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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1824153
全球生质燃料市场:2025-2030 年预测Global Biofuel Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
全球生质燃料市场预计将从 2025 年的 2,247 亿美元成长到 2030 年的 3,187.19 亿美元,复合年增长率为 7.24%。
受清洁能源需求不断增长、政府对脱硫的严格监管以及财政激励措施的推动,全球生质燃料市场有望显着增长。包括乙醇和生质柴油在内的生质燃料作为石化燃料的永续替代品,正日益受到欢迎。根据美国环保署的评估,与柴油相比,生物燃料可减少10%的粒状物和11%的一氧化碳排放。全球可再生能源强制令和石化燃料蕴藏量的枯竭推动了生物燃料市场的转型,推动了市场向生质燃料的转变。
市场驱动因素
对清洁燃料和脱硫法规的需求
对清洁能源来源的需求以及政府日益严格的石油产品脱硫法规是生质燃料市场的主要驱动力。生质燃料能够显着减少空气污染,从而与全球应对气候变迁和满足环境标准的努力一致。世界各国政府正在实施减少温室气体排放的政策,并推广生质燃料作为石化燃料的可行替代品。这些法规,加上消费者对永续能源的需求,正在刺激交通运输和能源领域对生质燃料的采用,从而推动市场成长。
财政奖励和政府支持
政府支持政策和财政奖励正在加速生质燃料市场的扩张。例如,美国能源部于2022年12月推出一项30%的替代燃料基础设施税额扣抵,适用于使用E85等生质燃料以及生物柴油含量20%或以上的柴油混合物的燃料供应基础设施。同样,加拿大计画从2022年4月起将碳排放税从每吨排放10加元排放到50加元,奖励采用低排放生质燃料。这些政策以及补贴和资助项目正在使生质燃料生产和基础设施建设更具经济效益。
全球可再生能源义务
世界各国正在製定雄心勃勃的可再生能源目标,推动对生质燃料的需求。例如,印度国家转型委员会(NITI Aayog)的一份报告规定,到2025年,汽油中乙醇的掺混比例必须达到20%,而印尼则预计从2023年开始,生物柴油的掺混比例将达到35%。这些掺混要求,加上降低乙醇进口关税的努力(例如巴西在2022年采取的措施),正在推动生质燃料的消费。这些政策强调了全球对永续能源的承诺,并将生质燃料定位为能源转型的关键组成部分。
地理视角
美国市场领导地位
美国凭藉其强大的生产能力和扶持政策,在全球生质燃料市场占据主导地位。美国能源资讯署预测,在现有和提案计划的支持下,到2024年底,可再生柴油产量将达到每年51亿加仑。除了交通运输和能源产业对生质燃料的依赖日益增加之外,美国环保署简化生质燃料评估和替代燃料基础设施税额扣抵等倡议也在推动市场成长。美国对减少温室气体排放的重视进一步巩固了其市场领先地位。
亚太地区和欧洲
亚太地区,尤其是印度和印尼,正经历快速成长,这得益于严格的混合燃料法规和政府对生质燃料生产的支持。印尼对生质柴油的重视以及印度的乙醇混合目标是关键驱动因素。欧洲也是一个重要的市场,欧洲投资计画和创新基金等措施支持生质燃料的发展。该地区对永续航空燃料 (SAF) 和可再生柴油的关注与脱碳目标一致,推动了市场需求。
受清洁燃料需求、严格的脱硫法规以及政府支持的推动,生质燃料市场正呈现强劲成长动能。美国凭藉强劲的生产和政策支持引领市场,而亚太地区和欧洲则凭藉燃料混合法规和永续燃料倡议做出了贡献。欧洲和伊朗新建生质燃料设施等关键进展凸显了该产业对创新和扩充性的重视。随着全球能源转型加速,生质燃料市场已准备好持续扩张,协助其在预测期内实现环境和经济目标。
本报告的主要优点
它有什么用途?
产业与市场洞察、商业机会评估、产品需求预测、打入市场策略、地理扩张、资本投资决策、法律规范与影响、新产品开发、竞争影响
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The global biofuel market is expected to grow from USD 224.700 billion in 2025 to USD 318.719 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 7.24%.
The global biofuel market is poised for significant growth, driven by the increasing demand for cleaner energy, stringent government regulations on desulfurization, and supportive financial incentives. Biofuels, including ethanol and biodiesel, are gaining traction as sustainable alternatives to fossil fuels, reducing particulate matter by 10% and carbon monoxide by 11% compared to diesel, according to Environmental Protection Agency assessments. The market is propelled by global mandates for renewable energy adoption and the depletion of fossil fuel reserves, encouraging a shift toward biofuels.
Market Drivers
Demand for Cleaner Fuels and Desulfurization Regulations
The need for cleaner energy sources and tightening government regulations on desulfurization of petroleum products are major drivers of the biofuel market. Biofuels significantly reduce air pollution, aligning with global efforts to combat climate change and meet environmental standards. Governments worldwide are implementing policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, promoting biofuels as a viable alternative to fossil fuels. These regulations, coupled with consumer demand for sustainable energy, are driving market growth by encouraging the adoption of biofuels in transportation and energy sectors.
Financial Incentives and Government Support
Supportive government initiatives and financial incentives are accelerating biofuel market expansion. For instance, in the United States, the Department of Energy introduced a 30% Alternative Fuel Infrastructure Tax Credit in December 2022 for fueling infrastructure using biofuels like E85 and diesel blends with at least 20% biodiesel. Similarly, Canada's plan to increase carbon taxes from CAD 10 to CAD 50 per ton of emissions starting in April 2022 incentivizes the adoption of biofuels with lower emissions. These policies, along with subsidies and funding programs, enhance the economic viability of biofuel production and infrastructure development.
Global Renewable Energy Mandates
Countries worldwide are setting ambitious renewable energy targets, driving demand for biofuels. For example, India's NITI Aayog report mandates a 20% ethanol blend in petrol by 2025, while Indonesia anticipates a 35% biodiesel blend starting in 2023. These blending requirements, combined with initiatives to reduce import duties on ethanol, as seen in Brazil in 2022, are boosting biofuel consumption. Such policies highlight the global commitment to sustainable energy, positioning biofuels as a critical component of the energy transition.
Geographical Outlook
United States' Market Leadership
The United States is a dominant player in the global biofuel market, driven by its robust production capacity and supportive policies. The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects that renewable diesel production will reach 5.1 billion gallons per year by the end of 2024, supported by ongoing and proposed projects. The transportation and energy sectors' increasing reliance on biofuels, coupled with initiatives like the EPA's streamlined evaluation of biofuels and the Alternative Fuel Infrastructure Tax Credit, are driving market growth. The U.S.'s focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions further solidifies its position as a market leader.
Asia-Pacific and Europe
The Asia-Pacific region, particularly India and Indonesia, is witnessing rapid growth due to strong blending mandates and government support for biofuel production. Indonesia's focus on biodiesel and India's ethanol blending targets are key drivers. Europe is also a significant market, with initiatives like the Investment Plan for Europe and the Innovation Fund supporting biofuel development. The region's emphasis on sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel aligns with decarbonization goals, boosting market demand.
Key Developments
In April 2023, Tecnicas Reunidas secured a contract from Cepsa to provide engineering, procurement, and construction management for a second-generation biofuels facility in southern Europe. The facility, using used cooking oils and agricultural waste, has a flexible capacity of 500,000 tons of SAF and renewable diesel for transportation. In January 2023, Zagros Petrochemical Company and Dalian Petrochemical Company signed a contract to build Iran's first ethanol plant, a methanol-to-synthetic ethanol facility with a 300,000-tonne annual capacity, set to be operational by 2026.
The biofuel market is on a strong growth trajectory, driven by the demand for cleaner fuels, stringent desulfurization regulations, and supportive government incentives. The U.S. leads the market with robust production and policy support, while Asia-Pacific and Europe contribute through blending mandates and sustainable fuel initiatives. Key developments, such as new biofuel facilities in Europe and Iran, highlight the industry's focus on innovation and scalability. As global energy transitions accelerate, the biofuel market is well-positioned for sustained expansion, meeting environmental and economic goals during the forecast period.
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