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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1557258
基因改造种子市场 - 2024 年至 2029 年预测Genetically Modified Seeds Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
基因改造种子市场预计将以 8.84% 的复合年增长率成长,从 2024 年的 415.13 亿美元增至 2029 年的 633.98 亿美元。
基因改造种子与在花园中生产不同,是由生物工程师使用现代生物技术在实验室中创造的,有时称为「基因工程」。使用重组 DNA 技术,可以选择单一基因并将其从一个生物体转移到另一个生物体。基因改造种子可以透过增强植物对杀虫剂、感染疾病和其他病原体的抵抗力来增强作物保护。基因改造种子收穫速度更快,可以轮作,并且可以承受干旱、寒冷、高盐水平和铝的存在。快速的都市化和农业技术创新,加上对营养食品的高需求,正在推动整体市场的成长。
基因改造种子的使用显着增加,提高了作物产量。由于动物饲料需求的增加以及来自玉米、大豆、小麦和甘蔗等基因改造能源作物的生质燃料的使用增加等其他因素,预计市场开拓将进一步加速。各国正在投资基改种子,以提高作物的整体生产力。例如,2023年8月,菲律宾核准了BT棉花的商业性繁殖,作物成为继玉米、水稻和茄子之后第四个核准的基因改造作物。此外,到2022年,全国生物玉米种植面积将达576万公顷。国家非常重视「植物新育种」技术,并制定了相应的政策。
包括亚太和非洲开发中国家政府正在鼓励农民使用基因改造种子而不是传统种子来提高农业产量。同时,不断增加的研发活动和环保种子的使用也推动了基改种子市场的成长。例如,2022年10月,印度开发的基因改造芥菜种子获得了政府的环境许可,使该国第一个基因改造作物的商业化成为可能。一种基因改造芥菜作物(俗称油菜籽)已获得政府的生产许可。科技部宣布印度将简化创建基因组编辑植物的规则。
基因改造种子市场細項分析
基因改造种子的很大一部分来自玉米。这是因为随着玉米广泛用于乙醇生产和牲畜饲料,对玉米的需求正在增加。美国农业部报告称,2021年美国玉米种植者产量为151亿蒲式耳,比2020年增长7%,创历史第二高。预计美国玉米产量为 177.0 蒲式耳/英亩,比 2020 年的 171.4 蒲式耳/英亩高 5.6 蒲式耳。粮食收穫面积8,540万亩,比2020年成长4%。这一增长也是由于 COVID-19 大流行的后遗症。
预计北美将占据市场的很大一部分。
由于农民对基因改造种子益处的认识不断提高、该地区政府的持续倡议和严格的标准,北美占据了全球基因改造种子市场的很大一部分。预计在整个预测期内这一数字将会上升。据美国农业部称,到 2023 年,威斯康辛州 93% 的玉米种植面积是生物技术品种,91% 的大豆种植面积是耐除草剂基改种子。此外,同一资讯来源称,到 2023 年,美国89% 的棉花种植面积将被基因改造抗虫种子覆盖。蓬勃发展的技术创新和新制度、新政策的实施进一步成为区域市场的成长动力。
预计亚太地区的成长在预测期内也将保持强劲。农业生物技术正在印度和中国等开发中国家迅速推广,以提高作物生产力,以应对盐分和干旱等各种环境条件。使用基因改造种子具有许多好处,包括降低农药散布成本和提高农业产量,从而推动亚太国家对基因改造种子的需求。基因改造玉米作物的成长预计将为越南、印尼和孟加拉等新兴经济体提供进一步动力。此外,根据不同气候条件在各种作物中引入的新性状预计将在预测期内推动市场成长。
The genetically modified seeds market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.84%, reaching US$63.398 billion in 2029 from US$41.513 billion in 2024.
GMO seeds are created in a laboratory by biological engineers using contemporary biotechnology techniques, sometimes known as "genetic engineering," as opposed to being produced in a garden. Individual genes can be chosen and transferred from one organism to another using recombinant DNA techniques, resulting in a genetically modified organism that would not have happened naturally or by conventional crossbreeding techniques. They can raise the degree of crop protection by strengthening plants' resilience to pesticides, infections, and other pathogens, thereby increasing the overall crop yields, which can lower the cost of production. GMO seeds can harvest more quickly, allowing for more crop rotation, and can more easily withstand drought, cold, high salt concentrations, or the presence of aluminium elements. Rapid urbanization and technological innovations in farming, coupled with high demand for nutrition-rich food items, have bolstered the overall market growth.
A large increase in the use of genetically modified seeds has been seen to increase crop output. The market is expected to develop faster due to additional factors such as the rising need for animal feeds and the growing use of biofuels from GMO energy crops like corn, soybeans, wheat, and sugarcane. Various countries are investing in GMO seeds to enhance overall crop productivity. For instance, in August 2023, the Philippines approved BT cotton for commercial propagation, and the crop is the fourth genetically engineered approved after corn, rice, and eggplant. Additionally, in 2022, the country's planted area for biotech corn reached 5,76,000 hectares. The country is emphasizing "New Plant Breeding" Techniques and is drafting policies in that accordance.
Governments of several developing nations, including those in APAC and Africa, are enticing farmers to use genetically modified seeds rather than conventional ones to boost agricultural yields. At the same time, an increase in R&D activities and the use of environment-friendly seeds are also fueling the genetically modified seeds market's growth. For instance, in October 2022, Indian-developed genetically modified mustard seeds received environmental authorization from the government, enabling the commercialization of the country's first GM food crop. The transgenic mustard crop, often known as rapeseed, has received clearance for production by the government. The Science and Technology Ministry announced that India is simplifying rules for creating genome-edited plants, calling the technology promising due to its significant economic potential
Genetically Modified Seeds Market Segment Analysis
A sizable fraction of the genetically modified seeds comes from corn. This is due to the increase in corn demand because corn is widely employed in ethanol production and livestock feed. The US Department of Agriculture reported that American maize farmers produced 15.1 billion bushels in 2021, 7% more than in 2020 and the second-highest amount on record. The expected corn yield in the United States is 177.0 bushels per acre, 5.6 bushels more than the anticipated output of 171.4 bushels per acre for 2020. At 85.4 million acres, the area harvested for grain represents a 4% increase over 2020. This rise is also attributed to the after-effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
North America is anticipated to hold a significant proportion of the market.
Due to increased farmer awareness of the advantages of GMO seeds in this region, followed by government initiatives and strict standards, North America accounts for a sizeable percentage of the global market for GMO seeds. It is anticipated to rise throughout the forecast period. According to the USDA, in 2023, 93% of Wisconsin's corn planted was of a biotech variety, and 91% of the soybean acres were herbicide-resistant genetically modified seed. Furthermore, the same sources stated that in 2023, 89% of the US cotton acres were planted with genetically engineered insect-resistant seeds. The booming technological innovation and implementation of new schemes and policies are further acting as a driving factor for regional market growth.
Over the forecast period, growth in Asia Pacific is also anticipated to be strong. In developing nations like India and China, biotechnology in agriculture is expanding quickly to increase crop productivity in the face of varying environmental circumstances like salt and drought. The use of genetic seeds is associated with many benefits, including reduced pesticide application costs and increased agricultural yields, increasing the demand for genetically modified seeds throughout Asia Pacific countries. The growth of GM corn crops is expected to provide additional impetus to emerging countries, such as Vietnam, Indonesia, and Bangladesh, among others. Moreover, the new traits launched in different crops per varied climatic situations are anticipated to propel market growth during the forecast period.