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到 2030 年洁净煤技术市场预测:按类型、技术、用途、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Clean Coal Technology Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Lignite, Subbituminous, Bituminous and Anthracite), Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2023 年全球洁净煤技术市场规模为 20.469 亿美元,预计到 2030 年将达到 27.669 亿美元,预测期内年复合成长率为 7.2%。
清洁煤技术利用气化和燃烧过程来减少燃煤电厂的排放气体,也称为环境排放技术。烟囱对环境有影响,因为当煤炭燃烧时,二氧化碳和其他排放会转化为烟气。
据IEA预测,到2040年,全球电力需求预计将以每年2.1%的速度增长。因此,电力在最终能源消费量总量中的比例预计将从2018年的约19%增加到2040年的约24%。
在全球范围内,各国政府正在迅速制定法律和法规,以减少温室气体排放并支持绿色能源。清洁煤炭技术的投资不断增加,以减少煤炭发电对环境的影响。技术进步正在推动更有效、更便宜的清洁煤炭技术的开发,例如整体煤气化联合循环(IGCC)和捕碳封存(CCS)系统。这些新兴市场的开拓正在刺激洁净煤技术的市场扩张。
整体煤气化联合循环(IGCC)和捕碳封存(CCS)等清洁煤技术的实施和维护成本高昂。与其他能源生产方法相比,这可能会降低其竞争力。
许多国家仍然严重依赖煤炭作为能源,清洁煤炭技术可以通过减少对外国石油、天然气进口的需求来改善能源安全。清洁煤炭技术可以提高能源效率和增加就业机会。因此,政府和私营公司都在增加对清洁煤炭技术的投资。
碳定价机制的引入,例如碳排放税和排放交易计划,可能会增加煤炭发电的成本,包括清洁煤炭技术。与其他能源生产方法相比,这可能会降低这些技术的竞争力。
2020年第一季,由于煤炭短缺,火电厂发电能力中断,对清洁煤技术行业产生了较为负面的影响。广泛的社会疏远规范和能源行业需求的大幅减少预计将对市场扩张产生负面影响。随着全球煤炭使用量的减少,冶金煤和动力煤价格的大幅下跌可能会对市场扩张产生负面影响。
超临界压力领域在整个预测期内占据最大份额。超临界技术是几个国家新建商业燃煤电厂使用的主要洁净煤技术之一,也是造成这一问题的原因。根据通用电力公司与Electronic Ostroleka签署的合同,Ostroleka C超超临界燃煤电厂将在波兰东北部建设。除了设计和建造发电厂外,该业务还製造和供应超超临界压力技术的零件。
由于装机容量增加和硫含量低,预计褐煤细分市场在预测期内将出现良好增长。最常见的煤炭类型是褐煤,在世界许多国家都有大量蕴藏量。这使得它成为一种普遍负担得起的发电燃料。
在整个估算期内,亚太地区所占份额最大。 2020年中国煤炭产量增长受到严重阻碍,与2010年相比仅增长15%。相比之下,由于大规模投资和转向可再生能源,2020年中国煤炭使用量仅增长1.3%。此外,印度2020年总共消耗了17.54艾焦耳的煤炭,高于2015年的16.55艾焦耳。消费量的增加主要是由于电力生产对煤炭的需求增加,预计这将增加对清洁煤炭技术的需求,以进一步实现清洁发电。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将实现盈利增长。中国、印度、日本和其他国家的政府打算投入更多资金建设新的煤电发电工程。它们涉及现代煤电发电工程的技术进步、环境安全和燃料成本降低。例如,2021年11月,中国政府宣布拟提供约314亿美元的特别再融资便利,为洁净煤技术提供融资,包括加强煤炭预处理和建设煤层气价值链。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Clean Coal Technology Market is accounted for $2,046.9 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $2,766.9 million by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period. Clean coal technology, which uses the gasification or combustion process to reduce emissions from coal power plants, is also known as environmental emission reduction technology. Smoke stacks affect the environment since, when coal burns, it converts carbon dioxide and other emissions into flue gas.
According to IEA, the global electricity demand is expected to grow at 2.1% per year up to 2040. This, in turn, is likely to increase the share of electricity in the total final energy consumption, from around 19% in 2018 to approximately 24% in 2040.
Globally, governments are rapidly enacting laws and regulations that lower greenhouse gas emissions and support greener energy sources. In order to reduce the environmental impact of coal-based power generation, this has resulted in greater investment in clean coal technology. Technology advancements have made it possible to create cleaner coal technologies that are more effective and affordable, like integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) and carbon capture and storage (CCS) systems. These developments have fueled the market for clean coal technology's expansion.
It can be expensive to implement and maintain clean coal technologies like integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) and carbon capture and storage (CCS). Due to this, they may not be as competitive as other energy production methods.
Many nations continue to rely heavily on coal as a source of energy, and clean coal technology can increase energy security by lowering demand for foreign oil and gas imports. Technologies for clean coal could result in better energy efficiency and the development of jobs. Governments and private businesses have both boosted their investments in clean coal technologies as a result of this.
The cost of coal-based power generation, including clean coal technologies, may rise as a result of the implementation of carbon pricing mechanisms like carbon taxes or emissions trading programs. This might reduce the competitiveness of these technologies in comparison to other energy production methods.
Due to a coal scarcity in the first quarter of 2020, thermal power plants' ability to generate electricity was disrupted, which had a relatively negative impact on the clean coal technology industry. The widespread norms of social distance and the sharp decline in demand from the energy industry are anticipated to have a detrimental effect on market expansion. Due to the global decline in the use of coal, a sharp decline in the price of metallurgical coal and thermal coal could have a detrimental effect on the market's expansion.
Supercritical segment commanded the largest share throughout the projection period. One of the main clean coal technologies used in several nations' new commercial coal-fired power plants, supercritical technology, is responsible for this issue. Northeastern Poland will get an 'Ostroleka C' ultra-supercritical coal-fired power station, according to a deal General Electric Power made with Electronic Ostroleka. The business also manufactures and supplies components for ultra-supercritical pressure technologies, in addition to designing and constructing power plants.
Lignite segment is estimated to witness lucrative growth throughout the forecasted period due to rise in installed capacity and low sulphur content. The most common type of coal is lignite, and there are significant reserves in numerous nations all over the world. This makes it a fuel source for electricity generation that is generally affordable.
Asia Pacific commanded the largest share throughout the extrapolated period. China's rise in coal production was severely hampered in 2020, with only a 15% increase over 2010 recorded. In contrast, China's coal usage only increased 1.3% in 2020 as a result of significant investments and a switch to renewable energy sources. Additionally, India consumed 17.54 Exajoules of coal in total in 2020, which was more than the 16.55 Exajoules it consumed in 2015. This increase in consumption was mostly caused by an increased requirement for coal in the production of electricity, which is projected to increase demand for clean coal technologies for additional clean power generation.
Asia Pacific is expected to have profitable growth over the forecast period. The governments of China, India, Japan, and other countries intend to spend more money on the creation of new coal power projects. They have to do with modern coal power projects' technological advancements, environmental safety, and fuel cost reductions. For instance, the Chinese government announced in November 2021 that it intended to create a special re-lending facility worth around USD 31.4 billion to fund clean coal technology, including enhanced pre-treatment of coal and the creation of a value chain for coalbed methane.
Some of the key players in Clean Coal Technology market include: Alstom SA, Babcock & Wilcox, Bhel, Dongfang Electric, Doosan, General Electric Company, Harbin Electric International Company Ltd, KBR Inc., Mitsubishi, Shell PLC, Siemens Energy AG and Toshiba.
In February 2020, the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Office of Fossil Energy (FE) announced federal funding up to USD 4 million in research and development (R&D) projects to improve the coal combustion residual management in the country.
In December 2019, Pakistan signed an implementation agreement (IA) with Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd. under the Thar coal-based power generation project to install a coal-fired power plant with a power generation capacity of 1,320 MW. The cumulative project cost is estimated to be around 1,912.2 million.