寒冷地区住宅热泵

寒冷地区的住宅热泵市场预计在未来10年将大幅成长。主要得益于变频驱动压缩机和冷媒的技术进步，热泵现在即使在寒冷地区也能表现良好。儘管取得了这些进步，但除了一些欧洲国家和日本外，寒冷地区热泵技术的采用率仍然相对较低。然而，随着政府和利益相关者将建筑脱碳目标作为更广泛的气候行动的一部分，许多人呼吁使用寒冷地区热泵作为加热脱碳的手段。类似的举措很可能成为未来十年寒冷地区采用热泵的主要动力。

目前市面上的热泵技术中，适合寒冷地区家庭使用的有空气对空气热泵、空气对水热泵、地源热泵三种。最近的出货量资料显示，北美、欧洲和亚太地区较寒冷的地区对上述三种技术的采用日益增加。虽然空气对空气热泵历来是全球市场的主导技术，但空气对水热泵正变得越来越普遍，尤其是在欧洲。热泵技术在寒冷地区家庭供暖的几种新应用显示出成长潜力，包括混合热泵系统、区域供暖和共享地热阵列（也称为共享地源热泵）。

本报告分析了全球寒冷地区住宅热泵市场，包括市场基本趋势、寒冷地区特有的促进和限制因素，以及寒冷地区热泵技术出货量和收入趋势预测（依地区（北美、欧洲、亚太地区）和技术类型（空气对空气、空气对水、地源热泵）（2024-2032年）调查详细趋势。此外，调查各地区的出货量和收入的成长趋势，以及各地区成长率的差异及其原因。

目录

第1章 执行摘要

第2章 市场问题

• 寒冷地区技术趋势
  • 变速逆变器
• 寒冷地区常用热泵技术
• 新的应用领域
  • 混合热泵系统
  • 热泵和区域供热
  • 共享地源热泵系统
• 市场驱动因素
  • 政府政策与市场转型努力
  • 燃料成本和燃料短缺
• 障碍
  • 天然气价格下降
  • 电力服务续订
  • 建筑覆层不足
  • 对员工和顾客进行教育
  • 紧急更换

第3章 产业价值链

• 住宅暖通空调价值链
• 竞争状况
• 扩大製造能力

第4章 市场预测

• 调查方法
• 全球市场
• 北美
• 欧洲
• 亚太地区

第5章 结论/建议

• 三大要点
• 建议
  • 暖通空调製造商
  • 电力公司
  • 天然气公用事业
  • 监理机构

第6章 首字母缩写词和缩写词列表

第7章 目录

第8章 图表

第9章 研究范围、资料来源/研究方法、註

The market for residential heat pumps in cold climates is expected to grow considerably over the next decade. Technological advances, primarily in inverter-driven compressors and refrigerants, have enabled heat pumps to perform well in cold climates. Despite these advances, the adoption of heat pump technologies in cold climates has remained relatively low, apart from a few countries in Europe and Japan. However, as governments and stakeholder organizations pursue building decarbonization goals as part of broader climate initiatives, many are calling for the use of heat pumps in cold climates as a way to decarbonize heating. These efforts are likely to be the primary driver for heat pump adoption in cold climates over the next 10 years.

Three predominant heat pump technologies are on the market today and suitable for homes in cold climates: air to air heat pumps, air to water heat pumps, and ground-source heat pumps. Recent historical shipment data shows growing adoption of each of these technologies in cold climates in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. While air to air heat pumps have historically been the dominant technology in world markets, air to water heat pumps are becoming more common, particularly in Europe. A few emerging applications of heat pump technology for residential heating in cold climates are also showing growth potential, including hybrid heat pump systems, district heating, and shared geothermal arrays (also known as shared ground-source heat pumps).

This Guidehouse Insights report explores these market trends in detail along with market drivers and barriers specific to cold climates. The forecasts evaluate the estimated shipments and revenue of heat pump technologies in cold climates from 2024 to 2033. They are segmented by region (North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific) and technology type (air to air, air to water, and ground-source heat pumps). The forecasts also provide detailed insights into the unique trends in shipments and revenue growth for each region, including explanations of potential reasons why different technologies appear to be growing faster than others in each region

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Market Issues

• 2.1 Technology Trends for Cold Climates
  • 2.1.1 Variable Speed Inverters
• 2.2 Common Heat Pump Technologies in Cold Climates
• 2.3 Emerging Applications
  • 2.3.1 Hybrid Heat Pump Systems
  • 2.3.2 Heat Pumps and District Heating
  • 2.3.3 Shared Ground-Source Heat Pump System
• 2.4 Market Drivers
  • 2.4.1 Government Policies and Market Transformation Efforts
  • 2.4.2 Fuel Costs and Scarcity
• 2.5 Barriers
  • 2.5.1 Low Natural Gas Prices
  • 2.5.2 Electric Service Upgrades
  • 2.5.3 Insufficient Building Envelopes
  • 2.5.4 Workforce and Customer Education
  • 2.5.5 Emergency Replacements

3. Industry Value Chain

• 3.1 Residential HVAC Value Chain
• 3.2 Competitive Landscape
• 3.3 Growing Manufacturing Capacity

4. Market Forecasts

• 4.1 Methodology
• 4.2 World Markets
• 4.3 North America
• 4.4 Europe
• 4.5 Asia Pacific

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

• 5.1 Three Big Takeaways
• 5.2 Recommendations
  • 5.2.1 HVAC Manufacturers
  • 5.2.2 Electric Utilities
  • 5.2.3 Natural Gas Utilities
  • 5.2.4 Regulators

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7. Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Tables

• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, North America: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, North America: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Europe: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Europe: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033

New Commercially Available Products Designed for Cold-Climate Markets

New Manufacturing Sites for Producing Cold-Climate Heat Pumps

List of Figures

• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Region, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, World Markets: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, North America: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, North America: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Europe: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenues in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Europe: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Shipments in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033
• Heat Pump Revenue in Cold Climates by Technology Type, Asia Pacific: 2024-2033

Air Source Heat Pump Technologies and Configurations

Ground-Source Heat Pump Configurations

Shared Ground-Source Heat Pumps Compared to Individual Systems

Pictorial Representation of the Residential HVAC Value Chain