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市场调查报告书
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1190335

CNG 和 LPG 汽车的全球市场——增长、趋势、COVID-19 的影响和预测 (2023-2028)

CNG and LPG Vehicle Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 90 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

在预测期内，全球 CNG 和 LPG 汽车市场预计将以超过 7% 的复合年增长率增长。

COVID-19 大流行期间的製造停工、停工和贸易限制对 CNG 和 LPG 汽车市场产生了负面影响。 此外，汽车产量下降和劳动力短缺对市场产生了重大影响。 然而，在 2020 年底，随着汽车销量在 COVID-19 病例有限的国家稳步增长，汽车製造商恢復了运营。 因此，市场在下半年经历了增长，并在 2021 年延续了这一趋势。 此外，政府机构实施的严格排放法规、不断上涨的燃料价格以及消费者意识的提高正在推动对使用替代燃料的车辆的需求。 例如，2021 年印度的 CNG 汽车销量将达到 1,63,696 辆，高于 2020 年的 41,572 辆。

目前，全球变暖已成为全球性的重大问题，公众也开始认识到其影响。 这引起了反对使用汽油和柴油的情绪。 此外，根据地区的不同，废气法规变得更加严格，需要大量投资才能遵守。 这尤其给柴油车製造商带来了巨大的财务压力，并且是 CNG/LPG 汽车市场的主要推动力。

推动 CNG 和 LPG 汽车市场增长的另一个因素是油价上涨导致燃油价格上涨。 例如

主要亮点

  • 根据国际货币基金组织的数据，2021 年的油价与 2020 年相比上涨了 12%。 这是由于随着各国逐渐开放和经济开始再次增长，COVID-19 大流行消退造成对石油的被压抑需求。

从长远来看，汽车压缩天然气和液化石油气的增长可归因于汽车行业越来越多地使用替代燃料来提高成本效益、燃油效率和排放法规。. 与不断上涨的石油产品价格相比，CNG 和 LPG 的成本较低，因此 CNG 和 LPG 汽车在新兴国家迅速增长。 此外，CNG 和 LPG 车辆被认为是燃油车辆的环保替代品。

在印度、墨西哥、非洲和巴西等新兴市场，CNG 和 LPG 汽车的销量正在增长，因为政府通过公共交通可持续性和减少石油进口来关注能源独立。这也是一个因素。 例如

主要亮点

  • 2022 年 3 月，中国安徽安凯汽车有限公司根据新华丝绸之路倡议向墨西哥出口了 800 辆 CNG 客车，以深化中墨两国的合作。 这些巴士将作为墨西哥蒙特雷市的公共交通工具。

此外，一些主要参与者正在推出新产品以增加其市场份额。 例如

主要亮点

  • 2022 年 11 月，丰田汽车公司在印度的合资企业 Toyota Kirloskar Motor Pvt. Ltd 在印度推出了豪华掀背车 Toyota Glanza 的 CNG 版本。
  • 2022 年 11 月，Stellantis N.V. 子公司 CNH Industrial 的商用车部门 Iveco 在巴西圣保罗的 Fenatran 贸易展上展示了其 S-WAY 和 Tector 卡车的 CNG 版本。 这两款车预计将于 2023 年底在巴西上市销售。

亚太地区是全球最大的汽车市场。 儘管全球最大的汽车市场中国的市场增长放缓，但预计该地区在预测期内将引领汽车压缩天然气和液化石油气市场的增长。

这样，由于上述因素的综合作用，预计全球 CNG/LPG 汽车市场在预测期内将出现显着增长。

主要市场趋势

严格的汽车排放法规出台和燃油价格上涨

根据联合国气候变化委员会的数据，道路交通占温室气体 (GHG) 排放量的 25%，这是导致全球变暖和气候变化的主要原因。 世界各国都在引入严格的车辆排放法规，以应对日益严重的空气污染并通过引入清洁机动性改善公众健康。

2014 年，欧盟采用欧 6 标准，根据人均碳排放量对汽车征税。 因此，为满足严苛的欧6标准，柴油车必须配备先进的废气再循环和微粒过滤系统。 结果，柴油车的价格大幅上涨，从经济上来说不可能更换老旧的柴油车。 因此，许多公共交通和物流公司正在购买 CNG/LNG 车辆来替换老旧的柴油发动机车辆。 这已被证明是欧洲 CNG/LNG 汽车销量增长的主要因素。 例如

  • 2021 年 11 月，依维柯从欧洲亚马逊收到了 1064 辆配备 CNG 发动机的 S-WAY 卡车的订单。

CNG 汽车燃烧甲烷作为主要燃料。 甲烷是自然界中燃烧最干净的碳氢化合物。 CNG 车辆不会通过排气管排放未燃烧或半燃烧的碳氢化合物。 因此，已证实使用 CNG 作为汽车燃料可显着降低车辆污染水平，因为 CNG 车辆尾气排放的最终产物是水蒸气。

电动汽车是实现零车辆污染水平的近乎完美的解决方案。 然而，电动汽车比 CNG 汽车贵得多，续航里程问题以及电动汽车有限的充电网络限制了它们在发展中国家的销售。 因此，在印度等新兴国家，很多车主更愿意购买CNG汽车而不是电动汽车。

然而，天然气汽车的成本优势和政府鼓励采用替代燃料汽车的政策正在推动全球 CNG 和 LPG 汽车市场的发展。 例如

  • 2022 年 11 月，在印度新德里，1 千克 CNG 的价格为 78.61 印度卢比（94 美分），而汽油价格为每升 96.72 印度卢比（1.16 美元），柴油价格为 96.67 印度卢比（1.16 美元）。 由于压缩天然气与汽油/柴油之间的巨大价格差异，以及压缩天然气汽车比汽油/柴油汽车更省油，过去几年印度压缩天然气汽车的销量几乎翻了一番。

此外，许多政府正在采取重大措施扩大其 CNG 加气站网络。 预计这将进一步增加这些国家的 CNG 汽车销量。

因此，上述所有因素综合起来预计将在未来五年推动全球压缩天然气和液化石油气汽车市场。

预计亚太地区将成为预测期内最大的市场

由于印度的存在，亚太地区有望成为全球最大的 CNG/LPG 汽车市场。

在印度，汽油和柴油价格高，车辆排放法规严格，大多数公共汽车、出租车和电动三轮车使用 CNG，并且有大量的 CNG/LPG 改装套件可供选择。此外，转化率高老式汽油和柴油汽车转换为 CNG/LPG，以及电动汽车的有限普及是预计 CNG 汽车数量将领先世界的因素。 .

全国各地的管理机构都致力于发展基础设施以促进替代燃料汽车的发展。 例如，2022 年 7 月，印度政府在全国 14 个邦启动了 166 个新的 CNG 站。 政府还计划在未来两年内在印度各地安装 3,500 个 CNG 站。 在预测期内，这些因素预计将继续成为主要的市场驱动因素。

继亚太地区之后，欧洲和北美预计将成为最大的市场，因为天然气价格较低且排放法规更为严格。

竞争格局

CNG/LPG 汽车市场高度分散，由多家全球和本地参与者主导。 主要公司包括现代汽车公司、铃木汽车公司、日产汽车公司、大众汽车公司和本田汽车公司。 大公司正在推出新产品或组建合资企业以巩固其在市场中的地位。 例如：

  • 2022 年 8 月，大众汽车集团商用车部门 Traton SE 旗下品牌斯堪尼亚向南非豪登省的 BridCam 经销商交付了该国第一辆纯天然气卡车。
  • 2022 年 1 月，依维柯客车与非洲科特迪瓦的 SOTRA 合作，开始在当地组装配备 CNG 发动机的依维柯 Daily 小巴。
  • 2022 年 1 月，Eicher (VECV) 展示了其 4.9 吨和 5.9 吨卡车的 CNG 版本，通常用于车队所有者的最后一英里交付业务。 这些卡车是 VECV 提供的载重量最轻的卡车，但随着 CNG 站的占地面积预计在未来几年会增加，将推出载重量更高的 CNG 卡车。

其他好处

  • Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
  • 三个月的分析师支持

内容

第1章介绍

  • 调查先决条件
  • 调查范围

第2章研究方法论

第 3 章执行摘要

第4章市场动态

  • 市场驱动力
  • 市场製约因素
  • 波特的五力分析
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 买方/消费者议价能力
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争公司之间的敌对关係

第 5 章市场细分

  • 按燃料类型
    • 压缩天然气 (CNG)
    • 液化石油气 (LPG)
  • 按销售渠道
    • 贴牌生产
    • 改造
  • 车辆类型
    • 乘用车
    • 商用车
  • 区域信息
    • 北美
      • 美国
      • 加拿大
      • 其他北美地区
    • 欧洲
      • 德国
      • 英国
      • 法国
      • 意大利
      • 其他欧洲地区
    • 亚太地区
      • 印度
      • 中国
      • 日本
      • 韩国
      • 其他亚太地区
    • 世界其他地区
      • 中东和非洲
      • 南美洲

第6章竞争格局

  • 供应商市场份额
  • 公司简介
    • Hyundai Motor Company
    • Suzuki Motor Corporation
    • Nissan Motor Co. Ltd
    • Volkswagen AG
    • Honda Motor Company
    • Ford Motor Company
    • Fiat Automobiles S.p.A.
    • Tata Corporation
    • AB Volvo
    • Traton SE
    • Groupe Renault
    • General Motors

第7章 市场机会与今后动向

简介目录
Product Code: 54500

The CNG and LPG vehicle market is expected to register a CAGR of over 7% over the forecast period.

Manufacturing shutdowns, lockdowns, and trade restrictions during the COVID-19 pandemic negatively affected the CNG and LPG vehicle market. Furthermore, the fall in automotive production and lack of labor significantly impacted the market. However, in the second half of 2020, automotive manufacturers resumed operations due to steadily rising automobile sales in countries with a limited number of COVID-19 cases. Therefore, the market witnessed growth in the second half, and it continued for the year 2021 as well. Further, the stringent emission norms implemented by governing bodies, increasing fuel prices, and rising awareness among customers are driving the demand for alternative fuel-powered vehicles. For instance, in 2021, CNG vehicles recorded sales of 1,63,696 units, up from 41,572 units in 2020 in India.

Currently, global warming has become a major issue worldwide, and the public has begun to realize its ramifications. This has led to sentiment against the use of gasoline and diesel. The emission norms in some regions have become so strict that huge amounts of investment are required to make the vehicles compliant. This has put a lot of financial pressure, especially on the diesel vehicle manufacturers, acting as a major drivers for the CNG and LPG vehicle market.

Another factor aiding the growth of the CNG and LPG vehicles market is the rise in oil prices leading to the corresponding increase in fuel prices. For instance

Key Highlights

  • According to the IMF, oil prices rose by 12% in 2021 compared to 2020 due to the pent-up demand for oil created by the receding COVID-19 pandemic as the countries slowly opened up, and their economies started to grow again.

Over the long term, the growth of automotive CNG and LPG can be attributed to the increasing use of alternative fuels in the automotive industry for cost-effectiveness, fuel efficiency, and emission control. The CNG and LPG vehicles are growing rapidly in developing countries, attributed to the lower cost of CNG and LPG over the rising prices of petroleum products. In addition, CNG and LPG vehicles are considered green alternatives to petroleum-operated vehicles.

The growth in the sales of CNG and LPG vehicles can also be attributed to the growth of the adoption of CNG buses for public transportation in the developing markets of India, Mexico, Africa, and Brazil, as the governments in these countries focus on making their public transport sustainable and achieve energy independence by cutting down on the imports of crude oil. For instance,

Key Highlights

  • In March 2022, Anhui Ankai Automobile Co. of China exported 800 CNG buses to Mexico under the new Xinhua Silk Route Initiative to deepen the cooperation between China and Mexico. These buses will be operated for public transport in the Mexican city of Monterrey.

Several key players are also launching new products to expand their market share. For instance

Key Highlights

  • In November 2022, Toyota Kirloskar Motor Pvt. Ltd, the joint venture of Toyota Motor Corp. in India, launched the CNG version of their premium hatchback Toyota Glanza in India.
  • In November 2022, Iveco, the commercial vehicle arm of CNH Industrial, a subsidiary of Stellantis N.V., displayed the CNG versions of S-WAY and Tector trucks at the Fenatran trade show in Sao Paulo, Brazil. Both vehicles will be launched commercially in Brazil by the end of 2023.

The Asia-Pacific region is the largest market for automobiles in the world. The region, despite the sluggish growth in the Chinese market, the largest automobile market in the world, is expected to lead the growth in the automotive CNG and LPG market during the forecast period.

Thus the confluence of the aforementioned factors is expected to produce significant growth in the market of CNG and LPG vehicles worldwide during the forecast period.

Key Market Trends

Adoption of Stringent Automotive Emissions Norms and Rise in Fuel prices

According to United Nations Committee on Climate Change, road transport accounts for 25% of the total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, which are the major source of global warming and climate change. Countries all over the world are adopting stringent automotive emissions norms to combat the growing air pollution and improve the health of their citizens through the adoption of clean mobility.

In 2014 the European Union adopted Euro 6 norms, which tax vehicles based on per capita carbon emissions. Thus it required the incorporation of sophisticated exhaust gas recirculation and particulate filter systems in diesel vehicles to meet the stringent Euro 6 norms. This substantially increased the prices of diesel vehicles, making it no longer economically viable for fleet owners to buy new diesel vehicles to replace their old fleets. Hence many public transport operators and logistics companies started buying CNG/LNG-powered vehicles to replace their old diesel-powered fleets. This proved to be a significant factor in the rise in sales of CNG/LNG vehicles in Europe. For instance

  • In November 2021, Iveco won an order to supply 1064 units of CNG-powered S-WAY trucks to Amazon in Europe.

CNG vehicles use methane as the main fuel for combustion. Methane is the cleanest burning hydrocarbon in nature. CNG vehicles emit no unburnt or half-burnt hydrocarbons as tailpipe emissions. Thus the use of CNG as an automotive fuel has been observed to reduce vehicular pollution levels significantly since water vapor is the end product emitted from the exhausts of CNG vehicles.

Electric vehicles are nearly perfect solutions for achieving zero vehicular pollution levels. However, electric vehicles are much more expensive to buy than CNG-powered vehicles, have range issues, and the limited charging network for electric vehicles limits their sales potential in developing countries. Thus many vehicle owners prefer to buy CNG vehicles over electric vehicles in developing countries like India.

However, the cost advantage offered by natural gas vehicles and supportive government policies to encourage the adoption of alternative fuel-powered vehicles is driving the global CNG and LPG vehicle market. For instance,

  • In November 2022, 1 kg of CNG was priced at INR 78.61 (94 cents) compared to petrol which cost INR 96.72 (USD 1.16) per liter, and diesel which was priced at INR 96.67 (USD 1.16) per liter in New Delhi, India. This substantial difference in CNG and petrol/diesel pricing and the higher mileage of CNG vehicles than petrol/diesel vehicles has almost doubled the sales of CNG vehicles in India over the past few years.

Many governments are also taking major steps to increase the network of CNG filling stations in their countries. This is also projected to increase the sales of CNG vehicles further in these countries.

Thus the combination of all the above factors is anticipated to propel the market for CNG and LPG vehicles worldwide over the next five years.

Asia-Pacific Region is Expected to be the Largest Market During the Forecast Period

Asia-Pacific is forecasted to be the largest market for CNG and LPG vehicles in the world due to the presence of India.

India is predicted to have the largest number of CNG vehicles in the world due to the higher prices of petrol and diesel, the adoption of stringent automotive emissions norms, most of the buses, taxis, and autorickshaws running on CNG, the availability of a large number of CNG/LPG retrofitting kits, higher conversion rates of old petrol and diesel vehicles to CNG/LPG and limited penetration of electric vehicles.

The governing bodies across the country are focused on developing infrastructure for the growth of alternative fuel-powered vehicles. for instance, in July 2022, the Government of India inaugurated 166 new CNG stations across 14 states in the country. The Government also plans to set up 3500 CNG stations in India in the next two years. Such factors are likely to remain prominent market drivers during the forecast period.

Following Asia-Pacific, Europe and North America are predicted to be the next biggest markets due to lower prices of natural gas and the adoption of stringent emission norms.

Competitive Landscape

The CNG and LPG vehicle market is highly fragmented and dominated by several global and local players. Some of the major players are Hyundai Motor Company, Suzuki Motor Corporation, Nissan Motor Co., Ltd, Volkswagen AG, and Honda Motor Company. The major companies are launching new products and forming joint ventures to cement their market position. For instance,

  • In August 2022, Scania, a brand of Traton SE, the Volkswagen Group commercial vehicle division, delivered the country's first dedicated natural gas truck to BridCam Distributors in Gauteng, South Africa.
  • In January 2022, Iveco Bus partnered with SOTRA in Ivory Coast, Africa, to start the local assembly of CNG-powered Iveco Daily Minibus.
  • In January 2022, Eicher (VECV) showcased CNG variants of its 4.9 and 5.9-metric-ton trucks, typically used in last-mile delivery operations by fleet owners. While these are the lightest payload trucks VECV offers, the automaker plans to bring in CNG trucks with higher payloads as the footprint of CNG stations is likely to increase in the coming years.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 4.1 Market Drivers
  • 4.2 Market Restraints
  • 4.3 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.3.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.3.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.3.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.3.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.3.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 By Fuel Type
    • 5.1.1 Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)
    • 5.1.2 Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)
  • 5.2 By Sales Channel
    • 5.2.1 OEM
    • 5.2.2 Retrofitting
  • 5.3 By Vehicle Type
    • 5.3.1 Passenger Cars
    • 5.3.2 Commercial Vehicles
  • 5.4 By Geography
    • 5.4.1 North America
      • 5.4.1.1 United States
      • 5.4.1.2 Canada
      • 5.4.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.4.2 Europe
      • 5.4.2.1 Germany
      • 5.4.2.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.2.3 France
      • 5.4.2.4 Italy
      • 5.4.2.5 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.3.1 India
      • 5.4.3.2 China
      • 5.4.3.3 Japan
      • 5.4.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.4.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.4 Rest of the World
      • 5.4.4.1 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.4.4.2 South America

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Vendor Market Share
  • 6.2 Company Profiles*
    • 6.2.1 Hyundai Motor Company
    • 6.2.2 Suzuki Motor Corporation
    • 6.2.3 Nissan Motor Co. Ltd
    • 6.2.4 Volkswagen AG
    • 6.2.5 Honda Motor Company
    • 6.2.6 Ford Motor Company
    • 6.2.7 Fiat Automobiles S.p.A.
    • 6.2.8 Tata Corporation
    • 6.2.9 AB Volvo
    • 6.2.10 Traton SE
    • 6.2.11 Groupe Renault
    • 6.2.12 General Motors

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS