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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1850288

大规模MIMO－市场占有率分析、产业趋势、统计、成长预测（2025-2030）

Massive MIMO - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 120 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

预计到 2025 年，大规模 MIMO 市场价值将达到 65.3 亿美元，到 2030 年将成长至 325.1 亿美元。

这反映了 37.85% 的复合年增长率，证实了该技术在 5G 部署中的战略重要性。

大规模 MIMO—市场-IMG1

大规模MIMO市场正受惠于全球整体5G装置量的持续成长，预计到2029年，5G用户数将达到83亿人。此外，私有5G网路的日益普及以及对开放式RAN架构的政策支持，都促进了多厂商生态系统的发展。硬体厂商也积极研发更高阶的阵列，例如128T128R和512T512R，以提高单站点吞吐量。营运商则部署了原生AI节能软体，以实现净零排放目标。工业IoT和固定无线存取等应用情境的不断涌现将进一步提升对大规模MIMO的需求，确保该技术在预测期内继续成为网路密集化策略的核心。

全球大规模MIMO—市场趋势与洞察

行动数据流量和设备密度快速成长

预计到2030年，中国的行动数据流量将成长四倍，由此产生的网路密度将使传统的小区分割策略难以有效应对。固定无线接入线路预计将从2024年的1.6亿条成长到2030年的3.5亿条，其中80%将由大规模MIMO无线阵列和中兴通讯主导的5G-Advanced网路提供服务。工业IoT将进一步加剧网路压力，中国计画在2027年建成1万家无线工厂，每家工厂都将对网路容量提出严峻的效能要求。随着5G在主要市场的渗透率超过75.9%，小区边缘的拥塞将加剧，波束成形对于维持一致的使用者体验至关重要。因此，大规模MIMO市场与流量成长直接相关，使营运商能够在不按比例扩展站点的情况下满足吞吐量需求。

5G NR（6GHz 以下频段和毫米波）在全球范围内的快速部署

根据爱立信预测，到2024年底，全球独立组网（SA）5G用户数预计将达到12亿，到2030年将达到36亿。中国计划到2025年新建450万个5G基地台，并强制要求大规模MIMO作为新基地台的预设天线系统。爱立信表示，毫米波技术的经济效益将在2025年得到提升，届时爱立信、NBN公司和高通公司将展示一条基于先进波束成形技术的14公里Gigabit链路。私有5G将在2024年推动无线接取网路（RAN）营收成长超过40%，而干扰管理无线电技术对于保障服务等级协定（SLA）至关重要。

射频前端的高单位成本与高功耗

中国占据全球98%的氮化镓晶圆产量，引发了人们对射频前端模组（高阶阵列的关键组件）供应稳定性和价格的担忧。受行动电话需求疲软的影响，组件製造商Qorvo在2025年第三季的营收下降了12.4%。人工智慧驱动的节能演算法可以将无线电消费量降低高达80%，但所需的额外硅材料会增加组件成本，直到产量扩大。儘管美国国防部正在资助一项国内镓加工试点项目，但商业化生产要到2027年或更晚才能实现，这将使营运商面临外汇波动和出口限制的风险。这些因素将限製成本敏感地区的用户立即采用该技术，并促使他们推迟升级计划。

细分市场分析

5G NR 6GHz 以下频段技术预计在 2024 年将占总收入的 58%，其传播特性支援广域覆盖和室内穿透，使其成为早期 5G推出的首选方案。此频段受益于多个地区中频段分配的协调统一，简化了设备生态系统并降低了无线电成本。相较之下，目前仅应用于高阶场景的 5G NR 毫米波技术正以 39.8% 的复合年增长率成长，显示其在固定无线存取和体育场馆热点领域的应用正在加速。随着营运商复製澳洲 14 公里农村链路的成功经验，毫米波 MIMO 的庞大市场规模预计将显着扩大，这证明了高频段在非都市区宽频领域的经济效益。

儘管如此，6GHz以下频段对于控制平面锚定仍然至关重要，它使通讯业者能够实施兼顾覆盖范围和容量的均衡频率策略。 Reliance Jio 的 AirFiber 测试表明，与光纤相比，毫米波固定无线接入 (FWA) 可缩短最后一公里部署时间。虽然日本的 5G 私有化牌照政策仍偏向 6GHz以下频段，但仓库中早期的毫米波计划预示着未来将出现多元化发展。随着设备成本的下降和 5G-Advanced 传播增强技术的成熟，毫米波的市场份额预计将上升，到 2030 年，其在庞大的 MIMO 市场收入中所占份额将不断增长。

64T64R面板凭藉其在高小区边缘吞吐量、可控重量和功耗方面的出色平衡，预计在2024年将占据39%的市场份额。营运商在升级高密度城域宏基地台时更倾向于选择这种规格，因为它安装时所需的结构加固极少。随着厂商不断提升散热器效率，以及人工智慧工具降低波束校准成本，128T128R及更高规格的面板将以41.2%的复合年增长率成长。乔治亚研究展示了一种支援27-41 GHz频段大量单元的接收器架构，证明了超大型阵列的可行性。

随着应用领域朝向扩展现实（XR）和工业机器人发展，对稳定多Gigabit吞吐量的需求日益增长，通讯业者测试256单元原型。预计到2030年，128T128R系统的大规模MIMO市场规模将达到119亿美元，占总营收的36.6%。高通的4096单元千兆MIMO概念展示了实现容量阶跃式提升的途径。短期内，32T32R阵列将继续维持分层市场结构，以满足农村地区和成本敏感型部署的需求，在这些地区，由于塔架负载容量的限制，无法使用更重的面板。

大型 MINO 市场报告按技术（LTE (4G)、5G NR Sub-6 GHz、其他）、天线类型（16T16R、32T32R、其他）、部署类型（集中式 (C-RAN)、分散式 RAN、其他）、架构（时分双工 (TDD)、频分双工 (FDD)、其他市场细分、其他行动）。

区域分析

2024年，北美将贡献全球40%的收入，这主要得益于C频段的积极部署、企业级固定无线接入网（FWA）的普及以及有利于开放式无线接入网（Open RAN）的政策。 Verizon计划在2025年投入175亿至185亿美元，其中相当一部分将用于升级64T64R扇区，以保持其每用户吞吐量的竞争力。加拿大电信公司TELUS与三星合作，推出首个全国性虚拟化无线存取网路（VRAN）。美国联邦通讯委员会（FCC）关于70/80/90GHz回程传输和37GHz频谱共享的改革，进一步拓展了毫米波在农村宽频领域的商业价值。

亚太地区预计将成为成长最快的地区，到2030年将以37.89%的复合年增长率成长。中国在2025年3月前已建成超过440万个5G基地台，并承诺在年底前新增450万基地台。印度预计将在2024年下半年实现全国5G覆盖，其中Reliance Jio将占据85%的活跃小区，从而为32T32R和64T64R无线电模组创造巨大的采购管道。政府的「Bharat 6G」等计画将强调本土研发，并可能重塑区域厂商市场占有率格局。中国联通宣布，将在2025年底前覆盖300个城市的5G-Advanced网络，将进一步增加天线订单。

在欧洲，营运商在谨慎扩张的同时，也在努力平衡资本效率和监管机构对供应商多元化的审查。三星和O2 Telefónica将于2024年运作德国首个采用64T64R无线电技术的商用虚拟无线接取网路（vRAN）站点，显示市场对测试解耦式协定堆迭的需求旺盛。爱立信和MasOrange在西班牙展示了开放式可编程网络，重点关注自动化和能源优化，而不是单纯的容量。法国和义大利的频谱竞标倾向于3.4-3.8 GHz频段的连续频段，进一步巩固了TDD的主导地位。因此，在对每瓦性能和供应链韧性的关注驱动下，欧洲大规模MIMO市场正保持着稳健而适度的成长。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市场预测（ME）表
  • 3个月的分析师支持

目录

第一章 引言

  • 研究假设和市场定义
  • 调查范围

第二章调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章 市场情势

  • 市场概览
  • 市场驱动因素
    • 行动数据流量和设备密度快速成长
    • 5G NR（6GHz 以下和毫米波）在全球快速部署
    • 高效率的波束成形技术可降低营运商的资本支出。
    • 支援多厂商mMIMO的Open-RAN催化剂
    • AI辅助细胞边缘光束优化
  • 市场限制
    • 射频前端单位成本高、功耗大
    • 复杂的站点级部署与维护
    • 半导体级氮化镓 (GaN) 供应风险
    • 抵御电磁辐射和城市足迹
  • 价值链分析
  • 监管环境
  • 技术展望
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 消费者议价能力
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争对手之间的竞争

第五章 市场规模与成长预测

  • 透过技术
    • LTE（4G）
    • 5G NR sub-6GHz
    • 5G NR 毫米波
  • 依天线类型
    • 16T16R
    • 32T32R
    • 64T64R
    • 128T128R 或更高版本
  • 依部署类型
    • 集中式（C-RAN）
    • 分散式无线存取网
    • 开放式无线接取网
  • 建筑设计
    • 时分双工（TDD）
    • 频分双工（FDD）
    • 混合双股
  • 透过最终用户应用程式
    • 行动网路营运商
    • 企业及私人网络
    • 公共与国防
    • 固定无线接入（FWA）
  • 按地区
    • 北美洲
      • 美国
      • 加拿大
      • 墨西哥
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 其他南美洲
    • 欧洲
      • 德国
      • 英国
      • 法国
      • 俄罗斯
      • 其他欧洲地区
    • 亚太地区
      • 中国
      • 印度
      • 日本
      • 韩国
      • ASEAN
      • 亚太其他地区
    • 中东和非洲
      • 中东
      • 沙乌地阿拉伯
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
      • 土耳其
      • 其他中东地区
      • 非洲
      • 南非
      • 奈及利亚
      • 其他非洲地区

第六章 竞争情势

  • 市场集中度
  • 策略趋势
  • 市占率分析
  • 公司简介
    • Samsung Electronics
    • Ericsson
    • Huawei
    • Nokia
    • ZTE
    • Qualcomm
    • Intel
    • Texas Instruments
    • Qorvo
    • NEC
    • Fujitsu
    • CommScope
    • Airspan Networks
    • Mavenir
    • Parallel Wireless
    • Keysight Technologies
    • Rohde and Schwarz
    • Viavi Solutions
    • Analog Devices
    • Renesas

第七章 市场机会与未来展望

简介目录
Product Code: 61432

The massive MIMO market stood at USD 6.53 billion in 2025 and is projected to expand to USD 32.51 billion by 2030, reflecting a vigorous 37.85% CAGR that confirms the technology's strategic importance for 5G roll-outs.Steady operator migration from broad-coverage roll-outs toward capacity-oriented urban deployments is amplifying demand, because beamforming increases spectral efficiency and lifts average revenue per user.

Massive MIMO - Market - IMG1

The massive MIMO market receives additional momentum from an installed base headed toward 8.3 billion global 5G subscriptions by 2029, greater adoption of private 5G networks, and policy support for Open RAN architectures that encourage multi-vendor ecosystems. Hardware vendors are also moving to higher-order 128T128R and 512T512R arrays, which multiply throughput per site, while operators deploy AI-native energy-saving software to meet net-zero goals. Emerging industrial IoT and fixed-wireless-access use cases add incremental site demand, ensuring that the technology remains the backbone of network densification strategies over the forecast period.

Global Massive MIMO Market Trends and Insights

Surging Mobile-Data Traffic and Device Density

China expects mobile data traffic to quadruple by 2030, creating density levels that legacy cell-splitting strategies cannot manage cost-effectively. Fixed-wireless-access lines are forecast to climb from 160 million in 2024 to 350 million by 2030, with 80% serviced by 5 G-Advanced networks anchored by massive MIMO radio arrays, ZTE. Industrial IoT adds further load; China targets 10,000 wireless-enabled factories by 2027, each placing tight performance constraints on network capacity. As 5G penetration exceeds 75.9% in leading markets, congestion at the cell edge intensifies, making beamforming vital for sustaining a consistent user experience. The massive MIMO market, therefore, aligns directly with traffic growth, positioning operators to meet throughput needs without proportional site expansion.

Rapid Global Roll-out of 5G NR (Sub-6 GHz and mmWave)

Standalone 5G subscriptions reached 1.2 billion worldwide by end-2024 and are forecast to touch 3.6 billion by 2030, according to Ericsson. China plans to add 4.5 million new 5G base stations by 2025, mandating massive MIMO as the default antenna system for fresh sites. India achieved nationwide 5G coverage by October 2024, accelerating demand for high-order arrays during back-haul upgrades. mmWave economics improved in 2025 when Ericsson, NBN Co, and Qualcomm demonstrated 14 km gigabit links that rely on advanced beamforming, according to Ericsson. Private 5G saw over 40% RAN revenue growth in 2024, and interference-managed radios are indispensable for guaranteed service-level agreements.

High Unit Cost and Power-Consumption of RF Front-end

China controls 98% of gallium nitride wafer output, raising supply-security and pricing concerns for RF front-end modules essential in high-order arrays. Component maker Qorvo recorded a 12.4% sales decline in Q3 2025 as handset demand softened, hinting that vendor margins already feel pressure from cost-push inflation. AI-enabled power-saving algorithms can trim radio energy draw by up to 80%, but they require additional silicon, raising bill-of-materials until volume scales. The U.S. Defense Department has funded domestic gallium processing pilots, yet commercial volumes will lag beyond 2027, leaving operators exposed to currency swings and export controls. These factors restrain near-term adoption in cost-sensitive geographies and encourage deferred upgrades.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Operator CAPEX Savings via Beamforming Efficiency
  2. Open RAN Catalysts Enabling Multi-vendor Massive MIMO
  3. Complex Site-level Deployment and Maintenance

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

5G NR Sub-6 GHz technology commanded 58% revenue in 2024 because its propagation traits support wide-area coverage and indoor penetration, making it the default option for early 5G launches. The segment benefited from harmonized mid-band allocations across several regions, which streamlined device ecosystems and reduced radio costs. In contrast, 5G NR mmWave occupies only premium use cases today, but its 39.8% CAGR indicates accelerating take-up in fixed wireless access and stadium hotspots. The massive MIMO market size for mmWave is projected to widen significantly as operators replicate the 14 km rural link success in Australia, proving high-frequency economics for non-urban broadband.

The Sub-6 layer nevertheless remains essential for control-plane anchoring, giving carriers a balanced spectrum strategy that marries coverage and capacity. Reliance Jio's AirFiber trials show mmWave FWA cutting last-mile rollout times compared with fiber. Japan's private 5G licensing landscape still favors Sub-6, but early mmWave projects in warehouses hint at forthcoming diversification. Once device costs fall and propagation enhancements mature under 5G-Advanced, the mmWave share should climb, contributing a rising portion of the massive MIMO market revenue through 2030.

64T64R panels held 39% volume share in 2024 by balancing high cell-edge throughput with manageable weight and power draw. Operators favor this format when upgrading macro sites in dense metros because installation requires minimal structural reinforcement. The 128T128R and larger class will register a 41.2% CAGR as vendors improve heat-sink efficiency and as AI tools mitigate beam calibration overhead. Research at Georgia Tech demonstrates receiver architectures that support substantial element counts across 27-41 GHz bands, signaling practical viability for extremely large-scale arrays.

As applications migrate toward XR and industrial robotics, demand for consistent multi-gigabit throughput climbs, prompting carriers to test 256-element prototypes. The massive MIMO market size for 128T128R systems is projected to reach USD 11.9 billion by 2030, equal to 36.6% of overall sales. Qualcomm's 4,096-element Giga-MIMO concept underlines the runway for step-function capacity gains, although commercial adoption is likely after 2028 when power-amplifier efficiency improves. Near-term, 32T32R arrays still serve rural and cost-sensitive deployments where tower loading limits preclude heavier panels, preserving a multi-tier market structure.

Massive MINO Market Report is Segmented by Technology (LTE (4G), 5G NR Sub-6 GHz, and More), Antenna Type (16T16R, 32T32R, and More), Deployment Type (Centralised (C-RAN), Distributed RAN, and More), Architecture (Time-Division Duplex (TDD), Frequency-Division Duplex (FDD), and More), End-User Application (Mobile Network Operators, Enterprises and Private Networks, and More), and Geography.

Geography Analysis

North America generated 40% of global revenue in 2024 on the back of aggressive C-band roll-outs, enterprise FWA adoption, and favorable policy toward Open RAN. Verizon plans USD 17.5-18.5 billion in 2025 capital outlays, a sizable share earmarked for 64T64R sector upgrades that keep per-subscriber throughput competitive. Canada's TELUS is partnering with Samsung to deploy the first nationwide virtualized RAN, underscoring regional appetite for software-defined radios. FCC reforms around 70/80/90 GHz backhaul and 37 GHz sharing further broaden mmWave business cases for rural broadband.

Asia Pacific is the fastest-growing territory, forecast at 37.89% CAGR to 2030 as China surpasses 4.4 million 5G sites by March 2025 and commits to 4.5 million additional base stations within the year. India reached nationwide 5G coverage in late 2024, with Reliance Jio responsible for 85% of active cells, creating a sizable procurement funnel for 32T32R and 64T64R radios. Government programs such as Bharat 6G emphasize indigenous R&D, potentially reshaping regional vendor shares. China Unicom's 5G-Advanced coverage across 300 cities by end-2025 further raises antenna order volumes, providing economies of scale that exert downward price pressure globally.

Europe shows measured expansion as operators juggle capital efficiency and regulatory scrutiny over vendor diversification. Samsung and O2 Telefonica activated Germany's first commercial vRAN site with 64T64R radios in 2024, signaling market willingness to test disaggregated stacks. Ericsson and MasOrange demonstrated an open programmable network in Spain, focusing on automation and energy optimization rather than raw capacity. Spectrum auctions in France and Italy favored contiguous 3.4-3.8 GHz blocks, reinforcing TDD dominance. The European massive MIMO market therefore emphasizes performance per watt and supply-chain resilience, supporting gradual but firm growth.

  1. Samsung Electronics
  2. Ericsson
  3. Huawei
  4. Nokia
  5. ZTE
  6. Qualcomm
  7. Intel
  8. Texas Instruments
  9. Qorvo
  10. NEC
  11. Fujitsu
  12. CommScope
  13. Airspan Networks
  14. Mavenir
  15. Parallel Wireless
  16. Keysight Technologies
  17. Rohde and Schwarz
  18. Viavi Solutions
  19. Analog Devices
  20. Renesas

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Surging mobile-data traffic and device density
    • 4.2.2 Rapid global roll-out of 5G NR (Sub-6 GHz and mmWave)
    • 4.2.3 Operator CAPEX savings via beam-forming efficiency
    • 4.2.4 Open-RAN catalysts enabling multi-vendor mMIMO
    • 4.2.5 AI-assisted cell-edge beam-optimization
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 High unit cost and power-consumption of RF front-end
    • 4.3.2 Complex site-level deployment and maintenance
    • 4.3.3 Semiconductor-grade gallium nitride (GaN) supply risk
    • 4.3.4 EMF-exposure and urban footprint opposition
  • 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

  • 5.1 By Technology
    • 5.1.1 LTE (4G)
    • 5.1.2 5G NR Sub-6 GHz
    • 5.1.3 5G NR mmWave
  • 5.2 By Antenna Type
    • 5.2.1 16T16R
    • 5.2.2 32T32R
    • 5.2.3 64T64R
    • 5.2.4 128T128R and Above
  • 5.3 By Deployment Type
    • 5.3.1 Centralised (C-RAN)
    • 5.3.2 Distributed RAN
    • 5.3.3 Open RAN
  • 5.4 By Architecture
    • 5.4.1 Time-Division Duplex (TDD)
    • 5.4.2 Frequency-Division Duplex (FDD)
    • 5.4.3 Hybrid Duplex
  • 5.5 By End-user Application
    • 5.5.1 Mobile Network Operators
    • 5.5.2 Enterprises and Private Networks
    • 5.5.3 Public Safety and Defence
    • 5.5.4 Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)
  • 5.6 By Geography
    • 5.6.1 North America
      • 5.6.1.1 United States
      • 5.6.1.2 Canada
      • 5.6.1.3 Mexico
    • 5.6.2 South America
      • 5.6.2.1 Brazil
      • 5.6.2.2 Rest of South America
    • 5.6.3 Europe
      • 5.6.3.1 Germany
      • 5.6.3.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.6.3.3 France
      • 5.6.3.4 Russia
      • 5.6.3.5 Rest of Europe
    • 5.6.4 Asia Pacific
      • 5.6.4.1 China
      • 5.6.4.2 India
      • 5.6.4.3 Japan
      • 5.6.4.4 South Korea
      • 5.6.4.5 ASEAN
      • 5.6.4.6 Rest of Asia Pacific
    • 5.6.5 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.6.5.1 Middle East
      • 5.6.5.1.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.6.5.1.2 UAE
      • 5.6.5.1.3 Turkey
      • 5.6.5.1.4 Rest of Middle East
      • 5.6.5.2 Africa
      • 5.6.5.2.1 South Africa
      • 5.6.5.2.2 Nigeria
      • 5.6.5.2.3 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 Samsung Electronics
    • 6.4.2 Ericsson
    • 6.4.3 Huawei
    • 6.4.4 Nokia
    • 6.4.5 ZTE
    • 6.4.6 Qualcomm
    • 6.4.7 Intel
    • 6.4.8 Texas Instruments
    • 6.4.9 Qorvo
    • 6.4.10 NEC
    • 6.4.11 Fujitsu
    • 6.4.12 CommScope
    • 6.4.13 Airspan Networks
    • 6.4.14 Mavenir
    • 6.4.15 Parallel Wireless
    • 6.4.16 Keysight Technologies
    • 6.4.17 Rohde and Schwarz
    • 6.4.18 Viavi Solutions
    • 6.4.19 Analog Devices
    • 6.4.20 Renesas

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-need Assessment