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日本快递、快递和包裹 (CEP) 市场规模和份额分析 - 增长趋势和预测(2023-2028 年)Japan Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2023 - 2028) |
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日本快递、快递和包裹(CEP)市场规模预计到2023 年为203.1 亿美元,预计到2028 年将达到378.8 亿美元,在预测期内(2023-2028 年)预计将以13.28% 的复合年增长率增长。
市场由全国范围内优质产品的快速交付所驱动。此外,在仓储和最后一英里产品交付中使用尖端技术正在推动市场发展。
过去 20 年来,日本的分销渠道已得到显着整合。消费品和工业品的分销渠道完全不同。由于空间有限和城市人口密集,小型零售店一直是并且仍然是消费者销售的主要中心。因此,零售商通常库存的产品数量有限,而批发商则需要频繁交付少量产品。儘管这一体係是由日本面对面开展业务的文化偏好以及人际关係中的忠诚感和义务感支撑的,但这种低效的分销体系的成本却转嫁给了消费者。郊区“大盒子”零售店和电子商务的扩张对这种模式构成了威胁。
甚至在大流行导致许多人更喜欢网上购物而不是实体店(在日本,人们喜欢当地商店和现金支付)之前,许多人就认为这对老年人来说是不可能的。日本的电子商务经历了巨大的增长在过去的十年。由于普通日本家庭空间有限,无法储存大量商品,迫使他们几乎每天都去附近的商店购买必需品。亚马逊和乐天等主要电子商务平台近年来凭藉其广泛的分销和配送网络获得了可观的利润。
日本拥有非常强大的以最后一英里送货上门为中心的服务文化。大约 99% 的包裹都会被送到家,送货员最多可以尝试 4 次。20% 的失败率对于承运商来说是一个很高的成本,而且随着包裹量的增加,这一成本预计还会上升。据世界经济论坛预测,到 2030 年,东京 23 个区的电子商务交易量将增长 85%。因此,所需的送货车辆数量预计将增加 71%,每辆车的行驶距离要增加 25%。这种增长也影响到郊区。预计送货车辆将增加 51% 以满足这一需求。
由于填补空缺职位的工作年龄司机减少以及人口老龄化,日本可能难以满足日益增长的送货上门需求。令人惊讶的是,日本已经拥有庞大的送货上门网络。例如,日本最大的快递服务公司雅玛多 (Yamato) 在便利、理想的地点拥有超过 250,000 个快递取件点。在东京,95% 的居民步行 5 分钟即可到达大和储物柜。但是,这些宅急便取货地点主要用于宅急便运送。日本居民不仅使用这项服务向他人寄送包裹,还可以为自己寄送包裹,以方便旅行。例如,您可以将旅行行李直接寄送到您的酒店,或者您可以在前往球场的前一天寄送高尔夫球桿,这样您就不必将它们带到球场。
到目前为止,所有这些收集和运输点都是使用纸张手动完成的,这对客户来说既耗时又不方便。根据其 Next100 计划,Yamato看到了将这种体验数字化并充分利用其令人印象深刻的网络的机会。Yamato 与 Doddle 合作,授权 PUDO 应用程序数字化并加快店内流程,具有标籤打印、包裹组织存储、加急提货和数字收据等功能,非常成功。该服务预计将推广到 8,000 家商店,是 Yamato Next100 战略的关键,该战略旨在增加户外广告数量、在所有电子商务渠道提供高质量的客户体验并减轻送货上门的压力。
日本的快递、快递和包裹(CEP)市场分散且竞争激烈,少数公司在国际 CEP 市场上占据主导地位。该市场较为分散,预计在预测期内将会增长。日本 CEP 市场的主要参与者是日本邮政、雅玛多和佐川急便。订单处理和先进技术的使用是市场领先企业脱颖而出的主要因素。准时、及时的交货是所有在其营业地点需要此类服务的客户的先决条件。
The Japan Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Market size is estimated at USD 20.31 billion in 2023, and is expected to reach USD 37.88 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 13.28% during the forecast period (2023-2028).
The quick delivery of high-quality goods across the nation is what drives the market. Furthermore, the use of cutting-edge technology in warehouses and product delivery to the last mile drives the market.
Over the last two decades, Japan's distribution channels have been significantly consolidated. Consumer goods and industrial products have very different distribution channels. Small retail stores have been and continue to be dominant points of consumer sales due to limited space and dense urban populations. As a result, retailers frequently stock limited quantities of a product, and wholesalers are required to deliver small amounts of a product more frequently. This system is maintained by the Japanese cultural preference for doing business face-to-face, as well as loyalty or a sense of obligation in relationships, but the costs of this less efficient distribution system are passed on to the consumer in the final price of the product. The expansion of suburban "big box" retailers and e-commerce is posing a threat to this model.
Even before the pandemic drove more people to prefer online shopping over brick-and-mortar (something many people thought unlikely for older demographics given the country's love affair with local shops and cash payments), Japanese e-commerce growth has been staggering over the last decade. Japan has a high density of small local stores and markets located throughout any urban city-a result of the average Japanese household's lack of space, which prevents many families from stocking up on products in large quantities and forces them to visit nearby shops for essentials on an almost daily basis. With their extensive distribution and delivery networks, major e-commerce platforms such as Amazon and Rakuten have made significant gains in recent years.
Japan has an incredibly strong service culture, which revolves around home delivery in the last mile. About 99% of all packages are sent to homes, and the delivery person can try up to four times.With a 20% failure rate, this comes at a high cost to carriers, a cost that is only expected to rise as parcel volumes increase. According to the WEF, e-commerce volumes in central Tokyo's 23 wards will increase by 85% by 2030. Because of this, the number of delivery vehicles needed is expected to go up by 71%, and each vehicle will have to go 25% further. This will increase traffic and carbon emissions by a lot.This increase will also affect suburban areas. To meet the demand, delivery fleets are expected to grow by 51%.
With fewer working-age drivers to fill open positions and an aging population, Japan may struggle to meet the increasing demand for home deliveries. Surprisingly, Japan already has a large out-of-home delivery network in place. Yamato, Japan's largest parcel carrier, for example, has over 250,000 TA-Q-BIN collection points in desirable and convenient locations. In Tokyo, 95% of residents are within a 5-minute walk of a Yamato locker. These points, however, are primarily used for outgoing C2C parcels. Japanese residents use this service not only to send parcels to others but also to send parcels to themselves for easier travel. A customer, for example, may ship their luggage for a trip directly to a hotel or even ship golf clubs to the course the day before their visit to avoid traveling with these items.
Until recently, all of these collection and sending points used paper-based manual processes, which was time-consuming and annoying for customers. Yamato has now seen the chance to make this experience digital and make full use of its impressive network, which is in line with its Next100 plan. Yamato collaborated with Doddle to license our PUDO application to digitize and speed up the in-store process, which includes features like label printing, parcel organization for storage, quick collection, and digital receipts. This service will be rolled out to 8,000 stores and is a key component of Yamato's Next100 strategy to increase volume into OOH, provide a high-quality customer experience across all e-commerce channels, and relieve pressure on home delivery.
The Japan courier, express, and parcel (CEP) market is fragmented and highly competitive, with a few players occupying the majority of the international CEP market. The market is fragmented, and it is expected to grow during the forecast. The major players in Japan's CEP market are Japan Post, Yamato, and Sagawa Express. Order fulfillment and the use of advanced technology have become major factors segregating big players in the market. On-time and fast delivery are the prerequisites for every customer demanding these services at their places of business.