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2030 年α-烯烃市场预测:按类型、用途和地区分類的全球分析Alpha Olefins Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (1-Hexene, 1-Octene, 1-Butene, 1-Octadecene, 1-Hexadecene, 1-Tetradecene, 1-Dodecene, 1-Decene and Other Types), Application and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2023年全球α-烯烃市场规模为71亿美元,预计在预测期内将以8%的年复合成长率增长,并在2030年达到121亿美元。
烯烃是一类在两个相邻碳原子之间具有一个或多个双键的烃,被称为烯烃。烯烃或烯烃的化学式是CnH2n,这就是它们被称为α烯烃的原因。它可以与其他单烯烃区分开来。主要用于生产聚乙烯、润滑油、清洁剂、增塑剂、油田化学品、精细化学品等。
据印度包装工业协会(PIAI)统计,包装业目前是印度第五大经济部门。印度以年增长率 22-25% 的速度增长,是包装行业的首选中心。
几个重要的变量导致从各种原料生产 α-烯烃的研发 (R&D) 支出增加。对环保和永续化学品生产不断增长的需求就是其中之一。随着人们对气候变化和资源枯竭的日益关注,考虑替代原材料和生产技术以减少对化石燃料的依赖并儘量减少对环境的负面影响非常重要。
由于原材料价格波动,α-烯烃市场面临重大挑战。主要原材料石油和天然气的价格波动给生产商带来了不确定性和上行压力。这些价格变化会对盈利能力、竞争和生产成本产生直接影响。如果製造商无法准确预测成本和价格,则可能难以管理供应链并与客户保持良好的关係。
由于天然气原料丰富,北美是石化投资和生产的一个竞争激烈的市场。新石化设施的建设、现有工厂的扩建以及下游行业的增长都受益于具有先进製造能力和基础设施的低成本原料的大量投资。天然气是生产各种石化产品(包括α-烯烃)的重要原料。天然气的主要成分乙烷可分解产生乙烯,乙烯是合成α-烯烃的主要原料。
为了保护环境并避免健康风险,世界各国政府对传统塑料的使用制定了严格的规定。例如,塑料对人体和环境有有害影响,因此在用途中禁止或限制其使用。此外,许多国家希望鼓励使用永续和可生物降解的塑料,以增加消费者对环保产品的需求。
COVID-19 大流行对卫生意识的影响导致该国肥皂和清洁剂的使用量急剧增加。大多数国家的长期封锁措施阻碍了α-烯烃市场的扩张。汽车、化学品、消费电子产品和包装等最终用途行业的需求与α-烯烃销售直接相关。然而,由于 COVID-19 大流行,进出口法规、边境限制和供应链中断严重影响了化工行业对 α 烯烃的需求。
由于聚乙烯和聚丙烯是石化行业的主要结构要素,预计 1-丁烯细分市场在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。此外,1-丁烯还用作合成许多不同化学中间体的前体。 1-丁烯可以转化为丁二烯,丁二烯是用于生产合成橡胶、弹性体和塑料的重要单体。它还用于製造 1,3-丁二烯,后者可转化为己二腈(尼龙的前体)。
预计聚烯烃共聚单体领域在预测期内将出现良好的增长。通过使用聚烯烃共聚单体,可以定制聚乙烯和聚丙烯的性能,以满足特定的用途要求。不同共聚单体(例如 1-丁烯、1-己烯和 1-辛烯)对聚合物性能的不同影响使生产商能够生产各种质量不同的聚烯烃牌号。其适应性使得该材料可以进行定制和最佳化,以用于包装、汽车、建筑和消费品等多种行业。
由于其广泛而多样化的工业基础,预计北美在预测期内将占据最大份额。众多製造业的存在以及石化和石油、天然气基础设施的不断扩建预计将推动该地区的市场增长。此外,北美自然资源蕴藏量丰富,被国内外企业公认为α-烯烃生产的潜在投资基地。
由于该地区的快速工业化、经济扩张、新兴市场的开拓、聚乙烯需求的增加以及汽车行业的蓬勃发展,亚太地区α-烯烃市场预计将扩大。此外,α-烯烃用于多种用途,包括包装材料、建筑材料、汽车零件和合成润滑油,并且由于该地区强大的製造业、不断增长的消费者人口和基础设施发展,其需求量很大。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Alpha Olefins Market is accounted for $7.1 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $12.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8% during the forecast period. Olefins are hydrocarbons with one or more double bonds between two adjacent carbon atoms, which are known as alkenes. Chemical formula for olefins or alkenes is CnH2n, that's why it is known as alpha olefins. It can be identified from other mono-olefins. It is primarily used in the production of polyethylene, lubricants, detergents, plasticizers, oil field chemicals, and fine chemicals.
According to the Packaging Industry Association of India (PIAI), the packaging industry is currently the fifth-largest economic sector in India. It is growing at a rate of 22-25% per year, making India a preferred hub for the packaging industry.
Several important variables contribute to the rising research and development (R&D) spending for the creation of alpha olefins derived from various sources. The rising demand for environmentally friendly and sustainable chemical production is one such driver. It is important to look into alternative feedstocks and production techniques that reduce dependency on fossil fuels and have a minimal negative impact on the environment as concerns about climate change and resource depletion grow.
The market for alpha olefins faces enormous challenges as a result of the high price volatility of raw materials. Changes in the price of crude oil or natural gas, the main feedstocks, bring uncertainty and pressure on prices for producers. These price swings may have an immediate effect on the profitability, competitiveness, and cost of production. A manufacturer's inability to predict costs and prices accurately may make it difficult to manage the supply chain and maintain favorable relationships with clients.
North America has become a competitive market for petrochemical investment and production due to the quantity of natural gas feedstock. The construction of new petrochemical facilities, the expansion of existing plants, and the growth of downstream sectors have all benefited from considerable investments attracted by the availability of low-cost feedstock paired with advanced manufacturing capabilities and infrastructure. For the manufacturing of a variety of petrochemicals, including alpha olefins, natural gas is a vital feedstock. Ethane, a significant component of natural gas, can be cracked to produce ethylene, which serves as the main feedstock for the synthesis of alpha olefins.
To save the environment and avoid health risks, governments around the world have enacted strict rules regarding the use of conventional plastics. For instance, due to their detrimental impact on human health and the environment, plastics have been prohibited or restricted in some applications. Additionally, a number of countries want to encourage the use of sustainable and biodegradable plastics and raise consumer demand for environmentally friendly products.
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on hygiene awareness, the country saw a sharp rise in the use of soap and detergent. The majority of the countries' protracted lockdowns have hampered the expansion of the alpha-olefins market. The demand from end-use sectors, such as automotive, chemical, appliance, packaging, and others, directly relates to the sales of alpha olefins. The COVID-19 pandemic's import-export restrictions, restricted borders, and supply chain interruptions, however, had a significant impact on the demand for alpha olefins in the chemicals industry.
The 1-butene segment is anticipated to hold the largest market share during the course of the projection period, as polyethylene and polypropylene are two of the main building blocks in the petrochemical sector. Additionally, 1-butene is used as a precursor in the synthesis of a number of different chemical intermediates. It is capable of being transformed into butadiene, a crucial monomer utilized in the creation of synthetic rubbers, elastomers, and plastics. It is also used to create 1,3-butadiene, which is then converted into adiponitrile, a precursor to the manufacture of nylon.
Polyolefins Comonomer segment is expected to have lucrative growth over the projected period. The characteristics of polyethylene and polypropylene can be customized to fulfill the requirements of certain applications by using polyolefin comonomers. As a result of the varied impact that various comonomers, such as 1-butene, 1-hexene, and 1-octene, have on polymer properties, producers are able to produce a large variety of polyolefin grades with various qualities. Due to their adaptability, materials can be customized and optimized for use in a variety of industries, including packaging, automotive, construction, and consumer goods.
Due to the broad and diversified industrial base, North America is anticipated to hold the largest share during the forecast period. The presence of numerous manufacturing businesses, along with an increase in petrochemical and infrastructural expansions for gas and oil, are expected to fuel regional market growth. Additionally, due to its extensive natural resource reserves, North America has been recognized as a potential investment hub for the production of alpha olefins by both domestic and foreign businesses.
The market for alpha olefins in the Asia-Pacific region is expected to rise due to the region's rapid industrialization, economic expansion, expanding infrastructure development, rising demand for polyethylene, and booming auto sector. Additionally, alpha olefins are utilized in many different applications, such as packaging, construction materials, automotive components, and synthetic lubricants, and there is a substantial demand for them due to the region's strong manufacturing sectors, expanding consumer population, and infrastructure developments.
Some of the key players in Alpha Olefins market include: Sasol, SABIC, Shell plc, Qatar Chemical Company Ltd, LANXESS, Kemipex, INEOS, Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd., Evonik Industries AG, Exxon Mobil Corporation and Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC.
In February 2023, Chevron Phillips Chemical (CPChem) and Charter Next Generation (CNG) announced that overwrap film made with CPChem's Marlex® Anew™ Circular Polyethylene is bound for store shelves in the US. Versatile and efficient overwrap films help preserve food, keep medical instruments secure and sterile, and provide lightweight and durable product packaging. Alpha olefins are mostly consumed to manufacture polyethylene.
In April 2022, Shell Chemical won approval from the state Board of Commerce and Industry for an Industrial Tax Exemption Program break for their USD 1.4 billion project, which the company says will create a "world scale" linear alpha olefin plant at the Geismar facility. Linear alpha olefins are used to make detergents, waxes, plastics, and premium lubricants.