市场调查报告书
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变速箱市场 - 2024 年至 2029 年预测Gearbox Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
全球变速箱市场预计将从2022年的246.39亿美元增加到2029年的338.57亿美元,复合年增长率为4.65%。
齿轮箱是调节扭力和速度的重要机械部件,有助于机器内的动力传输。齿轮箱广泛应用于从工业机械到汽车的各个领域,并透过适应各种负载和运行速度来优化性能。它们对于确保各种机械系统的无缝运作和效率是不可或缺的。
在工业自动化、汽车工业扩张、向可再生能源转型、基础设施发展和技术进步等几个关键因素的推动下,全球变速箱市场呈现出广阔的成长前景。随着公司优先考虑性能、可靠性和效率,对复杂变速箱解决方案的需求预计将会增加。
中国和印度等新兴经济体正在经历快速的工业化和基础设施发展,推动了对变速箱的巨大需求。在这些领域中,变速箱的应用范围很广,从施工机械到发电厂。
材料和製造技术的进步使得齿轮箱的生产变得更轻、更有效率,从而提高了设备的整体性能。透过将感测器整合到齿轮箱中,可以即时监控温度和振动等运行参数,从而实现预测性维护并最大限度地减少非计划性停机时间。
在自动化程度提高、再生能源来源的采用以及对高效可靠的工业流程的需求等因素的推动下,全球变速箱市场预计将保持其成长轨迹。简而言之,全球齿轮箱市场已成为工业生态系统的重要组成部分,与自动化、可再生能源以及高效和永续工业营运的驱动力紧密相连。
推动变速箱市场成长的因素有很多。例如,由于各行业工业自动化的快速发展以及对高效能动力传输系统的需求,变速箱的需求量很大。
例如,根据 GTAI 的数据,2021 年,德国製造商生产了超过 1,560 万辆汽车。全球75家汽车供应商中,德国企业占15家。 2021年,德国工厂生产了超过310万辆小客车和35.1万辆商用车,德国在汽车製造方面处于欧洲领先地位。
此外,在快速成长的可再生能源领域,齿轮箱对于能量的高效转换和传输至关重要,特别是在风力和太阳能发电的关键部件涡轮机和太阳能追踪系统中。全球许多行业(例如采矿和建筑业)正在进行的基础设施开发计划推动了对带有变速箱的重型设备的需求。
此外,汽车产业的不断发展和向电动车的转变也推动了传统汽车和电动车对变速箱的需求。例如,IEA预计,经过十年的爆发式扩张,2020年全球电动车持有将达到1,000万辆,较2019年成长43%,占1%的市场占有率。
2020年新登记的电动车中,三分之二是纯电动车(BEV),占保有量的三分之二。儘管中国在电动车持有方面领先全球(450万辆),但欧洲在2020年实现了最大的年度成长,达到320万辆。
可再生能源发电(尤其是风力发电)的快速成长是齿轮箱需求的主要推动力。风力发电机尤其需要耐用的齿轮箱,以有效地将风力叶片的缓慢旋转运动转化为发电所需的高速旋转。这些齿轮箱在有效利用风力发电驱动涡轮机和大规模发电方面发挥关键作用。
工业界以提高工业效率和生产力为重点,并不断努力改善业务流程。变速箱优化在其中发挥着重要作用。高效能齿轮箱可最大限度地减少动力传输过程中的能量损失,有助于降低消费量和整体营运成本。此外,精心设计的变速箱可促进平稳可靠的动力传输,提高机器性能并延长其使用寿命。
高性能齿轮箱是专门为特定应用或恶劣环境量身定制的,因此通常具有较高的初始成本。对于小型企业和预算有限的公司来说,这种前期投资可能是一个主要障碍。初始成本也可能成为进入的障碍,儘管提高效率和耐用性等长期效益可能超过初始成本。
亚太地区在全球变速箱市场中占据主要份额
亚太地区,特别是中国和印度等国家,正在经历快速工业化。这种快速成长涉及汽车、製造和建设业等多个行业,并推动了机械、动力传输系统和工业设备对变速箱的需求。
亚太地区多个政府已製定刺激工业成长和基础设施建设的政策。这些倡议涉及对可再生能源、交通网络和製造工厂等领域的投资,所有这些领域都依赖齿轮箱来实现无缝运作。
The global gearbox market is projected to rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.65% to reach a market valuation of US$33.857 billion by 2029, from US$24.639 billion in 2022.
A gearbox serves as a critical mechanical component that adjusts torque and speed, facilitating the transfer of power within a machine. Widely utilized across various sectors, from industrial machinery to automobiles, gearboxes optimize performance by adapting to diverse loads and operational speeds. They are indispensable for ensuring seamless functionality and enhancing efficiency across a spectrum of mechanical systems.
The global gearbox market exhibits promising growth prospects, propelled by several key factors encompassing industrial automation, the automotive industry's expansion, the transition to renewable energy sources, infrastructure development, and technological advancements. As businesses prioritize performance, reliability, and efficiency in their operations, the demand for sophisticated gearbox solutions is anticipated to rise.
Emerging economies like China and India are witnessing rapid industrialization and infrastructure development, driving substantial demand for gearboxes. These sectors rely on gearboxes for diverse applications, ranging from construction machinery to power generation plants.
Advancements in materials and manufacturing techniques enable the production of lighter and more efficient gearboxes, thereby enhancing overall equipment performance. Integration of sensors into gearboxes allows for real-time monitoring of operational parameters such as temperature and vibration, enabling predictive maintenance and minimizing unexpected downtime.
The global gearbox market is poised to sustain its growth trajectory, buoyed by factors such as increasing automation, adoption of renewable energy sources, and the imperative for efficient and reliable industrial processes. In essence, the global gearbox market constitutes a vital component of the industrial ecosystem, closely intertwined with advancements in automation, renewable energy, and the broader drive towards efficient and sustainable industrial operations.
Numerous factors drive the gearbox market growth. For instance, there is an immense need for gearboxes because of the rapid development of industrial automation in many different industries, which demands effective power transmission systems.
For instance, as per the GTAI, in 2021, the production of automobiles by German manufacturers exceeded 15.6 million units. German businesses make up fifteen of the top 75 automotive suppliers worldwide. With more than 3.1 million passenger cars and 351,000 commercial vehicles produced in German factories in 2021, Germany leads Europe in auto manufacturing.
Furthermore, gearboxes are essential for the effective conversion and transfer of energy in turbines and solar tracking systems, which are key components of the rapidly growing renewable energy sector, especially in wind and solar power generation. The need for heavy machinery with gearboxes is driven by continuous infrastructure development projects in many industries worldwide, such as mining and construction.
Additionally, the need for gearboxes in both conventional and electric vehicles is fueled by the growing automotive sector and the shift to electric cars. For instance, as per the IEA estimates, the number of worldwide electric car stocks reached 10 million in 2020, up 43% from 2019 and accounting for 1% of the market share, following a decade of explosive expansion.
In 2020, two-thirds of newly registered electric cars were battery electric vehicles (BEVs), making up two-thirds of the stock. China leads the world in the number of electric vehicles (4.5 million), while Europe saw the biggest yearly gain in 2020, reaching 3.2 million.
The burgeoning renewable energy sector, notably the wind power generation segment, is driving substantial demand for gearboxes. In particular, wind turbines necessitate durable gearboxes to effectively convert the slow rotational movement of wind blades into the high-speed rotation required for electricity generation. These gearboxes play a critical role in efficiently harnessing wind energy to power turbines and subsequently generate electricity on a large scale.
With a focus on enhancing industrial efficiency and productivity, industries are constantly striving to improve operational processes. One key aspect is the optimization of gearboxes, which play a pivotal role in this endeavour. By minimizing energy losses during power transmission, efficient gearboxes contribute to decreased energy consumption and overall operational costs. Moreover, well-designed gearboxes facilitate smooth and reliable power transfer, thereby enhancing the performance and extending the lifespan of machinery.
High-performance gearboxes, especially those tailored for specific applications or demanding environments, often come with substantial initial costs. For smaller businesses or those operating under budget constraints, this upfront investment can pose a significant hurdle. Despite the potential long-term advantages, such as enhanced efficiency and durability, that may outweigh the initial expense, the upfront cost can act as a barrier to entry.
APAC will hold a significant share of the global gearbox market
The Asia-Pacific (APAC) region, notably countries such as China and India, is undergoing swift industrialization. This surge spans multiple sectors, including automotive, manufacturing, and construction, driving the need for gearboxes utilized in machinery, power transmission systems, and industrial equipment.
Several APAC governments are enacting policies to stimulate industrial growth and infrastructure initiatives. These efforts entail investments in sectors like renewable energy, transportation networks, and manufacturing plants, all of which rely on gearboxes for seamless operation.