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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1324384
到 2030 年地热发电市场预测:按温度、产量、技术、用途和地区进行全球分析Geothermal Power Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Temperature (Low Temperature, Medium Temperature and High Temperature ), Power Output, Technology, Application and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2023年全球地热发电市场规模为64.5亿美元,预计到2030年将达到103.6亿美元,预测期内年复合成长率为7%。
地热发电涉及从地球自然热量中获取可再生能源的生产和使用。地热发电厂利用地球内部的热量,通过转化蒸汽或热水来发电。该过程包括在地热储存中钻一口井以获取高温流体,然后用高温流体驱动连接到发电机的涡轮机。地热能是一种永续环保的发电解决方案,温室气体排放最少。
根据国际可再生能源机构(IRENA)的数据,2016年发电量为83,477GWh,2020年将达到94,949GWh。
随着世界越来越关注气候变化和碳排放,人们越来越重视向可再生和环保能源的过渡。地热发电提供了可靠且永续的解决方案,因为它利用地球的自然热量来发电,而不排放温室气体。世界各国政府和能源政策制定者越来越多地提倡采用地热能,以实现能源结构多样化并减少对化石燃料的依赖。
需要精确探勘才能找到具有高地热潜力的合适位置。由于缺乏最先进的勘探和钻井技术,寻找新的地热储存或扩大现有地热储存可能会受到阻碍。缺乏有关基本条件和资源可用性的资讯可能会导致钻井作业效率低下和项目成本高昂。地热能在最尖端科技的帮助下,可能会被更有效地识别,并成为更具竞争力和可行的可再生能源。
传统上,高温地热资源一直是发电的主要焦点,但中低温资源的利用正在引起人们的关注。双循环发电厂和增强型地热系统等先进技术能够从温度较低的地热储存中经济高效地提取能源。地热利用的扩大增加了可行的地热发电地点的数量,扩大了市场范围,并使以前认为不适合的地区能够利用地热能。
地热发电厂依靠地下水库来提取热量,并且容易受到环境变化的影响。地震、火山活动和地质运动等自然现象会影响地热资源的稳定性和性能,从而影响发电量。此外,地下压力和流体流量的变化可能导致储存产能下降。环境破坏可能导致项目延误、维护成本增加,甚至对地热发电厂造成永久性损坏。为了减轻这种威胁,仔细的选址、持续监测和适应性管理策略对于确保永续和可靠的地热发电,同时最大限度地减少对环境的影响至关重要。
COVID-19大流行的存在对地热能业务产生了重大影响。这是因为它对全球供应链造成了多重干扰,并减少了市场参与企业对计划项目的投资。地热发电产能逐年增加,有望重振地热发电行业,但由于COVID-19和世界各国实施的停工措施,多个项目面临推迟。此外,由于使用对环境有益的清洁资源而引起的对电力安全的日益关注正在推动地热发电市场的扩张。
由于对热泵的需求不断增加,商业领域占据了最大的市场份额,热泵在办公楼、酒店、学校和医院等需要时用于空调和冷却。区域供热也是住宅用地热能的主要来源之一。
预计二元循环工厂部分在预测期内年复合成长率最高。二元循环是一种先进、高效的低温地热资源发电方法。在二元循环过程中,温度较低的热地热流体通过热交换器,其中热能被转移到沸点较低的二次流体。二次流体被蒸发并驱动连接到发电机的涡轮机,产生清洁、可再生的电力。二元循环技术能够利用以前开拓的低温地热储存,扩大地热能的潜力,使地热能在更广泛的地区得到利用,为地热发电市场的增长做出贡献。
由于丰富的地热潜力和可再生能源利用的不断增加,预计亚太市场在预测期内将占据全球地热发电市场的最高份额。正在开展地热发电工程并承认地热能生产能力的国家包括印尼、菲律宾和新西兰。政府的激励措施、有利的立法和对地热技术的投资进一步推动了市场扩张。随着该地区继续优先考虑清洁可靠的发电,地热能将对该地区的能源结构做出重大贡献,从而推动长期经济和环境效益。
预计北美地区在预测期内将呈现最高增长率。通过利用其多样化的地热资源和技术知识,北美已成为地热发电市场的主要参与者。美国和墨西哥拥有几座地热发电厂,利用地球自身的热量发电。地热能在北美受到积极评价,因为它是可再生的清洁能源,并且符合减少碳排放和促进永续能源实践的区域承诺。由于强调能源安全和环境友好,地热发电预计将在该地区的能源转型和可再生能源扩张中发挥越来越重要的作用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Geothermal Power Market is accounted for $6.45 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $10.36 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 7% during the forecast period. The Geothermal Power involves the production and utilization of renewable energy derived from the Earth's natural heat. Geothermal power plants harness the Earth's internal heat to generate electricity through the conversion of steam or hot water. The process involves drilling wells into geothermal reservoirs to access the hot fluids, which are then used to drive turbines connected to electricity generators. Geothermal energy offers a sustainable and eco-friendly power generation solution with minimal greenhouse gas emissions.
According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), the electricity generation was 83,477 GWh in 2016 and it is reached by 94,949 GWh in 2020.
As global concerns regarding climate change and carbon emissions intensify, there is a growing emphasis on transitioning towards renewable and environmentally friendly energy sources. Geothermal power offers a reliable and sustainable solution, as it utilizes the Earth's natural heat to generate electricity without greenhouse gas emissions. Governments and energy policymakers worldwide are increasingly promoting the adoption of geothermal energy to diversify the energy mix and reduce reliance on fossil fuels.
Accurate exploration is necessary to find suitable locations with high geothermal potential. The search for new geothermal reservoirs and the expansion of those that already exist may be hampered by a lack of cutting-edge exploration and drilling methods. Drilling efforts that are ineffective and higher project expenses could result from a lack of information about the underlying conditions and resource availability. Geothermal energy may be identified more effectively with the help of cutting-edge technology, making it a more competitive and feasible renewable energy source.
While high-temperature geothermal resources have traditionally been the primary focus for power generation, the utilization of low- and medium-temperature resources has gained prominence. Advanced technologies, such as binary cycle power plants and enhanced geothermal systems, allow for the cost-effective extraction of energy from lower-temperature geothermal reservoirs. This expansion of geothermal applications increases the number of viable sites for geothermal power generation, broadening the market's reach and making geothermal energy accessible to regions previously considered unsuitable.
Geothermal power plants rely on accessing and extracting heat from underground reservoirs, which can be susceptible to environmental changes. Natural events like earthquakes, volcanic activities, and geological shifts can impact the stability and performance of geothermal resources, affecting power generation. Additionally, changes in underground pressure or fluid flow may lead to declining reservoir productivity. Environmental disruptions can cause project delays, increased maintenance costs, and even permanent damage to geothermal sites. To mitigate this threat, careful site selection, ongoing monitoring, and adaptive management strategies are essential to ensure sustainable and reliable geothermal power generation while minimizing environmental impacts.
The COVID-19 pandemic's existence had a significant impact on the geothermal energy business since it caused multiple interruptions in the global supply chain and decreased investment from market participants in their planned projects. Aside from the yearly increases in geothermal power capacity that are expected to fuel the industry, several projects are facing delays because to COVID-19 and global lockout measures implemented by many nations across the world. In addition, growing worries about the security of electricity resulting from the use of environmentally beneficial and clean resources are propelling market expansion for geothermal power.
The commercial segment held the largest share in the market owing to the increasing demand for heat pump which is used for air conditioning and cooling down inside the environment when needed, including office buildings, hotels, schools, and hospitals. In addition, one of the major sources of geothermal energy in residential structures is district heating.
During the projection period, the binary cycle plants segment is expected to have the greatest CAGR. It is an advanced and efficient method used to generate electricity from low-temperature geothermal resources. In the Binary Cycle process, hot geothermal fluid with lower temperatures is passed through a heat exchanger, where it transfers its thermal energy to a secondary fluid with a lower boiling point. The secondary fluid vaporizes and drives a turbine connected to an electricity generator, producing clean and renewable power. Binary Cycle technology allows for the utilization of previously untapped low-temperature geothermal reservoirs, expanding the geothermal potential and making geothermal energy accessible to a broader range of regions, contributing to the growth of the geothermal power market.
The Asia Pacific region market is estimated to witness the highest share of the global Geothermal Power market during the forecast period, due to its abundant geothermal potential and rising use of renewable energy sources. Countries with ongoing geothermal power projects and recognized competence in geothermal energy production include Indonesia, the Philippines, and New Zealand. The market's expansion is further accelerated by government incentives, advantageous laws, and investments in geothermal technology. Geothermal energy is positioned to significantly contribute to the region's energy mix as the Asia Pacific region continues to prioritize clean and dependable power generation, encouraging long-term economic and environmental advantages.
The North America region is expected to have the highest growth rate over the forecast period. By utilizing its wide variety of geothermal resources and technological know-how, North America is a major player in the geothermal power market. Several geothermal power stations that use the Earth's inherent heat to produce electricity are located in the United States and Mexico. Due to its renewable and clean energy qualities, which are in line with regional pledges to cut carbon emissions and advance sustainable energy practices, geothermal power is seen positively in North America. Geothermal power is anticipated to play an increasingly important role in the region's energy transition and expansion of renewable energy as it stresses energy security and environmental stewardship.
Some of the key players in Geothermal Power market include: Ansaldo Energia, Atlas Copco AB, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., Calpine, Chevron Corp., Enel Spa, EthosEnergy Group, Fuji Electric Co Ltd, General Electric, Gradient Resources, Green Mountain Energy Company, Halliburton, KenGen, Macquarie Group Limited, Ormat Technologies Inc., Reykjavik Geothermal, Sumitomo Corporation, Supreme Energy, Terra-Gen Power LLC, ThermaSource LLC, Toshiba International Corp., Turboden S.p.A. and U.S. Geothermal Inc..
In July 2022, Ormat announced the commercial operation of the Casa Diablo-IV (CD4) 30 MW geothermal power plant. The CD4 facility provides 7 MW of geothermal power to two Community Choice Aggregators, Silicon Valley Clean Energy and Central Coast Community Energy, each under a 10-year power purchase agreement (PPA).
In May 2022, Baker Hughes Company announced an investment in San Francisco-based GreenFire Energy Inc., a company involved in the development of closed-loop Advanced Geothermal Systems (AGS).
In February 2022, SLB announced the introduction of the GeoSphere 360 3D reservoir mapping-while-drilling service at the International Petroleum Technology Conference (IPTC).