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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1690717

中国 CEP（快递包裹）：市场占有率分析、行业趋势和统计、成长预测（2025-2030 年）

China Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 306 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

预计 2025 年中国快递包裹 (CEP) 市场规模为 1,425 亿美元，到 2030 年将达到 2,018 亿美元，预测期内（2025-2030 年）的复合年增长率为 7.21%。

中国快递、快递和包裹 (CEP)-市场-IMG1

跨境电子商务推动国际宅配服务成长

  • 2023年，全国约有29,522家宅配企业。过去十年，中国的快递行业呈指数级增长，这主要得益于网上零售的快速增长。为了增加 CEP 数量，许多公司正在采用各种策略。例如，从 2023 年 9 月开始，Shein 将从中国向其美国仓库发送更多低成本服装和家居用品，加快消费者的送货时间。
  • 国内和国际宅配、快递和小包裹递送领域的金额和数量将主要受电子商务推动，2023 年 27.6% 的零售额将透过线上管道实现。预计到 2027 年，电子商务用户数量将达到 13.3 亿，电子商务市场的价值预计将进一步增加。

中国CEP（快递包裹）市场趋势

「十四五」规划将更重视清洁能源基础建设和交通运输部门的投资，以推动经济成长

  • 2023年，中国清洁能源产业为国家经济扩张做出了重大贡献。根据能源与清洁空气中心（CREA）统计，中国对可再生能源基础设施的投资达8,900亿美元，几乎相当于当年全球对石化燃料供应的投资。清洁能源，包括再生能源来源、核能、电网、能源储存、电动车和铁路，将占中国GDP的9.0%，与前一年同期比较7.2%。 2023年电动车产量与前一年同期比较增加36%。
  • 中国在「十四五」规划（2021-2025年）中公布了扩大交通网络的目标。到2025年，高铁里程由2020年的3.8万公里增加到5万公里，线路长度达到250公里，覆盖95%的50万人口以上城市。至2025年，全国铁路营业里程将达到16.5万公里，民用机场270个以上，都市区地铁1万公里，高速公路19万公里，内河高等级航道1.85万公里。 2025年实现全面发展是首要目标，重点在于转变交通运输体系并提高其对GDP的贡献。

受俄乌战争影响，中国柴油、汽油零售价格飙升至历史高点。

  • 2023年，中国原油进口量预计将较2022年增加11%，至5.6399亿吨，或1,128万桶/日。随着俄罗斯与乌克兰战争导致全球油价上涨，中国燃料价格也创下历史新高。 2024年1-2月原油进口量达8,831万吨，年增5.1%。这一增长是由于之前以较低价格购买了原油。布伦特期货在2023年9月达到高峰97.69美元，12月跌至72.29美元，2024年3月涨至84.05美元。 OPEC+集团在2024年3月决定将减产延长至6月底，进一步推高了油价。此举引发了人们对全球石油需求的担忧，因为该组织将减产近6%以满足全球需求。此外，近期原油价格上涨可能从 2024 年下半年开始抑制中国的进口。
  • 中国计划根据近期国际原油价格波动调整汽油、柴油零售价格。价格上涨反映了全球供应紧张和需求前景改善。根据国发改委预测，2024年中国汽油和柴油价格将上涨28美元/吨。儘管预计燃料需求将下降，但到2035年，石油基燃料仍可能是主要选择。

其他福利：

  • Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
  • 3 个月的分析师支持

目录

第 1 章执行摘要和主要发现

第二章 报告要约

第 3 章 简介

  • 研究假设和市场定义
  • 研究范围
  • 调查方法

第四章 产业主要趋势

  • 人口统计
  • 按经济活动分類的 GDP 分布
  • 经济活动带来的 GDP 成长
  • 通货膨胀率
  • 经济表现及概况
    • 电子商务产业趋势
    • 製造业趋势
  • 交通运输仓储业生产毛额
  • 出口趋势
  • 进口趋势
  • 燃油价格
  • 物流绩效
  • 基础设施
  • 法律规范
    • 中国
  • 价值链与通路分析

第五章 市场区隔

  • 目的地
    • 国内的
    • 国际的
  • 送货速度
    • 表达
    • 非快递
  • 模型
    • 企业对企业 (B2B)
    • 企业对消费者 (B2C)
    • 消费者对消费者（C2C）
  • 运输重量
    • 重型货物
    • 轻型货物
    • 中等重量货物
  • 运输方式
    • 航空邮件
    • 路
    • 其他的
  • 最终用户
    • 电子商务
    • 金融服务（BFSI）
    • 卫生保健
    • 製造业
    • 一级产业
    • 批发零售（线下）
    • 其他的

第六章 竞争格局

  • 主要策略趋势
  • 市场占有率分析
  • 业务状况
  • 公司简介
    • China Post
    • DHL Group
    • FedEx
    • Hongkong Post
    • La Poste Group
    • SF Express（KEX-SF）
    • Shanghai YTO Express（Logistics）Co., Ltd.
    • STO Express Co., Ltd.（Shentong Express）
    • United Parcel Service of America, Inc.（UPS）
    • Yunda Holding Co. Ltd.
    • ZTO Express

第七章：执行长的关键策略问题

第 8 章 附录

  • 世界概况
    • 概述
    • 五力分析框架
    • 全球价值链分析
    • 市场动态(DRO)
    • 技术进步
  • 资讯来源和进一步阅读
  • 图表清单
  • 关键见解
  • 资料包
  • 词彙表
简介目录
Product Code: 71121

The China Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Market size is estimated at 142.5 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 201.8 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 7.21% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

China Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) - Market - IMG1

Increase in international parcel delivery services owing to cross-border e-commerce

  • There were around 29,522 courier businesses operating in the country in 2023. China's express delivery industry has grown exponentially over the past decade, largely driven by the rapid growth of online retail. Many companies are adopting different strategies to increase CEP volumes. For instance, since September 2023, Shein has been sending more low-priced apparel and home goods to U.S. warehouses from China to speed up shipping times for shoppers.
  • The value and volume of the domestic and international courier, express, and parcel delivery segments are largely driven by e-commerce, wherein 27.6% of retail sales were made online in 2023. The value of the CEP market is further expected to rise as e-commerce users are expected to reach 1.33 billion by 2027.

China Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Market Trends

Rising focus on developing clean energy infrastructure and transport sector investment under 14th Five-Year Plan driving growth

  • In 2023, China's clean energy sector significantly contributed to the country's economic expansion. According to Energy and Clean Air (CREA), China's investment in renewable energy infrastructure amounted to USD 890 billion, almost matching global investments in fossil fuel supply for the same year. Clean energy, including renewable energy sources, nuclear power, electricity grids, energy storage, electric vehicles (EVs), and railways, constituted 9.0% of China's GDP in 2023, up from 7.2% YoY. EV production grew by 36% YoY in 2023.
  • In the 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025), China revealed goals for expanding its transportation network. By 2025, high-speed railways will extend to 50,000 kms, up from 38,000 kms in 2020, with 95% of cities with populations above 500,000 covered by 250-km lines. The country aims to increase its railway length to 165,000 kms, civil airports to over 270, subway lines in cities to 10,000 kms, expressways to 190,000 kms, and high-level inland waterways to 18,500 kms by 2025. The primary objective is to achieve integrated development by 2025, emphasizing advancements in the transformation of the transportation system and its contribution to GDP.

China's retail diesel and gasoline prices were soared to historically high levels amid the Russia-Ukraine War

  • In 2023, China imported 11% more crude oil than in 2022, totaling 563.99 mn metric tons (MMT), or 11.28 mn barrels per day. This surge was due to increased global crude oil prices amid the Russia-Ukraine War, causing fuel prices in China to reach historic highs. In Jan-Feb 2024, crude oil imports rose by 5.1% YoY, reaching 88.31 MMT. This increase was driven by purchasing crude oil at lower prices earlier. Brent futures peaked at USD 97.69 in September 2023, fell to USD 72.29 in December, and rose to USD 84.05 by March 2024. The decision made by the OPEC+ group in March 2024 to extend output cuts until the end of June has further boosted crude prices. This move has raised concerns about global oil demand, as the group is reducing production by nearly 6% of world demand. The recent increase in crude prices may also dampen China's imports starting from H2 2024.
  • China plans to adjust retail prices for gasoline and diesel to align with recent shifts in global crude oil prices. The price hike reflects a tightening of global supply and a positive forecast for demand. According to NDRC, gasoline and diesel prices in China will increase by USD 28 per ton in 2024. Although there's expectation of declining demand for fuels, oil-based fuels will remain the primary choice until 2035.

China Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Industry Overview

The China Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Market is fragmented, with the major five players in this market being China Post, SF Express (KEX-SF), Shanghai YTO Express (Logistics) Co., Ltd., STO Express Co., Ltd. (Shentong Express) and ZTO Express (sorted alphabetically).

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY & KEY FINDINGS

2 REPORT OFFERS

3 INTRODUCTION

  • 3.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
  • 3.2 Scope of the Study
  • 3.3 Research Methodology

4 KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS

  • 4.1 Demographics
  • 4.2 GDP Distribution By Economic Activity
  • 4.3 GDP Growth By Economic Activity
  • 4.4 Inflation
  • 4.5 Economic Performance And Profile
    • 4.5.1 Trends in E-Commerce Industry
    • 4.5.2 Trends in Manufacturing Industry
  • 4.6 Transport And Storage Sector GDP
  • 4.7 Export Trends
  • 4.8 Import Trends
  • 4.9 Fuel Price
  • 4.10 Logistics Performance
  • 4.11 Infrastructure
  • 4.12 Regulatory Framework
    • 4.12.1 China
  • 4.13 Value Chain & Distribution Channel Analysis

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION (includes Market Value in USD, Forecasts up to 2030 and analysis of growth prospects)

  • 5.1 Destination
    • 5.1.1 Domestic
    • 5.1.2 International
  • 5.2 Speed Of Delivery
    • 5.2.1 Express
    • 5.2.2 Non-Express
  • 5.3 Model
    • 5.3.1 Business-to-Business (B2B)
    • 5.3.2 Business-to-Consumer (B2C)
    • 5.3.3 Consumer-to-Consumer (C2C)
  • 5.4 Shipment Weight
    • 5.4.1 Heavy Weight Shipments
    • 5.4.2 Light Weight Shipments
    • 5.4.3 Medium Weight Shipments
  • 5.5 Mode Of Transport
    • 5.5.1 Air
    • 5.5.2 Road
    • 5.5.3 Others
  • 5.6 End User Industry
    • 5.6.1 E-Commerce
    • 5.6.2 Financial Services (BFSI)
    • 5.6.3 Healthcare
    • 5.6.4 Manufacturing
    • 5.6.5 Primary Industry
    • 5.6.6 Wholesale and Retail Trade (Offline)
    • 5.6.7 Others

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Key Strategic Moves
  • 6.2 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.3 Company Landscape
  • 6.4 Company Profiles
    • 6.4.1 China Post
    • 6.4.2 DHL Group
    • 6.4.3 FedEx
    • 6.4.4 Hongkong Post
    • 6.4.5 La Poste Group
    • 6.4.6 SF Express (KEX-SF)
    • 6.4.7 Shanghai YTO Express (Logistics) Co., Ltd.
    • 6.4.8 STO Express Co., Ltd. (Shentong Express)
    • 6.4.9 United Parcel Service of America, Inc. (UPS)
    • 6.4.10 Yunda Holding Co. Ltd.
    • 6.4.11 ZTO Express

7 KEY STRATEGIC QUESTIONS FOR CEP CEOS

8 APPENDIX

  • 8.1 Global Overview
    • 8.1.1 Overview
    • 8.1.2 Porter's Five Forces Framework
    • 8.1.3 Global Value Chain Analysis
    • 8.1.4 Market Dynamics (DROs)
    • 8.1.5 Technological Advancements
  • 8.2 Sources & References
  • 8.3 List of Tables & Figures
  • 8.4 Primary Insights
  • 8.5 Data Pack
  • 8.6 Glossary of Terms