市场调查报告书
商品编码
1438139
到 2030 年双离合器变速箱市场预测:按车型、离合器类型、动力传动系统类型、变速箱、销售管道、技术和地区进行的全球分析Dual Clutch Transmission Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type, Clutch Type, Powertrain Type, Transmission, Sales Channel, Technology and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2023 年全球双离合器变速箱市场规模为 378.4 亿美元,预计到 2030 年将达到 603.7 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 6.9%。
双离合器变速箱是一种汽车变速箱技术,采用两个独立的离合器,可在檔位之间实现无缝、快速的换檔。 DCT 作为两个独立的手排变速箱运行,可以预先选择下一个檔位,从而最大限度地减少换檔延迟并提高燃油效率。各种车辆中使用的双离合器变速箱在手排变速箱的效率和自排变速箱的便利性之间取得了平衡,提供了响应灵敏且引人入胜的驾驶体验。
根据 JSTOR 报告,与行星自动变速箱相比,双离合器变速箱的燃油效率比手排变速箱高 15%,并提供传统有级自排变速箱的全面换檔舒适性。
自动变速箱需求不断成长
双离合器变速箱因其更高的效率和平稳的换檔而变得越来越受欢迎,因为消费者为了方便而选择自动变速箱。这种模式支持产业向更复杂的变速箱过渡,并鼓励在更广泛的车辆类别中使用 DCT。 DCT 的固有优势,例如提高燃油效率和增强驾驶体验,可以很好地满足消费者对自动变速箱不断增长的需求,从而促进市场的持续成长。
复杂性和维护
双离合器变速箱的设计复杂,具有多个离合器和电子元件,这使得它们的製造成本昂贵且容易出现维护问题。消费者担心潜在的可靠性问题和增加的维修成本。 DCT 的复杂性也为技术人员在维修和日常维护过程中带来了挑战,这可能会影响整体车辆拥有体验。这些复杂性和维护问题阻碍了 DCT 的广泛市场普及。
消费者对运动型车辆的偏好日益增长
双离合器变速箱以提供快速、无缝的换檔、提高驾驶性能而闻名,这对于运动型汽车来说非常重要。爱好者欣赏配备 DCT 的车辆所提供的改进的加速度、反应能力和整体动态驾驶体验。随着汽车製造商透过为运动型车型配备双离合器变速箱来满足这一需求,双离合器变速箱市场正在迅速扩大。符合消费者对高性能和运动驾驶的偏好,为双离合器变速箱市场的扩张和成功做出了重大贡献。
耐用性问题
对双离合器变速箱耐用性的担忧主要集中在与这些系统的复杂性相关的潜在问题上。一些消费者担心长期可靠性,尤其是在重型应用和具有挑战性的驾驶条件下。有关过热和维护併发症的报告也让人们对 DCT 的耐用性产生了怀疑。这些担忧可能会增加消费者的犹豫并影响整体普及率,从而阻碍市场成长。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19 大流行扰乱了双离合器变速箱市场,导致生产停顿、供应链中断以及消费者在包括汽车在内的非必需品上的支出减少。汽车製造商在维持生产计划方面面临挑战,影响了配备 DCT 的车辆的可用性。此外,经济不确定性导致消费者购买力下降,影响整体汽车销售。然而,随着全球市场的復苏和消费者信心的改善,由于汽车需求的復苏和生产逐渐恢復到疫情前的水平,DCT市场有望復苏。
预计小客车市场在预测期内将是最大的市场
小客车市场预计将出现良好成长。在小客车领域,双离合器变速箱 (DCT) 技术因其在提供更好驾驶体验方面的作用而受到关注。 DCT 越来越多地安装在小客车中,因为它可以实现快速、平稳的换檔,并有助于提高燃油效率和性能。随着汽车製造商努力满足消费者对先进变速箱系统的需求,双离合器变速箱在小客车中的采用不断增长,并正在塑造汽车技术的未来。
电动动力传动系统总成领域预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计电动动力传动系统总成领域在预测期内将出现最高的复合年增长率。将电动动力传动系统与 DCT 技术结合可提高效率。电动DCT 提供无缝换檔并优化电动车辆的动力分配,有助于提高性能和续航里程。这种整合与行业增强电动车动力传动系统技术的努力相一致,为消费者提供先进传动功能和电力推进的引人注目的结合,以提供更永续动力,影响汽车市场向解决方案的发展。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。亚太地区 (APAC) 的双离合器变速箱市场正在呈现显着的成长和变革趋势。在中国、日本、韩国、印度等国家的汽车产业,对先进变速箱技术的需求正在迅速增长,DCT成为人们关注的焦点。由于都市化不断加快、交通拥堵以及转向更便捷的驾驶体验,人们对自动变速箱的偏好增加,这推动了 DCT 在该地区的采用。
由于主要市场参与者的存在,预计欧洲在预测期内将呈现最高的复合年增长率。该地区多样化的景观,以大众汽车和豪华汽车为特征,有助于 DCT 的多样化应用。目标商标产品(OEM) 正在积极将 DCT 纳入其车辆产品组合,以满足消费者对提高燃油效率和性能的需求。此外,为满足各地区消费者的多样化需求而对研发和行销进行的策略性投资正在推动市场成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Dual Clutch Transmission Market is accounted for $37.84 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $60.37 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 6.9% during the forecast period. Dual Clutch Transmission is an automotive transmission technology that incorporates two separate clutches for seamless and rapid shifting between gears. Operating as two independent manual transmissions, DCT allows for pre-selecting the next gear, minimizing gear change lag and improving fuel efficiency. Found in a range of vehicles, dual clutch transmission offers a balance between the efficiency of manual transmissions and the convenience of automatic transmissions, providing drivers with a responsive and engaging driving experience.
According to the JSTOR report, dual clutch transmissions provide full shift comfort of traditional step automatics with 15% better fuel efficiency than manual transmissions when compared to planetary ATs.
Growing demand for automatic transmissions
Dual clutch transmissions are growing in popularity due to their improved efficiency and smoother gear changes as consumers choose automatic transmissions for their convenience. This pattern supports the industry's transition to more sophisticated gearboxes, which encourages the use of DCTs in a wider range of car classes. The inherent advantages of DCTs, such as improved fuel efficiency and enhanced driving experience, position them favourably in meeting the rising consumer demand for automatic transmissions, contributing to the market's sustained growth.
Complexity & maintenance
The intricate design of DCTs, with multiple clutches and electronic components, contributes to higher manufacturing costs and increased susceptibility to maintenance issues. Consumers are concerned about potential reliability issues and elevated repair costs. The intricate nature of DCTs may also pose a challenge for technicians during repairs and routine maintenance, impacting overall vehicle ownership experience. These complexities and maintenance concerns, thus impedes the broader market adoption of DCTs.
Increasing consumer preference for sporty vehicles
Dual clutch transmissions are renowned for delivering rapid and seamless gear shifts, enhancing the driving performance crucial for sportier cars. Enthusiasts appreciate the improved acceleration, responsiveness, and overall dynamic driving experience offered by DCT-equipped vehicles. As automakers respond to this demand, integrating DCTs into their sporty vehicle models, the market experiences a surge in adoption. This alignment with consumer preferences for high-performance and sporty driving contributes significantly to the expansion and success of the dual clutch transmission market.
Durability concerns
Durability concerns with dual clutch transmissions center around potential issues related to the complex nature of these systems. Some consumers worry about long-term reliability, particularly in heavy-duty applications or challenging driving conditions. Reports of overheating and maintenance complexities also raise questions about DCT durability. These concerns can hinder market growth as they contribute to hesitancy among consumers, impacting overall adoption rates.
Covid-19 Impact
The covid-19 pandemic disrupted the dual clutch transmission market as it led to production halts, supply chain disruptions, and reduced consumer spending on non-essential items, including automobiles. Automotive manufacturers faced challenges in maintaining production schedules, impacting the availability of DCT-equipped vehicles. Additionally, the economic uncertainty prompted a decline in consumer purchasing power, affecting overall automotive sales. However, as global markets recover and consumer confidence improves, the DCT market is expected to rebound, driven by resurgence in automotive demand and a gradual return to pre-pandemic production levels.
The passenger cars segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The passenger cars segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth. In the realm of passenger cars, Dual Clutch Transmission (DCT) technology has gained prominence for its role in delivering enhanced driving experiences. DCTs are increasingly integrated into passenger cars due to their ability to provide quick and smooth gear shifts, contributing to improved fuel efficiency and performance. As automakers strive to meet consumer demands for advanced transmission systems, the adoption of DCTs in passenger cars continues to rise, shaping the future of automotive technology.
The electric powertrain segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The electric powertrain segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period. Efficiency is increased when electric powertrains are combined with DCT technology. Electric DCTs provide seamless gear changes and optimize power distribution in electrified vehicles, contributing to improved performance and range. This integration aligns with the industry's efforts to enhance EV drivetrain technologies, offering consumers a compelling blend of advanced transmission features and electric propulsion, thereby influencing the evolution of the automotive market toward more sustainable and high-performance solutions.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. The dual clutch transmission market in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region has exhibited significant growth and transformative trends. The automotive industry in countries like China, Japan, South Korea, and India has witnessed a surge in demand for advanced transmission technologies, with DCTs gaining prominence. The increasing preference for automatic transmissions, driven by the rising urbanization, traffic congestion, and a shift toward more convenient driving experiences, has bolstered the adoption of DCTs in the region.
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the presence of major market players. The region's diverse landscape, featuring both mass-market and high-end vehicles, contributes to the varied applications of DCTs. Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) are actively integrating DCTs into their vehicle portfolios to meet consumer demands for fuel efficiency and enhanced performance. Further, strategic investments in R&D and marketing to cater to the diverse demands of consumers across the region are fuelling the market growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Dual Clutch Transmission Market include Allison Transmission, Audi, BorgWarner Inc, Continental AG, Daimler AG, Eaton Corporation, Getrag Corporate Group, Hofer Powertrain, Hyundai, Tata Motors, Magna International Inc, Mercedes, Mitsubishi, Nissan, Porsche, Renault Group, Schaeffler AG & Co. KG, Volkswagen Group, Volvo and ZF Friedrichshafen AG.
In October 2023, Allison Transmission launched the eGen Power® 85S, the newest addition to Allison's family of fully electric axles. In partnership with Anadolu Isuzu, Allison is pleased to present their integrated eGen Power 85S into the Isuzu Novo VOLT fully electric bus showcased at Busworld Europe in Brussels, Belgium.
In March 2022, Tata launched Altroz with dual-clutch automatic transmission and dubbed the variant DCA, launched at Rs 8.1 lakh ex-showroom. It is the world's first DCT with planetary gear arrangement and has 45 patents for innovative features of the transmission.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.