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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1851771

丙烷：市场占有率分析、产业趋势、统计数据和成长预测（2025-2030 年）

Propane - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 120 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

预计到 2025 年，丙烷市场规模将达到 2.0539 亿吨，到 2030 年将达到 2.5436 亿吨，在预测期（2025-2030 年）内复合年增长率为 4.33%。

丙烷市场-IMG1

丙烷需求受益于其相对较低的碳排放强度、在许多农村和郊区比电力更具成本优势，以及其作为石化原料日益增长的作用。钢瓶发行、不断扩展的末端配送网路以及安全性的提高正在推动新兴市场丙烷使用量的成长，同时，随着生产商寻求大幅降低生命週期排放，生物丙烷投资也在加速成长。汽车燃气计划、低排放气体税额扣抵以及校车车队的改造正在提振交通运输需求，而强劲的农业消费则持续支撑着季节性需求。在供应方面，北美强劲的液态天然气产量和亚洲新增的丙烷脱氢（PDH）产能支撑了市场流动性。

全球丙烷市场趋势与洞察

儘管大力推广电气化，住房需求依然强劲。

低碳暖气政策并未削弱核心居民消费，预计2024年，居民消费将占全球消费量的40%。与全电住宅相比，美国使用天然气或丙烷供暖的家庭平均每年可节省1,132美元，增强了丙烷的成本提案。超过2400万美国家庭依赖丙烷，尤其是在中西部地区。麻萨诸塞州在2024年取消了大部分电器补贴，但对低收入家庭的高效节能设备仍提供奖励，体现了政策的务实性。全国零售价格回落，2024年5月平均价格为每加仑2.475美元，有助于维持需求。预计这些动态将支撑成熟市场的温和成长，即使热泵的普及率不断提高。

工业应用推动高成长率

工业领域的成长速度超过整体成长速度，年复合成长率达到5.25%，主要得益于石化生产者增建专用丙烷脱氢（PDH）装置，将丙烷转化为丙烯。亚洲的新计画正在加速2024年丙烯的生产，儘管价差收窄，但丙烷的加工量仍在增加。永续性目标促使营运商尝试碳捕获解决方案和可再生丙烷混合物，以在不影响製程效率的前提下减少范围1的排放。原料供应的可靠性和脱碳路径风险的降低，将使产业需求成为预测期内持续成长的支柱。

现货天然气凝液价格波动

丙烷价格容易受到原油价格波动和库存週期的影响，挤压独立经销商的销售利润。根据康威指数，中西部地区的丙烷价格往往在页岩气产量充沛时期下跌，然后在冬季需求旺盛时飙升，这使得避险策略变得复杂。价格波动可能会阻碍中小企业投资储能基础设施，并减缓汽车燃气加油站的推广速度，在短期内略微限制市场扩张。

细分市场分析

2024年，非伴生气将占全球供应量的52%，这主要得益于页岩气开发和中游产业的发展。光是在美国，包括丙烷在内的液化天然气产量预计在2025年将年增10%，达到每日300万桶。二迭纪盆地和阿巴拉契亚地区低温加工能力的提升确保了原料供应的持续性，并为丙烷市场奠定了稳定的基础。炼厂和伴生气提供了补充供应，但由于炼厂运转率限制和减少燃烧排放的倡议，其增长速度较为缓慢。

生物丙烷以9.20%的复合年增长率在能源转型中发挥至关重要的作用。专用加氢裂解植物油（HVO）装置和共加工生产线的产能扩张将使全球可再生丙烷日产量从2023年的1.9万桶增加到2025年的5.1万桶。东南亚和拉丁美洲的开发中国家也正在试行利用废油，增加了地域供应的多样性。随着可再生能源认证体系的日趋成熟，贸易商预计价格溢价将会下降，丙烷将成为住宅混合燃料和工业炉灶的主流燃料。

丙烷市场报告按供应来源（炼油厂、联产气、异源气、生物丙烷）、终端用户行业（住宅、商业、工业、交通运输及其他）、分销渠道（散装配送、钢瓶配送及其他）和地区（亚太地区、北美、欧洲、南美、中东和非洲）进行细分。市场预测以吨为单位。

区域分析

亚太地区将在2024年占据全球丙烷市场41%的份额，预计到2030年将以6.18%的复合年增长率增长，这主要得益于工业化、人口增长以及液化石油气（LPG）推广政策的支持。中国消费量将在2022年增加至7,390万吨，并随着丙烷脱氢（PDH）产能的扩大以满足汽车内装和消费品包装对聚丙烯的需求而持续成长。印度的「总理乌贾瓦拉计画」（Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana）正在维持农村地区的丙烷气瓶普及率，并鼓励家庭燃料转换。加拿大出口商AltaGas计划在2026年将其位于里德利岛的丙烷出口量翻一番，这凸显了北美和亚洲买家之间的供应链连结。

北美地区持续保持显着的产量和出口盈余。预计到2024年，美国石油出口量将达到每日180万桶，连续第17年成长。墨西哥湾沿岸丰富的页岩气凝析液资源和不断扩大的码头吞吐能力将确保全球需求者获得可靠的原料供应。国内需求强劲，居民供暖需求保持平稳，但汽车燃气和可再生丙烷混合气的需求正在上升。

在欧洲，传统供暖应用的需求日趋成熟，但可再生丙烷混合燃料的发展势头强劲。 《可再生能源指令III》和「适航55」计画正激励供应商对其散装燃料和航空燃料副产品进行脱碳。改造基础设施以处理混合燃料分子，将使该地区为2030年前逐步实现燃料供应结构转型做好准备。

中东和非洲正在利用丰富的联产气来推动国内石化产业的发展，而南美市场则在巴西扩大气瓶生产计划和阿根廷农业干燥需求的推动下稳步发展。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市场预测（ME）表
  • 3个月的分析师支持

目录

第一章 引言

  • 研究假设和市场定义
  • 调查范围

第二章调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章 市场情势

  • 市场概览
  • 市场驱动因素
    • 住房领域需求增加
    • 石油化工产业的需求
    • 欧洲交通运输部门生物丙烷混合目标（欧洲）
    • 农业需求不断成长
    • 运输业需求增加
  • 市场限制
    • 高浓度丙烷的有害影响
    • 现货天然气凝液价格的波动对独立市场交易商的利润率带来压力（全球）
    • 储存和安全风险
  • 价值链分析
  • 波特五力模型
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 买方的议价能力
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争程度

第五章 市场规模与成长预测

  • 供应减少
    • 炼油厂
    • 相关气体
    • 非伴生气
    • 生物丙烷
  • 按最终用户行业划分
    • 住房
    • 商业
    • 工业
    • 运输
    • 其他终端用户产业
  • 透过分销管道
    • 大量运输
    • 汽缸发行
    • 汽车燃气加註网络
    • 零售包装（1磅装和露营装）
  • 按地区
    • 亚太地区
      • 中国
      • 印度
      • 日本
      • 韩国
      • 亚太其他地区
    • 北美洲
      • 美国
      • 加拿大
      • 墨西哥
    • 欧洲
      • 德国
      • 英国
      • 义大利
      • 法国
      • 其他欧洲地区
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 其他南美洲国家
    • 中东和非洲
      • 沙乌地阿拉伯
      • 南非
      • 其他中东和非洲地区

第六章 竞争情势

  • 市场集中度
  • 策略趋势
  • 市占率分析
  • 公司简介
    • AltaGas Ltd.
    • BP plc
    • Chevron Corporation
    • China Petrochemical Corporation
    • DCC Plc
    • Energy Transfer LP
    • Eni SpA
    • Enterprise Products Partners LP
    • Equinor ASA
    • Exxon Mobil Corporation
    • GAIL（India）Limited
    • Gazprom
    • Linde PLC
    • PDVSA
    • PetroChina Company Limited（China National Petroleum Corp.）
    • Phillips 66 Company
    • Repsol
    • Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
    • Shell PLC
    • SHV Energy
    • Suburban Propane
    • TotalEnergies
    • UGI Corporation

第七章 市场机会与未来展望

简介目录
Product Code: 66289

The Propane Market size is estimated at 205.39 Million tons in 2025, and is expected to reach 254.36 Million tons by 2030, at a CAGR of 4.33% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

Propane - Market - IMG1

Demand is benefiting from propane's comparatively low carbon intensity, its cost advantage over electricity in many rural and suburban locations, and its growing role as a petrochemical feedstock. Cylinder distribution, expanding last-mile networks, and safety upgrades are broadening access across emerging economies, while bio-propane investment is accelerating as producers target sharp life-cycle emission cuts. Autogas programs, tax credits for low-emission fuels, and school-bus fleet conversions are enlarging transportation demand, whereas resilient agricultural consumption continues to underpin seasonal offtake. On the supply side, robust natural-gas liquids production in North America and new propane dehydrogenation (PDH) capacity in Asia are anchoring liquidity, even as spot NGL price swings challenge independent marketers.

Global Propane Market Trends and Insights

Residential demand resilience despite electrification push

Lower-carbon heating mandates did not erode core residential consumption, which accounted for 40% of global offtake in 2024. Natural-gas or propane-heated homes in the United States saved an average of USD 1,132 a year relative to all-electric dwellings, reinforcing propane's cost proposition. Rural dependence is pronounced, with more than 24 million US households relying on propane, especially across the Midwest. Although Massachusetts ended most equipment rebates in 2024, incentives for high-efficiency units remained for low-income residents, signalling policy pragmatism. Retail prices softened nationwide-averaging USD 2.475 per gallon in May 2024-helping maintain demand. These dynamics are expected to uphold moderate growth in mature markets even as heat-pump adoption rises.

Industrial applications driving higher growth rates

Industrial uptake is outpacing overall growth, advancing at a 5.25% CAGR as petrochemical producers add dedicated PDH plants to convert propane into propylene. New Asian projects accelerated propylene output in 2024, narrowing spreads yet widening propane throughput. Sustainability targets are prompting operators to trial carbon-capture solutions and renewable-propane blending to curb Scope 1 emissions without compromising process efficiency. The combination of feedstock reliability and de-risked decarbonization paths positions industry demand as a durable growth pillar across the forecast horizon.

Spot NGL price volatility

Propane prices remain sensitive to crude-oil swings and inventory cycles, compressing marketing margins for independent distributors. The Conway Index illustrates Midwest price dips during bumper shale output, followed by sharp spikes in high-demand winters, complicating hedging strategies. Volatility discourages capital investment in storage infrastructure among smaller firms and can slow autogas station roll-outs, marginally tempering near-term market expansion.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Bio-propane: transformative growth amid decarbonization
  2. Transportation sector: autogas expansion despite EV competition
  3. Storage and safety risks

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Non-associated gas yielded 52% of global supply in 2024, anchored by prolific shale development and midstream build-outs. The United States alone produced 3.0 million barrels per day of NGLs-including propane-in 2025, up 10% on the previous year. Incremental cryogenic processing in the Permian Basin and Appalachian region secured feedstock continuity, ensuring a stable base for the propane market. Refinery and associated-gas streams provided complementary volumes but grew more slowly, constrained by refinery utilization ceilings and flaring-reduction initiatives.

Bio-propane's 9.20% CAGR underscores its pivotal role in the energy-transition narrative. Capacity expansions at dedicated hydrotreated-vegetable-oil (HVO) units and co-processing lines are set to lift global renewable-propane output from 19,000 barrels per day in 2023 to 51,000 barrels per day by 2025. Developing economies in Southeast Asia and Latin America are also piloting waste-oil pathways, broadening geographic supply diversity. As renewable certification schemes mature, traders expect price premiums to compress, fostering mainstream uptake across residential blends and industrial furnaces.

The Propane Market Report is Segmented by Source (Refinery, Associated Gas, Non-Associated Gas, and Bio-Propane), End-User Industry (Residential, Commercial, Industrial, Transportation, and More), Distribution Channel (Bulk Delivery, Cylinder Distribution, and More), and Geography (Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, South America, and Middle East and Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Volume (tons).

Geography Analysis

Asia Pacific anchored 41% of propane market volumes in 2024 and is forecast to expand at a 6.18% CAGR to 2030, buoyed by industrialization, population growth, and supportive LPG adoption schemes. Chinese consumption climbed to 73.9 million tons in 2022 and continues to climb as PDH capacity ramps to satisfy polypropylene demand in automotive interiors and consumer packaging. India's Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana keeps rural cylinder penetration rising, aiding household fuel switching. Canadian exporter AltaGas plans to double Ridley Island propane export throughput by 2026, underscoring the supply-chain link between North America and Asian buyers.

North America retains a substantial production and export surplus. US shipments reached 1.8 million barrels per day in 2024, marking the 17th consecutive annual increase. Ample shale gas liquids and expanding Gulf Coast dock capacity ensure reliable feedstock for global customers. Domestic demand growth is steadier, with residential heating plateauing but autogas and renewable-propane blending providing incremental lift.

Europe confronts mature demand in traditional heating uses but posts vigorous momentum in renewable-propane blending. The Renewable Energy Directive III and fit-for-55 packages incentivize suppliers to decarbonize bulk portfolios and aviation-fuel coproduct streams. Infrastructure repurposing to handle blended molecules positions the region for a gradual supply-mix transition through 2030.

The Middle East and Africa leverage abundant associated-gas streams to feed growing domestic petrochemical ambitions, while South America's market progresses steadily on the back of Brazil's cylinder program expansions and Argentina's agricultural drying needs.

  1. AltaGas Ltd.
  2. BP p.l.c.
  3. Chevron Corporation
  4. China Petrochemical Corporation
  5. DCC Plc
  6. Energy Transfer LP
  7. Eni SpA
  8. Enterprise Products Partners L.P.
  9. Equinor ASA
  10. Exxon Mobil Corporation
  11. GAIL (India) Limited
  12. Gazprom
  13. Linde PLC
  14. PDVSA
  15. PetroChina Company Limited (China National Petroleum Corp.)
  16. Phillips 66 Company
  17. Repsol
  18. Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
  19. Shell PLC
  20. SHV Energy
  21. Suburban Propane
  22. TotalEnergies
  23. UGI Corporation

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Increase in Demand from the Residential Sectors
    • 4.2.2 Demand in the Petrochemical Industry
    • 4.2.3 Government-Mandated Bio-Propane Blending Targets in the Europe Transport Sector (Europe)
    • 4.2.4 Rising Demand in Agriculture
    • 4.2.5 Increase in Demand from the Transportation Sector
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Harmful Effects of Propane at Higher Concentrations
    • 4.3.2 Spot NGL Price Volatility Compressing Margins for Independent Marketers (Global)
    • 4.3.3 Storage and Safety Risks
  • 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.5.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.5.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.5.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.5.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.5.5 Degree of Competition

5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Volume)

  • 5.1 By Source
    • 5.1.1 Refinery
    • 5.1.2 Associated Gas
    • 5.1.3 Non-Associated Gas
    • 5.1.4 Bio-Propane
  • 5.2 By End-user Industry
    • 5.2.1 Residential
    • 5.2.2 Commercial
    • 5.2.3 Industrial
    • 5.2.4 Transportation
    • 5.2.5 Other End-user Industries
  • 5.3 By Distribution Channel
    • 5.3.1 Bulk Delivery
    • 5.3.2 Cylinder Distribution
    • 5.3.3 Autogas Refueling Network
    • 5.3.4 Retail Packaged (1-lb and Camping)
  • 5.4 By Geography
    • 5.4.1 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.1.1 China
      • 5.4.1.2 India
      • 5.4.1.3 Japan
      • 5.4.1.4 South Korea
      • 5.4.1.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.2 North America
      • 5.4.2.1 United States
      • 5.4.2.2 Canada
      • 5.4.2.3 Mexico
    • 5.4.3 Europe
      • 5.4.3.1 Germany
      • 5.4.3.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.3.3 Italy
      • 5.4.3.4 France
      • 5.4.3.5 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.4 South America
      • 5.4.4.1 Brazil
      • 5.4.4.2 Argentina
      • 5.4.4.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.4.5 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.4.5.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.4.5.2 South Africa
      • 5.4.5.3 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles {(includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)}
    • 6.4.1 AltaGas Ltd.
    • 6.4.2 BP p.l.c.
    • 6.4.3 Chevron Corporation
    • 6.4.4 China Petrochemical Corporation
    • 6.4.5 DCC Plc
    • 6.4.6 Energy Transfer LP
    • 6.4.7 Eni SpA
    • 6.4.8 Enterprise Products Partners L.P.
    • 6.4.9 Equinor ASA
    • 6.4.10 Exxon Mobil Corporation
    • 6.4.11 GAIL (India) Limited
    • 6.4.12 Gazprom
    • 6.4.13 Linde PLC
    • 6.4.14 PDVSA
    • 6.4.15 PetroChina Company Limited (China National Petroleum Corp.)
    • 6.4.16 Phillips 66 Company
    • 6.4.17 Repsol
    • 6.4.18 Saudi Arabian Oil Co.
    • 6.4.19 Shell PLC
    • 6.4.20 SHV Energy
    • 6.4.21 Suburban Propane
    • 6.4.22 TotalEnergies
    • 6.4.23 UGI Corporation

7 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment
  • 7.2 Usage of Propane in Power Generation