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市场调查报告书
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1627784
全球杏仁市场:预测(2025-2030 年)Global Almond Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
预计预测期内杏仁市场复合年增长率为 3.45%,到 2030 年达到 135.22 亿美元。这比 2025 年的 113.3 亿美元有显着成长。
推动全球杏仁市场发展的主要因素之一是人们越来越意识到杏仁的健康益处,同时由于杏仁含有健康脂肪、大量蛋白质和必需营养素,其需求量不断增加。此外,都市化的快速发展和可支配收入的增加促使人们在饮食中加入更多营养丰富的坚果,而杏仁是干果中的好选择。
此外,食品和饮料领域对杏仁产品的需求不断增长,也将推动杏仁市场在预期时间内的成长。例如,2023年12月,知名杏仁生产商和经销商Blue Diamond在其Almond Breeze产品线中推出了新产品:Almond Breeze Original Almond & Oat Blend。根据该公司介绍,这种非乳製奶结合了杏仁和燕麦,比传统乳製奶含有更多的钙、更少的热量和更少的糖。因此,预计此类新颖、原创的杏仁产品的推出将在预测期内推动市场扩张。
杏仁市场驱动因素
如今,大部分人都喜欢美味又健康的零食。消费者偏好的改变正在推动杏仁产品市场的发展。近年来,对传统牛奶和乳製品过敏的人数显着增加。因此,这群人开始转向豆奶、杏仁奶和米奶等替代奶。这种情况将为杏仁生产商提供更广泛的选择。
近年来,随着世界各地越来越多的人开始采用素食饮食,纯素牛奶变得越来越受欢迎。因此,杏仁奶因其众多健康益处,包括低热量、高维生素 D 和强化骨骼等特性,已成为纯素最受欢迎的选择之一。此外,杏仁奶和其他纯素替代品也被认为蛋白质含量高。
据粮农组织称,欧洲和北美的人均新鲜乳製品需求总体保持稳定或下降,但近年来需求结构已转向全脂饮用乳和奶油等乳脂肪。最近的研究对乳脂肪摄取的健康益处给出了更积极的看法,这可能会对消费者产生影响。植物来源乳製品替代品(如大豆、杏仁、大米和燕麦饮料)在北美、欧洲和东亚等许多地区越来越受欢迎。替代品的范围已超出了传统的选择,包括各种坚果、豆类和其他作物。牛奶乳糖不耐症是预测期内杏仁奶需求增加的主要原因之一。例如,根据美国国家美国美国36% 的人患有乳糖不耐症。
此外,预计杏仁产量将快速增加,这将有助于预测期内杏仁市场的扩张。例如,根据 INC《2022/23 年坚果和干果统计年鑑》,在 2022/23 年作物中,杏仁将占干果总产量的 27%,其他品种将分别占 22%、20% 和 10%。核桃、腰果和开心果,后三者的占比为14%。这些生产趋势显示杏仁的需求不断增长。
根据印度国家坚果和干果统计年鑑2022/23,杏仁预计2021年消费量最高,为15,705,890吨,占总消费量的31%。其次是核桃(977,272 吨)、腰果(965,490 吨)和开心果(786,200 吨)。因此,随着消费量的增加,开心果的消费量也会增加。
杏仁市场的地理概况
加州的杏仁产量大幅成长,成为世界上最大的坚果作物。杏仁是该地区用于出口和国内用途的进口作物,随着越来越多的人选择杏仁作为饮食选择,杏仁的需求进一步增加。此外,杏仁种植者比种植其他作物的农民更需要授粉。这使得它成为国内养蜂人的主要需求来源。由于全年都需要养蜂,任何无法养蜂或养蜂人交付延迟都会增加总体生产成本,从而进一步对国内杏仁生产产生负面影响。
预计预测期内欧洲地区对素食和有机食品的需求不断增加将推动杏仁市场的发展。此外,主要经济体扩大其食品和饮料行业,加上该地区主要市场参与者增加投资以扩大市场占有率,预计将推动市场成长机会。除此之外,由于素食主义的兴起,消费者偏好的改变以及对肉类和替代产品的接受度不断提高,预计将在未来几年进一步推动成长。
例如,调查显示,英国的纯素人口在过去几年大幅成长,预计在预测期内仍将继续强劲成长。重点市场开发公司专注于杏仁健康定位和消费者行销工作,以及为印度和中国等新兴市场制定模式和策略。此外,英国电子商务行业的扩张正吸引新的市场参与者以先进和创新的产品进入市场,从而增加竞争并为製造商和销售商创造进一步的市场成长机会,并正在推动中。
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The global almond market is expected to experience a CAGR of 3.45% throughout the forecast period, reaching a market size of US$13.522 billion by 2030. This represents a substantial increase from US$11.33 billion recorded in 2025.
One major factor propelling the worldwide almond market is the growing recognition of its health advantages, coupled with an escalating demand due to its content of healthy fats, substantial protein, and essential nutrients. Furthermore, the swift pace of urbanization and the increasing disposable income are motivating individuals to incorporate more nutritious nuts into their diets, with almonds standing out as an excellent choice among dried fruits.
Moreover, the escalating consumer demand for almond-derived products within the food and beverage sector is driving the almond market's growth in the anticipated period. For instance, in December 2023, Blue Diamond, a prominent producer and distributor of almonds, unveiled a new addition to its Almond Breeze product line - the Almond Breeze Original Almond and Oat Blend. This dairy-free milk combines almonds and oats, boasting more calcium than traditional dairy milk, fewer calories, and reduced sugar, according to the company. Hence, the introduction of such novel and inventive almond-based products is expected to fuel market expansion in the projected period.
Almond market drivers
A large portion of the population today prefers tasty as well as healthy snack options. This shift in consumer preferences is driving the global almond products market. In recent years, there has been a significant increase in the number of people suffering from allergies to traditional milk and milk products. As a result, this customer base is increasingly preferring milk alternatives such as soy milk, almond milk, and rice milk. This scenario provides the almond manufacturers with a wider option for their produce.
Vegan milk has grown in popularity in recent years as an increasing number of people around the world have adopted veganism. As a result, almond milk is one of the most popular choices for vegans due to its numerous health benefits, including being low in calories, high in vitamin D, and having bone-strengthening properties, among others. Almond milk and other vegan alternatives are also thought to be high in protein.
According to FAO, overall per capita demand for fresh dairy products in Europe and North America is stable to declining, but the composition of demand has shifted in recent years toward dairy fat, such as full-fat drinking milk, and cream. Recent studies that have cast a more positive light on the health benefits of dairy fat consumption may influence consumers. Plant-based dairy substitutes (e.g., soya, almond, rice, and oat drinks) have grown in popularity in many regions, including North America, Europe, and East Asia. Alternatives have expanded beyond the more traditional options, including various nuts, legumes, and other crops. Lactose intolerance to dairy milk is one of the major reasons for the increasing demand for almond milk in the projected period. For instance, according to the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, in the United States, about 36% of people have lactose malabsorption.
Additionally, the anticipated surge in almond production is poised to contribute to the expansion of the global almond market in the forecasted period. For example, according to the INC Nuts and Dried Fruit Statistical Yearbook 2022/23, in the crop year 2022/23, almonds constituted 27% of the overall production of dry fruits, surpassing walnuts, cashews, and pistachios which accounted for 22%, 20%, and 14% respectively, among other varieties. This escalating production trend serves as an indicator of the growing demand for almonds.
According to the INC Nuts and Dried Fruits Statistical Yearbook 2022/23, the estimated consumption was highest for almonds in 2021, with 15,70,589 metric tons, and accounted for 31% of the total consumption in 2021. Followed by walnuts, cashews, and pistachios with 9,77,272 metric tons, 9,65,490 metric tons, and 7,86,200 metric tons respectively. Hence, with the rising consumption.
Global almond market geographical outlook
California's almond crop is growing significantly, and it has the largest tree nut crop globally. Almond is considered an imported crop in the region in terms of both export and domestic purposes, and with the growing adoption of almonds as a dietary solution option, its demand is further increasing. Furthermore, almond farmers need more pollination than any other crop. Therefore, they are also the major source of demand for beekeepers in the country. Since they are required all year round, unavailability of beekeeping or delay in beekeeper delivery increases the overall cost of production and further negatively impacts the production of almonds in the country.
Increasing demand for vegan and organic food in the European region is expected to drive the market for almonds during the forecast period. In addition, the major economies expanding the food and beverage industry coupled with the growing investments by big market players in the region to increase their market share, are anticipated to propel the market growth opportunities. In addition to this, changing consumer preferences and increasing adoption of meat alternatives and substitute products due to the rising vegan population are anticipated to further propel this growth in the coming years.
For instance, according to multiple surveys, the vegan population in the United Kingdom has increased substantially over the past few years, with strong growth still anticipated during the forecast period. Major market players are focusing on almond health positioning and consumer marketing efforts, as well as developing a model and strategy for developing markets such as India and China. Furthermore, the expansion of the e-commerce industry in the United Kingdom is attracting new market players to enter the market with advanced and innovative products, thus increasing competition and further propelling the market growth opportunities for manufacturers and vendors
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