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到 2028 年的磷及其衍生物市场预测 - 按类型、应用、最终用户和地区分类的全球分析Phosphorus and Derivatives Market Forecasts to 2028 - Global Analysis By Type, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2022 年全球磷及其衍生物市场规模将达到 689.7 亿美元,预计 2028 年将达到 972.8 亿美元,预测期内復合年均增长率为 5.9%。
由于肥料、洗涤剂、食品工业、水处理化学品、金属表面处理和无卤阻燃剂等行业的需求增加,该行业正在迅速扩张。对三溴化磷、五氯化磷、三磷酸腺甘、磷酸铵、精製磷酸等磷及其衍生物的需求,对更多水的处理需求,以及无卤阻燃剂(HFFR)的开发□随着使用和生物燃料的传播。
根据国际能源署 (IEA) 2012 年的数据,它们将占到 2019 年全球电动汽车保有量的三分之一左右。中国(占全球销售额的 40%)和欧洲仍然是两个最重要的市场 (36%)。2019 年,插电式混合动力汽车占欧洲销售的所有电动汽车的 36%,在中国占 21%。
扩大磷及其衍生物的应用
随着肥料、洗涤剂、食品工业、水处理化学品、金属表面处理和无卤阻燃剂等行业需求的增加,业务正在迅速增长。对三溴化磷、五氯化磷、三磷酸腺甘、磷酸铵和纯化磷酸等磷及其衍生物的需求在很大程度上是由水处理需求驱动的。单质磷是烟花和光枪等许多烟火製品的成分。在冶金工业中,还用于製造工业用油、农药和磷黄铜等金属合金。磷酸作为磷化剂用于清洁金属,也用作某些饮料的成分。因此,预计在预期期间,多种用途的增长速度将快于预期。
严格监管
磷酸盐是高腐蚀性洗涤剂中使用最广泛的成分,可软化硬水并悬浮水中杂质。当洗涤剂浓度足够高时,可能对所有类型的水生生物都有害。可生物降解的清洁剂会破坏保护鱼免受细菌和寄生虫侵害的外粘液层,并严重损害鱼鳃。磷酸盐对天然水体的另一个影响是富营养化。富营养化被环境保护署 (EPA) 列为美国地表水质量差的主要问题。
铅酸蓄电池需求快速增长
铅酸电池因其低成本、成熟的技术和高回收效率而成为储能和混合动力电动汽车 (HEV) 应用的热门选择。然而,由于在负极板上形成不可逆的硬硫酸盐,标准阀式铅酸电池 (VRLA) 在高倍率部分充电 (HRPSoC) 条件下的循环寿命较短。磷掺杂活性炭(P-AC)用于解决这个问题。在商用铅酸电池电解液 5M H2SO4 中添加少量磷酸对电池的反应性具有多种积极影响。因此,随着混合动力汽车的生产和销售,对铅酸电池的需求越来越大,引领这一领域。
磷衍生物的有害影响
磷对农业发展具有明显的优势,但如果离开现场就会造成污染。一个关键问题是磷从土壤中输送到溪流、河流、湖泊,最终进入海洋。磷从农业土壤中迁移会导致藻类大量繁殖和富营养化,这是一种降低溶解氧水平的养分富集过程。此外,磷酸盐过量可能是危险的。腹泻、器官和软组织僵硬以及腹泻都可能是由于摄入过多这种矿物质所致。身体利用其他矿物质(包括铁、钙、镁和锌)的能力可能会因缺磷而受到阻碍。
COVID-19 疫情导致化肥市场放缓。物流问题、生产停工或减产以及人员短缺限制了农作物製造商获得化肥的机会,对该行业产生了影响。许多政府也发布了紧急警报,以确保疫情期间农产品的运输和运输。磷肥企业在停工状态下復工困难重重。这种较低的利用率使产量同比减少了 30% 至 40%。
磷酸铵部分预计将在预测期内成为最大的部分
估计磷酸铵行业将有良好的增长。磷酸铵已被广泛应用。其中之一是它包含在许多市售烘焙食品中。它还极易溶于水,溶解迅速,因此被用作高效肥料。矿物质对植物的健康生长至关重要。磷酸铵肥料还通过添加氮来促进植物的进一步生长和根係发育,从而帮助植物周围的土壤。由于其高溶解性,它可以快速释放到土壤中,这对幼苗和需要復苏的植物来说是有利的。
预计农业部门在预测期内復合年增长率最高
在预测期内,农业部门预计将以最快的复合年增长率增长。所有植物都需要足量的磷才能有效餵养。这种养分可由三溴化磷、五氯化磷、三磷酸腺甘、磷酸铵和纯磷酸提供。磷 (P) 是高产农业所必需的,也是植物所必需的。它不仅对种子生产必不可少,而且还强烈促进根系生长,加速植物成熟(减少谷物成熟所需的时间),增强茎干,抵抗导致根腐病的疾病,并对抗冬枯病。它具有多种抗性等影响因此,缺磷会导致农作物产量下降。农业部门对磷及其衍生物的需求正在增加,因为磷对于农作物的正常生产非常必要。
由于农业发展和肥料需求增加,预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。据澳大利亚政府农业、水利和环境部称,该国的农业、渔业和林业生产总体上呈增长趋势。没有更多的土地可用于生产棕榈油,因此国家产量的任何增加都必须来自产量和生产力的提高。随着农作物产量的增加,肥料需求预计会随着时间的推移而增加,从而增加该地区对磷酸盐和衍生物的需求。
由于发展中国家对无卤阻燃剂的强劲需求以及研发支出的增加,预计亚太地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。该地区电气和电子行业的扩张推动了对无卤阻燃剂的需求。由于人口增长导致农业产量增加,亚洲已成为磷及其衍生物的最大市场。预计亚洲磷酸铵的高产量和消费量将推动市场扩张。
磷及其衍生物市场的主要参与者包括 OCP SA、Akron OAO、CF Industries Holdings Inc、Agrium Inc、Yara International ASA、Mosaic Co. Innophos Holdings Inc、Lanxess AG、Eurochem、Israel Chemical Company、United Phosphorus Limited、Nutrien、Innophos , Bayer AG Solvay, Merck KGaA and Xuzhou Jianping Chemical Co.Ltd.
2020 年 11 月,AgroLiquid 在其作物营养组合中推出了一种液态磷产品 springuP。这种立即释放的产品很容易获得,可以帮助种植者让他们的作物有一个良好的开端。
2018年2月,LANXESS完成了对Solvay位于南卡罗来纳州查尔斯顿美国生产基地的磷化工业务的收购。此次收购将为集团的两家公司提供扩大其在北美和亚洲业务的机会。
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According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Phosphorus and Derivatives Market is accounted for $68.97 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $97.28 billion by 2028 growing at a CAGR of 5.9% during the forecast period. The industry is expanding quickly as a result of increased demand from sectors like fertilisers, detergents, the food industry, water treatment chemicals, metal finishing, and flame retardants without halogens. The demand for phosphorus and its derivatives, such as phosphorus tribromide, phosphorus pent chloride, adenosine triphosphate, ammonium phosphate, and purified phosphoric acid, is rising as more water needs to be treated, halogen-free flame retardants (HFFR) are developed and used, and biofuels are increasingly popular.
According to, in 2012 the International Energy Agency (IEA), and by 2019 they accounted for around one-third of the worldwide electric vehicle stock. China (40 percent of global sales) and Europe remain the two most important markets (36 percent). In 2019, plug-in hybrids accounted for 36% of all-electric vehicles sold in Europe and 21% in China.
Increased applications of phosphorus and derivatives
The rising demand from industries like fertilisers, detergents, the food industry, water treatment chemicals, metal finishing, and flame retardants without halogens, the business is growing swiftly. The demand for phosphorus and its derivatives, such as phosphorus tribromide, phosphorus pent chloride, adenosine triphosphate, ammonium phosphate, and refined phosphoric acid, is mostly driven by the need for water treatment. Elementary phosphorous is a component of many pyrotechnic items, including fireworks and light projectiles. In the metallurgical industry, it is also used to make industrial oils, insecticides, and metal alloys such phosphorous brass. Phosphoric acid is used to clean metals as a phosphatising agent and as a component in some drinks. The multiple applications are therefore expected to increase more quickly than expected over the anticipated period.
Strict regulations
The most widely used component in extremely caustic detergents, phosphate softens hard water and aids in suspending water impurities. If detergents are present in large enough concentrations, they can be hazardous to all sorts of aquatic life. The exterior mucus layers that shield fish from bacteria and parasites are destroyed by biodegradable detergents, which can seriously harm the gills. Eutrophication is another effect of phosphate on natural water bodies. Eutrophication has been cited by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) as the main issue in U.S. surface waters with poor water quality.
Surging demand for lead-acid battery
Lead-acid batteries are a common option for energy storage and hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) applications due to its inexpensive cost, established technology, and high recycling efficiency. However, the standard valve-regulated lead-acid (VRLA) battery has a shorter cycle life under high-rate partial-state-of-charge (HRPSoC) conditions because of the irreversible hard sulphate formation in the negative plates. To address this issue, phosphorus-doped activated carbon (P-AC) is being used. The commercial lead-acid battery electrolyte 5 M H2SO4 has various positive effects on the reactivity of the batteries when a small amount of phosphoric acid is added. As a result, the need for lead-acid batteries is increasing along with the production and sales of hybrid electric vehicles, which is driving the sector forward.
Hazardous impacts of phosphorus & derivatives
Although phosphorus has clear advantages for agricultural development, if it exits the site, it can cause pollution. A key worry is the transport of phosphorus from soils to streams, rivers, lakes, and ultimately the seas. Transferring phosphorus from agricultural soils can lead to eutrophication, a nutrient enrichment process that increases algal bloom and decreases dissolved oxygen levels. Additionally, phosphate overdose might be dangerous. Diarrhea, organ and soft tissue stiffness, and diarrhoea can all result from an excess of the mineral. The body's ability to use other minerals including iron, calcium, magnesium, and zinc might be hampered by a phosphorus deficit.
The COVID-19 epidemic has caused a stagnation in the fertiliser market. The logistical problems, production halts or cuts, and personnel shortages that limited crop manufacturers' access to fertilisers had an impact on the industry. Also, governments from a number of nations have issued an emergency alert to ensure the movement and shipping of agricultural goods in the midst of the outbreak. It was challenging for phosphate fertiliser firms to get back to work during the lockdown situation. Due to this decrease in utilisation rate, production has decreased by 30% to 40% year over year.
The ammonium phosphate segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The ammonium phosphate segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth. Ammonium phosphate is employed in a wide range of applications. One of these is its inclusion in a lot of baked goods sold commercially. It has also been adopted as an efficient fertiliser due to its strong water solubility and quick dissolving properties. It is an essential mineral for plants to grow well and continuously. Ammonium phosphate-based fertilisers also help the soil around plants by adding nitrogen, which promotes further growth and root development. Its solubility allows for fast release into the soil, which is advantageous to young plants and plants in need of resuscitation.
The agriculture segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The agriculture segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period, as all plants need a sufficient amount of phosphorus for food supply to be effective. This nutrient can be supplied by phosphorus tribromide, phosphorus pentachloride, adenosine triphosphate, ammonium phosphate, and pure phosphoric acid. Phosphorus (P) is necessary for productive farming and is essential for plants. In addition to being essential for the production of seeds, it also promotes stronger root growth, early plant maturity (less time for grain to ripen), stalk strength, resistance to illnesses that cause root rot, resistance to winter kill, and other benefits. As a result, crops will produce less when there is a phosphorus deficit. Due to the enormous requirement for phosphorous for proper crop output, the agriculture sector has witnessed an increase in demand for phosphorous and its derivatives.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the region's developing agricultural industry, which is driving up demand for fertilisers there. The Australian Government's Department of Agriculture, Water, and the Environment reports that the country's production of agricultural, fishery, and forestry goods has increased in overall gross value. Any increase in national production must come from higher yields and productivity because there isn't any more land available for the production of palm oil. The demand for fertilisers would eventually rise along with the crop production, which will raise the demand for phosphorous & derivatives in the area.
Asia Pacific is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the strong demand for halogen-free flame retardants in growing countries and rising R&D spending. The demand for halogen-free flame retardants is being driven by the expanding local electrical and electronics industries. Asia has risen to the top of the market for phosphorus and its derivatives as a result of increased crop output to fulfil the demands of a growing population. Ammonium phosphate's high production and consumption in Asia are anticipated to fuel market expansion.
Some of the key players profiled in the Phosphorus and Derivatives Market include OCP S.A., Akron OAO, CF Industries Holdings Inc., Agrium Inc., Yara International ASA, Mosaic Co., Innophos Holdings Inc., Lanxess AG, Eurochem, Israel Chemical Ltd., United Phosphorus Limited., Nutrien, Innophos, Bayer AG Solvay , Merck KGaA and Xuzhou Jianping Chemical Co. Ltd.
In November 2020, AgroLiquid launched a liquid phosphorus product, springuP, to its crop nutrition portfolio. This quick-release product is readily available and helps growers get their crops off to a strong start.
In February 2018, LANXESS completed its acquisition of Solvay's phosphorus chemical business in its U.S. production site in Charleston, South Carolina. This acquisition will provide both the Group's to expand in the North America and Asia regions.
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Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.