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5G NR RAN 市场预测(2025-2030)5G NR RAN Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
5G NR RAN市场预计将从美国的 350.79 亿美元成长到 2030 年的 717.2 亿美元,复合年增长率为 15.38%。
推动全球5G NR RAN市场成长的因素包括主要企业对研发活动的关注以及对低延迟频宽连线的需求不断增加。此外,预测期内,全球范围内大力部署拥有大量小型基地台和大型基地台基地台的5G无线接取网路(RAN)将有助于市场的成长。
为了降低整体基础设施成本和网路复杂性,行动网路营运商 (MNO) 和网路服务供应商正在迅速采用集中式 RAN 或虚拟RAN (VRAN)。此外,RAN 将使使用私有 4G 或私有 5G 的企业和行动网路营运商能够提供网路切片解决方案。这些解决方案可以透过将资源分配给特定企业来细分公共行动网路内的网路使用。用户对 5G RAN 解决方案的偏好和技术进步正在推动该行业以惊人的速度成长。
此外,市场参与企业正在建立策略联盟,共同努力扩大其商品和服务的市场,并使其在不同的地区普及。例如,2023 年 6 月,英特尔公司宣布与 Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 和 Hewlett Packard Enterprise Development LP 达成策略协议。两家公司计划利用英特尔 vRAN Boost 技术,在第四代英特尔至强可扩充处理器上展示爱立信的 Cloud RAN 解决方案。
5G NR RAN 市场驱动因素
随着现代通讯网路的普及,5G技术的采用步伐正在加快,对频宽的需求也不断增长。大国都在投资网络建设并已开始必要的规划。因此,对5G技术的支出也在增加。 2023 年 10 月,创新、科学和工业部长发布了《2023 年至 2027 年频谱展望》,以支持在农村地区推出 5G。同时,3800MHz竞标将如预期于 2023 年 10 月举行,这是第三次 5G竞标。
到 2028 年,5G 用户数量预计将超过其他行动接取技术。预计到 2029 年行动订阅用户数将达到近 56 亿,占所有行动订阅用户的 60%。根据预测,到 2029 年,北美将占 5G 采用率的约 90%,波湾合作理事会(GCC) 位居第二,占 89%,西欧位居第三,占 86%。
此外,NR RAN 将有助于跨无线电位置的资源管理,以实现无缝连接、移动性和低延迟以及最佳网路安全。预计扩大5G部署将增加对RAN的需求。它允许用户的设备(例如笔记型电脑和智慧型手机)连接到主网络,从而消除了降低互联网速度的不必要的网路复杂性。
5G NR RAN 市场的地理展望
5G NR RAN 市场按地区划分为美洲、欧洲/中东/非洲和亚太地区。对现代通讯网路和高速频宽的需求不断增长是预测期内推动市场发展的主要因素。此外,对 5G 技术市场的投资增加预计将推动市场成长。例如,2023年9月,美国国家科学基金会(NSF)宣布将投资2,500万美元用于先进技术和通讯,以透过5G网路安全运作。
在预计预测期内,美国NR RAN 市场中 5G NR RAN 参与者之间的策略伙伴关係和协作将推动市场成长。例如,2023年12月,AT&T(总部位于德州德克萨斯州)与爱立信合作,加速美国开放、可互通的RAN。此次合作旨在建立更强大的网路基础设施供应商和供应商生态系统。该计划五年内可能耗资约 140 亿美元。
此外,5G 的持续部署是一个主要的市场驱动力,因为 NR RAN 有助于提供顺畅的行动性、连接性和低延迟以及最终的网路安全。例如,根据美国蜂窝电话工业协会(CTIA)的数据,到2022年,活跃的5G设备数量将接近1.62亿台,几乎是2021年的两倍。在美国,5G设备将占总连线数的三分之一,到2028年,预计91%的无线连线将是5G。因此,预计该国 5G 普及率的提升将在预测期内对 5G NR RAN 市场产生正面影响。
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The 5G NR RAN market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15.38% from US$35.079 billion in 2025 to US$71.720 billion by 2030.
Some of the factors driving the global 5G NR RAN market growth include key organizations placing more emphasis on research and development activities and the growing demand for low-latency bandwidth connections. Additionally, the market will grow during the forecast period due to the strong deployment of a 5G radio access network (RAN) with numerous small cells and macrocell base stations worldwide.
To lower overall infrastructure costs and network complexity, mobile network operators (MNOs) and network service providers are rapidly adopting centralized RAN and virtual RAN (VRAN). Additionally, the RAN allows businesses and mobile network providers using private 4G or private 5G to provide network-slicing solutions. These solutions allocate resources to specific businesses so that they can divide network usage within a public mobile network. Due to users' preference for 5G RAN solutions and technological advancements, the industry is growing at an incredible rate.
Further, the industry participants are forming strategic alliances and working together to expand the market for their goods and services and their availability across a range of geographies. For instance, in June 2023, Intel Corporation announced their strategic agreement with Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Development LP. The companies planned to utilize Intel vRAN Boost technology to demonstrate Ericsson's Cloud RAN solution on 4th generation Intel Xeon Scalable processors.
5G NR RAN Market Drivers
The rise in popularity of modern communication networks has resulted in a faster pace of enabling 5G technology deployment with a growing demand for high-speed bandwidth. Large countries are making investments in network construction and are starting the necessary plans. As a result, rising expenditures for 5G technology are also evident. In October 2023, the Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry, as a way of supporting 5G deployment in rural areas, announced "The Spectrum Outlook 2023 to 2027". Meanwhile, the 3800 MHz auction took place in October 2023 as expected, marking it as the third to enable 5G.
In 2028, 5G is expected to outpace other forms of mobile access technologies in terms of subscriptions. Nearly 5.6 billion subscriptions are projected by 2029, which will represent 60% of all mobile subscriptions. Projections show that North America will account for approximately 90% of 5G penetration by 2029; while Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) will rank second at 89% and Western Europe will occupy the third spot at 86%.
Moreover, NR RAN helps manage resources across radio locations and offers low latency with seamless connectivity, mobility, and optimal network security. The growing 5G deployment is expected to increase demand for RANs. Thus, it creates a connection between the user's devices, like laptops and smartphones, and the main network, eliminating superfluous network complexity that would slow down internet speed.
5G NR RAN Market Geographical Outlook
Geography-wise, the market of 5G NR RAN is divided into the Americas, Europe Middle East and Africa, and Asia Pacific. The increasing demand for modern communication networks and high-speed bandwidth are major reasons for boosting the market in the projected period. Additionally, the rising investment in the 5G technology market is expected to boost the market growth. For instance, in September 2023, the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) announced an investment of US$25 million in advanced technologies and communication to operate securely through 5G networks.
Strategic partnership and collaboration among the 5G NR RAN players in the United States NR RAN market are expected to propel the market growth in the projected period. For instance, in December 2023, AT&T, headquartered in Dallas, Texas, collaborated with Ericsson to accelerate open and interoperable RAN in the United States. This collaboration aims at building a more robust ecosystem of network infrastructure providers, and suppliers. This project could roughly cost around US$14 billion over the 5-year term.
Additionally, the growing 5G deployment is a major market driver, as NR RAN helps provide low latency with smooth mobility, connectivity, and ultimate network security. For instance, according to the Cellular Telephone Industries Association (CTIA), in 2022, there were nearly 162 million active 5G devices which was almost double compared to 2021. 5G devices make up 1/3 of the total connections in the US, and by 2028, 91% of the total wireless connections are expected to be 5G. Hence, such increasing 5G penetration in the country is expected to positively impact the 5G NR RAN market in the projected period.
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