市场调查报告书
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2030 年变速箱油市场预测 - 按产品类型、基础油、最终用户和地区划分的全球分析Transmission Fluid Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product Type, Base Oil, End User, and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2023 年全球变速箱油市场规模将达到 126.5 亿美元,预计到 2030 年将达到 187.7 亿美元,预测期内復合年增长率为 5.8%。
传动液是用于润滑汽车传动部件以确保最佳性能的油。这些油有助于在齿轮和轴承上保持润滑膜,以防止磨损。变速箱油通常呈鲜红色,以区别于汽车中使用的其他液体和油。汽车将变速箱油用于多种用途,包括制动带摩擦、变矩器功能、阀门操作和齿轮润滑。
变速箱油是一种粘稠、光滑的液体,可将动力从电机传输到变速箱,并用于冷却和润滑变速箱内的所有运动部件。在汽车领域,变速箱油是根据变速箱的特定需求量身定制的,例如变速箱润滑、变矩器功能、制动带摩擦和阀门驱动。强烈建议汽车使用变速箱油,以防止液压泵磨损和汽车卡在空檔。出于上述考虑,预计整个预测期内变速箱油在汽车行业的使用将占据主导地位。
该领域的领先国家包括美国、德国和日本,这些国家的乘用车市场已经成熟,大多数人至少拥有一辆汽车。因此,不存在拉动乘用车需求增加的大的波动因素。新兴国家拥有庞大的车队,导致发达国家对乘用车的需求稳定,影响变速箱油利用率并阻碍市场增长。
由于汽车变速器系列的进步,用于重型作业的越野车辆已经出现了大量的创新。拖拉机等农业多用途车辆和推土机等工程车辆需要高性能 ATF 和 MTF 产品。现代 ATF 中的成分包括石油颜料、粘度指数改进剂、腐蚀抑製剂和抗磨剂。根据车辆要求,使用该产品的 Dexron 和 Mercon 系列。还有一些合成 ATF 的售后市场製造商可以提供卓越的性能并延长车辆使用寿命,为未来的市场增长创造广阔的机会。
例如,树脂降解、铜绕组腐蚀以及连接聚合物的化学侵蚀都可能导致变速箱油洩漏或短路。流体的电特性也是一个必须解决的问题。由于电动机在高电压下运行,流体必须保证其绝缘性,未来使用的流体的体积电阻率预计将成为一个重要因素。电阻率太低会导致断电和停电,从而导致发动机故障。另一方面,如果电阻率太高,静电就会积聚并最终形成电弧,从而损害或完全破坏传动液系统。
COVID-19疫情对全球变速箱油市场产生了重大负面影响。COVID-19 疫情几乎导致所有主要国家的经济增长放缓,并影响了消费者的购买习惯。多国交通系统停运导致供需失衡扩大,给国内外供应链带来不利影响。因此,原材料供应短缺预计将阻碍变速箱液压油的生产,对市场的扩张产生不利影响。
手动变速箱油 (MTF) 领域将出现利润丰厚的增长,因为由于运动部件比自动变速箱油更多,因此维修更容易。手动变速箱油的降解速度比手动变速箱中使用的润滑油(齿轮油或发动机油)更快。作为一个主要好处,协调员经常提到可控性的提高。通过使用变速箱手动换檔,您不仅可以物理管理车速,还可以手动减慢车速。主要优点之一是成本。购买配备手动变速箱的汽车几乎总是比购买配备自动变速箱或无级变速箱油的汽车便宜。
预计汽车行业在预测期内将出现最高的复合年增长率。由于其在传动系统、变速箱油简单性、发动机燃油流等方面的创新车载技术,该产品已在汽车行业得到广泛采用。不同乘用车,如跑车、豪华车和经济舱车的传动液和发动机功率,需要使用不同成分的润滑油。此外,随着世界各地基础设施的不断发展,各种车辆对这些油的需求大大增加。
由于生产转移到新兴国家,特别是中国和印度,预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。此外,该地区还有采矿、汽车和建筑等许多快速发展的行业,为生产变速箱油的公司提供了巨大的机遇。未来几年,由于对可持续基础设施的需求而增加的建设投资预计将增加总产品需求。
北美市场高度整合,由于克莱斯勒有限责任公司、通用汽车和福特等多家国际汽车製造商的存在,预计在预测期内復合年增长率最高。该地区汽车工业的扩张是推动变速箱液压油市场的主要因素。此外,北美的建筑支出每年以 3% 的速度稳定增长,这表明市场前景广阔,尤其是建筑用越野车。由于客户偏好从手动变速箱汽车转向全地形车,北美对 ATF 的需求预计将增加。与标准手动车辆相比,全地形车易于驾驶、燃油效率高且产生的污染物更少。
2023 年 6 月,BASF将扩大其烷基多醣甘 (APG(R)) 的全球产能,在泰国 Bangpakong 和俄亥俄州辛辛那提进行两次扩建。
2023年6月,ExxonMobil和Nucor Corporation签署碳捕获协议,达到5个MTA里程碑,该工厂将生产直接还原铁(DRI),这是汽车、电器和重型机械等优质钢铁产品的原料。
2023 年 5 月,BASF与 Beauty Streams 合作,进一步拓展 D'lite 个人护理行业的数字服务。美容流捕捉并转化个人护理领域的最新趋势,提供宝贵的见解,以跟上快速变化的市场动态。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Transmission Fluid Market is accounted for $12.65 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $18.77 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.8% during the forecast period. Transmission fluids are the oils used to lubricate a car's transmission parts for maximum performance. To prevent gears and bearings from wearing out, these fluids aid in keeping a lubricating coating in place. To set it apart from other fluids and oils used in automobiles, gearbox fluid is typically coloured a bright red colour. Vehicles utilise gearbox fluid for several purposes, including brake band friction, torque converter function, valve action, and gear lubrication.
Transmission fluid is a thick, slick liquid that transports power from the motor to the transmission and serves as a coolant and lubrication for all of the moving components inside transmission. In the automotive sector, the gearbox fluid is tailored for the special needs of a gearbox, including gear lubrication, torque converter function, and brake band friction and valve operation. In order to prevent hydraulic pump wear out and the gear from being stuck in neutral, which results in the car becoming immobile, Transmission fluids are strongly advised for motor vehicles. As a result of the aforementioned considerations, the use of transmission fluid in the automotive sector is projected to predominate throughout the forecast period.
The developed nations in this area include the US, Germany, and Japan, and the passenger vehicle market there is mature due to the fact that the majority of people possess at least one automobile each. Therefore, there are no significant variables that drive rising demand for passenger automobiles. As a result, it has an impact on the market for gearbox fluid, developed countries have a disproportionately large number of automobiles, and as a result, the demand for passenger cars in developed countries has remained consistent which in turn effected the transmission fluid utilization thus hindering the market growth.
Off-road vehicles, which are used for heavy-duty tasks, have seen a significant amount of innovation as a result of advancements in the gearbox series of vehicles. High-performance ATF and MTF products are required by agricultural utility vehicles like tractors and construction vehicles like earthmovers. The ingredients in contemporary ATFs include petroleum dye, viscosity index improvers, corrosion inhibitors, anti-wear additives, and more. Depending on the requirements of the vehicle, the Dexron and Mercon series of the product are utilised. There are a few aftermarket manufacturers of synthetic ATFs that offer superior performance and extend the lifespan of the vehicles creating wide range of opportunities in the future market growth.
For instance, resin deterioration, copper winding corrosion, and chemical assaults on connecting polymers can all result in transmission fluid leaks of electric current or even short circuits. The fluid's electrical characteristics are another issue that has to be addressed. Since the electric motor operates at high voltages, the fluid must ensure its isolation, and anticipate that the volumetric resistivity of upcoming fluids will be a key factor. If the resistivity is too low, there may be a loss of power and/or power outage, which might lead to an engine malfunction. On the other hand, if it is too high, it can cause electrostatic charges to build up and eventually form an electric arc, which can harm or even completely destroy the transmission fluid system.
The COVID-19 pandemic epidemic has had a significant negative influence on the global market for gearbox fluids. The COVID-19 pandemic caused economic growth to slow down in practically all major nations, which had an impact on consumer buying habits. The supply-demand imbalance has widened as a result of the lockdown that has been enacted in a number of nations' transportation systems, which has adversely affected both domestic and international supply chains. Thus, inadequate raw material supply is anticipated to hinder the manufacture of gearbox fluids, which would have a detrimental effect on the market's expansion.
The manual transmission fluid (MTF) segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to easier to fix than an automated transmission fluid since the latter has more moving components. Transmission fluid degrades more quickly than the lubricants used in manual gearboxes, which are either gear oil or engine oil. The major benefit is frequently cited by drivers as increased control. The gearbox may be used to manually change gears, allowing you to physically manage the vehicle's speed as well as to manually slow it down. One of the main advantages is cost. It is nearly always less expensive to buy a car with a manual gearbox than one with an automatic or continuously variable transmission fluid.
The automotive industry segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, due to the innovative in-vehicle technology regarding drive trains, transmission fluid simplicity, fuel flow to the engine, and other factors, the product is widely employed in the automotive industry. The transmission fluid and engine power of various passenger cars, including those in the sports car, luxury and economy class automobile classes, necessitates the use of lubricants with various compositions. Additionally, as infrastructure throughout the world continues to grow, there is a huge rise in the need for these oils in a variety of vehicles.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to shift in the manufacturing landscape in favour of developing nations, especially China and India. Additionally, the area is home to a number of quickly developing sectors, including mining, automotive, and construction, all of which provide tremendous opportunity for companies that make gearbox fluid. In the upcoming couple of years, it is anticipated that rising construction investment due to the demand for sustainable infrastructure would increase total product demand.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the existence of multiple international automakers, including Chrysler LLC, General Motors, and Ford, the market in North America is highly consolidated. The expansion of the region's automotive industry is the main factor fueling the market for gearbox fluids. Additionally, expenditure on construction in North America is increasing at a stable 3% yearly pace, indicating a promising market trajectory, especially for off-road vehicles employed in construction. Due to the movement in customer preference from manual gearbox automobiles to ATVs, the need for ATF is anticipated to increase in North America. ATVs are easier to drive, have better fuel efficiency, and emit fewer pollutants than standard manual cars.
Some of the key players profiled in the Transmission Fluid Market include BASF SE, Amalie Oil Co., BP PLC, CRP Industries Inc., Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, CASTROL LIMITED, Ford Motor Company, Kemipex, Gulf Oil Lubricants India Ltd, Royal Dutch Shell plc, American Hitech Petroleum & Chemicals Inc., China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, PetroCanada Lubricants Inc., Evonik Industries AG, Petroliam Nasional Berhad and The Lubrizol Corporation
In June 2023, BASF will expand its global alkyl polyglucosides (APG®s) production capacity with two expansions at its sites in Bangpakong, Thailand, and Cincinnati, Ohio.
In June 2023, ExxonMobil signs carbon capture agreement with Nucor Corporation, reaching 5 MTA milestones, the site produces direct reduced iron (DRI), a raw material used to make high-quality steel products including automobiles, appliances and heavy equipment.
In May 2023, BASF partners with Beauty streams to further expand its D'lite digital service for the personal care industry, by highlighting and translating current trends in personal care, Beauty streams offers valuable insights to stay abreast of the rapidly changing market dynamics.