市场调查报告书
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全球碳纤维市场:到 2028 年的预测 - 按类型、形状、原材料、丝束、最终用户和地区分析Carbon Fiber Market Forecasts to 2028 - Global Analysis By Type, Form, Raw Material, Tow, End User and Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2022 年全球碳纤维市场规模将达到 27.2 亿美元,2028 年将达到 45.1 亿美元,预测期内復合年增长率为 8.8%。
碳纤维是高强度、轻质、高刚性、导电性、耐腐蚀性和耐热性优异的材料之一。 由于航空航天和国防、汽车和风能行业对减重的需求不断增加,以及减少二氧化碳排放的努力,市场正在扩大。 然而,新兴国家市场的扩张也是建筑业扩张的一个因素。 这是因为混凝土、钢材、木材、砖石等普遍采用碳纤维加固和加固。 此外,在消费电子行业,碳纤维复合材料的使用正在扩大,目的是使产品更轻、更薄、改善质感,这有望刺激市场扩张。
根据国际健康、球拍和运动俱乐部协会(IHRSA)2019年发布的报告,2018年全球健身行业总收入为940亿美元。
市场动态
驱动程序
碳纤维在运动和健身行业的使用增加
由于碳纤维强度高、重量轻,因此经常用于体育用品的生产。 碳纤维用于製造各种体育用品,例如网球拍、桨、匹克球桨、射箭、曲棍球棒、钓鱼竿、棒球棒和自行车。 在创建非常具体的应用程序时,碳纤维提供了设计灵活性。 该设备的精确几何形状对其性能至关重要,使用碳纤维复合材料可以轻鬆实现。 高尔夫球手和自行车手正受益于碳纤维性能的提高。 网球拍是碳纤维最专门用于运动器材的地方。 因此,上述因素正在推动各种体育用品中碳纤维的市场。
限制
产品成本高
碳复合材料因其高性能和轻质特性而经常用于风能、石油和天然气、建筑、航空航天和汽车行业。 但是,这种产品比金属贵。 许多行业采用碳复合材料的主要障碍是产品的价格。 CF原料前驱体的产量和价格直接影响其价格。 目前,PAN基碳纤维的转化效率仅为50%,非航空级材料平均21.5美元/公斤。
机会
清洁能源需求增加
碳纤维市场深受风电行业的影响。 随着化石燃料的枯竭,世界正在承认从可再生资源中产生能源。 碳纤维经常用于涡轮机叶片,从而使风力涡轮机的空气动力学效率更高、更轻、更长、更硬并且通常具有较低水平的能源成本 (LCOE)。 风能领域的发展将增加碳纤维的使用。 由于世界各国政府对环境问题的高度重视,增加对风能的投资将有利于市场的扩大。
威胁
替代品的可用性
碳纤维价格偏高是扩大市场的关键问题。 由于价格昂贵,这些复合材料并未得到广泛应用,寻找低成本技术是製造商面临的最大挑战。 在汽车工业中,只有豪华和昂贵的汽车使用碳纤维复合材料。 此外,使用玻璃纤维、铝、铜、玄武岩纤维、天然纤维等的碳纤维替代复合材料也极大地阻碍了市场发展。 这些替代材料更可靠、更经济,并且具有相似的最终用途。
COVID-19 的影响
碳纤维行业的发展受到 COVID-19 疫情的阻碍。 尤其是建筑、航空航天和其他行业都遭受了生产中断。 封锁和监管,尤其是在 2020 年,对供应炼和运营控制产生了负面影响。 世界大部分地区的汽车开发和销售突然停止。 2020 年,重要的最终用户航空航天和国防部门受到 COVID-19 的重创。 随着对商品的需求减少,关键行业的生产商将需要更少的碳纤维。
基于麵包的细分市场预计将在预测期内成为最大的细分市场
由于以下原因,麵包基料市场预计将实现有利可图的增长。 PAN基构件具有低密度、高强度、高模量、耐高温、耐磨、耐腐蚀、耐疲劳、耐历史性、导电、导热、耐远红外辐射等诸多优点。 利用这些特性,PAN被用于航空航天、汽车、风力发电、阻燃服装、体育用品等各个领域。 因此,这些最终使用领域的扩大有助于市场扩张。
风力涡轮机行业有望在预测期内实现最高复合年增长率
预计风力涡轮机部分在预测期内将呈现最快的复合年增长率。 碳纤维在陆上和海上结构中用作结构翼梁或超过 45m 的叶片部件。 碳纤维的低密度和高刚度使叶片製造商能够製造出更薄、更轻和更硬的叶片轮廓。 对海上风电场、更长的叶片和更大的风力涡轮机的需求不断增加,预计将推动风能领域对碳纤维的需求。 汽车和风力涡轮机加起来占碳纤维需求的一半以上,这使得这两个应用更加重要。
市场份额最高的地区
由于重要的国防设备製造商和空中客车等主要飞机製造商的集中,预计在预测期内北美将占据最大的市场份额。 北美汽车行业专注于生产轻型、高性能汽车,推动了该地区的市场发展。
复合年增长率最高的地区
由于其成熟的汽车、航空航天、国防和风能行业,预计欧洲在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。 BMW、mercedes-benz、FIAT和Ferrari等公司正在推动製造更轻、更省油和排放更低的汽车,这将直接增加它们对碳纤维的使用。 可支配收入的增加和全球化增加了对商用飞机的需求,这反过来又增加了对航空航天业的需求。 欧洲拥有大量的海上风电场,尤其是在英国和德国。
主要发展
2022 年 7 月,Hexel与Dassault签署长期协议,为猎鹰 10X 项目供应碳纤维预浸料。 这是Dassault公务机项目中第一个将高性能先进碳纤维复合材料用于机翼製造的项目。
2022 年 4 月,Hexel 和 Archer Aviation 签订了一份意向书,其中涵盖了为 Archer 量产飞机生产所用的高性能碳纤维材料的供应拟议关係。
TEIJIN与日本再生碳纤维製造商 Fuji Design 合作,开展一项业务,生产、供应和商业化采用低环境影响工艺由再生碳纤维製成的碳纤维增强塑料产品。2022 年 2 月宣布.
2020 年 8 月,Hexcel Corp. 宣布推出 HexPEKK Materials,这是一种导电的高性能 PEKK 基热塑性碳纤维复合材料,是商业航空航天和国防 3D 打印部件的理想选择。 此次新品发布将进一步扩大 Hexcel 的产品范围并推动碳纤维市场的增长。
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According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Carbon Fiber Market is accounted for $2.72 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $4.51 billion by 2028 growing at a CAGR of 8.8% during the forecast period. Carbon fibre is one of the most corrosion- and heat-resistant materials because of its high strength, low weight, high stiffness, and electrical conductivity. The market is expanding as a result of rising demand for lightweight products from the aerospace and defence, automotive, and wind energy industries as well as efforts to reduce carbon emissions. However, the market expansion in the emerging nation is also being driven by the expanding building and construction industry. As concrete, steel, wood, and masonry are typically strengthened and reinforced with carbon fibre. Additionally, the consumer electronics industry's growing use of carbon fibre composites to make its products lighter, thinner, and more textured is predicted to fuel market expansion.
According to International Health, Racquet & Sports club Association (IHRSA) report released in 2019, the global fitness industry total revenue was $94 billion in 2018.
Market Dynamics:
Driver:
Increasing use of carbon fiber in Sports & Fitness Industry
Carbon fibres are frequently employed in the production of sporting goods because of their great strength and low weight. Carbon fibre is used to make a variety of sports equipment, including tennis racquets, oars, pickle ball paddles, archery, hockey sticks, fishing rods, baseball bats, and bicycles. When creating extremely specialised applications, carbon fibres offer design flexibility. Equipment's precise shape is essential to its performance and is easily achievable with carbon fibre composites. Golfers and cyclists benefit from the improved performance of carbon fibre. The tennis racket is where carbon fibre is used in sports equipment most specifically. Therefore, the aforementioned elements are fueling the market for carbon fibre in a variety of athletic goods.
Restraint:
High Cost of Products
Due to its high performance and lightweight characteristics, carbon composites are frequently utilised in the wind energy, oil & gas, construction, aerospace, and automotive industries. However, the product is more expensive than metal. A significant barrier preventing the widespread use of carbon composites in many industries is the product's price. The yield and price of the precursor used to make CF have a direct impact on its price. Currently, PAN-based carbon fibres have a conversion efficiency of just 50% and cost an average of USD 21.5 per kg for non-aerospace grade materials.
Opportunity:
Increase in demand from Clean Energy Sector
The market for carbon fibre is significantly influenced by the wind energy industry. The world is now acknowledging the creation of energy from renewable resources due to the depletion of fossil fuels. Turbine blades are frequently made of carbon fibre, which results in more aerodynamically efficient, lighter, longer, stiffer, and generally more efficient wind turbines that have lower Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE). The utilisation of carbon fibre will rise as a result of developments in the wind energy field. An increase in wind energy investment is beneficial for the market's expansion because the global government is putting more emphasis on environmental issues.
Threat:
Availability of substitutes
The high price of carbon fibre is a significant issue with the expansion of the market. Due to their high price, these composites are not widely used, and for the manufacturer, finding low-cost technologies is their biggest issue. Only luxurious and expensive cars in the automotive industry use carbon fibre composites. Furthermore, the development of the market is seriously hindered by alternative composites of carbon fibres made of glass fibre, aluminium, copper, basalt fibre, and natural fibre. Since these alternatives are reliable & economical and have comparable end-use applications.
COVID-19 Impact
The development of the carbon fibre sector has been hampered by the COVID-19 epidemic. Construction, aerospace, and other industries, among others, have all experienced disruptions in output. Lockdowns and restrictions, particularly in 2020, had a negative impact on supply chain and operational management. In most regions of the world, the development and marketing of automobiles had abruptly stopped. Due to COVID-19, the aerospace and defence sector, a significant end-user of the product, suffered greatly in 2020. Since there is less demand for commodities, producers in important industries need fewer carbon fibres.
The pan-based segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The pan-based segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to The PAN-based component has a number of advantages, including low density, high strength, high modulus, high temperature resistance, wear resistance, corrosion resistance, fatigue resistance, creepage resistance, electric conduction, heat conduction, and far-infrared radiation resistance. These characteristics of PAN make it appropriate for usage in a variety of end-use industries, including the aerospace and aviation, automotive, wind energy, anti-flame clothing & materials, and sports equipment. As a result, the expansion of these end-use sectors contributes to market expansion.
The wind turbines segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The wind turbines segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period. Carbon fibres are employed in both onshore and offshore structures as a structural spar or component of blades longer than 45 metres. Carbon fiber's lower density and rigidity enable blade makers to create slimmer, lighter, and stiffer blade profiles. The demand for carbon fibre in the wind energy sector is anticipated to be driven by an increase in offshore wind power installations together with a growing demand for longer blades and larger wind turbines. Together, automotive and wind turbines account for more than half of the demand for carbon fibre, making them two additional significant applications.
Region with highest share:
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the area is distinguished by a dense concentration of important defence instrument manufacturers and major aircraft manufacturers like Airbus. North American auto industry behemoths place a strong emphasis on producing lightweight, high-performance vehicles, thus boosting the market in the region.
Region with highest CAGR:
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the automobile, aerospace, defence, and wind energy industries are well-established. Companies like BMW, Mercedes, Fiat, and Ferrari, among others, are putting an emphasis on creating lightweight, fuel-efficient, low-emission vehicles, which will directly increase the usage of carbon fibre. Due to increased disposable income and globalisation, there is a rising need for commercial aviation, which in turn is driving up demand for aerospace. In Europe, particularly in the United Kingdom and Germany, there are numerous offshore wind energy facilities.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Carbon Fiber Market include Hyosung Advanced Materials, Hexcel Corporation, SGL Carbon, Nippon Steel Chemical & Material Co., Ltd., Mitsubishi Chemical Carbon Fiber and Composites, Inc., Toray Industries Inc., Formosa Plastics Corp, Teijin Carbon, Cytec Solvay Group, DowAksa, Nippon Graphite Fiber Corporation, Solvay, Carbon Mods, Taekwang Industrial Co., Ltd and Toho Tenax.
Key Developments:
In July 2022, Hexcel signed a long-term agreement with Dassault to supply carbon fiber prepreg for the Falcon 10X program. This is the first Dassault business jet program to incorporate high-performance advanced carbon fiber composites in manufacturing its aircraft wings.
In April 2022, Hexcel and Archer Aviation Inc. entered into a letter of intent covering a proposed relationship for supplying high-performance carbon fiber material that would be used to manufacture Archer's production aircraft.
In February 2022, Teijin Limited announced to form a partnership with the Japan-based recycled carbon fibers manufacturer Fuji Design Co. Ltd to establish a business for producing, supplying, and commercializing carbon fiber reinforced plastic products derived from recycled carbon fibers using carbon fiber with a low environmental impact process.
In August 2020, Hexcel Corp. announced the launch of HexPEKK material, an electrically conductive, high-performance, PEKK-based thermoplastic carbon fiber composite, which is ideal for 3D-priting components for commercial aerospace, and Defense. This new launch will further expand Hexcel offering, and will drive the carbon fiber markets growth.
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Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.