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到 2030 年流感诊断市场预测:按产品类型、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Influenza Diagnostics Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product, Test Type, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2023 年全球流感诊断市场规模将达到 23.2 亿美元,预计 2030 年将达到 40.6 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 8.3%。
流感诊断包括识别和确认流感病毒感染的方法。抗原检测等快速检测透过检测呼吸道检体中的病毒蛋白来提供快速结果。聚合酶链反应 (PCR) 等分子测试透过检测病毒的遗传物质提供高灵敏度和特异性。这些方法可以帮助早期诊断并指导适当的治疗和公共卫生干预措施。及时、准确的流感诊断有助于有效的病例管理、疫情控制和疫苗开发。
根据世界卫生组织(WHO)报告,到2023年,每年季节性流感患者人数将达到约10亿人,其中3至500万人病情严重。此外,流感每年导致全球 29 万至 65 万例呼吸道疾病死亡。
流感疫情增加
全球流感发病率的不断上升强调了对高效、快速诊断工具的需求。市场对能够快速准确检测流感病毒的先进诊断技术的需求激增。这种不断增长的需求正在推动创新诊断解决方案的研究和开发,并推动市场扩张。由于医疗保健系统优先考虑流感的早期检测和有效管理,在全球减轻流感流行影响的迫切需求的推动下,流感诊断市场有望持续成长。
敏感性和特异性有限
流感诊断在检测流感病毒方面发挥重要作用,但识别亚型和病毒株的准确性仍然令人担忧。快速进化和抗原变异使诊断设计变得复杂,难以产生假阴性或区分流感亚型。假阳性和假阴性可能导致误诊,影响患者治疗和公共卫生工作。平衡流感诊断的敏感性和特异性之间的权衡仍然是一个复杂的挑战,阻碍了市场的成长。
活性化研究和开发
诊断技术(包括分子和快速检测方法)的不断进步正在提高流感检测的准确性和效率。主要市场参与企业增加的研发投资和政府措施正在推动创新,从而开发出更可靠、更快速的诊断工具。研发活动的活性化不仅促进了技术突破,也为新的诊断解决方案铺平了道路,最终推动市场成长。此外,该领域研究的动态格局被定位为市场扩张的关键驱动力。
与抗病毒药物的竞争
随着製药业的不断进步,抗病毒药物将成为流感的主要治疗方法,从而可能减少对诊断工具的需求。有效抗病毒治疗的可用性可以降低快速且准确诊断解决方案的紧迫性,从而影响市场成长。竞争形势向以治疗为中心的方法的转变凸显了随着流感管理动态的发展不断创新以保持诊断的相关性和竞争力的必要性。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19 大流行对流感诊断市场产生了重大影响。人们对呼吸道感染疾病的认识不断提高,由于与新冠病毒症状重迭而对诊断测试的需求不断增加,以及医疗基础设施的激增正在对市场产生积极影响。此外,透过专注于先进的诊断技术和病毒学研究,流感诊断的创新正在不断推进。然而,大流行期间供应链和医疗服务的中断带来了挑战。整体来看,市场正经历动态变化,疫情影响下机会与挑战并存。
预计预测期内血清学检测领域规模最大
血清学检测领域预计将出现良好成长。血清学检测透过检测患者血清中的抗体来帮助识别和监测流感感染,在流感诊断中发挥重要作用。这种方法有助于区分当前和过去的感染,并可以全面了解个体的免疫反应。总体而言,血清学检测的多功能性提高了诊断准确性,为预防策略提供信息,并增强了流感感染的整体管理。
在预测期内,复合年增长率最高的将是临床实验室领域。
预计临床实验室产业在预测期内将经历最高的复合年增长率。在临床实验室中,流感诊断在患者治疗和公共卫生中发挥着至关重要的作用。快速且准确地识别流感病毒可以及时做出治疗决定,并减少疾病的严重程度和持续时间。 PCR 检测和快速抗原检测等诊断检测可实现早期检测,并帮助医护人员实施感染控制措施以防止进一步感染。这些测试将改善患者的治疗结果,支持公共卫生倡议,为疫苗接种策略提供讯息,并确保临床实验室在有效的流感管理和控制中发挥重要作用。
由于意识的提高、医疗保健支出的增加以及流感病例的激增,亚太地区预计将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。在该地区,PCR检测和快速流感检测等先进诊断技术备受关注。此外,政府倡议加上对现场检测需求的不断增长正在推动市场扩张。罗氏诊断公司 (Roche Diagnostics)、雅培实验室 (Abbott Laboratories) 和赛默飞世尔科技 (Thermo Fisher Scientific) 等主要企业正致力于策略联盟和产品创新,以提高其市场占有率。在积极的公共卫生倡议和诊断技术不断进步的推动下,亚太地区流感诊断市场预计将持续成长。
由于流感流行不断增加以及对准确及时诊断解决方案的持续需求,预计北美在预测期内将呈现最高的复合年增长率。该地区对快速、灵敏的诊断工具的需求强劲,推动了技术进步。 Luminex Corporation、DiaSorin 和 Becton, Dickinson and Company (BD) 等主要企业专注于 PCR 和免疫测量等创新技术,以实现高效流感检测。市场受到政府措施、意识不断提高以及即时检测需求等因素的影响。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Influenza Diagnostics Market is accounted for $2.32 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $4.06 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.3% during the forecast period. Influenza diagnostics involve methods to identify and confirm influenza virus infections. Rapid tests, such as antigen detection assays, provide quick results by detecting viral proteins in respiratory samples. Molecular tests, like polymerase chain reaction (PCR), offer high sensitivity and specificity by detecting viral genetic material. These methods aid in early diagnosis, guiding appropriate treatment and public health interventions. Timely and accurate influenza diagnostics enables effective patient management, outbreak control and vaccine development.
According to the World Health Organization report, in 2023, there were around a billion cases of seasonal influenza annually, including 3-5 million cases of severe illness. Moreover, influenza causes 290,000 to 650,000 respiratory deaths annually around the globe.
Rising prevalence of influenza
The increasing incidence of influenza cases worldwide underscores the critical need for efficient and rapid diagnostic tools. The market is witnessing a surge in demand for advanced diagnostic technologies capable of swift and accurate detection of influenza viruses. This heightened demand is steering research and development efforts towards innovative diagnostic solutions, fostering market expansion. As healthcare systems prioritize early detection and effective management of influenza, the influenza diagnostics market is poised to witness sustained growth, driven by the urgent global health imperative to mitigate the impact of influenza outbreaks.
Limited sensitivity & specificity
While influenza diagnostics play a crucial role in detecting influenza viruses, their accuracy in differentiating between subtypes and strains remains a concern. Rapid evolution and antigenic variability challenge the design of diagnostics, leading to false negatives or difficulty in distinguishing between influenza subtypes. False positives and negatives can lead to misdiagnoses, impacting patient care and public health efforts. Balancing the trade-off between sensitivity and specificity remains a complex task in influenza diagnostics, which hinder the market growth.
Growing research & development activities
Ongoing advancements in diagnostic technologies, such as molecular and rapid testing methods, are enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of influenza detection. Increasing investments in R&D by key market players and government initiatives are driving innovation, leading to the development of more reliable and rapid diagnostic tools. This surge in R&D activities not only fosters technological breakthroughs but also opens avenues for novel diagnostic solutions, ultimately propelling the growth of the market. Also, the dynamic landscape of research in this field positions it as a crucial driver for market expansion.
Competition from antiviral medications
As pharmaceutical advancements continue, antiviral drugs gain prominence as a primary intervention for influenza, potentially diminishing the demand for diagnostic tools. The availability of effective antiviral treatments may reduce the urgency for rapid and accurate diagnostic solutions, impacting the market's growth. The healthcare landscape's shift towards treatment-oriented approaches underscores the need for constant innovation in diagnostics to maintain relevance and competitiveness amid the evolving dynamics of influenza management.
Covid-19 Impact
The covid-19 pandemic has significantly influenced the influenza diagnostics market. Increased awareness of respiratory infections, heightened demand for diagnostic testing due to overlapping symptoms with covid, and a surge in healthcare infrastructure have positively impacted the market. Additionally, the focus on advanced diagnostic technologies and research in virology has driven innovation in influenza diagnostics. However, disruptions in the supply chain and healthcare services during the pandemic have presented challenges. Overall, the market has experienced a dynamic shift with both opportunities and obstacles arising from the epidemic impact.
The serological testing segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The serological testing segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth. Serological testing plays a crucial role in Influenza Diagnostics by detecting antibodies in a patient's blood serum, aiding in the identification and monitoring of influenza infections. This method helps differentiate between current and past infections, allowing for a comprehensive understanding of an individual's immune response. Overall, the versatility of serological testing enhances diagnostic accuracy, informs preventative strategies, and strengthens the overall management of influenza infections.
The clinical laboratories segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The clinical laboratories segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period. In clinical laboratories, influenza diagnostics play a pivotal role in patient care and public health. Rapid and accurate identification of influenza viruses aids in timely treatment decisions, reducing the severity and duration of illness. Diagnostic tests, including PCR and rapid antigen assays, enable early detection, helping healthcare professionals implement infection control measures to prevent further transmission. These tests enhance patient outcomes, support public health initiatives, and inform vaccination strategies, demonstrating their indispensable role in clinical laboratories for effective influenza management and control.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the increased awareness, rising healthcare expenditure, and a surge in influenza cases. Advanced diagnostic technologies, such as PCR and rapid influenza detection tests, are gaining prominence in the region. Additionally, government initiatives coupled with the growing demand for point-of-care testing, are driving market expansion. Key players such as Roche Diagnostics, Abbott Laboratories and Thermo Fisher Scientific are focusing on strategic collaborations and product innovations to strengthen their market presence. The Asia Pacific Influenza Diagnostics Market is poised for continued growth, driven by a proactive approach to public health and the continual evolution of diagnostic technologies.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the increasing prevalence of influenza and the constant need for accurate and timely diagnostic solutions. The region witnesses a robust demand for rapid and sensitive diagnostic tools, driving technological advancements. Key players in the market like Luminex Corporation, DiaSorin and Becton, Dickinson and Company (BD) focus on innovative techniques like PCR and immunoassays for efficient influenza detection. The market is influenced by factors such as government initiatives, rising awareness, and the need for point-of-care testing.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Influenza Diagnostics Market include Altona Diagnostics GmbH, ELITech Group, GenMark Diagnostics, F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Abbott Laboratories, Becton, Dickinson, and Company, Coris BioConcept, DiaSorin SpA, Meridian Bioscience Inc., Quidel Corporation, Sekisui Diagnostics, Thermo Fischer Scientific Inc., Hologic Inc., Mast Group, Siemens Healthineers AG, BioMerieux SA and Luminex Corporation.
In September 2022, Siemens Healthineers released its new CE-marked FTD SARS-CoV-2/FluA/FluB/HRSV Assay, a PCR test, and the CLINITEST Rapid COVID-19 + Influenza Antigen Test. Validated on the company's VERSANT kPCR Molecular System, the kit combines Siemens Healthineers FTD SARS-CoV-23 and FTD Flu/HRSV Assays.
In February 2022, Roche announced the expansion of the COVID-19 PCR portfolio to the cobas® 5800 System, a recently launched molecular laboratory instrument, in countries accepting the CE mark. These include cobas SARS-CoV-2 Qualitative and cobas SARS-CoV-2 & Influenza A/B tests. These launches expand the Roche Diagnostics molecular portfolio offering by providing standardized performance and efficiencies across low, medium and high volume molecular laboratory testing needs.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.