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汽车自动变速器市场 - 增长、趋势、COVID-19 影响和预测 (2023-2028)
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1189909

汽车自动变速器市场 - 增长、趋势、COVID-19 影响和预测 (2023-2028)

Automotive Automatic Transmission Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 90 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

2021年汽车自动变速器市场规模将达到1016.5亿美元。

预计到 2027 年价值将达到 1551.5 亿美元，预测期内的复合年增长率为 7%。

COVID-19 大流行影响了汽车行业，由于汽车销售放缓和几乎为零的新要求，变速器市场失去了市场份额。 美国大约 90% 的汽车配备自动变速器，但像印度这样对里程数敏感的巨大市场尚未转换为自动变速器系统。 随着世界各地的司机越来越多地选择自动变速器，该行业将能够更好地应对大流行以及 COVID-19 之后及以后的情况。

汽车传动系统除了将发动机动力传递到车轮这一简单目的之外，还有许多优点。 过去三年，汽车自动变速器车辆的需求一直在上升，尤其是在印度和中国等新兴国家，由于交通拥堵、拥堵和道路拥堵。

汽车上安装的自动变速器的主要类型是手自一体变速器、无级变速器和双离合变速器。

根据通用汽车公司的说法，日益增长的环境问题和严格的燃油经济性法规可能会减少配备手动变速箱系统的车辆数量，从而导致对自动变速箱系统的需求增加。显然该地区各国政府还试图通过激励措施和税收抵免来促进替代燃料和节能汽车的销售，预计这将推动该地区对汽车自动变速器的需求。

主要市场趋势

OEM专注于开发先进的自动变速箱

德国自动变速器供应商 ZF 开发了一款新型 8 速自动变速器。 该公司主要致力于通过轻量化技术提高燃油效率。

*新齿轮组由 4 个行星齿轮组和 5 个换檔元件组成，可最大程度地减少阻力并提高传动效率。 可选的液压脉衝储油器 (HIS) 提供启动/停止功能以提高燃油经济性。

*这款新型自动变速箱兼容混合动力，可用于所有 AWD 潜水概念，包括集成 AWD 中央差速器、集成 AWD 系统和悬挂式 AWD。

采埃孚平均每年为阿斯顿马丁、FCA、捷豹路虎和大众汽车集团生产 350 万台 8 速自动变速器。 2019年，我们从宝马获得了价值10亿日元的合同。 采埃孚预计将为 2022 年上市的宝马系列车型提供这款八速自动变速器的最新版本。

此外，随着物流业的发展步伐加快，预计商业领域对变速箱的需求也会增加。 2021年2月，采埃孚宣布投资2亿美元用于商用车变速器製造，以满足北美日益增长的需求。 从 2023 年开始，采埃孚将在南卡罗来纳州格雷科特製造 PowerLine 8 速自动变速器，为美国创造 500 个工作岗位。

此外，采埃孚正在研究在中国和美国开始生产这项技术的可能性，这两个国家在自动乘用车中所占比例很高。

亚太地区有望创下最快的增长速度

亚太地区有望在预测期内实现最快的增长。 在亚太地区，中国、印度和东盟国家等国家对汽车的需求预计将很高，尤其是印度，汽车保有量持续增长。

在过去三年中，印度对自动驾驶汽车和 SUV 的需求显着增加。

自动驾驶汽车销量从 2011 年的仅 1.4% 上升到 2019 年的 17.3%。 儘管这一增长主要是由于大都市地区交通量增加和驾驶条件疲惫，但手动变速器仍然是印度农村首选的交通方式。 Maruti SuzUnited Kingdomi 是印度最大的自动驾驶汽车生产商，2020 年销量超过 132,000 辆。

在印度销售的汽车中，近 80% 的价格在 1.2 亿日元或以下。 在这个价位区间，Maruti SuzUnited Kingdomi的Vitara Brezza、Dzire、Baleno、Hyundai Verna和Honda City是国内最畅销的自动檔车型。

许多印度买家更喜欢手动 SUV，但过去两年对配备自动变速箱的 SUV 的需求有所增加。 斯柯达柯迪亚克、大众途观、奥迪Q系列、宝马X系列等印度市场上销售的高端SUV车型，大多标配自动变速箱系统。

鑑于路况的恶化、技术的进步、经济性和便利性的日益偏好以及对节油车辆的需求增加，预测期内印度对AT车辆的需求将快速增长。预计

虽然市场发展缓慢，但双离合自动变速箱越来越受欢迎，因为它们的快速换檔速度非常有用，并且被用于大多数性能和超级跑车。 因此，现代、斯柯达、大众、塔塔等众多汽车厂商纷纷开始采用DCT技术。

2022 年 3 月，塔塔汽车公司在印度推出了一款配备名为 DCA 的双离合变速器的高级掀背车。

竞争格局

汽车自动变速箱市场被 ZF Friedrichshafen AG、Schaeffler AG、Hyundai Transys Inc.、Magna International Inc. 和 JATCO Ltd. 等参与者严重分割。 传动系统製造商致力于在不牺牲车辆性能的情况下提供具有成本效益的解决方案。 经销商专注于全球化并创新产品以符合排放法规。 出于这个原因，经销商与本地合作伙伴和原始设备製造商合作，专注于开发新技术，以将有效的技术推向市场，同时节省製造成本。

例如，2022 年 5 月，Magn 将为宝马集团开始生产新型 7 速轻度混合动力双离合水平变速器。 Magn 是 BMW Group 平台上所有前横置应用的唯一轻度混合动力变速箱供应商。 这种轻度混合动力变速箱技术显着减少了内燃机的二氧化碳排放量。

其他好处

  • Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
  • 三个月的分析师支持

内容

第1章介绍

  • 调查先决条件
  • 调查范围

第2章研究方法论

第 3 章执行摘要

第4章市场动态

  • 市场驱动力
  • 市场製约因素
  • 产业吸引力 - 波特五力分析
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 买方/消费者议价能力
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争公司之间的敌对关係

第 5 章市场细分

  • 类型
    • 自动变速器 (AT)/变矩器 (TC)
    • 手自一体变速箱 (AMT)
    • 无级变速器 (CVT)
    • 双离合变速器 (DCT)
  • 燃料类型
    • 汽油
    • 柴油机
    • 混合型
  • 汽车模型
    • 乘用车
    • 轻型商用车 (LCV)
    • 重型商用车 (HCV)
  • 按地区
    • 北美
      • 美国
      • 加拿大
      • 其他北美地区
    • 欧洲
      • 德国
      • 英国
      • 法国
      • 意大利
      • 其他欧洲地区
    • 亚太地区
      • 中国
      • 日本
      • 印度
      • 韩国
      • 其他亚太地区
    • 南美洲地区
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 其他南美洲
    • 中东和非洲
      • 阿拉伯联合酋长国
      • 沙特阿拉伯
      • 其他中东和非洲地区

第6章竞争格局

  • 供应商市场份额
  • 公司简介
    • Aisin Seiki Co Ltd
    • Allison Transmission Holdings
    • BorgWarner Inc.
    • Continental AG
    • Daimler AG
    • Delphi Automotive
    • Eaton Corporation PLC
    • Fiat Powertrain Technologies
    • Jatco Ltd.
    • Magna International Inc.
    • NSK Ltd.
    • Valeo
    • ZF Friedrichshafen AG

第7章 市场机会与今后动向

简介目录
Product Code: 49251

The automotive automatic transmission market studied was valued at USD 101.65 billion in 2021. It is expected to reach a value of USD 155.15 billion by 2027 while registering a CAGR of 7% during the forecast period.

With the COVID-19 pandemic affecting the automotive industry, the Transmission Market saw a dip in market share due to low or almost zero automotive sales or new requirements. Although United States has around 90% of the vehicles running with automatic transmission, mileage-sensitive and huge-scale markets like India are yet to gradually transform into automatic transmission systems. The growing trend towards opting the automatic transmission by drivers worldwide is set to help the industry service the pandemic and come out with good numbers post Covid-19.

The automotive transmission system has many advantages, apart from performing the simple purpose of transferring an engine's power to the wheels. The demand for automotive automatic transmission vehicles has been growing over the past three years, especially in developing countries, such as India and China, due to heavy traffic, congestion, and overcrowded streets.

The major types of automatic transmission systems used in the vehicles are automated manual, continuously variable transmission, and dual-clutch transmission, among others.

According to General Motors, with the growing environmental concerns and strict fuel economy norms, the available manual transmission system cars may decline, in turn, resulting in the rise in demand for automatic transmission systems. Governments in the region are also trying to promote the sales of alternative fuel vehicles through incentives and tax deductions, and fuel-efficient vehicles, which is expected to propel the demand for automotive automatic transmission in the region.

Key Market Trends

OEMs Focusing on Developing Advanced Automatic Transmission

The German automatic transmission supplier ZF developed a new 8-speed automatic transmission. The company mainly focused on improving fuel efficiency by using lightweight technology.

* The new gear set design consists of four planetary gear sets and five shift elements that help minimize drag and improve transmission efficiency. The optional hydraulic impulse oil storage (HIS) offers a start/stop function, which can increase fuel savings.

* This new automatic transmission is hybrid compatible and can be used across all AWD dive concepts, which include AWD center differential integrated, integrated AWD system, and hang-on AWD.

On average, ZF manufactures 3.5 million units of its 8-speed automatic transmission for Aston Martin, FCA, JLR, and the Volkswagen group yearly. In 2019, the company received a billion-dollar contract from BMW. ZF is expected to supply its latest version of this 8-speed automatic transmission for a BMW series of models that may be launched in 2022.

Additionally, as the logistics industry is gaining back its pace, the demand for transmission in the commercial sector is expected to increase. Hence, in February 2021, ZF announced a USD 200 million investment in commercial vehicle transmission manufacturing to cater to the increased demand in North America. Beginning in 2023, ZF will manufacture its PowerLine 8-speed automatic transmission in Gray Court, South Carolina, creating 500 jobs in United States.

Furthermore, ZF is also testing the possibilities of starting the production of this technology for China and United States, where the shares of automatic passenger cars are high.

Asia-Pacific is Expected to Witness the Fastest Growth Rate

Asia-Pacific is expected to witness the fastest growth rate during the forecast period. In the Asia-Pacific region, countries such as China, India, and the ASEAN countries, are anticipated to witness high demand for automatic cars, especially in India, with the continually growing vehicle population.

In India, the demand for automatic transmission cars and SUVs has significantly increased over the past three years.

Automatic vehicle sales have risen from a meager 1.4% in 2011 to 17.3% in 2019. This increase is primarily due to increased traffic and exhausting driving conditions in metropolitan regions, but manual transmissions are still the preferred mode of transportation in rural India. Maruti Suzuki was India's largest producer of automatic cars, with sales accounting for over 132,000 units in 2020.

Almost 80% of the cars sold in India are under the price range of 12 lakhs. Within this price range, Maruti Suzuki's Vitara Brezza, Dzire, Baleno, Hyundai Verna, and Honda City are the top-selling automatic transmission cars in the country.

Although most Indian buyers prefer a manual SUV, the demand for automatic transmission SUVs has increased over the past two years. Most of the premium SUV models available in the Indian market, such as Skoda Kodiaq, Volkswagen Tiguan, Audi Q-Series, BMW X-Series, etc., have an automatic transmission as a standard system.

In the light of the worsening road conditions, advancements in technology, growing preference toward economy and convenience, and rising demand for fuel-efficient cars, the demand for automatic transmission vehicles in India are expected to grow rapidly during the forecast period.

Although the market is running slow, the Dual Clutch Automatic Gearbox is gaining popularity because of its high-speed gearshift rate, which is very useful and is employed in most performance cars and supercars. Hence, many car makers like Hyundai, Skoda, Volkswagen, Tata, and others have started incorporating DCT technology.

In March 2022, Tata Motors launched its premium hatchback with a dual-clutch transmission called the DCA in India.

Competitive Landscape

The automotive automatic transmission market is fairly fragmented, with players, like ZF Friedrichshafen AG, Schaeffler AG, Hyundai Transys Inc., Magna International Inc., JATCO Ltd, and others. Transmission system manufacturers are motivated to provide cost-effective solutions without compromising the vehicle's performance. Dealers are focusing on globalization and innovating products to obey the emission norms. For this reason, dealers are working with native partners, and OEMs are focusing on developing new technologies to save manufacturing costs while offering effective technologies in the market.

For instance, in May 2022, Magna commences production of a new 7-speed, mild hybrid dual-clutch transverse transmission for BMW Group. Magna is the only mild hybrid transmission supplier for the BMW Group platform for all front-transverse applications. This mild hybrid gearbox tech cuts CO2 emissions from an internal combustion engine by a significant amount.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 4.1 Market Driver
  • 4.2 Market Restraints
  • 4.3 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.3.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.3.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.3.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.3.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.3.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Type
    • 5.1.1 Automatic Transmission (AT)/Torque Converter (TC)
    • 5.1.2 Automatic Manual Transmission (AMT)
    • 5.1.3 Continuous Variable Transmission (CVT)
    • 5.1.4 Dual Clutch Transmission (DCT)
  • 5.2 Fuel Type
    • 5.2.1 Gasoline (Petrol)
    • 5.2.2 Diesel
    • 5.2.3 Hybrid
  • 5.3 Vehicle Type
    • 5.3.1 Passenger Cars
    • 5.3.2 Light Commercial Vehicles (LCVs)
    • 5.3.3 Heavy Commercial Vehicles (HCVs)
  • 5.4 Geography
    • 5.4.1 North America
      • 5.4.1.1 United States
      • 5.4.1.2 Canada
      • 5.4.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.4.2 Europe
      • 5.4.2.1 Germany
      • 5.4.2.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.2.3 France
      • 5.4.2.4 Italy
      • 5.4.2.5 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.3.1 China
      • 5.4.3.2 Japan
      • 5.4.3.3 India
      • 5.4.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.4.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.4 South America
      • 5.4.4.1 Brazil
      • 5.4.4.2 Argentina
      • 5.4.4.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.4.5 Middle-East and Africa
      • 5.4.5.1 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.4.5.2 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.4.5.3 Rest of the Middle-East and Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Vendor Market Share
  • 6.2 Company Profiles*
    • 6.2.1 Aisin Seiki Co Ltd
    • 6.2.2 Allison Transmission Holdings
    • 6.2.3 BorgWarner Inc.
    • 6.2.4 Continental AG
    • 6.2.5 Daimler AG
    • 6.2.6 Delphi Automotive
    • 6.2.7 Eaton Corporation PLC
    • 6.2.8 Fiat Powertrain Technologies
    • 6.2.9 Jatco Ltd.
    • 6.2.10 Magna International Inc.
    • 6.2.11 NSK Ltd.
    • 6.2.12 Valeo
    • 6.2.13 ZF Friedrichshafen AG

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS