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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1380429
全球合成燃料市场 2023-2030Global Synthetic Fuel Market 2023-2030 |
预计预测期内(2023-2030 年)合成燃料市场将以 22.8% 的CAGR成长。合成燃料,也称为合成燃料,是由氢和碳或碳氢化合物製成的液体或气体燃料。它们是透过捕获工业过程或大气中的碳排放,然后将碳与来自水或生物质等可再生来源的氢结合而生产的。合成燃料的使用方式与化石燃料相同,无需对引擎或基础设施进行任何修改。支持市场成长的主要因素包括日益增长的环境问题和对清洁能源的需求。不断增加的碳足迹促使全球转向电动车(EV)、氢燃料、生物燃料和合成燃料或电子燃料等替代选择。合成燃料是碳中和的,因此是有助于保护环境的绿色步骤。例如,2022 年 12 月,保时捷和几个合作伙伴开始生产气候中立的“电子燃料”,旨在取代传统内燃机车辆中的汽油。
全球合成燃料市场按原料、类型和应用细分。根据原料,市场分为煤炭、天然气和生质能。根据类型,市场分为 CTL、BTL、GTL、页岩油和超重油。根据应用,市场分为交通、航空、发电和工业应用。在这些应用中,由于对合成燃料的需求不断增长,预计航空细分市场将占据相当大的市场份额。根据国际能源总署 (IEA) 的数据,到 2022 年,航空业占全球能源相关二氧化碳排放量的 2%,与铁路、公路或航运业相比,这一增长率更高。此外,在 COVID-19 大流行后,2022 年航空排放量达到近 800 公吨二氧化碳,约为疫情前水准的 80%。为了减少二氧化碳排放,航空业正在关注技术进步和对永续解决方案的投资。例如,2023 年 6 月,艾玛迪斯投资了德国再生能源新创公司 CAPHENIA,该公司将于 2024 年开始利用合成气体生产燃料。
其中,运输细分市场预计将占据显着的市场份额。环境中有害污染物排放量呈指数级增长,推动运输业选择合成燃料。据国际能源总署(IEA)称,由于客运和货运活动反弹,2022年二氧化碳排放量比上年增加3%。交通运输排放量的成长速度比除工业以外的任何其他最终用途部门都要快,从1990 年到2022 年,年均成长率为1.7%。因此,该领域减少二氧化碳排放的政策和法规的出台大幅增加。根据国际货币基金组织 (IMF) 的规定,减少二氧化碳排放的一项高效政策是根据每种燃料的碳含量按比例在化石燃料供应链上游征收碳税(对 CCS 捕获的任何下游排放进行退款) )。该税收制度完全涵盖了后期燃料燃烧可能产生的二氧化碳排放。
此外,市场领导者也透过增加投资和合作来关注技术进步。例如,2023年4月,丰田和埃克森美孚合作开发低碳合成燃料,与一般汽油相比,可减少高达75%的温室气体排放。
Title: Global Synthetic Fuel Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report by Raw Material (Coal, Natural Gas, and Biomass), by Type (Coal-to-Liquid (CTL), Biomass-to-Liquid (BTL), Gas-to-Liquid (GTL), Shale Oil, and Extra-Heavy Oil), and by Application (Transportation, Aviation, Power Generation, and Industrial)Forecast Period (2023-2030).
The synthetic fuel market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 22.8% during the Forecast Period (2023-2030). Synthetic fuels, also known as synfuels, are liquid or gaseous fuels made from hydrogen and carbon, or hydrocarbons. They are produced by capturing carbon emissions from industrial processes or the atmosphere and then combining the carbon with hydrogen from renewable sources such as water or biomass. Synthetic fuels can be used in the same way as fossil fuels, without any modifications to engines or infrastructure. Primary factors supporting the market growth includes the rising environmental concerns and the requirement for cleaner energy sources. The increasing carbon footprint has urged the globe to switch over to alternative options like electric vehicles (EVs), hydrogen fuels, biofuels and synthetic or e-fuels. Synthetic fuels are carbon neutral thus a greener step contributing to saving the environment. For instance, in December 2022, Porsche and several partners have started production of a climate neutral "e-fuel" aimed at replacing gasoline in vehicles with traditional internal combustion engines.
The global synthetic fuel market is segmented by raw material, type, and application. Based on raw materials, the market is sub-segmented into coal, natural gas, and biomass. Based on type, the market is sub-segmented into CTL, BTL, GTL, shale oil, and extra-heavy oil. Based on application, the market is sub-segmented into transportation, aviation, power generation, and industrial applications. Among the applications, aviation sub-segment is anticipated to hold a significant share of the market, owing to the rising demand for synthetic fuel. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), in 2022, aviation was responsible for 2% of all global energy-related CO2 emissions, which is a higher growth rate compared to rail, road, or shipping sectors. Further, post-COVID-19 pandemic, aviation emissions in 2022 reached almost 800 Mt CO2, which is about 80% of pre-pandemic levels. To reduce CO2 emissions, the aviation industry is focusing on technological advancements and investments in sustainable solutions. For instance, in June 2023, Amadeus invested in CAPHENIA, a German renewable energy start-up that will begin producing fuels from synthetic gas by 2024.
Among the types, the transportation sub-segment is anticipated to hold a prominent share of the market. Exponentially rising emission of hazardous pollutants in the environment is the propelling transportation industry to opt for synthetic fuels. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), in 2022, CO2 emissions increased by 3% compared to the previous year, due to the rebound in passenger and cargo transport activity. Transport emissions have grown faster than any other end-use sector except for industry, at an annual average rate of 1.7% from 1990 to 2022. Thus, the segment has witnessed a considerable increase in the introduction of policies and regulations to reduce CO2 emissions. As per the International Monetary Fund (IMF), A highly effective policy for reducing CO2 emissions is a carbon tax applied upstream in the fossil fuel supply chain in proportion to the carbon content of each fuel (with refunds for any downstream capture of emissions by CCS). This tax system fully covers potential releases of CO2 from later fuel combustion.
Additionally, the market leaders are also focusing on technological advancements by increasing investments and collaboration. For instance, in April 2023, Toyota and Exxon Mobil collaborated to develop low-carbon synthetic fuels, which could cut as much as 75 % in greenhouse gas emissions compared with regular petrol.
The global synthetic fuel market is further segmented based on geography including North America (the US, and Canada), Europe (UK, Italy, Spain, Germany, France, and the Rest of Europe), Asia-Pacific (India, China, Japan, South Korea, and Rest of Asia), and the Rest of the World (the Middle East & Africa, and Latin America). Among these, the European region is expected to hold a considerable share of the market owing to the wide presence of end-user industries such as automobile, aviation, and industrial sectors. Additionally, the region has witnessed an implementation of several stringent environmental regulations which in turn is driving the demand for sustainable solutions such as synthetic fuels. For instance, in October 2023, the EU announced the ReFuelEU aviation initiative to reduce carbon footprint, in the aviation sector by providing legal certainty to aircraft operators and fuel suppliers in Europe, ensuring a level playing field across the EU and promoting the production of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF).
Asia Pacific region is the most populated region globally, holding approximately 60% of the global population. With the growing population, the carbon emission rate in the region is also growing significantly due to rapid industrialization, the growing automotive industry, and growing aviation travel among others. To reduce these problems the regional economies are focusing on reducing CO2 emissions by promoting synthetic fuel or sustainable fuel usage, introducing policies and regulations. Also, the region has seen growth in investments and collaboration between companies which help in the growth of the regional synthetic fuel market. For instance, in July 2023, DG Fuels, LLC (DGF), a company that develops facilities to produce sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), closed investment deals with two Japanese companies. With the investments from Aviner & co., inc., Chishima Real Estate Co., Ltd., and an unnamed investor, DGF has now exceeded its minimum investment goal for its final round of parent-level development capital. This capital will be used to fund the remaining expenses needed to reach the final investment decision (FID), including the ongoing FEL 3 and related expenses. Also, in April 2022, Japan's government-backed New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) allocated $892 million to help develop new fuels, such as synthetic fuels, that emit less carbon dioxide (CO2). This financial aid is part of the country's $15.6 billion green innovation fund, which was established to promote the development of cleaner energy and technology to help Japan, the world's fifth-largest CO2 emitter, achieve carbon neutrality by 2050.
The major companies serving the global synthetic fuel market are: Red Rock Biofuels, SG Preston Company, Sunfire GmbH, Raven SR, Inc., and Carbon Engineering Ltd. among others. The market players are collaborating and focusing on research and development to stay competitive. For instance, in July 2023, GAIL, and LanzaTech partnered to Explore Bio recycling Carbon Waste into Fuels and Chemicals. Under this partnership, GAIL and LanzaTech will explore setting up a pilot-scale CO2 capture and conversion project and explore opportunities in sustainable fuels such as synthetic fuel.