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全球癌症疫苗市场 - 2024年至2029年预测Global Cancer Vaccines Market - Forecasts from 2024 to 2029 |
全球癌症疫苗市场预计将从2024年的101.96亿美元增加至2029年的175.17亿美元,预测期内年复合成长率为11.43%。
癌症疫苗用于治疗或预防癌症,分为预防性癌症疫苗和治疗性癌症疫苗。癌症疫苗是一种免疫疗法,可以帮助摧毁癌细胞、阻止肿瘤生长并防止未来癌症在体内发展。
由于不健康的生活习惯,全球癌症患者数量不断增加,是支持癌症疫苗市场成长的主要原因之一。越来越多的遗传性癌症研究和该领域的结论性结果预计将推动癌症疫苗市场的显着成长。 FDA 已核准针对人类乳突病毒 (HPV) 和乙型肝炎 (HBV) 的癌症疫苗,并可能在未来几年推动市场的显着成长。
众所周知,癌症疫苗会对身体造成严重的后遗症,这可能会抑制癌症疫苗市场的成长。越来越多的基于天然植物的阿育吠陀疗法用于癌症治疗的研究预计将为未来的市场成长带来一些障碍。老年人口中与老龄化相关的免疫力下降也可能威胁市场成长,因为它增加了疫苗接种后免疫反应减弱的可能性。此外,与癌症疫苗相关的高价格也可能阻碍市场成长。
生活方式的改变、烟草和香烟等不健康产品的消费增加以及接触辐射和病毒正在增加全世界癌症患者的数量。根据世界卫生组织(WHO)预计,2022年将通报近2,000万新发癌症病例,死亡人数将达970万人。
肺癌是癌症死亡的主要原因,占新病例的 12.4%,其次是乳癌(11.6%)和大肠癌(9.6%)。到2050年,癌症新发病例数预计将达到5,500万例,比2022年增加77%。由于癌症死亡率不断上升,癌症疫苗的开发引起了高度关注。
有些癌症似乎是家族遗传,可能是由增加癌症风险的相同暴露引起的,例如吸烟或遗传性肥胖。然而,在某些情况下,例如遗传性癌症,异常基因会代代相传,导致癌症。据美国癌症协会称,所有癌症中约 5% 至 10% 是直接由突变引起的。预计该领域的更多研究和结论性成果将为未来几年癌症疫苗开发带来成长前景。
全球癌症疫苗市场的地域展望
按地区划分,全球癌症疫苗市场分为北美、南美、欧洲、中东和非洲以及亚太地区。由于对癌症研究的持续投资和加强治疗过程的努力,预计北美将占据重要的市场占有率。
主要经济体,即美国,处于医疗创新的前沿,且癌症发生率正在显着增长。根据美国癌症协会预测,2023年美国新增癌症病例和死亡人数预计将分别达到1,950万人和609万人。
癌症疫苗市场的主要限制因素之一是免疫力下降的老年人口不断增加。免疫力下降会抑制人体的免疫反应,进而降低癌症疫苗在体内有效反应的机会。根据联合国资料,到2050年,全世界大约六分之一的人将超过65岁。
癌症治疗疫苗可能会引起多种副作用,这取决于多种因素,包括癌症类型、分期、疫苗治疗类型和剂量。美国国家癌症研究所列出了疲劳、头痛、呼吸困难、虚弱、发冷、发烧、低血压或高血压以及某些过敏反应等副作用。 Cyprecel-T 可导致人类中风。对此类副作用及其严重的恐惧可能会阻碍癌症疫苗市场的成长。
阿育吠陀和自然疗法在癌症治疗中的可用性可能会威胁癌症疫苗市场的成长。儘管没有严格的证据或核准明阿育吠陀作为一种医学系统可以治疗癌症,但研究人员发现瑜伽、冥想和阿育吠陀方法可作为癌症治疗的补充疗法。
此外,美国国家医学图书馆下属的国家生物技术研究中心编制了一份具有抗癌特性科学证据的特定植物清单,例如 Flacourtia Romanica、辣木、Ficus bengalensis 和 Semecarpus Anacardium。
The global cancer vaccine market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 11.43% over the forecast period, reaching US$17.517 billion in 2029 from US$10.196 billion in 2024.
Cancer vaccines are used to provide treatment or protection from cancer, which classifies them into prevention and treatment cancer vaccines. They are a type of immunotherapy that destroys cancer cells, stops the growth of tumors, and helps prevent any such cases in the body in the future.
The increased cases of cancer globally due to unhealthy living practices is one of the prime causes behind the cancer vaccine market's growth. The increasing research on inherited cancer and a definitive result in the field is expected to hold a large market for the growth of cancer vaccines. Cancer vaccines have been approved for Human papillomavirus (HPV) and Hepatitis B (HBV) by the FDA, which can provide significant growth to the market in the coming years.
Cancer vaccines are known for causing severe after-symptoms in the body, which may constrain the cancer vaccine market's growth. The increasing research for natural, plant-based Ayurveda therapy for cancer treatment is expected to create some hurdles for future market growth. The loss of immunity with age in the elderly population can also threaten the market's growth due to increased chances of low immune response after the vaccination. Besides that, the high price associated with cancer vaccines can also hamper their market growth.
The change in lifestyle habits, followed by the increasing consumption of unhealthy products like tobacco and cigarettes and exposure to radiation and viruses, has been increasing the number of cancer patients worldwide. According to the World Health Organization , in 2022, nearly 20 million new cancer cases were reported, with an estimated number of deaths reaching up to 9.7 million.
Hence, the same sources further stated that lung cancer was the major cause of cancer deaths and accounted for 12.4% of new cases, followed by breast cancer at 11.6% and colorectal cancer at 9.6%. By 2050, the number of new cancer cases is estimated to reach 55 million, thereby witnessing a 77% increase over 2022's figure. The increasing rate of cancer mortality has put a major focus on the development of cancer vaccines.
Certain types of cancer seem to run in families, which can be due to the same exposure that increases cancer risk like smoking and family running obesity. However, in some cases, like inherited cancer, an abnormal gene is passed along from one generation to another, which can lead to cancer. According to the American Cancer Society, around 5%-10% of all cancers result directly from mutations. Increasing research and a definitive result in this field are expected to hold growth prospects for developing cancer vaccines in the upcoming years.
Global Cancer Vaccine Market Geographical Outlook
Regional-wise, the global cancer vaccine market is divided into North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and Asia Pacific. North America is expected to account for a considerable market share owing to the ongoing investment in cancer research and efforts to bolster the treatment process.
Major economies, namely the USA, are at the forefront of medical innovations and are witnessing significant growth in cancer prevalence. According to the American Cancer Society, in 2023, the expected number of new cancer prevalence in the USA reached 19.5 million, with the number of deaths reaching up to 6.09 million.
One of the major restraints on the cancer vaccine market is the growing elderly population, which is accompanied by low-immunity in people. This is expected to serve as a constraint for the market's growth as a weak immune system hampers the immune response of the body and thus reduces the chances of an effective response by the cancer vaccines in the body. UN data suggests that by 2050, around 1 in 6 people in the world will be over the age of 65.
Cancer Treatment Vaccines can cause various side effects, which depend on various factors like the type of cancer, how advanced it is, the type of vaccine treatment, the dosage, etc. The National Cancer Institute has listed side effects like fatigue, headache, trouble breathing, weakness, chills, fever, low and high blood pressure, and certain allergic reactions. Sipuleucel-T can trigger strokes in human bodies. Fear of such side effects and their severity may hamper the cancer vaccine market's growth.
The availability of Ayurveda and natural therapies in cancer treatment could threaten the cancer vaccine market growth. Although there is no strict evidence or approval that Ayurveda as a system of medicine can treat cancer, researchers have found that yoga, meditation, and Ayurveda approaches are helpful as complementary therapies in cancer treatment.
Besides that, the National Center for Biotechnology Institution, which is part of the U.S. National Library of Medicine, has compiled a list of certain plants, such as Flacourtia romantic, Moringa oleifera, Ficus bengalensis, Semecarpus Anacardium, etc., that have scientific evidence of anticancer properties.