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双环戊二烯市场 - 2024 年至 2029 年预测Dicyclopentadiene Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
预计在预测期内(2024-2029 年),全球双环戊二烯市场将以 4.79% 的复合年增长率成长。
双环戊二烯(DCPD)基本上是环戊二烯二聚体,其分子中同时含有两个可用双键。 DCPD 可以掺入聚合物系统或单一化合物中,形成分类为 DCPD 的其他聚合物。它也存在于药物、合成橡胶、聚碳酸酯和聚酯树脂中。 DCPD 在一些除草剂和树脂的合成中充当化学中间体。它也用于生产油漆、清漆和塑胶阻燃剂。
双环戊二烯产品有多种应用,包括高品质光学镜片、塑胶製品中的阻燃剂和热熔黏剂。 DCPD 用作农药、亚麻籽油和大豆油的固化剂和干燥剂、EPDM合成橡胶、茂金属、树脂、清漆和油漆中的化学中间体。含有DCPD的产品用于生产烃类树脂和不饱和聚酯树脂。
DCPD 必须储存在受监管环境中的低碳钢或不銹钢罐中,以保持稳定性并防止品质劣化。它透过公路、铁路、驳船和船舶运输。 DCPD 具有高度爆炸性,运输过程中会产生静电,因此采取预防措施避免静电放电非常重要。
最近的趋势包括具有改进的机械和热性能的新型高性能热固性材料,以及 DCPD 在汽车、电子和建筑行业中的使用。这些创新旨在平衡生产力、产品耐用性、永续性和环境友善性方面日益增加的工业压力,以增加需求并提高市场地位。
例如, ZEON Corporation 是特殊合成橡胶、聚合物和特殊化学品领域的全球市场领导者。 ZEON是全球领先的聚合物製造商之一,在亚洲、北美和欧洲设有工厂,并在日本、美国和英国设有研发中心的全球网路。 ZEON的综合销售额超过 29 亿美元,凭藉其在 C4 和 C5 化学领域的专业知识和市场地位,提供多样化的产品。这些进步不仅扩大了双环戊二烯的市场,还有助于透过更轻的重量和提高可回收性实现永续性目标,并支持其在全球各种高性能应用中的持续成长和接受度。
此外,根据美国国际贸易委员会的公告,美国电子产品进口额从2021年的5,714.53亿美元增加到2022年的6,298.71亿美元,带来了前所未有的市场成长。随着电子产业随着技术和连结性的改进而发展,对双环戊二烯的需求可能会增加。这是因为它有潜力提高全球电子应用中的产品可靠性和效率。
烃类树脂是低分子量(通常小于 2000)热塑性聚合物,可能呈现黏性、液体或无定形。由于它具有较高的玻璃化转变温度并在加工温度下熔化,因此可以提高胶料黏度和模具流动性。然而,由于这些树脂在常温下固化,因此化合物的硬度和模量得以保持。
烃类树脂用途广泛,可应用于黏剂、被覆剂和塑胶等各个领域,因此预计在预测期内将在双环戊二烯市场中获得成长动力。 Foreverest烃类树脂系列结合了松香基树脂和烃类树脂的优点,为工业市场提供全面的解决方案。在 HMA 业务中,氢化 C5/C9 在比 C5/C9 更高的温度下塑化聚合物。这些通常必须在不显着降低常温下聚合物的内聚强度的情况下进行。此外,根据 Foreverest Hydrocarbon 的数据,烃类树脂约占全球 DCPD 产量的 33%。
烃类树脂在黏合性、热稳定性和耐化学性方面还具有更好的性能,使其比其他类型的树脂更受青睐。这可以归因于二环戊二烯是一种常见材料,特别是用于建筑和汽车行业,也因为包装行业发现这些材料具有持久且高效的性能。
DCPD 越来越多地应用于许多汽车应用,包括复合材料、结构性黏着剂和被覆剂。这是由于其优异的机械性能,例如高衝击强度、耐热性和耐腐蚀性。此外,汽车产业的成长预计也会影响市场上同类产品的消费。根据 PIB 的数据,两轮车和乘用车在 2021-22 年占据了主要市场占有率。摩托车市场占有率为77%,乘用车市占率为18%。
根据德国贸易投资署公布,2021年德国製造商生产的汽车数量超过1,560万辆。 15 家汽车製造商已从德国扩展业务,成为全球 75 家最大的一级供应商之一。 2021年,德国製造商将组装超过310万辆乘用车和351万辆商用车,使德国成为欧洲最大的汽车製造国。
此外,与《2026年汽车使命计画》类似,国内市场报废政策和新的生产连结奖励计画制度都是政府主导。根据印度品牌股权基金会(IBEF)收集的信息,该基金会假设在 2023 财年生产 2,390 万辆乘用车和商用车以实现其目标。总体而言,随着汽车製造商继续优先考虑轻质材料和环保解决方案,预计未来几年对 DCPD 产品的需求将激增。
由于中国和印度等国家汽车产量、基础设施发展和电子製造的增加,预计亚太地区的双环戊二烯市场将显着成长。 DCPD 在轻质复合材料、黏剂和被覆剂中的应用在这些行业中尤其重要,因为它们满足了该地区对耐用和高性能材料的需求。
例如,印度政府计划在2024年终将汽车产业规模扩大至15兆卢比。 2000年4月至2022年9月,汽车产业收入达330亿美元。根据PIB的声明,FDI达到770亿美元,位居世界第三,相当于印度2兆美元国内生产总值的5%。
推动双环戊二烯市场的另一个重要因素是电子产业的成长。印度投资局表示,到2023年,印度电子产业价值预计将达到1,550亿美元,其中国内製造商占65%。另据上海市人民政府资料显示,2023年中国消费电子零售额为3,050亿美元,成长率4%。 2024年将上升至5%。
此外,中国在汽车销售和汽车产量方面均领先全球。例如,到2025年,中国国内汽车产量预计将超过3,500万辆。此外,工业信部预计,2021年汽车销量将创历史新高,超过2,600万辆,其中乘用车销量2,148万辆,比2020年成长7.1%。全国商用车销量479万辆,比2020年下降6.6%。由于亚太地区各产业的发展及其生产中新材料的使用,双环戊二烯市场预计未来将扩大。
The global dicyclopentadiene market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 4.79% during the forecast period (2024-2029).
Dicyclopentadiene (DCPD) is fundamentally a cyclopentadiene dimer, containing two available double bonds in its molecule simultaneously. It is incorporated into polymer systems and in a single compound to form other polymers categorized as DCPD. It is also found in medicines, elastomers, polycarbonates, and polyester resins. DCPD serves as a chemical intermediary in synthesizing some herbicides and resins. It is also used in paints and varnishes and the manufacture of plastic flame retardants.
Dicyclopentadiene products are used in many applications such as high-quality optical lenses, flame retardant for plastic products, and hot melt glue. It is employed as a chemical intermediary in insecticides, linseed and soybean oil hardeners and dryers, EPDM elastomers, metallocenes, resins, varnishes, and paints. DCPD-containing goods are used to produce hydrocarbon and unsaturated polyester resins.
DCPD should be kept in mild or stainless-steel tanks and stored under regulated circumstances to maintain stability and prevent quality degradation. It's carried via road, rail, barge, and ship. Since DCPD is very explosive and can build up static electricity during transfer, it's important to take precautions to avoid static discharge.
Recent developments include the new high-performance thermoset resins that have improved their mechanical and thermal characteristics and utilize DCPD in the automotive, electronics, and construction industries. These innovations are targeted to balance the rising industrial pressures in terms of productivity, product durability, sustainability, and environmental responsiveness to increase demand and better market positions.
For instance, Zeon Corporation is a global market leader in specialized elastomers, polymers, and specialty chemicals. Zeon is one of the world's leading polymer makers, with a global network of factories in Asia, North America, and Europe, as well as research and development centers in Japan, the US, and the UK. Zeon Corporation, with consolidated sales of more than $2.9 billion, offers a diverse variety of products based on its expertise and market position in C4 and C5 chemistry. Such advancements not only extend the market for dicyclopentadiene but also help to achieve sustainability goals through lightweight and increased recyclability, supporting continuous growth and acceptance in a variety of high-performance applications throughout the world.
Besides this, electronics product import in the United States, as per the United States International Trade Commission, was US$5,71,453 million in 2021, and it reached a whooping value of US$6,29,871 million in 2022, thus inspiring market growth. As the electronics industry evolves with technological and connectivity improvements, the need for dicyclopentadiene will likely increase. This is driven by their potential to improve product reliability and efficiency in electronic applications worldwide.
Hydrocarbon resins are thermoplastic polymers with low molecular weight (usually less than 2000) that might seem viscous, liquid, or amorphous. They have high glass transition temperatures, melting at processing temperatures, allowing for improved compound viscosity mold flow. These resins, however, harden at normal temperature, therefore preserving compound hardness and modulus.
Hydrocarbon resins will likely gain momentum in the dicyclopentadiene market throughout the forecast period due to their versatility and application in various sectors, including adhesives, coatings, and plastics. Foreverest Hydrocarbon Resin Family combines the benefits of rosin-based resins with hydrocarbon resins, providing a comprehensive solution for industrial markets. In the HMA business, Hydrogenated C5/C9 plasticizes the polymer at higher temperatures than C5/C9. They must typically be performed without significantly reducing the polymer's cohesive strength at ambient temperatures. Furthermore, as per the Foreverest Hydrocarbon, hydrocarbon resins make up approximately 33% of global DCPD manufacturing.
Hydrocarbon resins further possess higher properties in adhesion, heat stability, and chemical resistance and are thus preferred to other types of resins. This could be attributed to the fact that dicyclopentadiene is a popular material, particularly used in the construction and automotive industries, and more so in the packing industries, where these materials are used due to their long-lasting and efficient performances.
Many automotive applications, such as composites, structural adhesives, and coatings, are incorporating DCPD at a higher rate. This is attributable to their excellent mechanical properties, such as high impact strength, heat resistance, and corrosion protection. In addition, the increase in the automobile industry is also envisaged to influence the consumption of the product in the market. As per the PIB, two-wheeler motorcycles and passenger automobiles took the major market shares for FY 2021-22. The market share was 77% for two-wheeler motors and 18% for passenger automobiles.
In line with this, in 2021, the production of automobiles by German manufacturers exceeded 15.6 million units as per the GTAI (Germany Trade & Invest). There were fifteen automotive companies from Germany, which form part of the 75 biggest tier-one suppliers from across the globe. More than 3. 1 million passenger cars and 3,51,000 units come from commercial automobiles assembled in Germany's manufacturing industries in 2021 to show that Germany is the largest automotive manufacturing industry in Europe.
Furthermore, much like the Automotive Mission Plan 2026, the scrappage policy in the domestic market and the new production-linked incentive scheme are government-driven. From the information collected from the India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF), the organization assumed the production of both passenger and commercial cars and vehicles to be 23.90 million in the financial year 2023 to achieve its goals and objectives. Comprehensively, as automakers continue to prioritize lightweight materials and environmental solutions, demand for DCPD-based goods is projected to skyrocket in the coming years.
The Asia Pacific dicyclopentadiene market is predicted to grow significantly, driven by increased automobile production, infrastructure development, and electronics manufacturing in countries such as China and India. DCPD's applications in lightweight composites, adhesives, and coatings are especially important in these industries since they meet the region's requirement for durable and high-performance materials.
For instance, the Indian government plans to boost the size of the automotive sector to Rs. 15 lakh crores by the end of 2024. Thus, from April 2000 to September 2022, the industry received USD 33 billion. It ranked third globally with FDI amounting to USD 77 billion, which equates to 5% of India's two trillion dollars in gross domestic product, as stated by PIB.
Another significant factor upsurging the dicyclopentadiene market is the growth in the electronics industry. In 2023, India's electronics sector was estimated at US$155 billion, with local manufacturers accounting for 65%, as stated by Invest India. Moreover, according to the data of the Shanghai Municipal People's Government, the retail sales of China's consumer electronics were at US$305 billion in 2023, with a 4% growth rate. In 2024, the rate rose to 5%.
Besides this, China is the global leader in automotive sales and the production of automobiles. Domestic automobile production, for instance, is expected to surpass 35 million automobiles in 2025 in China. Additionally, according to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, automobile sales hit a record high of more than 26 million automobiles sold in 2021, including 21.48 million passenger vehicles, a 7.1% increase over 2020. Commercial vehicle sales totaled 4.79 million units, down 6.6% from 2020 in the nation. With the progression of various industries in the Asia Pacific, together with the utilization of new materials in its production, the market for dicyclopentadiene is bound to expand in the future.