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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1308710
到2030年汽车传动系统市场预测–按车型(乘用车、商用车、电动车)、驱动类型(前轮驱动、后轮驱动、全轮驱动)、技术和地区进行全球分析Automotive Drivetrain Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type (Passenger Car, Commercial Vehicles and Electric Vehicle), Drive Type (Front Wheel Drive, Rear Wheel Drive and All-Wheel Drive), Technology and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球汽车传动系统市场预计到 2023 年将达到 2,181.8 亿美元,到 2030 年将达到 4,118.4 亿美元,预测期内增长 9.5%。复合年增长率 (CAGR) 增长。 汽车传动系统包括将动力传输到车辆方向盘的部件。 传动系统通常称为动力传动系统或动力传动系统。
传动系统负责从车轮到发动机再到汽车运动的一切。 此类技术的特点是提高燃油经济性和提高车辆性能。 传动系统由车轮、传动轴、U 型万向节和等速万向节等多个部件组成。
据世界经济论坛报导,2017年7月,英国政府宣布从2040年起停止生产新的汽油和柴油汽车。
电动汽车推进系统在不断变化。 不断上涨的燃油价格迫使製造商专注于开发电动汽车。 随着电池技术的进步,动力传动系统将变得更加重要。 到2020年,路上行驶的电动汽车将超过1000万辆。 由于消费者态度和经济状况的变化,现代汽车销量不断上升。 由于使用电动出租车作为运输车辆,汽车零部件市场,特别是传动系统领域正在扩大。 由于它们与这些车辆的高度兼容性,製造商正在重点采用电力驱动系统和其他电动汽车组件。
车辆中安装的动力传动系统的价格根据规格和设计而波动。 这本身就推高了整车的价格。 由于更先进的车辆功能和更强大的发动机,成本上升。 昂贵或先进原材料的使用和波动也是推高成本的主要因素。 此外,选择升级到依赖额外零部件的先进驱动系统的客户将需要额外支付2,000-3,500美元。 这将限制满足这一需求的钢材和粉末加工成本,以及对强大和豪华汽车日益增长的需求。 因此,这些因素阻碍了汽车传动系统市场的扩张。
全球汽车製造商正在引入以消费者为中心的要求,并根据客户偏好改变区域模式。 消费者倾向于选择汽车中的豪华舒适功能,近年来,汽车舒适性和安全功能的扩展步伐在世界范围内急剧上升。 此外,由于二氧化碳排放的影响以及对环境的考虑,电动汽车开始普及,汽油车在大的地区和国家出现了减少的趋势。 因此,在工业化国家,电力驱动零部件生产商的利润率最高。
传动系统行业依赖于復杂的全球供应链,该供应链从各个供应商处采购原材料、零部件。 自然灾害、政治不稳定和贸易争端等供应链中断可能导致生产延误、成本上升和关键零部件短缺。 这可能会影响传动系统製造商满足客户需求和及时履行订单的能力。 此外,供应链中断导致原材料价格波动,使得成本预测和盈利能力变得困难。 为了减轻这一威胁,动力传动系统製造商必须实现供应商基础多元化,制定应急计划,并投资建设更具弹性和灵活性的供应链。
COVID-19疫情对包括汽车行业在内的整个经济产生了重大负面影响。 COVID-19疫情对汽车行业的销量下降、復苏率波动等诸多方面产生了重大影响。 结果,全球经济生态系统导致了传动系统零部件製造的下降。 此外,製造零部件所需的原材料带来了许多挑战,例如,整个汽车行业,包括价值链参与者,在各自的行业中都经历了不确定性。 过去一年,众多供应商在全球供应炼和物流链中遇到了严重的资源限制,这对其业务产生了明显的负面影响。
由于消费者需求的增加、工业化程度的提高、城市居民的涌入和通勤的需求,乘用车领域占据了最大的市场份额。 由于汽车日益普及、可支配收入增加以及消费者对技术先进车辆的偏好不断变化,汽车传动系统市场份额也在不断增长。 此外,经济条件的改善、可支配收入的增加、城市化的快速发展以及社会经济较高阶层的人口不断增加,都在增加奢侈品消费支出,进而推动乘用车市场的增长。这
预计前轮驱动细分市场在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。 这是由于多种因素造成的,因为预测期内许多近期新车开始采用这种配置。 与其他驱动系统相比,前轮驱动非常具有成本效益,并具有许多优势,例如质量、空间、燃油消耗、缺乏驱动轴摩擦以及牵引力的重量分布。 前轮驱动是当今乘用车的一个共同特征,製造商也因其低生产成本、节省空间的设计和整体运动性能而青睐它,这是推动该细分市场增长的一个因素。
预计北美地区在预测期内将占据最高份额。 北美比其他地区技术更加发达,对尖端技术持开放态度。 混合动力和电动汽车的最新进展,例如轮毂电机和电桥兼容性,显着增加了北美的需求。 许多汽车製造商正在将电动动力总成系统整合到车辆中,以降低成本、平衡有效载荷并减轻成品重量。 该地区相对较高的客户购买力和快速发展的技术预计将增加对电动汽车等产品的需求,从而刺激汽车传动系统行业的需求增加。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将呈现最高增长率。 汽车製造商的存在、强大的供应炼和政府支持性政策是推动该地区增长的关键因素。 此外,世界上超过45%的人口居住在中国、印度和韩国等人口大国和经济发达国家。 因此,这些国家的市场扩张预计将得到一系列旨在重振受到 COVID-19 严重打击的汽车行业的支持性政府举措的帮助。
2022年9月,爱信精机宣布计划为其研发子公司爱信(南通)中国技术中心有限公司在中国建立新办事处。 这将使爱信精机能够充分整合产品开发的各个阶段,包括设计、开发和评估,以提高为客户提供的产品和服务的质量。
2022 年 3 月,American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings 在美国密歇根州举行的 2016 年冬季测试活动中推出了新的传动系统技术。 该公司计划推出 e-AAM 混合动力和电动传动系统以及 QUANTUM 轻量化车轴和驱动装置。
2021 年 12 月,采埃孚 (ZF Friedrichshafen) 将在伊朗开设一家新工厂 ZF Perth SSK,以提高竞争力并满足中东地区对商用车变速箱系统不断增长的需求。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Automotive Drivetrain Market is accounted for $218.18 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $411.84 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 9.5% during the forecast period. The automotive drivetrain includes the components that transmit power to an automobile's steering wheel. It is frequently referred to as a driveline or a powertrain. It is in charge of how the wheels, engine, and movement of the vehicle all work. Features of this kind of technology include increased fuel efficiency and greater vehicle performance. The drive train system is made up of diverse parts such wheels, driving shafts, U joints, and CV joints.
According to the World Economic Forum, in July 2017, the Government of UK announced that they will be discontinuing the production of new petrol and diesel cars from the year 2040.
The propulsion system for electric vehicles is continually changing. Due to the increase in fuel prices, manufacturers are concentrating on the creation of electric vehicles. The importance of the drivetrain system will increase significantly as battery technology advances. In 2020, there were more than 10 million electric vehicles on the road. Modern vehicle sales are rising as a result of shifting consumer attitudes and economic conditions. The market for automotive parts, particularly in the drivetrain system segment, is expanding as a result of the increasing use of electric taxis as transportation vehicles. Due to their high compatibility with these vehicles, manufacturers are concentrating on the adoption of electric drive systems and other electric automobile components.
Depending on the specifications and design, the price of any drivetrain installed in a vehicle varies. It directly raises the price of the vehicle as a whole. Costs increase as a result of more advanced automobile features and powerful engines. The usage of expensive or advanced raw materials and their fluctuation rates is also a major contributor to this cost increase. Additionally, dependent on additional parts and components, clients who choose to upgrade to an advanced drive system require an additional USD 2,000-$3,500. Due to this, the cost of steel and powder processing to satisfy this demand as well as the increase in demand for powerful and luxurious automobiles would be constrained. As a result, these elements are impeding the expansion of the automobile drivetrain market.
Global automakers have been implementing consumer-centric requirements and altering regional patterns in response to client preferences. Consumers are more likely to employ luxury comfort features in cars, and in recent years, the pace of expansion of comfort and safety features in cars has sharply increased all over the world. In addition, customers were seen adopting electric vehicles due to the impact of carbon dioxide emissions and for environmental concerns, and the trend toward gasoline-powered vehicles began to decline in significant regions and nations. As a result, in industrialized nations, producers of e-drive components have the best profit margins.
The drivetrain industry relies on a complex global supply chain to source raw materials, components, and parts from various suppliers. Disruptions in the supply chain, such as natural disasters, political instability, or trade disputes, can lead to delays in production, increased costs, and shortages of critical components. This can impact the ability of drivetrain manufacturers to meet customer demand and fulfill orders in a timely manner. Additionally, supply chain disruptions can result in price volatility for raw materials, making cost forecasting and profitability challenging. To mitigate this threat, drivetrain companies need to diversify their supplier base, establish contingency plans, and invest in building more resilient and flexible supply chains.
The COVID-19 epidemic had significant adverse effects on the economy as a whole, including the car industry. The COVID-19 outbreak substantially impacted the volume drop, recovery rate variability, and many other aspects of the automobile sector. As a result, the global economic ecosystem caused a drop in the manufacturing of drivetrain components. Additionally, there were many difficulties with the raw materials needed to make components, for example, the entire auto industry, including participants in the value chain, experienced uncertainty in their individual industries. In the past year, numerous suppliers have encountered major resource constraints in the global supply and logistics chains, which have had a noticeably detrimental impact on their businesses.
The passenger car segment held the largest share in the market owing to the increasing demand among consumers, growing industrialization, an influx of urban residents, and commute requirements. The growing market share of automotive drive trains is also due to other elements like the prevalence of vehicles, rising disposable incomes, and shifting consumer preferences toward adopting technologically advanced vehicles. Additionally, improving economic conditions, rising disposable income, fast urbanization, and an increase in the number of people in higher socioeconomic classes have all increased consumer spending on luxury, which is what is driving the growth of the passenger automobile market.
During the projection period, the front wheel drive segment is expected to have the greatest CAGR. This due to various factors, as many of the recent new cars over the forecast period, started using this configuration. When compared to alternative drive systems, front wheel drive is incredibly cost-effective and offers numerous advantages in terms of mass, space, fuel consumption, lack of driveshaft friction, and weight distribution for traction. Front wheel drive is a common feature of passenger automobiles today, and manufacturers also like it since it has lower production costs, more space-efficient design, and sportier performance across the board, which are the factors propelling the growth of the front wheel drive segment.
The North America region is estimated to witness the highest share market during the forecast period. North America has experienced more technological developments and acceptance of cutting-edge technologies than other regions. The most recent advancements in hybrid and electronic vehicles, like wheel hub motors and e-axle compatibility, are significantly increasing demand for them in North America. Electric powertrain systems are being included by a number of automakers in their cars in an effort to cut costs, balance loading capacity, and lighten finished products. Customers' comparatively high purchasing power and the rapid advancement of technology in this region are anticipated to boost demand for e-cars and other vehicles, which is anticipated to fuel demand for the expansion of the automotive drivetrain industry.
The Asia Pacific region is expected to have the highest growth rate over the forecast period. The existence of automotive manufacturers, a robust supply chain, and supporting government policies are important factors fostering the growth of this area. In addition, more than 45% of the world's population lives in high-population, economically developed nations like China, India, and South Korea. As a result, market expansion in these nations is anticipated to be aided by a number of supportive governmental initiatives aimed at reviving the auto industry, which was severely damaged by COVID-19.
Some of the key players in Automotive Drivetrain market include Aisin Seiki Co. Ltd, AVL List GmbH, AxleTech Corporation, Borgwarner Inc., Continental AG, Daimler Chrysler, Dana Incorporated, Ford, Hyundai Motor Company, Magna International Inc., Marelli Holdings Co., Ltd., Mitsubishi Electric Corp, Nidec Corporation, Robert Bosch GmbH, Schaeffler AG, Toyota Motor Corporation, Valeo, Volkswagen AG and ZF Friedrichshafen AG.
In Sep 2022, Aisin Seiki announced plans to build a new office for its R&D affiliate Aisin (Nantong) Technical Center of China Co., Ltd in China. This would help Aisin Seiki to fully integrate different stages of product development such as design, development, and assessment, thereby improving the quality of the products and services offered to customers.
In March 2022, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. announced the launch of new driveline technologies at the 2016 Winter Test Activities event in Michigan (U.S.). The company is set to launch e-AAM hybrid and electric driveline systems and QUANTUM lightweight axles and drive units.
In Dec 2021, ZF Friedrichshafen has opened a new plant, ZF Pars SSK, in Iran to improve its competitive position and to meet the increased demand for commercial vehicle transmission systems in the Middle Eastern region