日本风能市场 - 增长、趋势、COVID-19 影响和预测 (2023-2028)

在预测期内，日本的风能市场预计将以超过 8.1% 的复合年增长率增长。

在 2020 年第一季度的 COVID-19 大流行期间，日本的风能市场几乎没有受到影响，超过 1GW 的风能项目成功投产。 但是，在工人健康问题方面存在一些小挑战。 政府在该国控制 COVID-19 病毒方面相对成功。 推动增长的突出因素是风能的采用增加，这主要是由于政府政策、对即将进行的风能项目的投资增加以及风能成本的降低。 越来越多地采用天然气发电和太阳能等替代能源预计将阻碍市场增长。

主要亮点

• 2020 年陆上风能装机容量很大，约为 437 万千瓦，预测期内，陆上风能子行业预计将主导日本风能市场。
• 该国不断增长的电力需求预计很快将为风能开发提供市场机会。 巨大的风能潜力和不断下降的风能成本预计将在未来几年为市场带来广泛的商机。
• 有利的政府政策和风能领域投资的增加预计将在预测期内推动市场。

日本风能市场趋势

预计土地板块将主导市场

• 陆上风能预计将在预测期内主导市场。 风能一直是日本实现净零排放目标以及钢铁和航运等重化工行业脱碳的主要支持来源。
• 2020 年新增装机容量为 551 兆瓦，该国陆上风电装机容量将从 2020 年的 3,857 兆瓦增至 4,373 兆瓦，推动该国陆上风能市场。
• 根据 BP 对世界能源 2021 的统计回顾，日本的风能装机容量将从 2015 年的 2.8GW 增加到 2020 年的 4.2GW。 随着日本计划的多个风能项目，预计在预测期内将进一步增长。
• 2021 年 9 月，日本电力公司 J-Power 宣布已开始在爱媛县建设一座 34 兆瓦的风力发电厂。 计划于2024年开始商业运营。
• Dohoku Wind Energy Plant Complex 是一个 339.7 兆瓦的风能发电厂综合体，计划于 2023 年第二季度开始运营，由位于北海道的四个项目组成。 该综合体由 79 颱风能机器组成。
• 因此，由于现有的陆上风能产能和即将开展的项目，预计该行业将在预测期内占据主导地位。

政府政策和加大投资推动市场

• 日本的风能市场预计将受到有利的政府政策的推动。 政府推出了各种政策和举措来支持可再生能源和风能在日本的普及。 例如，2020年，日本政府公布了“海上风电产业愿景”。 该愿景概述了到 2030 年每年分配 1 吉瓦海上风能容量的计划。
• 此外，为了到 2035 年实现 8 到 9 日元/kWh 的 LCOE，到 2040 年实现 30 到 45 GW 的累计容量，我们还计划开发供应链并展示降低成本的路径。
• 根据BP统计的2021年全球能源发电量，2020年风能在可再生能源发电中的份额将增长15.1%，其次是太阳能，为14.4%，其他可再生能源为8.1%。 2020 年，风能占可再生能源发电总量的 7.8 太瓦时。
• 已提供 2 万亿日元（188 亿美元）的“绿色创新基金”，从 2020 年起为期 10 年，以支持净零目标。 此外，政府计划提供税收优惠以鼓励 1.7 万亿日元（159 亿美元）的私人投资。 预计这些努力将对所研究的市场产生积极影响。
• 2021 年 12 月，日本将在秋田县沿海的 Happoone 地区发起拍卖，以选择开发商开发高达 356 兆瓦的海上风能，进一步推动预测期内的市场增长。
• 因此，在预测期内，政府的支持和对可再生能源投资的增加预计将推动风能市场的增长。

日本风能市场的竞争对手分析

日本的风能市场适度整合。 该市场的主要参与者包括 MHI Vestas、Orsted AS、Sumitomo Corporation、Ocean Winds 和 Japan Renewable Energy。

其他好处

• Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
• 三个月的分析师支持

内容

第一章介绍

• 调查范围
• 市场定义
• 调查假设

第 2 章执行摘要

第三章研究方法论

第 4 章市场概述

• 简介
• 到 2027 年的风能装机容量和预测（单位：GW
• 近期趋势和发展状况
• 政府法规和政策
• 市场动态
  • 司机
  • 约束因素
• 供应链分析
• PESTLE 分析

第 5 章市场细分

• 部署地点
  • 陆上
  • 离岸

第六章竞争格局

• 併购、合资、合作、协议
• 主要参与者采用的策略
• 公司简介
  • MHI Vestas
  • Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy
  • Japan Renewable Energy Co. Ltd
  • NextEra Energy Inc.
  • Sumitomo Corporation
  • Ocean Winds
  • Swancor Renewable Energy

第7章 市场机会未来动向

The Japanese wind energy market is expected to record a CAGR of more than 8.1% during the forecast period. The Japanese wind energy market fairly remained unaffected during the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in Q1 2020 as the country' was successful in commissioning more than 1 GW of wind energy projects. However, there were minor challenges related to the workforce health issue. The government was comparatively successful in controlling the COVID-19 virus around the country. The prominent factors driving the growth are mainly government policies, the increasing investment in upcoming wind power projects, and the reduced cost of wind energy, which has led to increased adoption of wind energy. The growing adoption of alternative energy sources such as gas-based power and solar power will likely hinder the market growth.

Key Highlights

• With a significant installed onshore wind generation capacity of around 4.37 GW in 2020, the onshore sub-sector is expected to dominate the wind energy market in Japan during the forecast period.
• Increased demand for electricity in the country is expected to provide market opportunities for wind power development shortly. The massive wind power potential and a decline in the cost of wind energy are expected to provide widespread business opportunities to the market in the coming years.
• Favorable government policies and increasing investments in the wind energy sector are expected to drive the market during the forecast period.

Japan Wind Energy Market Trends

Onshore Segment is Expected to Dominate the Market

• Onshore wind energy is expected to dominate the market during the forecast period. Wind energy has become a major source of support for Japan to reach its net-zero target and decarbonize its heavy industry, such as steel manufacturing and shipping.
• With a new annual installation of 551 MW in 2020, onshore wind energy installed capacity in the country reached 4,373 MW in 2020, up from 3,857 MW in 2020, driving the onshore wind energy market in the country.
• According to BP statistical review of world energy 2021, installed wind turbine capacity in Japan reached 4.2GW in 2020, up from 2.8 GW in 2015. It is further expected to grow during the forecast period, as several wind power projects are planned in Japan.
• In September 2021, Japanese electric utility Electric Power Development Co. Ltd, known as J-Power, announced it had started construction of a 34-MW wind farm in Ehime prefecture. Commercial operation is scheduled to commence in 2024.
• Expected to be commissioned in Q2 2023, the Dohoku wind farm cluster, an 339.7 MW wind farm cluster, consists of four projects located on the island of Hokkaido. The complex consists of 79 units of wind turbines.
• Hence, with existing onshore wind energy capacity and the upcoming projects, the segment is expected to dominate during the forecast period.

Government Policies and Increasing Investments to Drive the Market

• Favorable government policies will drive the wind energy market in Japan. The government has launched various government policies and initiatives to support the growth of renewable energy and wind energy deployment in the country. For instance, in 2020, The Japanese government unveiled its Offshore Wind Industry Vision. This vision outlines a plan to allocate 1 GW of offshore wind capacity annually through 2030.
• Additionally, the government has plans for supply chain development and cost reduction pathways to reach JPY 8-9/kWh of LCOE by 2035 and 30-45 GW of cumulative capacity by 2040.
• According to BP statistical review of world energy 2021, wind energy's contribution to the total renewable energy generation in 2020 represented a growth of 15.1%, followed by solar of 14.4% and other renewables of 8.1%. Wind energy generated 7.8 Terawatt-hours of total renewable energy generation in 2020.
• In a bid to support the net-zero target, the Green Innovation Fund of JPY 2 trillion (USD 18.8 billion) was provided for the next 10 years in 2020. Further, the government is expected to provide tax incentives to stimulate JPY 1.7 trillion (USD 15.9 billion) in private investment. Such initiatives are expected to have a positive impact on the market studied.
• In December 2021, Japan launched an auction to select the developer of up to 356 MW of offshore wind capacity in the Happo-Noshiro zone off Akita prefecture, which will further help the market to grow in the forecast period.
• Hence, government support and rising investments in renewable energy are expected to drive the wind energy market growth during the forecast period.

Japan Wind Energy Market Competitor Analysis

The Japanese wind energy market is moderately consolidated. Some of the key players in this market include MHI Vestas, Orsted AS, Sumitomo Corporation, Ocean Winds, and Japan Renewable Energy Co. Ltd.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

• 1.1 Scope of the Study
• 1.2 Market Definition
• 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

• 4.1 Introduction
• 4.2 Wind Energy Installed Capacity and Forecast in GW, till 2027
• 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
• 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
• 4.5 Market Dynamics
  • 4.5.1 Drivers
  • 4.5.2 Restraints
• 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
• 4.7 PESTLE Analysis

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

• 5.1 Location of Deployment
  • 5.1.1 Onshore
  • 5.1.2 Offshore

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
• 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
• 6.3 Company Profiles
  • 6.3.1 MHI Vestas
  • 6.3.2 Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy
  • 6.3.3 Japan Renewable Energy Co. Ltd
  • 6.3.4 NextEra Energy Inc.
  • 6.3.5 Sumitomo Corporation
  • 6.3.6 Ocean Winds
  • 6.3.7 Swancor Renewable Energy

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS