市场调查报告书
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2030 年太阳能硅片市场预测:按类型、应用、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Solar Silicon Wafer Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Polycrystalline Wafer, Monocrystalline Wafer and Other Types), Application, End User, and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2023年全球太阳能硅片市场规模将达86亿美元,预计2030年将达到187亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为11.7%。
太阳能硅片是一种薄盘,其主要成分是硅晶型,一种用于生产太阳能电池的半导体材料。该晶圆构成了将阳光转化为电能的太阳能电池的基础。执行切片、抛光和掺杂等精确製造步骤,以确保最佳的导电性和光吸收特性。有多种尺寸和厚度可供选择,表面纹理经过最佳化,可增强光线捕捉。太阳能硅片是太阳能板生产的重要组成部分,使太阳能能够用于可再生能源发电。
根据中国光电产业协会统计,中国是最大的光电产品製造国,2019年硅片产能超过173.7GW。
太阳能发电设备扩建
太阳能发电设施的扩建与硅片需求的增加有直接关係。由于多种因素,这些装置在全球范围内不断增加,包括政府激励措施、太阳能技术成本下降、环境问题和能源安全。此外,硅片是太阳能电池的组成部分,也是大多数太阳能技术的基础,从而显着推动了市场成长。
生产成本
硅的取得方式多种多样,需要能源集中工艺,从而增加了生产成本。这些机器的维护和操作以及所需的熟练劳动力都会增加总成本。此外,结晶、晶圆化和加工需要先进的技术和设备,这些都是资本集中的,阻碍了市场的规模。
创新
技术进步不断提高太阳能硅片製造的效率和成本效益,提高太阳能作为可再生能源的竞争力。晶圆切片技术的改进、硅精製製程的改进以及电池製造技术的进步等技术创新发挥着至关重要的作用。此外,这些创新还提高了太阳能硅片製造的转换效率、降低了製造成本并扩充性。
原料短缺
硅是太阳能电池製造的基本元素,也是太阳能电池硅片的基础。采矿能力有限、精製过程中的技术限制以及影响太阳能硅片供应链的地缘政治紧张局势等因素加剧了高纯硅的供不应求。因此,製造商在满足太阳能板日益增长的需求方面面临挑战,导致太阳能硅片市场供不应求和价格上涨。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19 大流行在多个方面对太阳能硅片市场产生了重大影响。首先,由于封锁和旅行限制导致供应链中断,阻碍了硅晶圆製造所必需的原材料和组件的供应,导致延误和成本上升。其次,由于经济不确定性,太阳能发电设备需求减少,硅片订单减少,影响厂商收益,逐渐抑制市场扩张。
预计多晶片部分在预测期内将是最大的
由于其成本效益和相对较好的效率水平,多晶片预计将占据最大份额。这些晶圆是使用多个硅结晶製造的,因此製造成本比单晶结晶便宜。此外,製造流程的进步提高了效率并降低了製造成本,进一步推动了该领域的成长。
太阳能电池产业预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高
由于其半导体特性,太阳能电池产业预计在预测期内将表现出最高的复合年增长率。本公司专注于开发高效能太阳能电池技术,提升太阳能板性能,并提高整体能源转换效率。此外,对永续性的日益重视正在推动硅晶圆回收方式的创新以及环保製造方法的开发。
由于全部区域对光伏(PV)装置的需求不断增加,欧洲在预测期内占据了最大的市场占有率。西班牙、义大利和法国等国也透过各种促进太阳能发电的政府措施为市场扩张做出了贡献。此外,出于对可再生能源和永续性的关注,许多欧洲国家都实施了对太阳能的支持政策和奖励,增强了对太阳能硅片的需求。
效率的提高和製造成本的降低使太阳能相对于传统能源来源更具竞争力。环保意识的增强和减少碳排放的紧迫性正在刺激对太阳能基础设施的投资。此外,研究机构、大学和行业相关人员之间的合作正在促进尖端技术和材料的开发,进一步推动该地区对硅片的需求。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Solar Silicon Wafer Market is accounted for $8.6 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $18.7 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 11.7% during the forecast period. A solar silicon wafer is a thin disc made primarily of crystalline silicon, a semiconductor material used in solar cell manufacturing. These wafers serve as the foundation for photovoltaic cells, which convert sunlight into electricity. They undergo precise fabrication processes, including slicing, polishing, and doping, to ensure optimal electrical conductivity and light absorption properties. They come in various sizes and thicknesses, with surface textures optimized to enhance light trapping. Solar silicon wafers are integral components in the production of solar panels, enabling the harnessing of solar energy for renewable power generation.
According to the China Photovoltaic Industry Association, China holds for the largest manufacturers of photovoltaic products and had a silicon wafers production capacity of more than 173.7 GW in FY2019.
Expansion of solar PV installations
The expansion of solar PV installations directly translates to an increased demand for silicon wafers. These installations are increasing globally due to several factors, including government incentives, declining costs of solar technology, environmental concerns, and energy security. Moreover, silicon wafers are the building blocks of solar cells, forming the basis of most solar PV technologies, which significantly boosts this market growth.
Cost of production
Silicon is derived from various sources that require energy-intensive processes, increasing production costs. The maintenance and operation of these machines, along with the skilled labor required, contribute to the overall cost. Moreover, crystallization, wafering, and processing require advanced technologies and equipment, which can be capital intensive, which is hampering this market size.
Technological innovation
Technological advancements have continuously improved the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of solar silicon wafer production, thereby enhancing the competitiveness of solar energy as a renewable source. Innovations such as improvements in wafer slicing techniques, refining of silicon purification processes, and advancements in cell manufacturing technology have played pivotal roles. Furthermore, these innovations have led to higher conversion efficiencies, reduced production costs, and increased scalability in solar silicon wafer production.
Lack of raw material
Silicon is a fundamental component in the manufacturing of solar cells, forming the basis of solar silicon wafers. The inadequate supply of high-purity silicon is exacerbated by factors like limited mining capacity, technological constraints in refining processes, and geopolitical tensions affecting the supply chains of solar silicon wafers. Consequently, manufacturers experienced challenges in meeting the escalating demand for solar panels, resulting in supply shortages and increased prices in the solar silicon wafer market.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the solar silicon wafer market in several ways. Firstly, disrupted supply chains due to lockdowns and travel restrictions hampered the availability of raw materials and components essential for manufacturing silicon wafers, causing delays and increasing costs. Secondly, decreased demand for solar installations amid economic uncertainties led to a decline in orders for silicon wafers, affecting revenues for manufacturers, which gradually impeded this market expansion.
The polycrystalline wafer segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The polycrystalline wafer segment is estimated to hold the largest share, due to its cost-effectiveness and relatively good efficiency levels. These wafers are fabricated using multiple silicon crystals, resulting in a lower production cost compared to single-crystal wafers. Additionally, advancements in manufacturing processes led to improved efficiency and reduced manufacturing costs, further fueling this segment's growth.
The solar battery segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The solar battery segment is anticipated to have highest CAGR during the forecast period due to their semiconductor properties; they serve as the foundational material for manufacturing solar cells. Companies focus on developing efficient solar cell technologies, enhancing the performance of solar panels, and improving the overall energy conversion efficiency. Furthermore, there is a growing emphasis on sustainability, driving innovations in recycling methods for silicon wafers and the development of eco-friendly manufacturing practices.
Europe commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period, owing to increasing demand for solar photovoltaic (PV) installations across the region. Countries such as Spain, Italy, and France also contributed to the market's expansion through various government initiatives promoting solar power generation. In addition, with a focus on renewable energy and sustainability, many European countries implemented supportive policies and incentives for solar energy, bolstering the demand for solar silicon wafers.
North America is expected to witness highest CAGR over the projection period, owing to increased efficiency and reduced manufacturing costs, making solar energy more competitive with traditional energy sources. Heightened awareness of environmental issues and the urgency to reduce carbon emissions have spurred investment in solar energy infrastructure. Furthermore, collaborations between research institutions, universities, and industry players have facilitated the development of cutting-edge technologies and materials, further driving the demand for silicon wafers in this region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Solar Silicon Wafer Market include Changzhou xusheng - energy Co., Ltd., Zhonghuan Semiconductor Corporation, LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd., JA Solar Holdings Co., Ltd., Canadian Solar Inc, CETC Solar Energy Holdings Co., Ltd., JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd., Trina Solar Co., Ltd, First Solar, Inc, Hanwha Q CELLS Co., Ltd, REC Group, SunPower Corporation, Yingli Green Energy Holding Company Limited, SolarWorld AG, Risen Energy Co., Ltd., Kyocera Corporation, Shunfeng International Clean Energy Limited, SolarEdge Technologies, Inc, LDK Solar Co., Ltd and ReneSola Ltd.
In January 2024, Kyocera Corporation and Nippon Signal Co., Ltd. announced the establishment of the "Smart Mobility Infrastructure Technology Research Partnership".
In January 2024, LONGi energises the adelaide international as the exclusive global solar energy partner of the ATP Tour: serving a sustainable future.
In December 2023, LONGi, announces that has signed a 576 MW sales agreement with Nofar Energy Romania, implementing the latest generation of its high efficiency modules.
In September 2023, Kyocera Corporation announced the launch of a new standard line of 230V silicon nitride (SN) igniters for industrial or residential gas furnaces, water heaters, boilers, and gas stoves.