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市场调查报告书
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1639518

印尼太阳能：市场占有率分析、产业趋势、成长预测（2025-2030）

Indonesia Solar Energy - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 95 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

预计印尼太阳能市场在预测期内将维持10%以上的复合年增长率。

印尼太阳能-市场-IMG1

COVID-19 对 2020 年市场产生了负面影响。市场现在可能会达到大流行前的水平。

主要亮点

  • 从中期来看，由于开发活动对可再生能源的需求增加以及太阳能技术成本下降等因素预计将推动市场发展。
  • 另一方面，高度依赖石化燃料来满足能源需求是阻碍市场成长的主要因素。
  • 对环境排放法规的日益关注导致现有燃煤电厂提前退役，预计将为印尼太阳能市场创造重大机会。

印尼太阳能市场趋势

离网市场预计将显着成长

  • 印尼是一个人口众多、地形独特的国家，由超过 17,508 个岛屿组成。由于地形分散，该国的电力产业面临重大挑战。约40%的非电气化地区主要位于爪哇岛以外，难以连接国家电网。
  • 近年来，太阳能发电在能源结构中的成长相对较小。目前的太阳能发电开发活动大多是安装在偏远地区的独立太阳能发电系统和一些大容量併网系统。
  • 总合国际可再生能源机构预测，2021年印尼离网总装置容量将达67.59兆瓦，而2017年为43兆瓦，年增率为11.4%。预计这一增长率在预测期内也会增加。
  • 印尼计划在2025年将电气化率提升至99.7%。印尼政府正在推动利用新能源和可再生的农村电气化计划，而光伏微型电网被认为是农村电气化成本最低的选择。
  • 此外，2022年11月，国际可再生能源机构（IRENA）预计，到2030年太阳能将成为印尼能源系统的支柱。根据IRENA最新报告《印尼能源转型展望》，预计2030年太阳能将成为印尼能源系统的支柱。太阳能预计将成为这项转型的支柱，占 1,000GW 总发电量中的 798GW。在太阳能发电设备总量中，光电发电量高达840GW。由于地理挑战，大多数装置预计将脱离电网。
  • 例如，2022年11月，沙乌地阿拉伯能源公司ACWA Power宣布赢得印尼国有电力公司PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN)建造两个浮体式太阳能光电(PV)计划的合约。该合约涵盖装机容量为60 MWac的Saguling计划和装置容量为50 MWac的浮体式太阳能发电工程Singkarak。两个计划总合容量为110MWac，总投资1.05亿美元。
  • 过去几年，政府推出了多项计画和计划，引入太阳能为离网村庄提供电力，并在偏远地区取代柴油发电。这鼓励了离网太阳能领域的大规模利用。
  • 因此，由于上述因素，预计在预测期内，印尼太阳能市场的离网部分将显着成长。

替代性再生能源来源抑制市场需求

  • 印尼拥有丰富的可再生能源，特别是风力发电。根据亚洲风力发电协会统计，印尼的平均风速在1.3至6.3 m/s之间。主要风力发电潜力位于东努沙登加拉和西努沙登加拉，平均风速超过 5 m/s。印尼的风力发电潜力估计为 9.5GW。
  • 根据能源矿产资源部统计，截至2021年风电装置容量为154MW。然而，该国计划在2025年安装180万千瓦的风电。
  • 2022年3月，法国开发署与PLN签署协议，在万丹省Pandeglang开发一座200MW风电场。预计将于 2022 年开始建设，并于 2025 年开始商业运营。
  • 除风电外，2022年9月，印尼国营电力公司PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN)将在印尼西爪哇省投资8.5亿美元，以增加可再生能源对能源结构的贡献，并宣布已于2022年9月开始兴建。该发电厂计划于 2027 年投入运作。
  • 此类替代性可再生能源计划将从该国的可再生能源结构中剔除太阳能并限制市场成长。
  • 因此，考虑到上述几点，替代性可再生能源很可能会在预测期内阻碍该国太阳能市场的成长。

印尼太阳能产业概况

印尼的太阳能市场适度细分。市场上的主要企业（排名不分先后）包括 Canadian Solar Inc.、PT. Surya Utama Nuansa、PT Solardex Energy Indonesia、PT. Sumber Energi Surya Nusantara 和 PT. Sumber Energi Sukses Makmur。

其他好处

  • Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
  • 3 个月分析师支持

目录

第一章简介

  • 调查范围
  • 市场定义
  • 研究场所

第 2 章执行摘要

第三章调查方法

第四章市场概况

  • 介绍
  • 可再生能源结构（印尼，2021 年）
  • 2028年太阳能装置容量及预测（单位：GW）
  • 最新趋势和发展
  • 政府法规和措施
  • 市场动态
    • 促进因素
    • 抑制因素
  • 供应链分析
  • PESTLE分析

第五章 市场区隔（依连结方式）

  • 在併网
  • 离网

第六章 竞争状况

  • 併购、合资、联盟、协议
  • 主要企业策略
  • 公司简介
    • Canadian Solar Inc.
    • Trina Solar Co. Ltd
    • TotalEnergies SE
    • PT. Sumber Energi Sukses Makmur
    • PT. Solardex Energy Indonesia
    • PT. Surya Utama Nuansa
    • PT. Sumber Energi Surya Nusantara

第七章 市场机会及未来趋势

简介目录
Product Code: 50933

The Indonesia Solar Energy Market is expected to register a CAGR of greater than 10% during the forecast period.

Indonesia Solar Energy - Market - IMG1

COVID-19 negatively impacted the market in 2020. Presently the market is likely to reach pre-pandemic levels.

Key Highlights

  • Over the medium term, factors like increasing demand for renewable energy due to developmental activities and decreasing cost of solar PV technology are expected to drive the market.
  • On the other hand, heavy dependency on fossil fuels to meet the energy demand is a significant restraint hindering the market's growth.
  • Nevertheless, the increasing concern over environmental emission control, which leads to the premature retirement of existing coal power plants, is expected to create enormous opportunities for Indonesia's solar energy market.

Indonesia Solar Energy Market Trends

Off-Grid Segment Expected to Witness Significant Growth

  • Indonesia is a populous country with a distinctive terrain, having over 17,508 islands. The distributed topography of the country poses a substantial difficulty to the country's power sector. Around 40% of off-grid regions are primarily located outside Java island and are unlikely to be accessible by the national grid.
  • Solar PV growth has been a relatively small component of the energy mix in recent years. Most current solar development activity comprises stand-alone solar PV systems located in distant areas and some bigger capacity on-grid systems.
  • According to International Renewable Energy Agency, Indonesia's total off-grid installation capacity was 67.59 MW in 2021 compared to 43 MW in 2017, registering a growth rate of 11.4% yearly. The growth rate is expected to increase during the forecasted period.
  • The electrification ratio of Indonesia has been planned to increase to 99.7% by 2025. The Indonesian government is pushing forward with plans to electrify rural areas of the country using new and renewable energy, and PV mini-grids are considered the least-cost option for the electrification of rural areas.
  • Moreover, in November 2022, The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) estimated that solar could become the backbone of Indonesia's energy system by 2030. According to their latest report, "Indonesia Energy Transition Outlook." Solar is expected to become the backbone of this transformation, accounting for 798 GW of the total 1,000 GW. PV accounts for up to 840 GW of the total solar installations. The majority of installations are expected to be off-grid due to geographical challenges.
  • For instance, in November 2022, Saudi energy firm ACWA Power announced that they had secured a contract from the Indonesian state-owned utility PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) to build two floating solar photovoltaic (PV) power projects. The contract covers the 60MWac Saguling project and Singkarak, a floating solar project with 50MWac capacity. The two projects will have a combined capacity of 110MWac and be built with a total investment of USD 105 million.
  • Over the past years, the government has launched several programs and projects for solar PV deployment to supply electricity to un-electrified villages or replace diesel-based generation in remote regions. This strengthens the case for large-scale usage of the off-grid solar energy segment.
  • Therefore, based on the factors mentioned above, the off-grid segment is expected to witness significant growth in the Indonesian solar energy market during the forecast period.

Alternative Renewable Energy Sources Restraining the Market Demand

  • Indonesia is naturally endowed with renewable energy sources, particularly wind energy. According to Asia Wind Energy Association, the average wind speeds in Indonesia range from 1.3 to 6.3 m/s. The main wind energy potential lies in East and West Nusa Tenggara, which have average wind speeds of more than five m/s. The approximate wind power potential in Indonesia is estimated to be 9.5 GW.
  • According to the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, as of 2021, the wind power installed capacity stood at 154 MW. However, the country has plans to install 1.8 GW of wind energy by 2025.
  • In March 2022, French Development Agency signed an agreement with PLN development of a 200 MW wind farm in Pandeglang, Banten. The construction will likely begin in 2022, and commercial operations are expected by 2025.
  • Other than wind energy, in September 2022, Indonesia's state utility company PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) announced that the company had started the construction of USD 850 million 1040 MW hydro-power plant in West Jawa part of Indonesia to increase the renewable power contribution to its energy mix. The power plant is expected to come online in 2027.
  • Such alternative renewable energy projects shave off solar energy in the country's renewable energy mix, thus, restraining the market growth.
  • Thus, considering the points mentioned above, alternative renewable energy sources are likely to hamper the country's solar energy market growth during the forecast period.

Indonesia Solar Energy Industry Overview

The Indonesia solar energy market is moderately fragmented. Some of the major players in the market (in no particular order) include Canadian Solar Inc. and PT. Surya Utama Nuansa, PT Solardex Energy Indonesia, PT. Sumber Energi Surya Nusantara, and PT Sumber Energi Sukses Makmur.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Renewable Energy Mix, Indonesia, 2021
  • 4.3 Solar Energy Installed Capacity and Forecast, in GW, till 2028
  • 4.4 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.5 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.6 Market Dynamics
    • 4.6.1 Drivers
    • 4.6.2 Restraints
  • 4.7 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.8 PESTLE Analysis

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION - BY CONNECTION

  • 5.1 On-grid
  • 5.2 Off-grid

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 Canadian Solar Inc.
    • 6.3.2 Trina Solar Co. Ltd
    • 6.3.3 TotalEnergies SE
    • 6.3.4 PT. Sumber Energi Sukses Makmur
    • 6.3.5 PT. Solardex Energy Indonesia
    • 6.3.6 PT. Surya Utama Nuansa
    • 6.3.7 PT. Sumber Energi Surya Nusantara

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS