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印尼可再生能源:市场占有率分析、产业趋势与统计、成长预测(2025-2030)

Indonesia Renewable Energy - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 98 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

预计印尼可再生能源市场装置规模将从 2025 年的 19.48 吉瓦成长至 2030 年的 51.45 吉瓦,预测期内(2025-2030 年)的复合年增长率为 21.44%。

印尼再生能源市场-IMG1

主要亮点

  • 从中期来看,印尼政府对可再生能源发电的兴趣日益浓厚,以及政府的优惠政策预计将推动市场发展。
  • 另一方面,依赖石化燃料作为能源供应以及石油和天然气领域计划和投资增加等因素预计将抑制该国的可再生能源市场。
  • 然而,智慧电网和电池储能係统(BESS)的整合,以提高电能品质和促进波动的风能和太阳能发电工程,预计将在印尼的可再生能源市场创造一些商机。

印尼可再生能源市场趋势

太阳能:预计将实现显着成长

  • 印尼政府设定的目标是,2025年,可再生能源发电%,到2050年,这一比例将达到31%。目前,全国约13%的发电量来自可再生能源发电,主要是水力发电和地热发电。
  • 据印尼能源与矿产资源部(MEMR)称,印尼的太阳能发电潜力约为 207GW。印尼政府优先发展包括太阳能在内的可再生能源。
  • 根据印尼能源与矿产资源部预测,2022年印尼太阳能发电装置容量约为190.06兆瓦,较2021年的155.29兆瓦成长22.39%。国际可再生能源机构(IRENA)预测,到2030年,印尼太阳能光电装置容量容量将大幅扩张,主要得益于政府和印尼国家电力公司(PLN)的倡议。
  • 作为其 2017 年可再生能源未来蓝图(REmap) 计画报告的一部分,IRENA 指出,到 2030 年,印尼有潜力安装 47GW 的太阳能光电容量。
  • 印尼的太阳能光电发电容量正在公共产业规模、住宅和商业屋顶以及离网规模上成长,以取代高成本的柴油发电,预计将推动该国的太阳能成长。
  • 2021 年 9 月,能源和矿产资源部 (MEMR) 颁布了屋顶太阳能光电净计量立法,将净计量係数从约 0.65 提高到 100。这使太阳能係统所有者能够以与从电网购买电力相同的价格获得他们输入电网的电力的剩余信用额度。预测期内,此类政府措施可能会增加印尼对太阳能的需求。
  • 因此,由于这些因素,预计太阳能产业在预测期内将大幅成长。

可再生能源政策的进步可望推动市场

  • 经过几十年的发展,印尼的新能源和可再生能源(NRE)近年来发展势头强劲。印尼在开发新能源和可再生能源方面落后于其他国家。该国过去拥有丰富的石油和天然气资源,因此 NRE 开发是一种选择,而不是优先事项。
  • 当印尼的石油和天然气蕴藏量开始枯竭时,印尼政府开始将注意力转向NRE领域。 2005年,该国首次成为石油净进口国。
  • 因此,2007年颁布的《能源法》制定了一项政策,将对石化燃料(主要是煤炭和石油)的依赖转向更环保和永续的能源,例如太阳能、风能、水力发电、地热能和生质能。
  • 根据缅甸能源矿产资源部资料,缅甸地热能蕴藏量庞大,为2,390万千瓦,水力发电蕴藏量超过9,400万千瓦。此外,该国的生物质潜力超过 3,260 万千瓦,沼气潜力为每天 20 万桶。
  • 可再生能源计划预计包括6060万千瓦风力发电、2.08亿千瓦太阳能和1790万千瓦海洋和潮汐能。随着可再生能源技术的快速发展,其潜力可能会更大。
  • 根据国际可再生能源机构预测,2022年可再生能源总设备容量约为1,248万千瓦,较2021年的1,153万千瓦成长8.18%。
  • 因此,由于这些因素,预计政府制定的越来越多的政策将在预测期内推动该国的可再生能源市场。

印尼可再生能源产业概况

印尼的可再生能源市场是一体化的。市场的主要企业包括(不分先后顺序)加拿大太阳能公司、Syndicatum 再生能源公司、天合光能公司、PT Sumber Energi Sukses Makmur 和 BCPG 公共有限公司(BCPG)。

其他福利:

  • Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
  • 3个月的分析师支持

目录

第一章 引言

  • 研究范围
  • 市场定义
  • 调查前提

第二章执行摘要

第三章调查方法

第四章 市场概述

  • 介绍
  • 可再生能源结构(2022年)
  • 可再生能源装置容量及2028年预测
  • 近期趋势和发展
  • 政府法规和政策
  • 市场动态
    • 驱动程式
      • 该国自然景观具有巨大的可再生能源潜力
      • 政府支持政策和倡议
    • 限制因素
    • 缺乏对基础建设的投资
  • 供应链分析
  • PESTLE分析

第五章市场区隔

  • 来源
    • 太阳的
    • 水力发电
    • 生质能源
    • 其他的

第六章竞争格局

  • 合併、收购、合作及合资
  • 主要企业策略
  • 公司简介
    • Canadian Solar Inc.
    • Sindicatum Renewable Energy Company Pte Ltd.
    • Trina Solar Ltd
    • PT Sumber Energi Sukses Makmur
    • BCPG Public Company Limited(BCPG)
    • SEG Solar
    • PT. ATW Solar Indonesia
    • Fourth Partner Energy Private Limited
    • Xurya Daya Indonesia
    • TotalEnergies ENEOS

第七章 市场机会与未来趋势

第 8 章智慧电网、电池能源储存系统(BESS) 和可再生能源计划的整合

简介目录
Product Code: 48850

The Indonesia Renewable Energy Market size in terms of installed base is expected to grow from 19.48 gigawatt in 2025 to 51.45 gigawatt by 2030, at a CAGR of 21.44% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

Indonesia Renewable Energy - Market - IMG1

Key Highlights

  • Over the medium term, the increasing interest of the Indonesian government toward renewable energy power generation and favorable government policies are expected to drive the market.
  • On the other hand, factors, such as the country's dependence on fossil fuels for energy supply and an increasing number of projects and investments in the oil and gas sector, are expected to restrain the country's renewable energy market.
  • Nevertheless, the integration of smart grids and battery energy storage systems (BESS) to improve the quality of power and facilitate the variable wind power and solar PV projects is expected to create several opportunities for the renewable energy market in Indonesia.

Indonesia Renewable Energy Market Trends

Solar Energy Is Expected to Witness Significant Growth

  • The Indonesian government set a renewable energy target of 23% and 31% of the total electricity generation by 2025 and 2050, respectively. Around 13% of power generation nationwide comes from renewable energy resources, mainly hydroelectric and geothermal power production.
  • Indonesia is rich in solar power, with a potential of around 207 GW, according to the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR). The Indonesian government is prioritizing the development of renewable energy sources, including solar.
  • According to the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, in 2022, the total installed on-grid solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity was approximately 190.06 MW, representing an increase of 22.39% compared to 155.29 MW in 2021. The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) states that Indonesia is installing solar power capacity to grow significantly in scale by 2030, mainly driven by initiatives by the government and PLN (a state-owned electricity company).
  • The IRENA identified the potential for Indonesia to deploy 47 GW of solar power capacity by 2030 as part of its 2017 Roadmap for a Renewable Energy Future (REmap) program report.
  • The Indonesian solar power capacity is growing at the utility scale, on residential and commercial rooftops, and in off-grid settings to replace costly diesel-fueled generation, which is expected to drive solar power generation in the country.
  • In September 2021, the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR) enacted the net metering legislation for rooftop PV, increasing the net metering factor from approximately 0.65 to 100. Thus, solar PV system owners will likely be given surplus credits for the power they inject into the grid, the same tariff rate for buying electricity from the network. Such government initiatives will likely increase the demand for solar energy in Indonesia during the forecast period.
  • Therefore, due to such factors, the solar energy segment is expected to grow significantly during the forecast period.

Progressing Renewable Energy Policies Are Expected to Drive the Market

  • After decades, the Indonesian New and Renewable Energy (NRE) has gained momentum in recent years. Indonesia lags in developing its new and renewable energy resources compared to other countries. The country's rich oil and gas resources in the past have made NRE development a choice instead of a priority.
  • The government of Indonesia started paying attention to the NRE sector when Indonesian oil and gas reserves started depleting. The country became a net oil importer for the first time in 2005.
  • Consequently, the Energy Law of 2007 set Indonesia's plan to shift its reliance on fossil fuels, mainly coal, and oil, toward more eco-friendly and sustainable means like solar, wind, hydro, geothermal, and biomass.
  • The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources data show that the country has enormous potential for geothermal energy at 23.9 GW and more than 94 GW of hydropower. The country also has a biomass potential of more than 32.6 GW and a biogas potential of 200,000 barrels per day.
  • Renewable energy projects are estimated at 60.6 GW for wind energy, 208 GW for solar energy, and 17.9 GW for ocean and tidal energy. The potential could be substantially more immense with rapidly advancing renewable energy technology.
  • According to the Internation Renewable Energy Agency, in 2022, the total installed renewable energy capacity was approximately 12.48 GW, representing an increase of 8.18% compared to 11.53 GW in 2021.
  • Therefore, due to such factors, increasing policies set by the government are expected to drive the country's renewable energy market during the forecast period.

Indonesia Renewable Energy Industry Overview

The Indonesian renewable energy market is consolidated. Some of the key players in the market include (in no particular order) Canadian Solar Inc., Sindicatum Renewable Energy Company Pte Ltd, Trina Solar Co. Ltd, PT Sumber Energi Sukses Makmur, and BCPG Public Company Limited (BCPG)., among others.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Renewable Energy Mix, 2022
  • 4.3 Renewable Energy Installed Capacity and Forecast in GW, till 2028
  • 4.4 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.5 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.6 Market Dynamics
    • 4.6.1 Drivers
      • 4.6.1.1 Immense Potential in Renewable sector due to Natural Landscape of the country
      • 4.6.1.2 Supportive Government Policies and Initiatives
    • 4.6.2 Restraints
    • 4.6.3 Lack of Investment for Infrastructure Development
  • 4.7 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.8 PESTLE Analysis

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Source
    • 5.1.1 Solar
    • 5.1.2 Wind
    • 5.1.3 Hydro
    • 5.1.4 Bioenergy
    • 5.1.5 Other Sources

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers, Acquisitions, Collaborations, and Joint Ventures
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Key Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 Canadian Solar Inc.
    • 6.3.2 Sindicatum Renewable Energy Company Pte Ltd.
    • 6.3.3 Trina Solar Ltd
    • 6.3.4 PT Sumber Energi Sukses Makmur
    • 6.3.5 BCPG Public Company Limited (BCPG)
    • 6.3.6 SEG Solar
    • 6.3.7 PT. ATW Solar Indonesia
    • 6.3.8 Fourth Partner Energy Private Limited
    • 6.3.9 Xurya Daya Indonesia
    • 6.3.10 TotalEnergies ENEOS

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS

8 The Integration Of Smart Grids And Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) with Renewable Energy Projects