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全球种子市场 - 2024 年至 2029 年预测Global Seed Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
全球种子市场预计将从 2022 年的 672.08 亿美元增至 2029 年的 1,054.45 亿美元,预测期内年复合成长率(CAGR)为 6.65%。
由于人口增长以及对某些导致土壤劣化的粮食生产做法的环境担忧,对粮食的需求不断增加,正在催生创新类型的种子。这些种子品种帮助农民最大限度地提高现有土地的生产力。
非基因改造种子的市场也在成长,这主要是由于消费者越来越担心与基因改造作物相关的潜在健康风险。例如,2023年2月,BASF宣布了一种对ToBRFV具有抗性的番茄新品种。该公司的 Nunhems® 产品组合目前包括对 ToBRFV 具有抗性的番茄种子品种。
在英国等已开发国家,2022年获得许可的番茄种子数量为154个,2023年跃升至207个。同样,西兰花在 2022 年为 160,在 2023 年为 209。这些是园艺中主要的蔬菜作物。
日益严峻的全球粮食安全挑战预计将推动市场成长。
全球粮食安全挑战是全球种子市场的主要驱动力。世界人口成长、偏好变化、气候变迁和全球水资源短缺等因素导致全球粮食不安全加剧。
根据新的《世界粮食危机报告》,由于旷日持久的粮食危机和最近的衝击,到 2023 年,严重的粮食不安全状况将继续达到前所未有的程度。 48 个国家约 2.38 亿人面临严重的严重粮食不安全,比 2022 年增加 10%。由于扩大农业土地和水资源的范围有限,农业部门需要透过有效利用资源来提高生产力,以满足不断增长的粮食需求。
此外,根据联合国预测,2050年世界人口预计将达到97亿,2080年将接近104亿。同时,粮食产量也应该增加很多倍。为了确保世界所有地区的粮食安全,对提高生产力的混合种子的需求不断增长。
预计北美地区市场将成长。
由于该领域活性化,美国种子市场预计将扩大。此外,该国拥有强大的基础设施,以及完善的种子供应和物流供应链、运输和分销,预计将在预测期内推动种子市场的发展。
随着技术的进步,混合种子有望在美国占据重要地位。农民更喜欢混合种子,因为混合易于种植,利润高,产量高。美国小麦、粗粒、小米和大米产量的增加也可能增加未来几年种子的需求。例如,根据美国农业部 (USDA) 的数据,2021-22 年小麦产量为 4,480 万吨,2022-23 年增至 4,490 万吨。
此外,美国的玉米产量正在迅速增加,这表明对生产各种作物所需的种子的需求增加。根据美国农业部 (USDA) 的数据,2021 年玉米产量为 150 亿蒲式耳,2023 年将增加至 153 亿蒲式耳。
美国主要市场参与者推出的各种产品透过推动创新、提高客户兴趣和扩大产品供应而影响种子市场。例如,2023 年 6 月,BASFSE 扩大了 Xitavo 系列,推出了 2024 年产季的 11 种大豆种子。 Xitavo 大豆种子由 MS Technologies 拥有,并由BASF SE 独家经销。加上这11款新产品,Kisitabo的产品系列现在总合44种产品。
The global seed market market is anticipated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.65% over the forecast period to reach US$105.445 billion by 2029, increasing from US$67.208 billion in 2022
The demand for more food with the growing population, as well as environmental concerns related to certain practices of food production leads to soil degradation leads to innovative types of seeds. These seed varieties help farmers maximize productivity on existing land.
The non-GMO seeds also have a market growth, the primary driver is being the increasing consumer concern regarding the potential health risks associated with GMOs. Several companies have launched, disease-resistant seeds., such as, For example, on February 2023, BASF introduced new tomato seed varieties that are resistant to ToBRFV. Their Nunhems(R) portfolio currently includes a selection of tomato seed varieties that exhibit resistance to ToBRFV.
In a developed country like the UK, the total of seed type authorizations for the crop species of the tomato in 2022 was 154 which jumped to 207 in 2023., Similarly, for broccoli, it was 160 in 2022 and 209 in 2023. These are major vegetable crops under horticulture.
Growing global food security challenge is anticipated to propel market growth.
The global food security challenge is the major driver of the global seed market. Factors such as the growing global population, changing tastes and preferences, climatic changes, and increasing water scarcity worldwide are leading to a rise in global food insecurity.
According to the new global report on the food crisis, in 2023, unprecedented levels of acute food insecurity continued to endure as a result of prolonged food crises and recent shocks. Across 48 countries, approximately 238 million individuals are confronting severe levels of acute food insecurity, representing a 10% increase compared to 2022 . Given the limited scope for expanding agricultural land and water resources, the agricultural sector is required to improve productivity with efficient resource use to meet the rising food demand.
Furthermore, according to the United Nations, the global population is projected to reach 9.7 billion in 2050 and could go to nearly 10.4 billion in 2080. The food production would have increased many fold accordingly. To make all regions in the world food secure, there is a rising demand for hybrid seeds to raise productivity.
The market is projected to grow in the North American region.
The United States seed market is expected to boost owing to growing research and development in the field. Additionally, the country has a robust infrastructure, and there is a well-established supply chain, transportation, and distribution for the supply and logistics of seeds is expected to propel the market for seeds in the projected period.
With increasing technological advancement, hybrid seeds are expected to hold significant care in the United States, as farmers prefer hybris seeds as they are easier to grow, earn higher profit, and obtain higher yields. The growing production of wheat, coarse grain, millet, and rice in the United States is another reason that might increase the demand for seeds in the coming years. For instance, according to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), wheat production in 2021-22 was 44.8 million metric tons, which increased to 44.9 million metric tons in 2022-23.
Moreover, corn production in the United States is increasing rapidly, indicating the rising demand for seed for the production of various crops. According to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), in 2021, corn production was 15.0 billion bushels, which increased to 15.3 billion bushels in 2023.
Various products launched by key market players in the United States have an influence on the seed market by fuelling innovation, increasing customer interest, and extending product offerings. For instance, in June 2023, BASF SE expanded its Xitavo line by launching 11 new varieties of soybean seeds, for the 2024 season. Xitavo soybean seeds are owned by MS Technologies, and exclusively distributed by BASF SE. With the addition of these new 11 varieties, the Xitavo product portfolio has 44 varieties in total.