市场调查报告书
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到 2030 年二甲醚市场预测:按原料、应用和地区分類的全球分析Dimethyl Ether Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Raw Material (Bio Based, Fossil Fuel Based and Other Raw Materials), Application, and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2023年全球二甲醚市场规模将达57亿美元,预计2030年将达到147亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为14.4%。
二甲醚(DME)是一种无色气体,具有微弱的醚气味。从化学角度来说,它由两个与氧原子键结的甲基组成。二甲醚通常用作气溶胶推进剂、冷媒和清洁替代燃料。二甲醚是透过甲醇脱水反应除去水分子而产生的。它毒性低,可生物分解性,对环境友善。由于DME的特性,它是一种用途广泛的化合物,有望应用于寻求清洁替代能源的各个行业。
根据中国国家统计局统计,2022年1月至10月累计生产液化石油气41,071千吨,较去年同期的4,0009千吨增加。
能源安全和多样化
二甲醚提供了多种能源来源,可以用多种原料生产,包括天然气、煤炭、生物质和可再生能源。这种多样性透过减少对单一能源来源的依赖并减轻供应链风险和脆弱性来加强能源安全。此外,不同原料的生产有助于能源组合多样化,从而进一步推动该市场的发展。
高成本
将天然气或煤炭转化为二甲醚需要专门的设备和能源集中工艺,这会增加整体生产成本。有限的规模经济将基础设施和营运费用分摊到较小的生产量上,导致生产成本更高。此外,原料的供应和可近性也会影响二甲醚市场的成本。
技术进步
我们不断开发创新技术,以增强各种原料(包括天然气、煤炭、生物质和可再生资源)的二甲醚合成。合成气发酵和生物甲醇合成等製程提供了生产二甲醚的永续途径,符合全球永续性目标并减少对石化燃料的依赖,可用于各个领域。
消费者意识有限
与汽油和柴油等成熟燃料相比,二甲醚对于一般消费者来说仍然相对陌生。 DME 基础设施(例如加油站和配送网路)的可用性和可近性有限。此外,如果没有发达的基础设施,消费者可能不愿意投资 DME动力来源的车辆和家用电器,导致消费者意识进一步下降。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19 大流行对二甲醚 (DME) 市场产生了一些负面影响,扰乱了供应链,减少了需求,并影响了投资决策。疫情造成的经济放缓导致工业活动和交通运输下降,导致各行业二甲醚消费量下降。此外,物流和运输延误进一步加剧了供应链挑战,导致供不应求和成本增加,阻碍了市场的发展。
预计在预测期内,基于石化燃料的细分市场将成为最大的细分市场
据估计,基于石化燃料的细分市场将占据最大份额,因为它是传统碳氢化合物(尤其是柴油)的有前途的替代品。二甲醚以煤和天然气为原料,先将这些石化燃料转化为合成气,合成气是氢气和一氧化碳的化合物,然后合成甲醇,最后将产物脱水生产二甲醚。此外,其清洁燃烧特性符合严格的排放法规,推动了寻求改善空气品质的地区的采用,并支持该领域的扩张。
液化石油气混合领域预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高
液化石油气混合产业预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高。液化石油气主要由丙烷和丁烷组成,广泛用于烹饪、取暖和运输。透过将 DME 与 LPG 混合,可以增强燃烧特性,例如改善汽化和燃烧稳定性。此外,这种组合正在支持该细分市场的成长,因为它与世界向更清洁和更永续的能源来源过渡的努力相一致。
在估计期间,亚太地区占据最大的市场占有率。该地区工业化、都市化显着,人口快速成长,导致对能源和替代燃料的需求增加。中国、日本和印度等国家正在投资二甲醚生产基础设施和技术开发,以发挥其作为清洁燃烧燃料的潜力。此外,促进清洁能源解决方案、更严格的排放法规和改善替代燃料运输基础设施的措施正在推动该地区采用二甲醚。
由于监管倡议和对永续能源解决方案的日益关注等多种因素,预计欧洲在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。三菱公司、阿克苏诺贝尔公司和韩国天然气公司等主要企业越来越多地采用二甲醚作为清洁替代燃料,特别是在运输和供暖应用领域。此外,不断变化的能源格局,加上有利的监管条件和技术创新,正在推动该地区二甲醚市场的成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Dimethyl Ether Market is accounted for $5.7 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $14.7 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 14.4% during the forecast period. Dimethyl ether (DME) is a colorless gas with a faint ethereal odor. Chemically, it consists of two methyl groups attached to an oxygen atom. It's commonly used as an aerosol propellant, refrigerant, and as a clean-burning alternative fuel. DME is produced through the dehydration of methanol, a process that involves removing water molecules. It exhibits low toxicity and is biodegradable, making it environmentally friendly. DME's properties make it a versatile compound with potential applications in various industries seeking cleaner energy alternatives.
According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the cumulative value of liquefied petroleum gas production in the first ten months of 2022 accounted for 41,071 kilotons, compared to 40,009 kilotons during the same period in the previous year.
Energy security and diversification
DME offers a diversified energy source that can be produced from a wide range of feedstocks, including natural gas, coal, biomass, and renewable sources. This versatility reduces reliance on a single energy source, enhancing energy security by mitigating supply chain risks and vulnerabilities. Moreover, production from diverse feedstocks helps to diversify energy portfolios, which is driving this market further.
High cost
The conversion of natural gas or coal into DME requires specialized equipment and energy-intensive processes, which contribute to the overall production costs. Limited economies of scale result in higher production costs as infrastructure and operational expenses are distributed over a smaller output volume. In addition, the availability and accessibility of raw materials also impact the cost of the DME market.
Technological advancements
Innovative technologies are continually being developed to enhance DME synthesis from various feedstocks, including natural gas, coal, biomass, and renewable sources. Processes like syngas fermentation and bio-methanol synthesis offer sustainable pathways to produce DME, aligning with global sustainability goals and reducing reliance on fossil fuels, driving its acceptance and adoption across various sectors.
Limited consumer awareness
Compared to well-established fuels like gasoline and diesel, DME is still relatively unknown to the general public. The availability and accessibility of DME infrastructure, such as refueling stations or distribution networks, have been limited. Furthermore, without a well-developed infrastructure, consumers may be hesitant to invest in DME-powered vehicles or appliances, further contributing to the limited consumer awareness.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic has had several negative impacts on the Dimethyl Ether (DME) market, disrupting supply chains, reducing demand, and affecting investment decisions. The pandemic-induced economic slowdown led to decreased industrial activity and transportation, resulting in a decline in DME consumption across various sectors. Furthermore, delays in logistics and transportation further exacerbated supply chain challenges, leading to supply shortages and increased costs, thereby hampering this market.
The fossil fuel based segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The fossil fuel based segment is estimated to hold the largest share because it serves as a promising alternative to traditional hydrocarbon fuels, particularly diesel. Originating from coal or natural gas, DME is produced by first turning these fossil fuels into syngas, which is a combination of hydrogen and carbon monoxide; subsequently, methanol is synthesized; and finally, the product is dehydrated to produce DME. Additionally, its clean-burning characteristics align with tightening emissions regulations, fostering its adoption in regions aiming to improve air quality, which is driving this segment's expansion.
The LPG blending segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The LPG blending segment is anticipated to have highest CAGR during the forecast period. LPG, primarily composed of propane and butane, is widely used for cooking, heating, and transportation. By blending DME with LPG, the resulting fuel gains enhanced combustion characteristics, including improved vaporization and combustion stability. Furthermore, this blending aligns with global efforts to transition towards cleaner and more sustainable energy sources, which thereby boosts this segment's growth.
Asia Pacific commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period. This region boasts significant industrialization, urbanization, and a burgeoning population, which has led to a rising demand for energy and fuel alternatives. Countries like China, Japan, and India are investing in DME production infrastructure and technology development to capitalize on its potential as a clean-burning fuel. In addition, initiatives promoting cleaner energy solutions, stringent emissions regulations, and the development of transportation infrastructure for alternative fuels are driving the adoption of DME in the region.
Europe is expected to witness highest CAGR over the projection period, owing to various factors, including regulatory initiatives and an increasing focus on sustainable energy solutions. Key players such as Mitsubishi Corporation, Akzo Nobel N.V., and Korea Gas Corporation are increasingly embracing DME as a clean-burning alternative fuel, particularly in transportation and heating applications. Moreover, the evolving energy landscape, coupled with favorable regulatory frameworks and technological innovations, is fueling the growth of the DME market in the region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Dimethyl Ether Market include China Energy Limited, Akzo Nobel N.V., The Chemours Company, Jiutai Energy Group, Zagros Petrochemical Company, Oberon Fuels, Mitsubishi Corporation, Grillo Werke AG, Royal Dutch Shell PLC and Ferrostaal GmbH.
In January 2024, Mitsubishi Corporation (MC) is pleased to announce that Isuzu Motors Ltd. (Isuzu) became a new signatory to an agreement previously reached by MC and four other interests to collaborate on digital transformations (DX) in regional public transportation.
In January 2024, Shell has reached an agreement to sell its Nigerian onshore subsidiary The Shell Petroleum Development Company of Nigeria Limited (SPDC) to Renaissance, a consortium of five companies comprising four exploration and production companies based in Nigeria and an international energy group.