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2030 年高峰发电厂市场预测:按类型、技术、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Peaking Power Plant Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Diesel, Natural Gas, Hydropower, Biogas and Other Types), Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2023年全球尖峰电厂市场规模为1,172亿美元,预计2030年将达到1,821亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为6.5%。
调峰发电厂是一种发电设施,旨在在高需求时段或「高峰」时段提供电力。这些发电厂通常用于满足短期电力消耗高峰。这种电力消耗通常发生在一天中最热和最冷的时间,此时空调和暖气系统被大量使用。这些发电厂通常仅在电力需求最高时使用,并在需求较低期间閒置,此时基本负载发电厂(例如煤炭和核能发电厂)处理大部分发电。
对可靠电力供应的需求不断增长
世界人口成长、都市化和工业化增加了对电力的需求,需要尖峰时段供电。调峰电厂在用电高峰期提供可靠、充足的电力供应,保障用户稳定供电发挥重要作用。电网现代化是重点,需要稳定有效的电力供应。这些因素共同增加了市场对可靠电源的需求。
环境问题
市场对环境的关注主要围绕在天然气尖峰发电厂对空气品质和公众健康的影响。一些设施将排放气体排放到低收入人群和有色人种居住的社区,加剧了环境不公正,这凸显了这些担忧。天然气被认为是一种相对清洁的石化燃料,温室气体和空气污染物的排放较低,但环保组织正在寻求解决再生能源带来的电网可靠性问题,强调需要更先进的解决方案,例如电池储存、需量反应。
电力基础设施投资
该地区电力基础设施投资尤其强劲。这是由于人口成长、电力部门私人投资增加以及各国建立大量调峰电厂所致。此外,市场上主要企业都在研发活动上进行投资,旨在开发环保发电厂,为减少碳排放做出贡献。
营业成本高
高峰发电厂市场的高营业成本受到多种因素的影响,包括燃料成本、人事费用、维修成本和特定的发电厂特性。与燃煤发电厂和可再生能源发电相比,天然气复合迴圈发电厂的营业成本相对较低,使其成为调峰发电更具成本效益的选择。启动和关闭成本、爬坡率和容量等因素会显着影响变动成本,并影响市场的整体营运成本。
COVID-19 的爆发严重影响了高峰发电厂市场,导致供应链中断、计划执行延迟,以及因景气衰退和工业活动减少而导致的需求减少。投资和资金筹措的不确定性也阻碍了市场成长。然而,疫情凸显了可靠电力供应的重要性,并可能鼓励未来对尖峰时段发电厂的投资,以确保紧急情况下的电网稳定。对远端工作和虚拟通讯的适应可能会影响未来的工厂设计。
预计水电产业在预测期内将是最大的
预计水电产业将是预测期内最大的产业。调峰发电厂旨在满足短期电力需求高峰,其快速反应能力使水力发电成为理想选择。水力发电厂能够快速增加和减少电力输出,在电力需求高峰期间提供电网稳定性。此外,与基于石化燃料的峰值发电厂相比,其可再生特性确保了永续性并减少了对环境的影响,使其成为能源领域的首选。
预计可再生能源整合领域在预测期内将呈现最高的复合年增长率。
预计可再生能源整合产业在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。随着对永续性的日益重视,调峰发电厂正在适应太阳能和风能等间歇性再生能源来源。这种整合透过在可再生能源可能不足的高峰需求期间提供备用电力来提高电网稳定性。可再生能源和发电厂的协同效应促进了更具弹性和更绿色的能源基础设施。
由于电力需求增加以及尖峰时段对可靠电力供应的需求,预计北美在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。随着太阳能、风电等再生能源来源的增加,调峰电站在平衡电网方面发挥重要作用。此外,技术进步使尖峰发电厂变得更有效率和环保。这吸引了政府和私营部门的投资,进一步支持该地区的市场扩张。
预计亚太地区在预测期内复合年增长率最高。随着各国工业化、都市化和经济的快速成长,对电力的需求不断增加。高峰发电厂在满足高峰需求方面发挥着重要作用,特别是在高能源消耗时期。许多国家正在努力将更多的再生能源来源纳入电网,以减少碳排放并应对气候变迁。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Peaking Power Plant Market is accounted for $117.2 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $182.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 6.5% during the forecast period. A peaking power plant, also known as a peaker plant, is a type of power generating facility designed to provide electricity during periods of high demand, or "peak" periods. These plants are typically used to meet short-term spikes in electricity consumption, which often occur during the hottest or coldest times of the day when air conditioning or heating systems are heavily used. They are typically used only when demand for electricity is at its highest and are often idle during periods of lower demand when baseload power plants, such as coal or nuclear plants, handle the majority of electricity generation.
Increasing demand for reliable power supply
The growing global population, urbanization, and industrialization have led to increased electricity demand, necessitating additional power supplies during peak usage times. Peaking power plants play a crucial role in providing dependable and adequate power supply during peak demand periods, ensuring a constant electricity supply to users. The emphasis on grid modernization and the requirement for a consistent and effective power supply. These factors collectively contribute to the increasing demand for a reliable power supply in the market.
Environmental concerns
The environmental concerns in the market revolve around the impact of natural gas peaker plants on air quality and public health. These concerns are highlighted by the presence of emissions-spewing facilities in low-income areas and communities of color, leading to environmental injustice. While natural gas is considered a relatively clean burning fossil fuel, emitting lower levels of greenhouse gases and air pollutants, environmental groups emphasize the need for more advanced solutions such as battery storage, demand-response programs, and renewable energy to address grid reliability issues posed by renewables.
Investment in power infrastructure
Investment in power infrastructure in the peaking power plant market has seen significant growth, particularly in the region. This is attributed to the rise in population, increased private sector investment in the power sector, and the establishment of numerous peaking power plants in countries. Furthermore, the market is witnessing investments from key players in research and development activities aimed at creating environment-friendly power plant units, thus contributing to the reduction of carbon footprints.
High operating costs
High operating costs in the peaking power plant market are influenced by various factors such as fuel costs, labor costs, maintenance costs, and specific plant characteristics. Natural gas combined cycle power plants have relatively lower operating costs compared to coal-fired plants and renewable energy sources, making them a more cost-effective option for peaking power generation. Factors like start-up and shutdown costs, ramp rate, and capacity significantly impact the variable costs, contributing to the overall operational expenses in the market.
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the peaking power plant market, causing disruptions in supply chains, delays in project executions, and decreased demand due to economic downturns and reduced industrial activities. Uncertainties in investment and financing have also hindered market growth. However, the pandemic has highlighted the importance of reliable electricity supply, potentially driving future investments in peaking power plants to ensure grid stability during emergencies. Adaptation to remote work and virtual communication may influence future plant designs.
The hydropower segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The hydropower segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period. Peaking power plants are designed to meet short-term spikes in electricity demand, making hydropower an ideal choice due to its rapid response capabilities. Hydropower plants can quickly ramp up or down their electricity output, providing grid stability during peak demand periods. Additionally, their renewable nature ensures sustainability and reduced environmental impact compared to fossil fuel-based peaking plants, making them a preferred choice in the energy landscape.
The renewable integration segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The renewable integration segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period. With increasing emphasis on sustainability, peaking plants are adapting to accommodate intermittent renewable energy sources such as solar and wind. This integration enhances grid stability by providing backup power during peak demand periods when renewables may not suffice. This synergy between renewables and peaking plants fosters a more resilient and eco-friendly energy infrastructure.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period driven by increasing electricity demand and the need for reliable power supply during peak hours. With the rise in renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind, peaking plants play a crucial role in balancing the grid. Additionally, advancements in technology have made peaking plants more efficient and environmentally friendly. This has attracted investments from government and private sectors, further propelling market expansion in the region.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the highest CAGR over the forecast period. With rapid industrialization, urbanization, and economic growth in countries the demand for electricity has been steadily rising. Peaking power plants play a crucial role in meeting this peak demand, especially during times of high energy consumption. Many countries are striving to incorporate more renewable energy sources into their power grids to reduce carbon emissions and combat climate change.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Peaking Power Plant market include MTU Onsite Energy GmbH,General Electric (GE),Mitsubishi Hitachi Power Systems, Ltd.,Caterpillar Inc.,Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited, Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction Co., Ltd, Ansaldo Energia S.p.A., Alstom SA, Siemens AG, Wartsila Corporation, Toshiba, TotalEnergies , Peak Power, Cummins Inc., Capstone Turbine Corporation, MAN Energy Solutions, Kawasaki Heavy Industries and Rolls-Royce Power Systems AG.
In November 2023 , GE Vernova and Duke Energy are joining forces for the nation's inaugural peaker plant fueled entirely by green hydrogen, marking a significant collaboration in the advancement of sustainable energy solutions.
In June 2023, TotalEnergies and Belgian start-up Tree Energy Solutions (TES) have announced their joint initiative to construct a synthetic natural gas plant in the U.S. This facility will utilize 'green' hydrogen and carbon dioxide to generate a methane-like gas suitable for combustion as fuel, aiming to produce 100,000 to 200,000 metric tons of synthetic natural gas annually.