市场调查报告书
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全球地热设备市场:到 2028 年的预测——按工厂类型、产品类型、阶段、应用、最终用户和地区分析Geothermal Power Equipment Market Forecasts to 2028 - Global Analysis By Plant Type, Product, Type, Phase, Application, End User and Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC,2022年全球地热发电设备市场规模为250.9亿美元,预测期内復合年增长率为7.51%,2028年达到387.4亿美元.
地热能是地球核心释放的能量。 如果利用得当,这种能源可以替代化石燃料。 可以通过在地壳中钻井来利用能源,而热能可以用来发电。 安装地热发电厂的初始阶段可能非常耗时,需要进行多次勘测和钻井作业以确定井的容量。 然而,一旦初始阶段结束,建设地热发电厂的公司就会有很多优势。 以政府援助、税收减免和补贴的形式,它可以大大提高项目的可行性,并为企业提供近乎无限的发电燃料供应。 但这取决于井的位置。
根据国际地热协会 (IGA) 的数据,正在进行和计划中的发电能力约为 15,000 兆瓦。 根据能源信息署 (EIA) 的数据,到 2020 年,加利福尼亚州将占全国蒸汽发电能力的 91%,而 65% 的二元循环将在内华达州。
市场动态
驱动程序
增加对可再生能源发电的投资
世界各地不断扩大的环境保护法规迫使电力行业选择更清洁、更环保的能源。 为了减少对使用化石燃料的传统电力的依赖,世界主要经济体正在开发可再生能源。 发电市场有望从中受益。 增加对太阳能、风能、生物质能和地热能的投资正在减少我们对煤炭等化石燃料的依赖。 地热能是最重要的可再生能源之一。 与传统能源相比,它具有许多优点。 地热是在不燃烧化石燃料的情况下从地球中提取的。 地热发电厂不排放任何气体。 与太阳能、风能和生物质能等可再生能源相比,地热能也有许多优势。 它是一种高度可靠的能源,可以全年使用,无需依赖太阳能或风能。 因此,地热发电得到了大多数国家的大量投资。 因此,地热发电设备市场有望增长。
抑製剂
替代能源选择
地热能有许多家庭、商业和工业用途,但其获取和可用性是无与伦比的。 在分布方面,它只在某些地区可用,因为能量集中在某些地方。 地热能被认为是最全面的资源,因为从钻探到发电厂建设需要大量资金。 由于生产成本较低,太阳能、陆上风电和海上风电等其他可再生能源的价格仍然较低。 因此,从长远来看,其他可再生能源预计会降低地热能的市场份额。
机会
政府加大对地热发电的投入和政策
在过去几年中,我们在减少对煤炭和其他化石燃料的依赖方面取得了显着进展。 许多地热能项目正在开发中。 他们中的大多数处于不同的发展阶段,并将在未来几年开始稳步加入全球能源结构。 许多国家,包括美国、日本和欧盟国家,已经实施了专门针对地热发电设施的重要能源法规。 其中包括资本补贴、净计量、税收抵免和上网电价。 欧盟的深层地热实施工作组遵循 SET 计划的目标,将欧洲打造为低碳能源领域的先驱。 在国家能源政策下,印尼政府拟建设一座当量7200兆瓦的地热发电厂,加快地热能利用。 由于许多国家提出的激励措施和具体的可再生能源目标,预计地热能源部门在预测期内将出现显着增长。 因此,对地热能设备的需求也有望增加。
威胁
高成本结构
由于地热发电厂的安装需要“设备密集型”程序,因此与风能和太阳能等其他可再生能源相比,其建设和开发成本将继续昂贵。预计。 地热发电厂的建设需要大量的前期投资,这阻碍了印度的市场扩张。 勘探和钻探深海资源非常昂贵。 地热发电厂建造成本高昂,但发电量低于天然气发电厂,对全球变暖和空气污染的影响也小得多。 儘管可能会产生一些气体,包括甲烷和砷,但与化石燃料发电厂的排放相比,典型的地热发电厂排放量可以忽略不计。
COVID-19 的影响
在过去的几个月里,世界上大多数部门都受到了不利影响。 这可能是由于世界各地政府机构实施的各种预防性封锁和其他限制措施,已对其各自的生产和供应链运营造成严重破坏。 地热发电设备市场也是如此。 此外,随着经济形势的恶化,人们越来越倾向于减少不必要和非紧急的支出,消费需求正在下降。 在预测期内,上述因素预计将对地热发电设备市场的收入轨迹产生负面影响。 然而,随着市政当局开始解除强制关闭,全球地热发电设备市场有望復苏。
二元发电厂部分预计在预测期内将成为最大的部分
由于与其他地热发电厂相比,二元发电厂具有卓越的性能和低成本优势,预计将实现利润丰厚的增长。 在二元循环地热发电厂中,异丁烯由通过热交换器从地热储层泵出的水加热。 在二元循环中,蒸汽和水库永远不会与涡轮机直接接触。 地球上的大多数地热区温度适中(低于 400°F)。 地热能可以从其温和的温度中提取出来,最适合二元循环发电。 因此,与其他地热类型相比,二元循环地热发电设施的装机容量是压倒性的。 由于产能持续增加,从长远来看,二元循环可能会继续主导地热发电行业。
预计园艺行业在预测期内的复合年增长率最高
在预测期内,园艺行业预计将呈现最快的复合年增长率。 园艺通过能源消耗和温室气体排放导致全球变暖。 农业中的各种过程都可以由地热能提供动力。 地热能最有潜力的用途之一是园艺,波兰具备扩大地热在该行业的利用的先决条件。 园艺及相关产业是地热能的重要应用。 用于园艺的地热能,即使是小规模的,也可以极大地改善粮食和营养安全,创造资金,创造就业机会并促进贫穷国家的经济增长。 .
市场份额最高的地区
由于新兴经济体不断扩大製造业、工业化和城市化进程,预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。 可再生能源日益重要也推动了地热设备市场。 印度尼西亚的 Sarulla 地热发电厂(330 兆瓦装机容量)已经投入使用,标誌着该国在向可再生能源转型的努力中又迈出了重要一步。 该项目是世界上最大的单一合同地热发电厂,预计将为大约 100 万印度尼西亚家庭供电。
复合年增长率最高的地区
预计北美的复合年增长率最高,因为加利福尼亚、内华达、犹他、阿拉斯加和夏威夷的地热发电装机容量最高。 加州目前有 43 座地热发电厂在运营,总装机容量为 2,730 兆瓦。 加州安装的可再生能源工厂比美国任何其他州都多,有 22,250 兆瓦的公用事业规模系统在运行。 根据密歇根大学的数据,美国的地热发电量预计将从 2017 年的 159.8 亿千瓦时增长到 295.5 亿千瓦时。
主要发展
2022年6月,多米尼克地热开发公司宣布,将在多米尼克罗索谷劳达特村开发规划装机容量10MW的地热发电项目。 发电厂的建设预计将在一年内开始,并在一年半内完成。
2021 年 5 月,Ormat Technologies, Inc. 与 TG Geothermal Portfolio, LLC 签署协议,收购内华达州的两项合同地热资产(总发电量为 67.5 兆瓦(净)),其中一项宣布收购协议相邻的绿地开发资产和一条閒置输电线路。
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According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Geothermal Power Equipment Market is accounted for $25.09 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $38.74 billion by 2028 growing at a CAGR of 7.51% during the forecast period. Geothermal energy is the energy that the earth's core releases. The energy can be used in place of fossil fuels if it is adequately harnessed. By drilling wells into the earth's crust, the energy may be used, and power can then be produced using the heat energy released. The earliest stages of installing a geothermal plant could take some time because they entail multiple studies and drilling operations to determine the well's capacity. But once the initial steps are through, there are many of advantages for the businesses building a geothermal facility. Benefits in the form of government assistance, tax breaks, subsidies, etc. would greatly increase the project's viability and give the corporation an almost limitless supply of fuel for power generation. But it would all depend on where the well was located.
According to the International Geothermal Association (IGA), there is ongoing and planned development of about 15,000 MW of power generation capacity. According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), as of 2020, California has 91% of the country's steam-powered capacity, and 65% of binary-cycle capacity is found in Nevada.
Market Dynamics:
Driver:
Rise in investments in renewable energy generation
The power production industry is being encouraged to choose cleaner and more environmentally friendly energy sources by the expansion of environmental protection rules around the world. To lessen their reliance on conventional power, which uses fossil fuels, major economies around the world are developing renewable energy sources. The power generation market is anticipated to benefit from this. The increased investment in solar, wind, biomass, and geothermal energy is reducing the world's reliance on coal and other fossil fuels. A significant source of renewable energy is geothermal energy. Compared to traditional energy sources, it offers a number of benefits. Without burning fossil fuels, geothermal energy is drawn from the earth. There are no emissions from geothermal fields. Comparing geothermal energy to other renewable sources like solar, wind, and biomass, it also has a number of advantages. It is a very reliable source of energy that is available all year round and is not reliant on the sun or wind. As a result, geothermal energy is receiving major investment from most nations. The market for geothermal power equipment is consequently anticipated to grow.
Restraint:
Alternative renewables options
Although there are many household, commercial, and industrial applications for geothermal energy, the accessibility and availability are not on par. Regarding distribution, the energy is contained in particular places and is only available within a specified geographic area. Due to the significant financial needs from drilling through plant construction, geothermal energy is also regarded as one of the most comprehensive sources. Due to the low cost of production, other renewable energy sources including solar photovoltaics, onshore wind, and offshore wind power still have lower costs. Therefore, over the long term, other renewable sources are predicted to reduce the market share of geothermal energy.
Opportunity:
Rising government initiatives and policies regarding
Over the past few years, there has been a noticeable increase in the focus on lowering the world's reliance on coal and other fossil fuels. There are numerous new geothermal energy projects being developed. The majority of them are in various stages of development and will begin steadily adding to the world's energy mix in the next years. A number of nations, including the U.S., Japan, and nations in the European Union, have implemented significant energy regulations that are explicitly targeted towards geothermal facilities. These include capital subsidies, net metering, tax credits, and feed-in tariffs. The European Union's DG working group (Implementation Working Group for Deep Geothermal) is following the SET Plan's objectives of establishing Europe as a pioneer in the field of low-carbon energy. The Indonesian government intends to build 7200 MW worth of geothermal power plants and speed up the utilisation of geothermal energy under its National Energy Policy. The geothermal energy sector is anticipated to experience a significant increase during the projection period as a result of suggested incentives and specific renewable energy targets for a number of nations. In turn, this raises the demand for geothermal energy equipment.
Threat:
High cost association
Since installing geothermal power plants requires "equipment-intensive procedures," their construction and development costs are predicted to remain expensive in the years to come compared to other renewable sources like wind and solar. The building of a geothermal power plant requires a significant upfront investment, which is impeding market expansion in India. Deep-water resource prospecting and drilling are exceedingly expensive. Although the construction of geothermal power stations is highly expensive, the electricity they produce is less expensive and has a considerably lower impact on global warming and air pollution than natural gas generation. Although there is a little possibility of releasing gases like methane and compounds containing arsenic, typical geothermal plant emissions are negligible in comparison to those from fossil fuel plants.
COVID-19 Impact
Over the past few months, the majority of sectors in the world have experienced unfavourable effects. This can be ascribed to the enormous disruptions that various precautionary lockdowns and other limitations that were imposed by governing agencies around the world caused in their respective production and supply-chain operations. The same holds true for the market for geothermal power equipment globally. Additionally, consumer demand has now decreased as people have been more intent on cutting down non-essential expenses from their individual budgets as the general economic condition of the majority of people has been adversely impacted by this outbreak. Over the course of the forecast period, the aforementioned factors are anticipated to have a negative impact on the revenue trajectory of the global geothermal power equipment market. However, the global Geothermal Power Equipment market is anticipated to recover in line with this as respective governing bodies start to lift these enforced lockdowns.
The binary cycle power plants segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The binary cycle power plants segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to superior performance and lowest cost advantages over other geothermal varieties. In a binary cycle geothermal power plant, isobutene is heated by the water that is pumped from the geothermal reservoir through a heat exchanger. In the binary cycle, reservoirs of steam or water are never in direct contact with the turbines. Most geothermal regions on the planet have mild temperatures (below 400°F). The geothermal energy that can be extracted from moderate temperatures is best suited for binary cycle power plants. Therefore, compared to other geothermal types, the installed capacity of binary cycle geothermal facilities is significantly higher. The binary cycle will continue to dominate the geothermal power industry in the long run thanks to constant capacity increase.
The horticulture segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The horticulture segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period. Horticulture contributes to global warming by both consuming energy and emitting greenhouse gases. Different processes in agriculture can be powered by geothermal energy. One of the most potential uses for geothermal energy is horticulture, and Poland possesses the prerequisites for expanding geothermal use in this industry. Horticulture and associated industries are significant geothermal energy application areas. Even on a modest scale, geothermal energy for horticulture can greatly improve food and nutrition security, generate money, create jobs, and promote economic growth in impoverished nations.
Region with highest share:
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the region's developing economies' expanding manufacturing sectors, as well as its quickening industrialization and urbanisation. Additionally, the market for geothermal power equipment was driven by the growing importance of renewable energy. With a 330 MV installed capacity, the Sarulla geothermal power plant in Indonesia has begun operating, marking another significant step in the country's efforts to transition to a more renewable energy future. The largest single-contract geothermal power plant in the world will use this project to power approximately million Indonesian homes.
Region with highest CAGR:
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the most installed geothermal power producing capacity was found in the American states of California, Nevada, Utah, Alaska, and Hawaii. California currently has 43 geothermal power facilities operating with a combined total capacity of 2,730 MW. California has more renewable energy plants installed than any other U.S. state, and there are 22,250 MW of utility-scale systems operating there. According to the University of Michigan, the amount of electricity produced by geothermal power plants in the United States is expected to rise from 15.98 billion kWh in 2017 to 29.55 billion kWh.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Geothermal Power Equipment Market include Fuji Electric Co. Ltd, Loki Geothermal, Ormat Technologies Inc., Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd, General Electric, Ergil, Chevron Corporation, Toshiba Corporation, Boreal Geothermal, Ansaldo Energia S.p.A, Turboden S.p.A, TAS Energy Inc., Alstom, Holtec International, Edge Energy Ltd, Energy Venture Partners, Gulf Coast Green Energy and Dominica Geothermal Development Company.
Key Developments:
In June 2022, Dominica Geothermal Development Company announced the development of a geothermal project in the village of Laudat in Roseau Valley, Dominica with a planned capacity of 10 MW. Construction of the power plant is planned to start within a year and is expected to complete in 18 months.
In May 2021, Ormat Technologies, Inc. announced an agreement with TG Geothermal Portfolio, LLC to acquire two contracted geothermal assets in Nevada with a total net generating capacity of 67.5 MW (net), a greenfield development asset adjacent to one of the plants, and an underutilized transmission-line.
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