薄膜光电全球市场报告：趋势、预测与竞争分析（至 2031 年）

全球薄膜太阳能光电市场前景光明，在住宅、商业/工业和公共产业市场都存在机会。预计到 2031 年，全球薄膜光电市场规模将达到 180 亿美元，2025 年至 2031 年的复合年增长率为 16.0%。该市场的主要驱动力是对可再生能源的需求不断增长、减少二氧化碳排放的需求不断增加，以及基于薄膜的光伏设备的日益普及。

• Lucintel 预测，根据组件类型，模组将在预测期内经历最高的成长。
• 按地区划分，预计亚太地区将在预测期内经历最高成长。

薄膜光电市场的策略性成长机会

薄膜光电市场的策略性成长机会源自于技术进步、应用范围扩大和市场动态。这些机会正在塑造薄膜光电技术的未来。

• 建筑一体化光伏（BIPV）：将薄膜光伏技术融入建筑建筑幕墙和屋顶等建筑材料是一个成长机会。 BIPV 系统兼具美观和功能优势，推动了其在住宅和商业建筑中的应用。
• 可携式太阳能解决方案：薄膜光伏电池的灵活性和轻量使其成为太阳能充电器和露营装备等可携式太阳能应用的理想选择。随着消费者对便携式可再生能源解决方案的需求不断增长，该行业正在不断扩大。
• 商业和工业应用：商业和工业环境中薄膜太阳能的采用正在增加。应用包括大型太阳能发电场、工业屋顶和离网解决方案，提供了巨大的市场成长机会。
• 渗透新兴市场：扩展到具有高太阳能潜力的新兴市场带来了成长机会。根据当地需求和法规环境製化薄膜光电解决方案有助于市场进入和发展。
• 技术创新：薄膜技术的持续创新，包括提高效率和新材料，提供了成长机会。技术进步提高了性能和竞争力，有助于扩大市场。

BIPV、可携式太阳能解决方案、商业应用、渗透新兴市场和技术创新等策略性成长机会正在推动薄膜光伏市场的发展。这些机会正在推动市场扩张、技术进步和薄膜光伏技术的更广泛应用。

薄膜太阳能发电市场的驱动因素与挑战

薄膜光电市场受到各种市场驱动因素和挑战的影响，包括技术进步、经济因素和监管环境。了解这些因素对于掌握市场格局至关重要。

薄膜太阳能光电市场受以下因素驱动：

• 技术进步：薄膜光伏技术的进步，例如新材料和製造工艺，提高了效率和性能。这些技术创新正在提高薄膜太阳能发电的竞争力和吸引力，推动市场成长。
• 降低成本：製造和生产成本的降低使得薄膜光电更经济实惠。具有成本效益的解决方案将扩大市场并在住宅和商业应用中变得更加受欢迎。
• 政府奖励：补贴和税额扣抵等支持性政策和奖励将推动薄膜光电技术的应用。这些措施将减少经济障碍并鼓励对太阳能的投资。
• 环保意识不断增强：消费者和企业对永续性的关注度不断提高，推动了对可再生能源解决方案的需求。薄膜太阳能光电技术透过提供比传统能源来源更环保的替代品来支持市场成长。
• 太阳能发电设施的扩建：包括大型太阳能发电厂和都市区设施在内的太阳能係统的日益普及，正在支持对薄膜光电的需求。该领域的扩张为市场成长创造了机会。

薄膜太阳能市场面临的挑战是：

• 效率限制：薄膜太阳能技术的效率通常低于传统的硅基板。解决效率限制是提高竞争力和市场吸引力的关键。
• 耐用性问题：薄膜光伏板的耐用性和寿命是一项挑战。提高这些面板的可靠性和使用寿命对于提高采用率和市场接受度至关重要。
• 基础设施和供应链挑战：基础设施和供应链物流的发展可能是一个障碍。需要高效的供应链和基础设施来支援大规模部署和市场扩张。

薄膜太阳能光电市场的主要驱动力是技术进步、成本降低、政府激励、日益增强的环保意识以及太阳能发电装置的扩张。主要挑战包括效率限制、耐用性问题和基础设施问题。解决这些因素对于薄膜光电市场的持续成长和成功至关重要。

目录

第一章执行摘要

第二章全球薄膜光电市场：市场动态

• 简介、背景和分类
• 供应链
• 产业驱动力与挑战

第三章市场趋势与预测分析（2019-2031）

• 宏观经济趋势（2019-2024）及预测（2025-2031）
• 全球薄膜光电发电市场趋势（2019-2024）及预测（2025-2031）
• 全球薄膜光电市场（按材料）
  • 碲化镉（CDTE）
  • 非晶质（A-SI）
  • 钙钛矿
  • 铜铟镓硒（CIGS）
  • 有机光伏
  • 铜锌锡硫化物 (CZTS)
  • 量子点薄膜光电发电
  • 全硅串联
• 全球薄膜光电市场（按组件）
  • 模组
  • 逆变器
  • 系统平衡（BOS）
• 全球薄膜光电市场（按最终用途划分）
  • 住宅
  • 商业和工业
  • 公共产业

第四章。各地区市场趋势及预测分析（2019-2031）

• 全球薄膜光电市场（按区域）
• 北美薄膜光电市场
• 欧洲薄膜光电市场
• 亚太薄膜光电市场
• 其他地区的薄膜光电市场

第五章 竞争分析

• 产品系列分析
• 营运整合
• 波特五力分析

第六章 成长机会与策略分析

• 成长机会分析
  • 全球薄膜光电市场按材料分類的成长机会
  • 全球薄膜光电市场各组件成长机会
  • 全球薄膜光电市场成长机会（依最终用途划分）
  • 全球薄膜光电市场各区域成长机会
• 全球薄膜光电市场新趋势
• 战略分析
  • 新产品开发
  • 全球薄膜太阳能市场产能扩张
  • 全球薄膜光电市场的併购与合资
  • 认证和许可

第七章主要企业简介

• First Solar
• Kaneka
• Ascent Solar Technologies
• Oxford PV
• Hanwha Q CELLS
• Sharp
• JA Solar Technology

The future of the global thin-film photovoltaic market looks promising with opportunities in the residential, commercial & industrial, and utility markets. The global thin-film photovoltaic market is expected to reach an estimated $18 billion by 2031 with a CAGR of 16.0% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are the growing demand for renewable energy, the rising need to reduce carbon emissions, and the increasing adoption of thin-film-based photovoltaic devices.

• Lucintel forecasts that, within the component category, the module is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.
• In terms of regions, APAC is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period.

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Emerging Trends in the Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Emerging trends in the thin-film photovoltaic market reflect ongoing innovations and shifts in technology, consumer preferences, and regulatory environments. These trends are influencing the direction and growth of the sector.

• High-efficiency thin-film technologies: Innovations in high-efficiency thin-film technologies, such as advanced CdTe and CIGS, are driving market growth. Enhanced efficiency increases the energy yield of thin-film PV systems, making them more competitive with traditional silicon-based panels.
• Integration with building materials: The integration of thin-film PV with building materials is gaining traction. This trend involves embedding solar technology into building facades, windows, and roofing materials, enhancing the aesthetics and functionality of buildings while generating renewable energy.
• Cost reduction innovations: Technological advancements and streamlined manufacturing processes are leading to significant cost reductions in thin-film PV production. Lower costs make thin-film PV more accessible and attractive for large-scale projects and residential applications.
• Government incentives and policies: Supportive government policies and incentives are crucial for the growth of the thin-film PV market. Policies such as subsidies, tax credits, and renewable energy mandates encourage adoption and investment in thin-film technologies.
• Expansion into emerging markets: The expansion of thin-film PV technologies into emerging markets is driving growth. These markets offer new opportunities for deployment, particularly in regions with high solar potential and growing energy demands.

Emerging trends such as high-efficiency technologies, integration with building materials, cost reductions, government incentives, and expansion into emerging markets are reshaping the thin-film photovoltaic market. These trends are driving technological innovation, reducing costs, and expanding the applications of thin-film PV technologies.

Recent Developments in the Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Recent developments in the thin-film photovoltaic market highlight significant advancements in technology, production, and application. These developments are shaping the market's future and driving growth.

• Advanced material research: Research into new materials, such as perovskite-based thin-film PV cells, is advancing rapidly. These materials promise higher efficiency and better performance compared to traditional thin-film technologies, potentially transforming the market landscape.
• Manufacturing innovations: Innovations in manufacturing processes, including roll-to-roll techniques and improved deposition methods, are reducing costs and increasing production efficiency. These advancements help scale up production and make thin-film PV more competitive.
• Increased deployment in urban areas: Thin-film PV is increasingly being deployed in urban environments, including building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) and urban solar farms. This trend reflects a growing interest in integrating solar technologies into everyday infrastructure.
• Focus on durability and reliability: Enhancements in the durability and reliability of thin-film PV panels are a key focus. Improved weather resistance and longer lifespans increase the attractiveness of thin-film technologies for both residential and commercial applications.
• Global expansion of production facilities: The expansion of thin-film PV production facilities worldwide is supporting market growth. New factories and increased production capacity are meeting the rising demand and facilitating the global distribution of thin-film technologies.

Recent developments such as advanced material research, manufacturing innovations, urban deployment, focus on durability, and global expansion of production facilities are significantly impacting the thin-film photovoltaic market. These developments are driving technological progress, reducing costs, and expanding market reach.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Strategic growth opportunities in the thin-film photovoltaic market are emerging from advancements in technology, expanding applications, and evolving market dynamics. These opportunities are shaping the future of thin-film PV technologies.

• Building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV): The integration of thin-film PV into building materials, such as facades and roofs, offers significant growth potential. BIPV systems provide both aesthetic and functional benefits, driving adoption in residential and commercial buildings.
• Portable solar solutions: Thin-film PV's flexibility and lightweight properties make it ideal for portable solar applications, such as solar chargers and camping equipment. This segment is expanding as consumer demand for portable, renewable energy solutions grows.
• Commercial and industrial applications: The adoption of thin-film PV in commercial and industrial settings is increasing. Applications include large-scale solar farms, industrial rooftops, and off-grid solutions, offering opportunities for significant market growth.
• Emerging market penetration: Expanding into emerging markets with high solar potential presents growth opportunities. Tailoring thin-film PV solutions to local needs and regulatory environments can drive market entry and development.
• Technological innovations: Continued innovation in thin-film technologies, such as improved efficiency and new materials, presents growth opportunities. Advances in technology enhance performance and competitiveness, supporting market expansion.

Strategic growth opportunities in BIPV, portable solar solutions, commercial applications, emerging market penetration, and technological innovations are driving the thin-film photovoltaic market. These opportunities are fostering market expansion, technological advancement, and broader adoption of thin-film PV technologies.

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market Driver and Challenges

The thin-film photovoltaic market is shaped by various drivers and challenges, including technological advancements, economic factors, and regulatory conditions. Understanding these factors is essential for navigating the market landscape.

The factors responsible for driving the thin-film photovoltaic market include:

• Technological advancements: Advances in thin-film PV technologies, including new materials and manufacturing processes, enhance efficiency and performance. These innovations drive market growth by making thin-film PV more competitive and attractive.
• Cost reduction: Reductions in manufacturing and production costs make thin-film PV more affordable. Cost-effective solutions expand market reach and increase adoption in both residential and commercial applications.
• Government incentives: Supportive policies and incentives, such as subsidies and tax credits, encourage the adoption of thin-film PV technologies. These measures reduce financial barriers and promote investment in solar energy.
• Growing environmental awareness: Increasing consumer and corporate focus on sustainability drives demand for renewable energy solutions. Thin-film PV technologies offer an eco-friendly alternative to traditional energy sources, supporting market growth.
• Expansion of solar installations: The growing deployment of solar energy systems, including large-scale solar farms and urban installations, supports the demand for thin-film PV. Expansion in this sector creates opportunities for market growth.

Challenges in the thin-film photovoltaic market are:

• Efficiency limitations: Thin-film PV technologies generally have lower efficiency compared to traditional silicon-based panels. Addressing efficiency limitations is crucial for improving competitiveness and market appeal.
• Durability concerns: Durability and longevity of thin-film PV panels can be a challenge. Enhancing the reliability and lifespan of these panels is essential for increasing adoption and market acceptance.
• Infrastructure and supply chain issues: The development of supporting infrastructure and supply chain logistics can be a barrier. Efficient supply chains and infrastructure are necessary to support large-scale deployment and market expansion.

Major drivers of the thin-film photovoltaic market include technological advancements, cost reductions, government incentives, growing environmental awareness, and expansion of solar installations. Key challenges include efficiency limitations, durability concerns, and infrastructure issues. Addressing these factors is essential for the continued growth and success of the thin-film PV market.

List of Thin-Film Photovoltaic Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. Through these strategies thin-film photovoltaic companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the thin-film photovoltaic companies profiled in this report include-

• First Solar
• Kaneka
• Ascent Solar Technologies
• Oxford PV
• Hanwha Q CELLS
• Sharp
• JA Solar Technology

Thin-Film Photovoltaic by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global thin-film photovoltaic market by material, component, end use, and region.

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Material [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Cadmium Telluride (CDTE)
• Amorphous Silicon (A-SI)
• Perovskite
• Copper Indium Gallium Selenide (CIGS)
• Organic PV
• Copper Zinc Tin Sulfide (CZTS)
• Quantum Dot Thin Film Solar Cells
• All-Silicon Tandem

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Module
• Inverter
• Balance of System (BOS)

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Residential
• Commercial & Industrial
• Utilities

Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

The thin-film photovoltaic (PV) market is witnessing notable advancements driven by technological innovations, increased investments, and evolving regulatory frameworks. These developments are reshaping the industry across major markets, including the United States, Indian, German, Indian, and Japanese markets, where countries are focusing on enhancing efficiency, reducing costs, and expanding applications of thin-film PV technologies.

• United States: In the U.S. recent developments in thin-film PV technology include breakthroughs in increasing efficiency and reducing manufacturing costs. Companies are investing in research to improve the performance of cadmium telluride (CdTe) and copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS) technologies. Additionally, there is growing interest in integrating thin-film PV with building materials and smart grids, supported by federal incentives and funding.
• India: India continues to lead in the thin-film PV sector with substantial investments in production capacity and technological advancements. Recent progress includes enhancements in the efficiency of CdTe and CIGS panels and significant reductions in production costs. The government's support through subsidies and favorable policies is accelerating the adoption of thin-film PV technologies in various applications, including large-scale solar farms.
• German: Germany is advancing thin-film PV technology through research and development aimed at improving efficiency and durability. Recent developments focus on integrating thin-film PV into architectural designs and energy-efficient buildings. German companies are also exploring new materials and manufacturing processes to enhance performance and reduce costs, bolstered by strong government support for renewable energy.
• India: India is making strides in adopting thin-film PV technologies to address energy needs and enhance sustainability. Recent developments include pilot projects and partnerships aimed at integrating thin-film PV into rural and urban infrastructure. The Indian government is promoting these technologies through incentives and initiatives, focusing on improving efficiency and scaling up production capabilities.
• Japan: Japan is focusing on integrating thin-film PV into various applications, including building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) and portable solar solutions. Recent advancements include improvements in the efficiency and durability of amorphous silicon (a-Si) panels. Japan's strong emphasis on technological innovation and government support is driving the adoption of thin-film PV technologies in both residential and commercial sectors.

Features of the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market

Market Size Estimates: Thin-film photovoltaic market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Thin-film photovoltaic market size by material, component, end use, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Thin-film photovoltaic market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different material, component, end use, and regions for the thin-film photovoltaic market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the thin-film photovoltaic market.

Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

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This report answers following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the thin-film photovoltaic market by material (cadmium telluride (CDTE), amorphous silicon (A-SI), perovskite, copper indium gallium selenide (CGIS), organic PV, copper zinc tin sulfide (CZTS), quantum dot thin film solar cells, and all-silicon tandem), component (module, inverter, and balance of system (BOS)), end use (residential, commercial & industrial, and utilities), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market: Market Dynamics

• 2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
• 2.2: Supply Chain
• 2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges

3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2019 to 2031

• 3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.2. Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.3: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Material
  • 3.3.1: Cadmium Telluride (CDTE)
  • 3.3.2: Amorphous Silicon (A-SI)
  • 3.3.3: Perovskite
  • 3.3.4: Copper Indium Gallium Selenide (CIGS)
  • 3.3.5: Organic PV
  • 3.3.6: Copper Zinc Tin Sulfide (CZTS)
  • 3.3.7: Quantum Dot Thin Film Solar Cells
  • 3.3.8: All-Silicon Tandem
• 3.4: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component
  • 3.4.1: Module
  • 3.4.2: Inverter
  • 3.4.3: Balance of System (BOS)
• 3.5: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use
  • 3.5.1: Residential
  • 3.5.2: Commercial & Industrial
  • 3.5.3: Utilities

4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2019 to 2031

• 4.1: Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Region
• 4.2: North American Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.2.1: North American Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.2.2: North American Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities
• 4.3: European Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.3.1: European Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.3.2: European Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities
• 4.4: APAC Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.4.1: APAC Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.4.2: APAC Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities
• 4.5: ROW Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 4.5.1: ROW Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component: Module, Inverter, and Balance of System (BOS)
  • 4.5.2: ROW Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use: Residential, Commercial & Industrial, and Utilities

5. Competitor Analysis

• 5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
• 5.2: Operational Integration
• 5.3: Porter's Five Forces Analysis

6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis

• 6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
  • 6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Material
  • 6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Component
  • 6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by End Use
  • 6.1.4: Growth Opportunities for the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market by Region
• 6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
• 6.3: Strategic Analysis
  • 6.3.1: New Product Development
  • 6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Thin-Film Photovoltaic Market
  • 6.3.4: Certification and Licensing

7. Company Profiles of Leading Players

• 7.1: First Solar
• 7.2: Kaneka
• 7.3: Ascent Solar Technologies
• 7.4: Oxford PV
• 7.5: Hanwha Q CELLS
• 7.6: Sharp
• 7.7: JA Solar Technology