政府为减少钪进口依赖而出台的优惠政策。
航太和国防工业需求
钪在航太和国防领域具有重要意义,因为它能够提升铝合金的性能,使其更轻、更坚固。这项应用对于生产更有效率的航太结构和军事装备至关重要。根据美国联邦航空管理局 (FAA) 的数据,预计到 2039 年,现役通用航空机队总数将从 2018 年的 212,875 架增加到 211,575 架。为了创新和提升国防能力,钪合金等先进材料的应用受到了广泛重视。这些投资推动了钪增强材料的开发,因为它们满足了现代航太工程和国防系统的严格要求。此外,政府资金支持的持续研发促进了钪的创新,拓展了钪的用途,从而推动了其市场成长。随着这些产业转向更高强度重量比的材料以提高燃油效率和性能,钪的价值日益凸显,使其成为未来国防和航太发展的关键基础。
电动汽车(EV)市场的成长
电动车市场的扩张大幅拉动了对钪的需求,钪被广泛用于製造各种电动车零件所需的轻质铝钪合金。根据全球永续电力伙伴关係组织的数据,国家电网的一项研究预测,到2025年,中国交通运输部门的电力份额将达到10%,高于2015年的5%,并将在2030年进一步上升至15%,到2040年达到25%。此外,中国的电动车销量持续成长,从2011年的5,600辆开始,到2014年达到4.5万辆,2016年扩大到74万辆。到2017年,中国已生产了约77万辆电动车,总保有量约200万辆。到2030年,中国预计将拥有近5,000万辆电动车,每年用于电动车充电的专用电力需求将达到200TWh。根据中国汽车工程学会的数据,2030年汽车销量将达3,800万辆,其中1,500万辆(40%)为电动车。此外,钪合金能够满足减轻汽车重量的要求,从而提高汽车性能和电池效率。同时,美国、中国和欧盟等多个主要经济体的政府正在透过制定法规和目标来推动电动车销售的成长,同时支持包括钪使用在内的技术进步。因此,这些法规的推动加上钪合金的优势,使这种材料成为满足电动车市场蓬勃发展的需求所需的关键资源。
政府支持倡议
各国政府正在实施战略措施,以确保钪的供应,并促进其在各行各业的应用,因为它们认识到钪是一种关键矿产。在美国,能源部与欧盟和澳洲的其他实体合作,已拨出专款和补贴,专门用于提高钪的开采能力,减少对进口的依赖。例如,2023年11月9日,钪国际矿业公司宣布,其全资子公司EMC Metals Australia Pty Ltd已启动Nyngan钪项目的实体开发,此前2023年Nyngan钻探计划取得了积极成果。 Nyngan钪计画位于澳洲新南威尔斯州西部Nyngan镇南偏西南17.5公里处。 Nyngan钪项目将是世界上第一个专门开采钪的矿产项目,专注于一种被澳洲、加拿大和美国政府认定为关键矿产的高需求金属。这项开发案为新南威尔斯州成为负责任的关键矿产供应领域的全球领导者提供了一个重要机会。因此,政府采取的积极措施确保了钪的供应,稳定了市场,将钪推到了高科技产业和永续发展项目的前沿。
氟化物占据大部分市场份额
氟化物因其在高强度金属卤化物灯和电子产品中的广泛应用,正逐渐成为最大的细分市场。此外,由于其优异的导电性和耐腐蚀性,氟化物也是固态氧化物燃料电池的优质材料。此外,各行各业都高度依赖这种化合物来提升轻型航太结构和体育用品的性能,这进一步刺激了氟化物的需求。氟化钪的多功能性,加上其在各种高科技应用中不可或缺的作用,使其在钪市场中占据领先地位,这反映了多个行业对提高效率和性能的广泛趋势。
铝钪合金在钪市场中占有相当大的份额,这主要得益于航太和汽车产业。这种合金与少量钪结合后,会表现出优异的性能,例如强度增加、晶粒减小和可焊性改善,有助于提高飞机和车辆的性能。此外,减少碳排放和提高燃油效率的重要性日益增加,也显着影响了该行业不断增长的需求,因此轻量化材料变得越来越重要。因此,主要参与者正在推出先进的产品变体来满足这些需求。例如,2023 年 10 月 18 日,NioCorp Developments Ltd. 及其开发合作伙伴 Nanoscale Powders LLC 在宾州新自由的创意工程师工厂成功生产出 1 公斤铝钪合金锭。
此外,高强度金属卤化物灯中添加钪元素,可提高光的品质和效率。这类灯广泛应用于大型照明应用,例如体育场馆、工业设施和公共场所,这些场所需要强劲可靠的照明。此外,添加钪元素还能使这些灯发出与自然光非常相似的光线,从而提高可见度和显色性。此外,这一细分市场的主要驱动力是城市基础设施的不断增长以及对节能照明解决方案日益增长的需求。
雷射钪广泛应用于各种雷射技术,尤其是科研、军事和医疗领域。此外,钪製成的雷射因其能够精确控制地产生特定波长的雷射光束而备受推崇。这些特性使其适用于基础研究、外科手术以及精确度至关重要的特定军事用途。此外,医疗设备的创新以及现代通讯和武器系统国防开支的增加也推动了雷射对钪的需求。
此外,固态氧化物燃料电池 (SOFC) 使用钪稳定氧化锆作为电解质,以提高其在低温下的性能,从而实现更有效率、更稳定的能源生产。随着全球向永续能源的转变,以及燃料电池技术在固定式、便携式和运输应用领域的日益普及,这一领域正蓬勃发展。此外,在固态氧化物燃料电池中加入钪可以延长 SOFC 的使用寿命并提高燃料利用效率,从而解决燃料电池技术中的一些关键问题。随着各国政府和私营部门加强对再生能源基础设施和技术的投资,预计未来对钪的需求将推动市场成长,并为市场发展带来巨大的机会。
航太和国防是领先的细分市场
航太和国防正在成为主导产业。钪主要用于增强铝合金的性能,使其重量轻且耐腐蚀。这些加值合金在飞机製造中对众多零件有着巨大的需求,有助于降低油耗并增加有效载荷。此外,航太业对更高效率和性能优化的不断追求,以及商用航空生产率的飙升,也推动了对钪的需求。此外,钪也被用于固态氧化物燃料电池,该电池也用于清洁能源应用,进一步扩展了其在先进航太设计和各种国防系统中的适用性。例如,2023年7月13日,尼奥集团发展有限公司(NioCorp Developments Ltd.,又称NioCorp)讚扬美国众议院军事委员会强调铝钪母合金对美国的重要性,因为它可应用于众多国防平台。
北美引领市场,占据最大的钪市场份额
该报告还对所有主要区域市场进行了全面分析,包括北美(美国和加拿大);欧洲(德国、法国、英国、义大利、西班牙、俄罗斯等);亚太地区(中国、日本、印度、韩国、澳洲、印尼等);拉丁美洲(巴西、墨西哥等);以及中东和非洲。报告指出,北美是钪的最大区域市场。
根据钪市场产业概览,北美正成为最大的市场,这得益于其不断扩张的航太和国防工业,这些工业在高性能合金中使用了大量钪。该地区拥有先进的技术基础设施,并在钪的各种应用方面开展了研发活动。此外,随着再生能源的不断增长(主要在美国和加拿大),固态氧化物燃料电池(SOFC)中钪的消费量不断增加也促进了市场的成长。此外,政府对稀土矿物研发的支持性政策也支持了市场的成长。例如,2023年9月28日,NioCorp Developments Ltd.宣布计画在美国市场推出铝钪母合金产品(Al-Sc MA)。该计划源于其拟在Elk Creek项目建设的采矿和加工设施,但前提是获得专案融资并启动采矿作业。推出这种合金旨在使商用和国防製造商能够用富含钪的替代品取代车辆中的某些铝零件。这些含钪的铝合金具有强度高、耐腐蚀、可焊性好等特点,性能显着改善,具有减轻重量的潜力,尤其是在运输领域。
The global scandium market size reached USD 628.8 Million in 2024. Looking forward, IMARC Group expects the market to reach USD 1,068.8 Million by 2033, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1% during 2025-2033. The market is primarily driven by the growing usage of lightweight, high-performance alloys in aerospace and automotive industries, significant expansion in the electric vehicle market, and favorable government policies to reduce the scandium import dependency.
Aerospace and Defense Industry Demand
Scandium's incorporation into aerospace and defense sectors is instrumental due to its attributes that enhance the performance of aluminum alloys, making them lighter and stronger. This application is critical for producing more efficient aerospace structures and military equipment. As per the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the overall active general aviation fleet is projected to change from 212,875 aircraft in 2018 to 211,575 by the year 2039. There is a substantial emphasis on incorporating advanced materials like scandium alloys to innovate and improve defense capabilities. These investments boost the development of scandium-enhanced materials as they fulfill the stringent requirements of modern aerospace engineering and defense systems. Furthermore, continuous R&D facilitated by government funding promotes innovation and expands the uses of scandium, therefore driving its market growth. As these industries move toward materials with higher strength-to-weight ratios for added fuel efficiency and performance, scandium's value becomes increasingly critical, making it a key base for future defense and aerospace developments.
Growth in the Electric Vehicle (EV) Market
The expansion of the electric vehicle (EV) market considerably boosts the demand for scandium, which is widely employed in the manufacturing of lightweight aluminum-scandium alloys for various EV components. According to the Global Sustainable Electricity Partnership, a study by state grid forecasts that, the share of China's electricity in transport sector will reach 10% in 2025, which increased from 5% in 2015 and which will further increase to 15% in 2030 and 25% in 2040. Besides, electric vehicle sales continued growing in China, starting from 5,600 units in 2011, reaching 45,000 pieces in 2014, and expanding to 740,000 pieces in 2016. By 2017, China had produced approximately 770,000 EVs and had a total of about 2 million EVs. By 2030, China is expected to have close to 50 million electric vehicles, with a dedicated electricity demand for electric vehicle charging of 200 TWh annually. According to the Society of Automotive Engineering of China, car sales in 2030 will total 38 million, with 15 million or 40% being electric vehicles. Besides, scandium alloys meet the requirement in lightening vehicle weights which increases their performances and efficiency of batteries. Along with this, several governments across major economies like the U.S., China, and the European Union are pushing for higher EV sales through regulations and targets while supporting technological advancements that include the use of scandium. Hence, this regulatory push combined with the advantages provided by scandium alloys places the material at the forefront of critical resources needed to meet the burgeoning demand of the EV market.
Supportive Government Initiatives
Various governments are implementing strategic measures to secure scandium supply and promote its utilization across various industries as they recognize scandium as a critical mineral. In the United States, the Department of Energy, in conjunction with other entities within the European Union and Australia, has earmarked funds and subsidies explicitly designed to improve scandium mining capabilities and decrease reliance on imports. For instance, on 9 November 2023, Scandium International Mining Corp. announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, EMC Metals Australia Pty Ltd, has initiated physical development at the Nyngan Scandium Project, after positive results of the 2023 Nyngan drilling program. The Nyngan Scandium project is situated 17.5 kilometers south-southwest of Nyngan in western New South Wales, Australia. The Nyngan scandium project will be the world's first scandium-only mining operation, focusing on a high-demand metal identified as critical by the governments of Australia, Canada, and the United States. This development presents a significant opportunity for New South Wales to become a world leader in the responsible supply of critical minerals. Therefore, positive government initiatives secure supplies of scandium and stabilize the markets which push scandium to the forefront of high-tech industries and sustainable development projects.
Fluoride accounts for the majority of the market share
Fluoride is emerging as the largest segment due to its extensive use in high-intensity metal halide lamps and electronics. Additionally, it serves as a superior material for solid oxide fuel cells owing to its exceptional electrical conductivity and resistance to corrosion. Moreover, various industries heavily rely on this compound to enhance the performance of lighter aerospace structures and sporting goods, further boosting its demand. The versatility of scandium fluoride, combined with its integral role in various high-tech applications, positions it at the forefront of the scandium market, reflecting broader trends toward efficiency and performance enhancement across multiple sectors.
The aluminum-scandium alloy segment represents a significant share of the scandium market, which is largely driven by the aerospace and automotive sectors. Alloys of this type, when combined with small amounts of scandium, exhibit superior properties such as increased strength, reduced grain size, and improved weldability which helps aircraft and vehicles with superior performance properties. Also, the rising demand in this industry is significantly influenced by the growing importance of reducing carbon emissions and enhancing fuel efficiency, thus making lightweight materials increasingly crucial. Hence key players are introducing advanced product variants to meet these needs. For instance, on 18 October 2023, NioCorp Developments Ltd. and its development partner, Nanoscale Powders LLC achieved the successful production of a 1-kilogram ingot of aluminum-scandium alloy at the creative engineer's facility in New Freedom, Pennsylvania.
Moreover, high-intensity metal halide lamps scandium serves as an additive to improve the quality and efficiency of light produced. These lamps are widely used in large-scale lighting applications, such as stadiums, industrial facilities, and public spaces, where strong, reliable lighting is essential. Additionally, the addition of scandium allows these lamps to produce a light that closely resembles natural daylight enhancing visibility and color rendering. Besides, this segment is primarily driven by the growing urban infrastructure and the increasing demand for energy-efficient lighting solutions.
Laser scandium finds applications in various laser technologies, particularly those used in scientific research, military, and medical applications. Also, lasers made from scandium are valued for their ability to generate specific wavelengths of laser beams with accuracy and control. These characteristics make them suitable for primary research, surgical procedures, and specific military uses where precision is crucial. In addition, demand for scandium in lasers is driven by innovations in medical equipment and increased defense spending on modern communication and weaponry systems.
Besides, solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC) use scandium-stabilized zirconia as an electrolyte to enhance their performances at lower temperatures, thus leading to more efficient and stable energy production. This segment is gathering momentum due to the global shift toward sustainable energy sources, coupled with the increasing diffusion of fuel cell technology across stationary, portable, and transportation applications. Additionally, scandium incorporation in solid oxide fuel cells enables SOFCs to have longer operational lifetimes and improve fuel utilization efficiency, solving some of the key issues in fuel cell technology. As governments and private sectors have been investing more in renewable energy infrastructure and technologies, the future demand for scandium is anticipated to drive growth in the market and present great opportunities for market development.
Aerospace and Defence represent the leading market segment
Aerospace and defense are emerging as the dominant sectors. Scandium is mainly used to enhance the performance properties of aluminum alloys, making them lightweight and resistant to corrosion. These value-added alloys have tremendous demand in aircraft manufacturing for numerous components, which facilitate reduced fuel consumption and increased payload. Furthermore, the demand from the aerospace industry is fuelled by the unceasing pursuit of greater efficiency and performance optimization, coupled with surging commercial aviation production rates. Additionally, scandium finds its way into solid oxide fuel cells, also employed in clean energy applications, further expanding its applicability in advanced aerospace design and various defense systems. For instance, on 13 July 2023, NioCorp Developments Ltd., also known as NioCorp, commended the U.S. House Armed Services Committee for emphasizing that the aluminum-scandium master alloy is important to the United States for its applications in numerous defense platforms.
North America leads the market, accounting for the largest scandium market share
The report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of all the major regional markets, which include North America (the United States and Canada); Europe (Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, and others); Asia Pacific (China, Japan, India, South Korea, Australia, Indonesia, and others); Latin America (Brazil, Mexico, and others); and the Middle East and Africa. According to the report, North America was the largest regional market for scandium.
As per the scandium market industry overview, North America is emerging as the largest segment owing to its expanding aerospace and defense industries that use large quantities of scandium in high-performance alloys. The region has an advanced technological infrastructure coupled with research and development activities concerning various applications of scandium. Moreover, the increasing consumption of scandium in SOFCs also helps the market growth, as the renewable creation of energy is increasing, majorly across the U.S. and Canada. Besides, supportive governmental policies toward research and development of rare earth minerals support the market growth. For instance, on 28 September 2023, NioCorp Developments Ltd. announced that it intends to make available an aluminum-scandium master alloy product (Al-Sc MA) in the US market. This initiative, stemming from its proposed mining and processing facilities at the Elk Creek Project, is contingent upon securing project financing and initiating mining operations. The introduction of this alloy is aimed at enabling commercial and defense manufacturers to substitute certain aluminum components in vehicles with scandium-enriched alternatives. These scandium-containing aluminum alloys are notable for their enhanced strength, resistance to corrosion, and weldability, offering considerable improvements in properties and potential for reducing weight, especially in transportation.