住宅用HVAC:全球住宅用HVAC市场分析·预测 (2025-2034年)

受节能、永续和气候智慧解决方案需求的推动，全球住宅暖通空调市场预计将在2034年稳步成长。该市场涵盖了用于单户住宅和多户住宅的暖气炉、锅炉、热泵和空调机组等设备，并受区域趋势的影响。目前，由于房间空调的广泛采用和对热泵日益增长的兴趣，亚太地区在收入方面处于领先地位，但预计到2034年，欧洲将在强有力的脱碳政策以及从锅炉到电气化系统的快速转变的推动下超越亚太地区。预计北美的中央空调和热泵市场将保持强劲成长，而拉丁美洲、中东和非洲地区的成长预计将因基础设施和价格限製而放缓。在所有地区，政府激励措施、对室内空气品质的担忧以及对气候适应的需求都在推动市场扩张。

一项重要建议是优先考虑热泵和节能解决方案的创新，以顺应全球脱碳趋势。政策制定者应透过激励措施和更新法规来支持这些技术的采用，而房主可以透过选择高效系统来获得长期成本节约。全球住宅暖通空调市场预计将从2025年的1,389亿美元成长到2034年的1,805亿美元，复合年增长率为3.0%。

本报告研究了全球住宅暖通空调市场，并提供了市场概况、市场推动因素和课题、竞争格局、市场规模趋势和预测、按建筑类型、建筑类型、设备和地区细分，以及对市场参与者的建议。

目录

第1章 摘要整理

• 市场概要
• 推动市场要素与阻碍
• 世界市场概况

第2章 市场趋势

• 促进因素
  • 对能源效率和永续性日益增长的需求
  • 对室内空气品质 (IAQ) 恶化状况及其健康影响的认识
  • 政府政策、法规与激励计划
  • 科技创新、智慧控制与互联家居
  • 都市化、住宅开发与气候适应
• 障碍
  • 高昂的初始成本和投资回收期
  • 基础设施限制和熟练劳动力短缺
  • 监理复杂性与合规成本
  • 供应链波动性与材料限制
  • 消费者认知与认知差距

第3章 产业价值链

• 竞争情形
  • M&A活动
  • 价格

第4章 市场预测

• 调查手法
• 全球市场的预测
  • 各地区
  • 各建设类型
  • 各类型建筑
  • 按设备
• 地区预测
  • 北美
  • 欧洲
  • 亚太地区
  • 南美
  • 中东·非洲

第5章 结论·建议

• 3个大的要点
• 推荐事项
  • 厂商
  • 政策制定者和监管机构
  • 住宅终端用户和业主

第6章 附录

第7章 与缩写简称一览

第8章 目录

第9章 图表

第10章 研究范围、资料来源、方法论及註记

The global residential HVAC market is set for steady growth through 2034, propelled by demand for energy efficient, sustainable, and climate-adaptive solutions. Including equipment such as furnaces, boilers, heat pumps, and air conditioning units for single-family and multifamily homes, the market's trajectory is shaped by regional trends. Asia-Pacific currently leads in revenue, driven by room A/C adoption and rising interest in heat pumps, while Europe is expected to overtake it by 2034 due to strong decarbonization policies and a rapid shift from boilers to electrified systems. North America remains robust for central A/C and heat pumps, and Latin America and the Middle East & Africa are forecast to grow more gradually, limited by infrastructure and affordability. Across all regions, government incentives, awareness of indoor air quality, and climate adaptation needs are accelerating expansion.

In this report, Guidehouse Research analyzes the market using a bottom-up modeling approach, segmenting by region, building type, construction type, and equipment. The report draws on interviews with industry leaders and secondary research, focusing on equipment revenue from 2025 to 2034. It highlights the impact of regulations, innovation, and consumer trends, while addressing barriers such as high upfront costs, supply chain volatility, and skilled labor shortages. The competitive landscape is mapped through profiles of major manufacturers, mergers and acquisitions, and pricing strategies.

Key recommendations include prioritizing innovation in heat pumps and energy efficient solutions to align with global decarbonization trends. Policymakers should support adoption through incentives and modernized codes, while homeowners can benefit from long-term savings by choosing high-efficiency systems. Notably, the global residential HVAC market is projected to grow from US$138.9 billion in 2025 to US$180.5 billion by 2034, a compound annual growth rate of 3.0%.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

• 1.1 Market Overview
• 1.2 Market Drivers and Barriers
• 1.3 Global Market Highlights

2. Market Issues

• 2.1 Introduction
• 2.2 Drivers
  • 2.2.1 Increasing Demand for Energy Efficiency and Sustainability
  • 2.2.2 Awareness of Poor IAQ and Health Impacts
  • 2.2.3 Government Policies, Regulations, and Incentive Programs
  • 2.2.4 Technological Innovation, Smart Controls, and Connected Homes
  • 2.2.5 Urbanization, Housing Development, and Climate Adaptation
• 2.3 Barriers
  • 2.3.1 High Upfront Costs and Payback Periods
  • 2.3.2 Infrastructure Limitations and Skilled Labor Shortages
  • 2.3.3 Regulatory Complexity and Compliance Costs
  • 2.3.4 Supply Chain Volatility and Material Constraints
  • 2.3.5 Consumer Awareness and Perception Gaps

3. Industry Value Chain

• 3.1 Competitive Landscape
  • 3.1.1 M&A Activities
  • 3.1.2 Pricing

4. Market Forecasts

• 4.1 Methodology
• 4.2 Global Market Forecasts
  • 4.2.1 Global Market Forecast by Region
  • 4.2.2 Global Market Forecast by Construction Type
  • 4.2.3 Global Market Forecast by Building Type
  • 4.2.4 Global Market Forecast by Equipment
• 4.3 Regional Forecasts
  • 4.3.1 North America
  • 4.3.2 Europe
  • 4.3.3 Asia-Pacific
  • 4.3.4 Latin America
  • 4.3.5 Middle East & Africa

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

• 5.1 Introduction
• 5.2 Three Big Takeaways
• 5.3 Recommendations
  • 5.3.1 Manufacturers
  • 5.3.2 Policymakers and Regulators
  • 5.3.3 Residential End Users and Property Owners

6. Appendix

7. Acronym and Abbreviation List

8. Table of Contents

9. Table of Charts and Figures

10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Tables

• Table 3-1. Total Market: Competitive Structure
• Table 6-1. Overview of Residential HVAC Equipment

List of Figures

• Chart 1-1. Residential HVAC Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-1. Residential HVAC Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-2. Residential HVAC Revenue by Construction Type, World Markets: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-3. Residential HVAC Revenue by Building Type, World Markets: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-4. Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, World Markets: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-5. Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, North America: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-6 . Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, Europe: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-7 . Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, Asia-Pacific: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-8. Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, Latin America: 2025-2034
• Chart 4-9 . Residential HVAC Revenue by Equipment Type, Middle East & Africa: 2025-2034
• Figure 3-1 Graphic Depiction of the Residential HVAC Market Value Chain