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全球虚拟电厂市场:预测(2023-2028)Virtual Power Plant Market - Forecasts from 2023 to 2028 |
预计2021年全球虚拟电厂市场规模将达7.425亿美元,预计2028年将达到2,678,012,000美元,预测期内复合年增长率为20.11%。
虚拟发电厂利用分散在整个网路中的各种分散式能源 (DER) 的集体能力,并根据这些 DER 的特点建立独特的营运组合。虚拟发电厂可应用于多个领域,包括电动车充电器、家用电器、暖通空调设备和电池。虚拟电厂产业的快速成长很大程度上得益于可再生能源的扩张、电动车充电基础设施的改善以及能源储存技术的兴起。
虚拟发电厂用于透过先进的软体将太阳能电池板和风力发电机等可再生能源整合到电网中。全球对气候变迁的日益关注以及减少温室气体排放的需求正在增加对可再生能源的需求,从而为虚拟发电厂市场的需求带来了积极的前景。根据国际可再生能源机构预测,2022年全球风电装置容量将增加75吉瓦,成长9%。太阳能发电也大幅成长,新增191吉瓦。
虚拟发电厂用于电动车充电基础设施中,以管理和平衡电力负载。随着电动车越来越普及,充电高峰尖峰时段的电力需求可能会对电网带来压力。虚拟发电厂透过对多种分散式能源进行全面控制,有助于稳定电网,使电力在高需求时期能够有效分配。根据国际能源总署(IEA)统计,2022年美国安装了约6,300个快速充电站,到当年年底,快速充电站累积数量达到28,000个。
虚拟发电厂可以有效地管理何时以及有多少储存的能量释放到电网中,根据即时供需状况优化储能係统的使用,从而能源储存系统。考虑到风能和太阳能等再生能源来源的间歇性,这一点尤其重要。可再生能源的采用和投资的增加推动了能源储存系统的成长,这推动了虚拟发电厂市场的成长。根据国际能源总署(IEA)预测,2022年全球电池能源储存投资将超过200亿美元,呈现强劲成长态势。这一势头预计将持续下去,到 2023 年投资额预计将超过 350 亿美元。
由于该地区的大量投资和协作努力,北美在虚拟发电厂市场中占有重要份额。在北美,各种公司、公用事业和政府机构正在投入大量资金来扩大VPP计划。例如,2020年,Sidewalk基础设施合作伙伴宣布将投入1亿美元用于OhmConnect的扩张。这笔巨额投资将用于建立Resi-Station,该电厂将成为北美最大的虚拟发电厂。
建立这些系统所需的大量初始投资可能会阻碍虚拟电厂 (VPP) 产业的发展。开发虚拟发电厂需要整合各种能源(每种能源都有自己的成本),并安装复杂的控制和通讯基础设施。这些因素的结合需要大量的初始投资,这可能是一个挑战,特别是对于预算有限或位于较贫困地区的公司。因此,如此高的进入障碍限制了VPP的普及,成为整个VPP产业扩张的重大阻碍力。
The virtual power plant market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 20.11% over the forecast period, increasing from US$742.5 million in 2021 to a total market size of US$2,678.012 million by 2028.
A Virtual Power Plant harnesses the combined capacity of various distributed energy resources (DERs) spread throughout the network, creating a unique operational portfolio tailored to the specific characteristics of these DERs. Virtual power plants find applicability in several areas, including EV chargers, home appliances, HVAC equipment, and batteries. The escalating growth of the virtual power plant industry is largely propelled by the expanding renewable energy, improved EV charging infrastructure, and emerging energy storage technologies.
Virtual Power Plants are used in integrating renewable energy sources such as solar panels and wind turbines into the power grid through advanced software. The rising demand for renewable energy due to growing global concern about climate change and the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions has provided a positive outlook to the market demand for virtual power plants. According to the International Renewable Energy Agency, in 2022, global wind energy capacity experienced a boost of 75 GW, marking a growth of 9%. Solar photovoltaic power also saw a significant expansion, with an addition of 191 GW.
Virtual Power Plants are used in the electric vehicle charging infrastructure by managing and balancing the electricity load. Due to the increasing EV adoption, the demand for power during peak charging times can stress the electrical grid. Virtual power plants, through their integrated control of diverse distributed energy resources, help to stabilize the grid, ensuring that power is effectively allocated during these high-demand periods. According to the International Energy Agency, in 2022, the United States witnessed the installation of approximately 6,300 fast charging stations and by the close of the year, the cumulative number of fast charging stations hit 28,000.
Virtual Power Plants are instrumental in energy storage systems because they can efficiently manage when and how much stored energy to release into the grid, optimizing the use of energy storage systems based on real-time demand and supply conditions. This facilitates a more stable and reliable grid, particularly important given the intermittency of renewable energy sources like wind and solar. The growth of energy storage systems is driven by increasing renewable energy deployment and investments which is driving the virtual power plant market's growth. According to the International Energy Agency, in 2022, worldwide investments in battery energy storage surpassed USD 20 billion, showcasing robust growth. The momentum is set to continue, with projected investments for 2023 reaching a record of over USD 35 billion.
North America will hold a significant share of the virtual power plant market due to the region's significant investment and collaborative efforts. Substantial financial commitments are being made by various companies, utilities, and government bodies to scale up VPP projects in North America. For instance, in 2020, Sidewalk Infrastructure Partners disclosed their pledge of $100 million towards OhmConnect to scale its operations. This substantial investment is earmarked for the establishment of Resi-Station, which is set to become North America's most extensive virtual power plant.
The growth of the virtual power plant (VPP) industry can be hindered by the significant initial investment necessary to establish these systems. The development of a VPP involves the integration of a wide array of energy resources, each with its costs, and the installation of sophisticated control and communication infrastructures. These components when combined constitute a sizable initial expenditure, which can prove challenging for some companies or regions, particularly those with budget constraints or in poor areas. This high financial barrier to entry can therefore curtail the widespread adoption of VPPs, acting as a notable deterrent in the overall expansion of the VPP industry.